Kgun5 Posted December 14, 2004 Share Posted December 14, 2004 Buffalo -3 @Cinci Seattle +6 @Jets Jags +3.5 @ Pack Ravens +7.5 @Indy Broncos NL @ Chiefs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daquixers Posted December 14, 2004 Share Posted December 14, 2004 Never understood the lines. Does this mean Cinci' is favored? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maddog Posted December 14, 2004 Share Posted December 14, 2004 Buffalo -3 @CinciSeattle +6 @Jets Jags +3.5 @ Pack Ravens +7.5 @Indy Broncos NL @ Chiefs 159092[/snapback] I'm surprised the Bills are favored by 3. I would put the line at pick 'em for the Broncos/Chiefs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kgun5 Posted December 14, 2004 Author Share Posted December 14, 2004 Never understood the lines. Does this mean Cinci' is favored? 159094[/snapback] No, it means the Bills are. Read it as such: The team on the left "minus 3" equals the team on the right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kgun5 Posted December 14, 2004 Author Share Posted December 14, 2004 I'm surprised the Bills are favored by 3. I would put the line at pick 'em for the Broncos/Chiefs. 159099[/snapback] I'm surprised too...I would have thought Cinci -1 or -1.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaBills Posted December 14, 2004 Share Posted December 14, 2004 WOW. I can't believe the Bills are -3. While I hope it's true, I can't see the Bills being favored by 3. It actually means they are favored by 6 because the home team gets 2.5 to 3 for just being at home! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kgun5 Posted December 14, 2004 Author Share Posted December 14, 2004 WOW. I can't believe the Bills are -3. While I hope it's true, I can't see the Bills being favored by 3. It actually means they are favored by 6 because the home team gets 2.5 to 3 for just being at home! 159111[/snapback] Here's the link...Naturally, it's "Early Lines", so they may change by the time the mainstream goes public with theirs. I've used this site for years, and have only seen them really botch one game (they were off by 2 points from the opening "mainstream" line.) Early Lines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alaska Darin Posted December 14, 2004 Share Posted December 14, 2004 It has nothing to do with who will win the game, only the way they think the betting will go. They are trying to get as close to even as possible. Obviously they think the betting will trend toward Buffalo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kgun5 Posted December 14, 2004 Author Share Posted December 14, 2004 It has nothing to do with who will win the game, only the way they think the betting will go. They are trying to get as close to even as possible. Obviously they think the betting will trend toward Buffalo. 159138[/snapback] While this is very true, I'd be surprised if teams that were "favored" by Vegas weren't winning at a .750 clip over the years. In fact, that's a good idea for a google search. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kgun5 Posted December 14, 2004 Author Share Posted December 14, 2004 While this is very true, I'd be surprised if teams that were "favored" by Vegas weren't winning at a .750 clip over the years. In fact, that's a good idea for a google search. 159141[/snapback] Color me wrong: Favorites winning Home Favorites win straight-up 68.63% of the time while Away Favorites do so at a lower 62.34% clip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJ1 Posted December 14, 2004 Share Posted December 14, 2004 While this is very true, I'd be surprised if teams that were "favored" by Vegas weren't winning at a .750 clip over the years. In fact, that's a good idea for a google search. 159141[/snapback] That can't be true because everyone who bet favorites would be millionaires by now. 60% sucess rate is phenomenal. Most do 50% with the spread so the sportbets win with the 10%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alaska Darin Posted December 14, 2004 Share Posted December 14, 2004 That can't be true because everyone who bet favorites would be millionaires by now. 60% sucess rate is phenomenal. Most do 50% with the spread so the sportbets win with the 10%. 159153[/snapback] I think it means win outright, not cover. BIG difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kgun5 Posted December 14, 2004 Author Share Posted December 14, 2004 I think it means win outright, not cover. BIG difference. 159155[/snapback] Of course you are correct, Darin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thurman's Helmet Posted December 14, 2004 Share Posted December 14, 2004 The way Cincy has been playing, I'll take them PLUS 3 points all day long against Buffalo at home this weekend. Thats a sucker bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kgun5 Posted December 14, 2004 Author Share Posted December 14, 2004 The way Cincy has been playing, I'll take them PLUS 3 points all day long against Buffalo at home this weekend. Thats a sucker bet. 159197[/snapback] I wouldn't blame you, but I hope you'd be losing that bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Tom Posted December 14, 2004 Share Posted December 14, 2004 I'm surprised the Bills are favored by 3. I would put the line at pick 'em for the Broncos/Chiefs. 159099[/snapback] You're clearly not watching the Chiefs play tonight. They look shriekingly awful. Right now, I'd put the Broncos/Chiefs line at at least 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1billsfan Posted December 14, 2004 Share Posted December 14, 2004 The way Cincy has been playing, I'll take them PLUS 3 points all day long against Buffalo at home this weekend. Thats a sucker bet. 159197[/snapback] You be dat sucker! Apparently you haven't seen the transformation this team has undergone. They are a better than the Bengals and have the maturity and determination to beat a good team like the Bengals on the road. One other thing before you place your "sucker" bet. The Bengals were basically eliminated and may suffer a letdown. The Bills will not be letting down any time soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maddog Posted December 14, 2004 Share Posted December 14, 2004 You're clearly not watching the Chiefs play tonight. They look shriekingly awful. Right now, I'd put the Broncos/Chiefs line at at least 7. 159202[/snapback] KC isn't looking too good. However, I still can't see them being much of an underdog at home. KC at home still carries weight in the bettors minds and that's all that matters when it comes to the line. Denver hasn't been all that impressive of late either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alaska Darin Posted December 14, 2004 Share Posted December 14, 2004 Of course you are correct, Darin. 159159[/snapback] Of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts