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Tipster19

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Posts posted by Tipster19

  1. It kind of puts the OL in perspective, looking at it’s history/current state. Everybody is aware of the RT position and either that’s going to eventually be Cody Ford’s position or the Bills are going to kick him inside and go get a future RT unless Williams turns out to be that guy. Either way I wonder what the future holds Feliciano because as of now it appears that he has been ignored. There’s a lot of moving parts on that right side of the OL. I’m curious as to what other people’s’ take is on Feliciano and the right side of the OL. Thoughts?

  2. 35 minutes ago, Watkins101 said:

    Drafting a DL high because we are spending a lot of money on DL is dumb IMO. It's basically saying: we are spending a disproportionate amount of money on DL, so let's allocate a disproportionate amount of our one other resource, draft picks, on DL. It does not make sense. Now is it dumb to pick a DL player early? Not necessarily. 

     

    Does it really even matter where our money/cheap talent(draft picks) is allocated? I understand it makes like easier if top dollar positions are filled with cheap talent (Cb1,DE1,Lt, QB) but as long as you can balance it out so that there are areas you are spending below average, to cancel the above average spending on DL and other positions, you should be fine.

    Maybe I should clarify a bit. Beane is building through the draft. Replacing older high priced veterans with young draft picks is how you balance a team in many ways. Between the age, contracts and abilities is what every team strives for, it’s perpetual. As one elevator is going down the other is going up. 
     

    This reminds me something that I have been wondering about. This administration is changing our culture, inserting a process and all the while professing love and unity. They haven’t been in office long enough to prove that they will take care of their own with future contracts. I believe they will but it hasn’t been significantly proven yet. I’m talking about the Whites, Dawkins, Phillips, Emunds, Milanos, Oliver’s etc etc. players that they drafted. There has been a lot of short term contracts (1-3 yrs) doled out to older veterans but I’m curious to see how some of the future expensive long term contracts are going to turn out.

  3. 2 hours ago, Da webster guy said:

    I know a lot of you guys follow Astro, Dean Kindig (aka the dRAfT DoCtoR), his breakdowns and analysis on draftees is impressive.    No offense to the OP, I like your take here, but Astro is so far ahead of everyone else in terms of breaking down players and strategies that if you aren't following the guy you're missing out.   

     

    https://twitter.com/tcbills_astro

     

    This is a good place to start.  It's current and comprehensive and so far ahead of what the national draft guru's know about our team/GM it's laughable

    Thanks for the link. Wow, he sure breaks things down! I checked out his take on RBs from January and it looks like he likes Perine. I posted about him last week, I put up a 4 minute highlight reel of him. I would love to see the Bills add him anywheres from the 3rd rd and back, I think that him and Singletary would make one heck of a tandem. Thanks for posting.

    • Like (+1) 1
  4. I just read a great article that made me realize some of Beane’s pattern. I believe that OL will be our 1st pick in the draft, maybe even move up a bit in the 2nd rd to secure a solid OL and here is the reasoning behind that.
     

    We all know that our OL has great depth but some of the OL starters could stand an upgrade, OT in particular. With the new signing of OL Evan Boehm it gives me the impression he’s insurance for Morse. They played at the same college and Morse was the “dad” of the OL, meaning Boehm is cut from the same cloth. 

     

    As far as our Gs go I believe we are all set there as well. Spain signing a new 3 year deal indicates that we are set at the LG position. Well Feliciano has anchored the RG position I believe that the Bills have Cody Ford being groomed as his potential replacement if the quality of his (Feliciano) play duffers and/of if they can’t come to terms on a new contract. 
     

    That leaves the OT position as the upgrade. I don’t know if Dawkins gets traded, realigned to RT or if the Bills just go and get a RT right out of the gate but this is where I believe is where the direction Beane is headed.

     

    Beane has a propensity of signing and stacking OL and then trading whatever surplus he has at the end of camp. That 5th and 6th rders that he gave up, which came from trading surplus FA OL that he stacked, is going to be recouped some by following the same blueprint. So in hindsight Diggs isn’t going to cost as much as it looked initially.

     

    I think that we can all agree that Josh is safe and while we could stand to add another quality RB the only other real positions on offense are the OL, TE and WR positions. Our Starting WRs are in their prime and once again the Bills have good depth there as well. While TE is important it’s not a priority. It’s the OL, they got to do better in protecting their investment with Josh, not just the physical part but also the production part. 

     

    RB and defense definitely need to be address but it doesn’t have to be with the first pick, it’s time to upgrade the OL with a good young starter for years to come. Here’s the article that I read.

