BCAS Baritone
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Posts posted by BCAS Baritone
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18 hours ago, AuntieEm said:
The league wants the last games if season to be games with meaning can't get better than 2 division rovals winner takes all in final game is season. And I like our chances with Josh and it being at home with Buffalo weather to effect them Florida boys let them be knocked d own by mother n as ture Buffalo version.
The last game is in Miami. But as for weather, it's actually good for the Bills.
Flying down from the frozen tundra of Buffalo in January and getting off the plane to nice, warm weather - that will lift their spirits right away. And there are always a decent number of Bills fans at any Miami game, between the people that have moved to Florida permanently, the snow birds that are there for the winter, and the Bills fans that always make the trip.
1 hour ago, Sherlock Holmes said:Those aren't his real stats, do you really think he'd be an NFL QB if he played like that?
Here's his real stats:
Tim_Boyle_U_Conn_Eastern_Kentucky_Stats_PFF
Only logical explanation is that he's an outstanding practice QB and is especially good at running the scout team.
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20 hours ago, HoofHearted said:
Success Rate (SR) is a measure which adds context to our rushing data, something yards per carry does not. We define success rate as a play that gains at least 40% of yards required on 1st down, 60% of yards required on 2nd down, and 100% of yards required on 3rd and 4th down. Dart, which also has the highest yards per carry average of 6.83 yards per carry also has the highest SR at 75.9%. This is clearly our most successful run concept. Dart has been primarily run out of Gun (27/29 attempts), and when run out of gun averages 7.07 yards per carry while only averaging 3.5 yards per carry while run from under center. Similarly, Inside Zone (our second most successful play at 66.7% SR and 4.48 ypc) has an 81% SR when run from Gun as opposed to 45.5% when under center.
So I can recall several runs out of shotgun that lost yardage, the most memorable one being against the Patriots* at the goal line. Were all of those a different concept than Dart or Inside Zone?
Or put another way, if they are not "successful" by your measure (and I think your measure makes a lot of sense), how many are barely unsuccessful as opposed to genuinely negative (like losing yardage)?
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3 minutes ago, teef said:
i can do that. my house is filled with pennies cut in half.
i don't have a specific taste for asian women, but my wife now is a generic white lady, so i'd like to mix it up.
Just curious - does your wife have an account on this board?
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Have to be pleased with scoring 32 against the Jets - that's the most they have given up all year. Next best was Dallas scored 30 against them in week 2.
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Bills 18-16
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1 hour ago, Logic said:
Thanks, Hoof.
Without having access to the All-22 and without having the necessary knowledge to parse through it even if I did, I'm not able to suss out the truth of this statement. I DID see with my own eyes on TV every week that two receivers (and sometimes even three) tended to wind up in the same cluster of space on the field a bit too often for my liking, though I can't say whether this was due simply to poor execution, or to the theoretical poor use of spacing about which I'm asking.
I think option routes can contribute to that, especially if all the receivers have an option route. Basically, you want to run to the empty part of the field. If everybody sees the same thing, that a certain part of the field is open, they all run to it. And they have a nice group hug when they all show up together.
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15 minutes ago, What a Tuel said:
Players are saying its too complicated? The general consensus on the board is that it is too bland and basic and defenses key in on it.
It's kind of like Rex Ryan's defense. The players have a ton of options, and they have to all pick the right one (and the same right one) in a fraction of a second. Nobody can make that many decisions that quickly. That's why you see option routes where the QB expects the receiver to go deep and the receiver cuts it short.
If everybody makes the same right decision every time, it's unstoppable. If any one player makes the wrong decision, or takes too long making the right decision, the play blows up and it's over.
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Given that a big part of our problem is Josh Allen right now, I am wondering who had a bigger negative effect on Josh - the OC (Dorsey) or the QB Coach (Brady).
I guess we will find out shortly.
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22 hours ago, Dablitzkrieg said:
They have until 4pm tomorrow
I'm still surprised
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Surprised that the Bills didn't activate Fournette for this game.
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On 11/8/2023 at 3:04 PM, NoSaint said:
I think he would like to see his defense face 7 drives instead of 9 drivesI think the Bills only had 7 drives in that perfect Patriots playoff game
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2 hours ago, Warcodered said:
It would be cool if he and Josh exchanged a couple of FUs for old times sake
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It would have been fair to call two penalties - one on the Bills player that took off the helmet, and one on the punter that swung the helmet. And the punter should have been ejected. Since he wasn't ejected, the league should suspend him for next week.
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I definitely thought the offense was WAY better overall last night than at any time since the Dolphins game. Even in those late comebacks against the Giants and Patriots they did not look as good during those brief periods as they did overall last night.
Even the last 25 minutes when they didn't score, they looked at least decent. The second half against Tampa Bay was way better than the first half against New England or NY Giants or Jacksonville.
But I still think the third and goal shotgun run in the first half was absolutely idiotic.
