Jump to content

Azalin

Community Member
  • Posts

    7,848
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by Azalin

  1.  

     

    In the case of weather, it's arguably easier to predict the long-term trends than it is the short term fluctuations, just because the time scale is longer, the inputs are different (SO2 aerosols don't mean **** to daily weather...over a multi-year time span they have an impact), and the randomness of weather gets "averaged out" over the longer time scale of "climate".

     

    As I think through it more, it's probably easier to design a climate model than it is a weather model - there's probably fewer variables to worry about.

    although I'm expressing my opinion in toungue-in-cheek fashion, I think you're probably right. that being said, I'll probably always have a distrust of computer models.

  2.  

     

    I honestly believe it will fall under its own weight.

    I think you're probably right. one thing that frustrates me so much about all of this is that a good portion of the inaccessability to health coverage is caused by all the layers of federal regulation that have been applied to the medical field over all these years, coupled with outrageous malpractice insurance premiums (in Texas they start at upwards of around $90,000 per year)and other costs (running extra, often unnessary tests purely for CYA purposes)due to all the malpractice suits nowadays, much of which is enabled by federal legislation. in other words,the government got involved, screwed it up, and now wants to get involved to 'fix' it even more. I know there's a lot more to it than that, but it's still a lot of the problem.

  3. it doesn't matter whether 'the right' sticks to it's guns & tries to kill Obabacare or not.....it's become a purely partisan issue to almost everyone. I doubt there are many people left out there that can be persuaded at this point in time to see it as the massive boondoggle that it is. too much actual thinking has left the arguement for most people, reducing it to accusations of 'oh, you're just calling it bad because you don't like Obama/are a republican'. people are going to have to wait and see what the actual impact is going to be for them before they begin to realize. I don't know if this is new to everyone else, but I noticed this year a new entry on my W2 form....the calculated dollar amount of the health benefit provided by my employer, over 7,000 dollars. anyone here think that I'm NOT going to be taxed on that in a few years? I wonder how all the other union workers are going to feel when they see how much their benefits are going to be taxed?

  4. It's easy to believe that pollution is bad for the planet therefore it's just as conceivable that this can be merged into "science" with regards to the climate.

    oh, I understand that well enough....it just strikes me as odd that so many will accept the methodology used in reaching such ominous predictions when they can see nearly every day that it's difficult to predict tomorrow's weather accurately.

  5. Yes, invoking an imaginary authority figure to logically support one side of an argument can be highly "inconvenient."

    you can no easier prove the non-existance of this 'imaginary authority figure' as a believer can prove it's existance. your belief is predicated on faith in your conviction, just as those you mock. if you don't see a problem with that, then I look forward to reading more pearls of wisdom you may have to share.

  6. Please continue to talk about the virtues of work and putting your nose to the task PPP. I can almost see the hard-ons you all have in my computer screen...

     

    And Donte...of course this isn't any different...but here on this board we are not allowed to mention the obvious truth everyone in the real world, and certainly every uber successful person in te real world, knows...which is ya need luck. Plain an simple. Somehow this age old truth doesn't register with the old grumps on here looking for excuses to spout off on the value of work and how 'liberals' don't know about it...you make billions you had luck. Period. You almost certainly had a bunch of other stuff going for you, but luck was on your side too.

    you seem to think that luck is a requirement for success....that you can't be a success without it. the vast majority of successful people in this country became that way because they worked hard and kept trying. maybe they had a little luck here & there along the way that helped them become successful more quickly, maybe they didn't. either way, they still had to take an idea and make it a reality by working hard and taking risks along the way. to just put it all down to luck is to completely discredit the work, the idea, and the success of someone who has likely worked very hard to get where they are. this should not be a partisan issue....it's just common sense. anyone who believes that you have to be lucky to attain personal wealth and success will never be successful or wealthy.

×
×
  • Create New...