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ryguy101

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  1. HOW THE BUFFALO BILLS ACTUALLY WIN (X’s & O’s) THE JOSH ALLEN PROBLEM (STRUCTURAL ADVANTAGE) Why defenses struggle: Josh Allen creates a numbers advantage every snap. Defense must: Rush 4? Allen has time. Rush 5? Coverage breaks. Spy Allen? One fewer defender in coverage. Result: Somebody is always wrong The math Normal offense: 10 vs 11 Bills offense: 11 vs 11 because Allen is a run threat That changes: Red zone defense 3rd down defense Goal-line packages Buffalo doesn’t need perfect play design — Allen fixes broken plays OFFENSIVE IDENTITY: CONTROLLED CHAOS Base concepts Buffalo lives on Spread formations (force defense to declare) Option routes (WR reads leverage) QB run game (designed + scramble) Key plays: QB power QB draw Flood concepts off rollouts Dig / comeback combos vs zone Why it works Defenses hesitate for half a second That half second = first down Against man coverage, Allen punishes blitzes Against zone, he attacks seams and scrambles Buffalo wins by forcing defenses to play honest, then breaking honesty THE RUN GAME (MISUNDERSTOOD BUT IMPORTANT) Buffalo does not need to dominate rushing yards. What they need: 4 yards on 1st down Successful short-yardage Enough threat to freeze linebackers How they do it: Inside zone Duo Split flow with motion QB run keeps edges honest The run game exists to unlock Allen, not replace him PASS PROTECTION ADJUSTMENTS (THE KEY DIFFERENCE) When Buffalo loses, it’s usually: Interior pressure A-gap blitzes Immediate disruption When Buffalo wins: Quick game early (slants, hitches) RB chip help Moving the pocket Empty sets after establishing rhythm Buffalo protects Allen by not letting defenses tee off DEFENSE: BEND, DON’T BREAK — THEN STRIKE Defensive philosophy Light boxes Two-high shells Force long drives Clamp in the red zone Why it works in playoffs: Long drives increase mistake probability One sack or penalty kills momentum Field goals > touchdowns Key stats that matter: -3rd down % -Red zone TD % -Turnover timing (not volume) Buffalo’s defense is built to survive early and close late TURNOVERS: TIMING OVER TOTALS Buffalo doesn’t always win the turnover battle numerically. They win it situationally: Late-half INTs 3rd-down sacks Forced throws when trailing Josh Allen’s aggression is calculated: Risk early to establish pressure Smarter decisions late with the lead One turnover at the right time > three meaningless ones SPECIAL TEAMS & FIELD POSITION (QUIET EDGE) Buffalo consistently: Starts drives near the 25+ Pins opponents deep Avoids disastrous returns In cold games: Field position = hidden points One short field = game swing Bills win ugly games by winning invisible yards HOW BUFFALO WINS IN JANUARY (THE FORMULA) If you simplify it: 1. Don’t panic early 2. Let Allen create pressure 3. Force defenses into bad math 4. Protect the middle 5. Clamp in the red zone 6. Win one swing moment Control the chaos better than the opponent WHY THIS SCARES OTHER TEAMS You can’t simulate Josh Allen Game plans break after first contact Cold weather amplifies physical mistakes Buffalo doesn’t need script — they need opportunity If the Bills are in the playoffs: They don’t need to be the best team They need to be the hardest problem
  2. Josh needs to call his own plays... he needs to pretend he doesn't hear Brady anymore or get someone competent enough to call plays
  3. I just can't look at mcdermott without wanting to punch him. STOP PUNTING
  4. Fox also has an impressive slate. Chargers-Cowboys will be a hit along with the pivotal NFC south game between the Bucs/Panthers. Huge game between Jaguars and Broncos as well.
  5. Between the Top 7: What Loss Would Each Team Want Back? Week 15 Edition Broncos Pats Jags Steelers Chargers Bills Texans
  6. Almost every game has playoff implications of some sort (CBS' slate has a playoff implications in every game)
  7. Update- CBS announcers are put in. We get the Bird twice in a row
  8. yes it is. 5 a month
  9. Bills 33 Pats 26
  10. Just updated.. Bills-Pats gained 2% as Chargers-Chiefs lost 2%
  11. Maps are in for Buff and Syra area... if you want other areas or regions click on the link RG3 is making his debut this week!
  12. [Note 1: Doubleheader this week is CBS.] [Note 2: This is the 1st week where the NFL has Saturday games.] BUFFALO AREA GETS: TBA SYRACUSE AREA GETS: TBA HERE IS THE LINK TO SEE THE MAPS FOR OTHER AREAS: TBA NFL Week 16 Announcers - December 18th to December 22nd NATIONAL BROADCASTS: TNF - Amazon Prime Video Thursday, December 18 - 8:15 PM ET Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks Al Michaels/Kirk Herbstreit/Kaylee Hartung Saturday Special on FOX - Game 1 Saturday, December 20 - 5:00 PM ET Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders TBA Saturday Special on FOX - Game 2 Saturday, December 20 - 8:20 PM ET Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears [A] Kevin Burkhardt/Tom Brady/Erin Andrews/Tom Rinaldi SNF - NBC Sunday, December 21 - 8:20 PM ET New England Patriots @ Baltimore Ravens Mike Tirico/Cris Collinsworth/Melissa Stark MNF - ESPN Monday, December 22 - 8:15 PM ET San Francisco 49ers @ Indianapolis Colts Joe Buck/Troy Aikman/Lisa Salters/Laura Rutledge ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ CBS Doubleheader Sunday, December 21 - 1:00 PM and 4:25 PM ET Buffalo Bills @ Cleveland Browns [B] Ian Eagle/JJ Watt/Evan Washburn Kansas City Chiefs @ Tennessee Titans [C] Kevin Harlan/Trent Green/Melanie Collins Cincinnati Bengals @ Miami Dolphins [E] Spero Dedes/Adam Archuleta/Aditi Kinkhabwala New York Jets @ New Orleans Saints [F] Tom McCarthy/Ross Tucker/Tiffany Blackmon Pittsburgh Steelers @ Detroit Lions (LATE) [A] Jim Nantz/Tony Romo/Tracy Wolfson Las Vegas Raiders @ Houston Texans (LATE) [D] Andrew Catalon/Charles Davis/Jason McCourty/AJ Ross ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ FOX Single Sunday, December 21 - 1:00 PM and 4:05 PM ET Los Angeles Chargers @ Dallas Cowboys Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers Minnesota Vikings @ New York Giants [D] Kenny Albert/Jonathon Vilma/Megan Olivi Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos (LATE) Atlanta Falcons @ Arizona Cardinals (LATE)
  13. Thank you my friend 🍻
  14. Yes that will be posted within the coming days. I am still working on all of the numbers for that but I did get out the distribution percentages. I will put out an update once that is all figured out
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