     

    5 thoughts and a grade on Buffalo Bills signing OL Evan Boehm

     

     

     

    https://www.syracuse.com/buffalo-bills/2020/04/5-thoughts-and-a-grade-on-buffalo-bills-signing-ol-evan-boehm.html?outputType=amp

    • Like (+1) 8
  5. 4 hours ago, BobChalmers said:

     

    They're black, obviously.  :rolleyes:

     

    Yeah - just a quick check-in for folks who don't know - Jameis Winston is NOT a running QB - NEVER has been.  Not at FSU, not now.  He's also not nearly as big as Cam.

     

    Now I suppose if the OP meant "they have similar abilities" in that they both currently play as if they had DIS-abilities, he may be on to something.

     

    I wouldn't sign either for free.  Maybe, just maybe Winston on the off-chance his Lasik helps with his INTs.

     

    Cam is done.  He's broken and he's crazy - he should find a home near his WR spirit-animal AB and toss footballs with him.

     

     

    I beg to differ. They are both strong armed QBs that can throw the ball a country mile. Furthermore they both are mobile, only 1 rushes for yardage. Don’t tell me that Winston is a pocket passer, the guy can more than move, he just chooses to stay behind the LOS.

  6. Brady goes to Tampa and Belichick let’s him. Egos couldn’t be involved here, right?? I would think so. Belichick is going to reinvent that team, that’s what he does! The carries a 3/4 and a 4/3 hybrid defense. He went from a high octane passing attack when they had Moss and then he pulls out of his ass a multi TE offense with Gronk and Hernandez. Like any good info commercial like me que in “but wait, there’s more!”. When that offense ran it’s course he then goes to a platoon of RBs that catch out of the backfield and also incorporated the short to intermediate passing game and sprinkles in a couple of long balls just to keep you off balance. Anyone who thinks this guy is gonna stand pat just hasn’t watch him enough throughout the years. 

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  7. Don’t get comfortable, here comes Belichick! Nothing is worse than false confidence/security. If anyone thinks that Belichick is just gonna roll over than they got another thing coming. Newton and Winston, similar abilities and both available.  I’m not buying the Stidham talk, expect Belichick to reinvent that offense. Nobody loves veterans that want to prove something more than Belichick.

    • Like (+1) 3
  8. 1 hour ago, ChattanoogaBills said:

    Im not a big stats guy as i feel stats can be misleading depending on game situations. I dont really compare players vs other players. I mostly watch alot of college football because i bet on football every weekend and take mental notes of whose wins/cost me money.

    Case in point when i betted against Florida Perine always made plays even with a weak oline and shaky QB play. That i wouldve assumed he would be a early round draft pick. To hear we could get him in the 5th round would be a coup imo.

    I only watched Swift when i betted on GA vs S. Carolina and Swift probably had his worst game ever. What was there to like about him i didnt see.

    I watched alot of Dobbins and Taylor. I was very high on Dobbins coming into this season and he seemed to miss holes he should've hit. Dobbins does have very good contact balance and is able to break tackles. But seemed very passive in blitz pick ups.

    Taylor played for the best run blocking college team in the country. He had gaping holes to run through. So other than his break away speed i dont see him making much happen on his own. He does remind me of CJ Spiller in with less wiggle.

    The player i want the most at RB is AJ Dillon. He reminds me of Derrick Henry. Then Perine, Akers, Gibson in that order.

    But im not a draft expert just a guy that bets $$$ on games and forms my own opinions.

    When it actually costs you then demands your undivided attention. I admittedly don’t watch college and I haven’t even seen the vast majority of RBs in this draft but with that being said what I do have, and I say this modestly, I have a pretty keen eye for football players, RBs in particular. It’s not hard to see that even without all the measurable and offensive strategies that this kid has got that thang. It can’t be taught and it can’t be learnt, it’s a natural instinct and this kid has got it. When it gets to be crunch time I have a feeling that He is one of those players that you would want the ball in his hands. Don’t get me wrong, the Bills have several play makers but to add this kid would be one heck of a way to add another piece to their offensive arsenal.

    • Thank you (+1) 1
  9. 3 hours ago, DCofNC said:

    I would take Bortles over Barkley and it’s not close.  The reason is simple, Bortles is basically Josh Allen, from last year.  Before you lose your mind and tell me I’m crazy, remember, he “led” a team farther into the playoffs, has had flashes of crazy success and potential and ultimately could come in and do ESSENTIALLY the same things Josh does.  He is a bust vs his draft position, no doubt.  That does not mean he couldn’t be a really good back up.  He held a starting role for a number of seasons.  He isn’t as accurate as you like, he doesn’t protect the ball as well as you would like, he doesn’t see the field as well as you would like and outside of Buffalo, everyone sees the same thing with Allen. 
     

    the reason Bortles is a better option than Barkley, if Josh goes down, you bring in a player with similar skills to run the offense, not requiring a huge philosophical change like Barkley.  Barkley has a far weaker arm, is not mobile, is not going to threaten an RPO game, is not going to stretch the field.  Bortles can do all of those things.  No, you don’t want him as a franchise guy, but you are looking for a good backup.   He might go all Tannehill on you and surprise you if he wasn’t playing for Marrone too, so there’s that.  You know Barkley was a street FA in the middle of the year for a reason, he’s mediocre and flashed a couple of decent games in his entire career, never held a starting job and if he plays you expect to lose.  With Bortles, it’s like Allen in that, your scheme carries on and if he doesn’t get stupid, you have a good chance to win still.  Allen APPEARS to be on a better career trajectory, but we don’t know that yet.  He and Bortles were virtually clones at the end of 2 years, all I’m saying is, Bortles would make this team better than Barkley.


