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Tortured Soul

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Posts posted by Tortured Soul

  1. I'm not questioning Bush's talent. I just want to see how he does when he doesn't have an Oline that knocks down the defense before they can put a hand on him. I didn't watch the whole game (only a bit), but on USC's first touchdown drive, bush took it about 70 yards on one carry, then White the last five yards on the next carry. No defender touched them. The wholes were wide enough for Sam Adams to waltz through.

  2. TG 8 for 81 yards, not exactly shutting down.

     

    Gates will need to be controlled to a game similar to Gonzalez or it could get ugly because LT is gonna get his.

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    But only 14 of those 81 came in the first half, when Vincent was in the game. that makes a huge difference. I'd like to see Vincent spend the day shadowing Gates deep, Crowelll playing him underneath, our corners in man, and the other seven dedicated to LT and the pass rush. Keep Milloy at the line the whole game. And if they beat us by getting their WR's open against our CB's, then tip your cap to them. But if Gates (80 yards) and Tomlinson (120 yards) get appx their season average, I think we should win.

     

    To put things in their proper perspective...

     

    The Bills rank 31st defensively against the Run and San Diego is #1 against the run.  That ain't good news for Bills fans.

     

    However, SanDiego ranks 30th against the pass (allowing 61.8% completions) and the Bills rank 2nd (allowing 59.8% completions)

     

    What's it all mean?  both defenses got a lot of work to do.

     

    Who's going to win?  On paper, SD, on the field, we'll see.

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    One stat I haven't seen mentioned - SD is 22nd in rushing TD's allowed. They can be run on in short-yardage situations. The Bills last week didn't score after reaching the KC 7, 9, and 13 (from TMQ). They need to this week, and they need to win or lose with McGahee on those 3rd and 4th and shorts.

  3. News: Bills TE Kevin Everett had surgery to remove scar tissue in his left knee that was hindering his ability to run. The rookie out of Miami, who underwent ACL surgery in the spring, could hit the practice field in the next week or two. Buffalo hopes he can see some playing time this year.

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    What's the source on this?

     

    Great news.

  4. Well, what other scenario could you see the Bills tying in? I think it would have to be that the Bills win 3/4, losing in SD, and the Pats - if they don't lose a division game - lose at KC and maybe TB, which would mean we'd be tied at 3-5, and on to the next tie breaker, coference record, which the Bills would win.

     

    And that Jets tie-breaker last year - I thought that was a three-way situation.

  5. Please read NFL tiebreaking procedures before you begin to tell me what I don't know about. Why the hell would you include division games in the common opponent record if division record comes before common opponent? You include the record of the Bills and Patriots in games OUTSIDE the division that both teams have or will play. As I stated the Bills are 0-4 against teams the Patriots have, or will play, and New Bruschi (We're not worthy!) (We're not worthy!) (We're not worthy!) 2-3 in games the Bills have, or will play. I even posted the remaining games to show how unlikely it is we overtake the Patriots in that tiebreaker.

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    http://www.nfl.com/standings/tiebreakers

     

    TO BREAK A TIE WITHIN A DIVISION

    If, at the end of the regular season, two or more clubs in the same division finish with identical won-lost-tied percentages, the following steps will be taken until a champion is determined.

     

    Two Clubs

    1. Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs).

    2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.

    3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.

    4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.

     

    I did read them, and nowhere does it say that common games doesn't include division opponents. Lets not get belligerent. We read this differently. Is there a definitive answer?

  6. That’s just not correct, if anything it's the other way around.  What it comes down to it in order to win the division record we would need a sweep of the Dolphins and Jets away, beat New Bruschi (We're not worthy!) (We're not worthy!) at home, and hope New Bruschi (We're not worthy!) (We're not worthy!) loses 1 of the 4 games between the Dolphins, or Jets. 

     

    If we tie in division standings and overall record, AND beat New Bruschi (We're not worthy!) (We're not worthy!) the tie breaker will still go to the Patriots. AFC conference record is after common opponents in breaking up division ties, this rule was instituted with NFL realignment. Right now our common opponent record is Bills 0-4, Patriots 2-3, even worse is we now take the leagues best teams, while New Bruschi (We're not worthy!) (We're not worthy!)’s has already accounted for them.  The rest of our common games sound like this KC, @SD, CAR, DEN, while New Bruschi (We're not worthy!) (We're not worthy!) are  NO, @KC, TB, to have any chance of tieing NE in common opponents we will need to win 3 of those games, and hope New Bruschi (We're not worthy!) (We're not worthy!) only wins 2.

     

    Again we don't match up to New Bruschi (We're not worthy!) (We're not worthy!) in any tiebreaker scenario, are already a game back, and play an infinitely more difficult schedule. Starting JP is the best decision the Bills can make at this point.

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    You need to think of if a tie will happen, how it would happen. Odds are it would involve a Pats loss to either the Jets or the Fins, with the Bills sweeping their division games. But, if we tie somehow and the Pats sweep the Jets and Fins, then think in terms of non-common opponents to make it easier to see common opponents records. Those teams are CIN and HOU for us, IND and PIT for them. So, if we lose to CIN, we'd each be 1-1 and on to the conference record tie breaker, which we'd win since we already have 3 out-of-conference losses. So whether or not you think we will tie, the most likely scenarios in which we do give us the tie breaker.

  7. True, we're not favorites, but that's why they play the games.

     

    Almost any scenario that has us tying the Pats at the end of the season would give us the tie breaker. For example, say we lose at CIN and SD and tie the Pats at 9-7 (Pats lose to us, KC, maybe MIA). Then we win the division tie breaker. Say the Pats' third loss is vs. TB, then we'd still win on conference record.

     

    Here's how I look at it: There's no way to make the playoffs without winning that second game vs. the Pats. So, consider us both 4-5 with us likely holding the tie breaker. That means seven games apiec and all we need to do is tie them. So our schedule is tougher? Bring it on.

     

    And remember, in the past two seasons, 3 of the 4 Pats losses have been against teams with losing records. So, don't pencil them in for any victories yet.

     

    That said, start JP.

  8. 12 receptions in two years? Give me Daniel Graham instead.

     

    Also, not enough evidence to back this up, but I think the learning curve for TE's is much faster than WR's. Just look at the way Gates, Gonzales, and Shockey burst onto the scene. It might mean that those who don't pick it up quickly won't pick it up at all.

  9. 1) Donahoe changes his mind too much, pulls the trigger too quickly, and never lets things get built.  Prima facie evidence of this is that the Bills last one in Foxboro in 2000 - just five years ago, and only *one* player is still with the Bills from that team.  Just *one*!  (Eric Moulds)  Football is a *team* game, and no wonder a team has not been built with that kind of turnover. 

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    Don't be too high on that game. Remember, it was a win over Bledsoe.

    I think you have to add to the list of Butler's good moves Bryce Fisher, who has 7 sacks in eight games. I don't even remember why Donahoe let him walk after three sacks in spot duty in 01, just in time for his binge on 2nd round DE's.

  10. What many fail to understand is that their IS a point of no return with certain individuals. If not, then why was Jeff George sent packing by multiple teams, despite his cannon arm ?

     

    He won't win a ring because good teams WON'T take a chance on him anymore. The team chemistry issue is too important.

     

    Desperate organizations WILL take a chance on him and fail.

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    George never produced like Owens did.

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