Chilly
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Posts posted by Chilly
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I voted no because the yes option said "to trade up to grab a QB in 2018".
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I wouldn't pick it up unless he plays every game. MANY WR's play entire SEASONS without missing.
That's not an option, the decision has to be made soon.
IMO there's no reason why they shouldn't pick it up. It's reasonable enough for a good WR to give you a period to decide on whether to re-sign him or not. $13 mil against the cap is similar to what Jeffrey got.
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He has some potential, but had a rough preseason last year. Worth taking a shot on for sure but needs a lot of work.
Have the feeling he'll be a fan favorite and camp cut.
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Some good receiving TE numbers:
88
87
85
82
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its going to be interesting having 3 simultaneous reviews done with 1 guy calling the shots and getting all 3 done in 60 seconds. Where's Nick Cage?
The change has two other assistants with Dean in New York for this situation.
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Very true. Definitely worth a 3rd to Cleveland if he's reinstated.
No it's not. Zero chance in hell I'm trading a 3rd for that head case. Is he really worth more than what we got for Marshawn Lynch?
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Once Listenbee stops being a sleeper then I'll wake up.
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Damn!! Hell Yes!
So, there weren't any guys over 18 that couldn't wrangle her in. What is wrong with the guys in Texas? (sarcasm)
Oh, and that poor kid, must have been traumatized. (sarcasm again)
She lives in Bastrop. It's mostly old people and BBQ joints.
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My reaction to this article was "damn, Lockhart is only 35 miles away?"
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McDermott may only use two LBs but they need to have great coverage skills while the CBs are playing zone.
IMO LB is a much bigger need than CB because none of our LBs are great at coverage right now. Really hope we get Zach back.
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Maybe the offer Doug threw out there at the beginning of FA, which is probably what he did, ends up being the best he can get and he returns? Wouldn't be mad to have Brown back in the fold, especially if the deal turns out to be yeam friendly.
This would be huge. McDermott needs cover linebackers and we don't have them. I'm more worried about that than CB personally.
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They're all sleepers besides Sammy, I just hope someone wakes up this year.
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I'm playing devils advocate here but I'm guessing it's because we run the ball so much and well. Makes the priority for a top tier FA WR or even a high draft pick pretty low.
Check out Tyrod's stats with and without Sammy. This includes Robert who was a better #2 than anything we have now (and I don't love Bob Woods to begin with).
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I'm not sure how people can look at our WRs and not think it's one of the highest areas of need even after these signings.
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My thoughts as EJ walks out the door: "woohoo!!!!"
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No thanks, would much rather get an elite cover LB in McDermotts scheme.
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We need a backup safety but I believe the two we signed are both starters and improvements over last year.
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I grabbed Tyrod's game logs from profootballreference and did some quick Excel work with games Sammy played:
There's clearly a drop-off from 2015 to 2016 but his season with Sammy in 2016 is better than without him in both seasons. Feels to me like the truth is a mix of both.
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One of the other fun things to do is to play with these stats on the passing charts at pro football reference: http://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2016/passing.htm
Here are some non-Bills things that stick out to me:Jameis Winston2016ANY/A - 21stNY/A - 17thPasser Rating - 21stTD % - 12thAverage: 18th2015ANY/A - 16thNY/A - 9thPasser Rating - 28thTD % - 24thAverage: 19thOuch. It's one of the reasons why I'm not sold on Jameis yet.Dak Prescott2016ANY/A - 3rdNY/A - 4thPasser Rating - 3rdTD % - 9thWOW that was a great year!Marcus Mariota2016ANY/A - 8thNY/A - 7thPasser Rating - 10thTD % - 4thMarcus is gonna be a star, and his stats are already there. Better than Jameis IMO.Ryan Tannehill2016ANY/A - 17thNY/A - 12thPasser Rating - 12thTD % - 11thThis one surprised me. I'd probably put him around QB20 but he fell right near QB13 last season. -
Bills scored 3 more points the the Redskins but Tyrod sucks
By any objective measure, though, Kirk Cousins had a significantly better season than Tyrod.
These stats are all adjusted for # of passing attempts:
2016 Cousins
ANY/A - 4thNY/A - 3rdPasser Rating - 7thTD % - 16th -
The only passing related stat that truly correlates with winning and losing over the long term is passer rating differential: http://www.si.com/more-sports/2011/06/23/most-importantstatpasserratingdifferential
The two teams with the best passer rating differential in 2016? New England (1st) and Atlanta (2nd).
Chase in fact mentions PRD in his article and links to the one you just provided.
They're all tied together. While PRD on a team-by-team basis is an examination of both your QB's performance & how other QBs perform against your team, the variables above look at just how your QB is performing - one half of PRD.
The difference here is the above is an attempt to isolate QB performance while PRD looks at overall team performance.
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There's always a ton of discussion on this board about passing offense, with people dismissing our passing offense because of the lack of total yards or touchdowns. Statistically, total yards and touchdowns are a pretty bad indicator of success.
Chase Stuart did this study in 2012: http://www.footballperspective.com/correlating-passing-stats-with-wins/
ANY/A, NY/A, Passer Rating, and Touchdowns per Attempt are the stats most correlated with winning.
Since this is a Bills forum, and Tyrod is obviously going to come up, here's where he ranked the past two seasons:
2016
ANY/A - 18th
NY/A - 24th
Passer Rating - 18th
TD % - 18th
2015
ANY/A - 9th
NY/A - 11th
Passer Rating - 8th
TD % - 13th
By these measures, Tyrod was around QB #10 in 2015, and QB #20 in 2016.
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Well, it's SOMETHING.
Source: Bills Still Deciding on Watkins' 5th Year Option
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
WGR controls All-22, duh.