    This makes a lot of sense. I know if Barkley starts I expect us to lose but if Bortles were to start then I dunno, it would have to come down to who we were playing. So if you look at it that way and feel the same way then yes the Bills would be better served having Bortles vs Barkley. Thanks for your input, excellent insight.

    • Like (+1) 1
  10. There’s several aspects that I want to mention but I want it to be coherent though. Since this post I have been doing more reading on Smith’s situation, his rehabilitation and his contract. While I can’t say that he’ll be back and ready to play I also can’t find anyone saying that he can’t come back and play, there’s a difference of opinion on this based on who you are listening to. I did find where Alex Smith is trying his hardest to come back and play this year and can’t be counted out, he’s be the first professional athlete to ever come back from an injury like this so there can’t be a percentage put on it.

     

    Furthermore Ron Rivera is totally in charge over there and we all know how deep the Carolina connection is with our administration so if a deal could be worked out I would say that Buffalo has the inside track on it. I also fully expect Cam Newton to be a Redskin. What I think what is holding this up is 2 issues. The first being a clean bill of health, the 2nd being a reasonable contract.

     

    As far as undermining goes I don’t know where the idea of Smith beingthe undermining type comes from. It’s quite the contrary, he’s a great mentor for the young QB (see Patrick Mahomes). 
     

    As far as the contract goes my understanding is that he’s guaranteed 16M for the 2020 season. Admittedly I see where cutting him is not a possibility but I also can’t confirm what a trade would do, if it’s possible or not so maybe somebody can give a better clarity on that aspect. I do believe that things can be incentivize in a trade. Things like where the Redskins could either pay some of that contract and/or offer some draft compensation for taking Smith off of their hands. There is a lot of potential moving parts here and other than saying that he is not physically able to play I don’t believe all the other aspects are definitive either way. So for anybody to dismiss this trade as a possibility then they better bring better facts than what has been discussed so far because opinions are not enough at this time.

  11. 2 hours ago, machine gun kelly said:

    Tipster, I don’t see a trade or paying $16 mil., but if it were next year, and he was willing to accept back up $ as a top tier backup like Bridgewater for $7 mil.  Those are a lot of if’s, and the only positive there is no trade issues, and another year to see can he practice r is he done.  He may have to accept backup $ if cleared and practices well this year, as no one is giving him a starting job, nor take that injury risk.

    Working out a trade is over my head but we have seen some fantastic transactions worked out throughout the years so to me anything is possible. In this particular scenario there are 3 parties that have to come to an agreement and that is the Bills, Redskins and Smith. I can’t speak on or for any one of them but if there is a will then to me there is a way.

  12. I said in somebody’s post that there is somebody out there that nobody is talking about and then it just hit me about Alex Smith. It’s a perfect scenario for both parties, Buffalo and Smith. Don’t forget about the Andy Reid connection. McDermott likes to move in the same mode as old Andy. There’s only  2 things to know more about with Smith. 
     

    a.) Where is Smith at in his rehabilitation.

     

    b.) Does Smith still want to play.

     

    If memory serves me correctly both counts are moving in a positive way, he’s doing good in his rehabilitation and that he still wants to play.

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  13. 5 hours ago, Marshallp29 said:

    With limited upgrades available at QB in FA, I still believe we have to bring in competition for Matt Barkley. If Flacco would come cheap I would certainly take him. Would you sign a QB In free agency or draft a QB this year in the later rounds of the draft? 

    Great point! It seems to me that there is someone out there that everyone is overlooking, including myself. I like everything Beane has done so far, I feel that we are solid from top to bottom EXCEPT possibly another pass rusher, a compliment RB, which I’m sure will be addressed adequately and last but not least the reinforcement of the QB position. I’m sure that everybody else feels the same way. I do not, I repeat, I do not feel comfortable going into the season with just Matt Barkley being the only viable QB other than a Josh on the roster. If Josh doesn’t progress or even worse, gets injured then we’re screwed because Barkley isn’t going to be the solution imo. There is another avenue as a resource for a QB and that is the CFL. I admittedly know nothing about that league or it’s players but maybe somebody else here could shed some light on some potential possibilities.

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