New Gallop Poll- Bush Widens lead

[BuffaloBorn1960]

Thanks for the Help Dano!! Keep up the good work at CBS..

 

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselect...llup-poll_x.htm

 

"By Susan Page, USA TODAY

WASHINGTON — President Bush has surged to a 13-point lead over Sen. John Kerry among likely voters, a new Gallup Poll shows. The 55%-42% match-up is the first statistically significant edge either candidate has held this year"

[PastaJoe]

In the latest national survey of 1,972 registered voters by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, conducted in two waves over a seven-day period Sept. 8-14, finds that the president's 52%-40% advantage in the initial period dissipated in the polling conducted Sept. 11-14. The second wave of interviewing shows the race even among registered voters, at 46%-46%. When the sample is narrowed to likely voters, Bush holds a statistically insignificant lead of 47%-46% in the second wave, down from the huge 54%-39% advantage he held in the first wave of interviews.

 

But feel free to be overconfident and complacent. If Bush supporters perceive they have the election wrapped up, perhaps some won't show up to vote.

[VABills]

In the latest national survey of 1,972 registered voters by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, conducted in two waves over a seven-day period Sept. 8-14, finds that the president's 52%-40% advantage in the initial period dissipated in the polling conducted Sept. 11-14. The second wave of interviewing shows the race even among registered voters, at 46%-46%. When the sample is narrowed to likely voters, Bush holds a statistically insignificant lead of 47%-46% in the second wave, down from the huge 54%-39% advantage he held in the first wave of interviews.

 

But feel free to be overconfident and complacent.  If Bush supporters perceive they have the election wrapped up, perhaps some won't show up to vote.

34744[/snapback]

Of course you use the only Poll that shows it close, and by a research company that noone has ever heard of before.

[PastaJoe]

You've never heard of the Pew Research Center, where have you been? My point is that you can't really trust any of the polls to be accurate since they fluctuate weekly, but if the Bush supporters want to be overconfident, that's great.

[VABills]

Oh yeah just looked it up. The PEW is a charitable group set up in 1996 for "independent" for the Press. Yeah based on how "independent" the press has been I doubt anything this new and this biased towards what the press wants.

[BuffaloBorn1960]

In the latest national survey of 1,972 registered voters by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, conducted in two waves over a seven-day period Sept. 8-14, finds that the president's 52%-40% advantage in the initial period dissipated in the polling conducted Sept. 11-14. The second wave of interviewing shows the race even among registered voters, at 46%-46%. When the sample is narrowed to likely voters, Bush holds a statistically insignificant lead of 47%-46% in the second wave, down from the huge 54%-39% advantage he held in the first wave of interviews.

 

But feel free to be overconfident and complacent.  If Bush supporters perceive they have the election wrapped up, perhaps some won't show up to vote.

34744[/snapback]

Gallup is THE Polling standard... The Dems were referring to it frequently early in the Race... Problem is... as shown by Gallup is that the more people actually think about the election.... the more they tend to move to Bush...

[OnTheRocks]

In the latest national survey of 1,972 registered voters by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, conducted in two waves over a seven-day period Sept. 8-14, finds that the president's 52%-40% advantage in the initial period dissipated in the polling conducted Sept. 11-14. The second wave of interviewing shows the race even among registered voters, at 46%-46%. When the sample is narrowed to likely voters, Bush holds a statistically insignificant lead of 47%-46% in the second wave, down from the huge 54%-39% advantage he held in the first wave of interviews.

 

But feel free to be overconfident and complacent.  If Bush supporters perceive they have the election wrapped up, perhaps some won't show up to vote.

34744[/snapback]

 

 

 

like it or not, both Bush and Kerry camps have acknowledged that Bush has a 7 point lead. And more importantly Bush is leading in those all important "swing states".

 

Of course none of this matters until after the debates.

[BuffaloBorn1960]

like it or not, both Bush and Kerry camps have acknowledged that Bush has a 7 point lead.  And more importantly Bush is leading in those all important "swing states". 

 

Of course none of this matters until after the debates.

34844[/snapback]

Even more important Bush is starting to pull away in the electoral college vote..

[BuffaloBorn1960]

Now that CBS & Dano have admitted the documents are dubious.... what happens to GWB poll numbers?

 

Up or down and by how much?

[John Adams]

Good. I look forward to lowering taxes, decreasing federal spending substantially, reigning in the authoritarian DOJ, rebuilding relationships with other countries, and getting the government out of my personal business.

 

Oh wait- the Republicans haven't done that during the last four years- guess I have no reason to think they'll do it in the next four.

 

Maybe in '08.

[Ray]

It will still be a very close election. If the Democrats had not nominated a moron they would be in front.

[tennesseeboy]

It will still be a very close election.  If the Democrats had not nominated a moron they would be in front.

38904[/snapback]

 

The DEMOCRATS nominated a moron? Guess they must have wanted to start even with Bush!

[Rich in Ohio]

The DEMOCRATS nominated a moron?  Guess they must have wanted to start even with Bush!

38920[/snapback]

 

 

Hey tenny, looks like GWB has a 12 point lead in tennessee. Thanks for the support!

[Alaska Darin]

Hey tenny, looks like GWB has a 12 point lead in tennessee. Thanks for the support!

39161[/snapback]

He recently admitted to working to recruit. Apparently his tactics in that venue are just as effective as they are here.

[Adam]

Thanks for the Help Dano!!  Keep up the good work at CBS..

 

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselect...llup-poll_x.htm

 

"By Susan Page, USA TODAY

WASHINGTON — President Bush has surged to a 13-point lead over Sen. John Kerry among likely voters, a new Gallup Poll shows. The 55%-42% match-up is the first statistically significant edge either candidate has held this year"

34725[/snapback]

 

 

Dont be so confident- Bush already has Florida locked up again before the voting takes place. Then again, with those cockamanie voting machines, maybe there will be no votes out of Florida at all......what rubbish

[JimBob2232]

The DEMOCRATS nominated a moron? Guess they must have wanted to start even with Bush!

 

If the democrats #1 concern was eliminating bush, there were better candidates to do so. Lieberman would be running away with this election. Gephart and Edwards would be giving bush a run for his money. Even a guy like wesley clark would be doing better than kerry. The fact is that the media and the establishment picked Kerry, and now they realize they have a very poor candidate.

 

People are trying to decide who to vote against, not for. Its sad, but true. The reality is that Bush has bungled this war in iraq, and kerry has no vision or plan to get us out of it. The economy isnt as rosy as the bush people are portraying it to be, yet kerry has no plan to fix it. The republicans use scare tactics to try to scare the elderly into thinking they will lose medicare benefits. The democrats use scare tactics to try to scare families into thinking bush wants to re-initiate the draft.

 

Its all a bunch of hooey, and I for one am sick of it. What happened to old school polititians? People like Zell Miller. People like Ronald Reagan. People like FDR?

God First. America Second. Politics a distant third. Unfortunatly in todays society, Politics is first, america second and god a distant third.

[checkmate]

On the polling issue, I think both the Democrats and the Republicans do agree this is a close race and both parties internal polling show Bush with a slight lead. Slight leads seven weeks before elections have turned into both landslide wins and landslide defeats, particulary after debates.