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7 minutes ago, Big Turk said:
I don't mind Murray runs at the goalline. I mind Murray runs at the goalline out of the shotgun. We have tried this 3 times in recent weeks and it was worked exactly 0 times.
It's not just that they don't score. They almost always lose yardage, no matter the down and distance and where they are on the field. They stink at it. STOP CALLING IT.
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6 minutes ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:
You don’t? 😂. They get thrown to a spot and baker missed it. You think Godwin was just spinning around in the end zone for fun if he was supposed to be a primary target? Lol y’all are too much
usually the ball is supposed to be closer to the beginning of the end zone so multiple receivers have a shot at a tipped pass
i don’t remember the play you’re referencing but there’s a good chance it wasn’t actually a Hail Mary. People misuse the term Hail Mary literally all the time…every deep pass to close out a game is not a Hail Mary. When there’s as many offensive players committing interference as defensive, no flag is coming out period
It happened in a Bills-Patriots game. The same one where they were obviously short of the sticks on a fourth down pass and the sideline official said "just give it to them"
Resulted in an untimed down. Pats scored and won the game. Bills had only a couple players on the field for the extra point attempt after the TD.
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I would have fired him right after that shotgun draw at the goal line. Just tell Allen to go no huddle the rest of the game. Throw Dorsey right out of the stadium.
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I also wonder if his teammates were aware that he was trying to be "low positive". If they weren't, then they would be thinking, like most of us, "wow, Josh is just sitting there like a doofus. What's wrong?" If they didn't understand his approach before, but now they do, that will help immensely.
1 minute ago, Bob Jones said:Not so sure if it's "mental" or just inferior coaching, such as when he repeatedly doesn’t recognize a blitz, and doesn't get rid of the ball quickly to the uncovered receiver. OTOH, as people have said in here all week, the latter is football basics 101, and HS QBs know that you should do that, so it's mind boggling that JA17 doesn't know it.
Could also be related to the point Diggs made, that they are coming to the line too late due to all the substitutions, so Josh doesn't have time to adjust the play to the late switch that the defense is making.
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I kind of like this and kind of don't. I think there's general agreement that week 1 was a classic example of Sugar High Josh and it cost us the game. So getting that under control is absolutely necessary.
The problem is he dialed it all back so when the whole team is in Sugar Low mode, the only one trying to fire up the guys is Diggs.
It's finding the right balance. Maybe turn it up most of the time, but have a trusted voice on the sideline that can tell him "you're getting into Sugar High, you need to dial it back for yourself, but not the rest of the team"
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10 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:
Yeah.
As I've said...........this offseason Beane addressed some specific areas where they were inefficient offensively in 2022 with role players designed to fix those situational weaknesses.........for example, Harris and Murray are both incredibly efficient at scoring from inside the 3 and the Bills struggled running near the goal line so the Bills wanted those specific players.
And they also drafted a TE in round 1 and have gone from very rarely using 12 personnel in 2022 to using it frequently.
What this means? They are substituting a lot.
Which allows the defense time to substitute and matchup to the Bills personnel and execute the game plan they drew up..........and then it also takes plays much deeper into the play clock and makes them a much more deliberate, time consuming offense.
It has had the seemingly unforeseen effect of leading to the Bills having longer drives but less of them. Therefore less scoring chances.........which benefits lesser opponents like the Giants and Patriots.
The simplest solution for the Bills was to build an offense that had 11 players they could keep on the field for 8-10 straight plays if need be.........play uptempo and limit defensive substitutions and keep opponents on their heels.
You can still do that even with multiple personnel packages - just do it per drive. I.e. start a drive in 11 and stay there the whole drive, then start a drive in 12 and stay there the whole drive. Have a Latavius Murray drive and a James Cook drive. Substitute as little as possible within a drive. Especially in the first half. Second half might want to mix and match more since the opposing D worked out their adjustments to what we did in the first half, so in the second half don't do the same thing.
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Josh Allen is trying to stay 'low positive.' Here's what that means for the Buffalo Bills quarterback
This one's not behind a pay wall
Quarterback Josh Allen says his new 'low positive' approach might be behind Bills sluggish starts
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1 hour ago, billsfan89 said:
Is there a reliable source on that? The Commanders are 3-3 and they play the still banged up and not-so-good Giants and if they win that game will likely head into the trade deadline 4-4 or 5-3 if they upset the Eagles. Not sure why they would firesale their best defensive players? Maybe if the Giants pull an upset and they lose to the Eagles they will take calls at 3-5 but that's a long ways away from happening.
It's because of their contract situation - they can only franchise one of them so are almost guaranteed to lose one next year. They are willing to trade one or the other, but not both.
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13 hours ago, The Frankish Reich said:
Why do teams even do these late round draft swaps? Seriously, is there some salary cap benefit to it that I'm not aware of?
Example: Broncos dumped bust free agent "pass rusher" Randy Gregory. Initial reports said he was waived. Later reports corrected that: it was a draft pick swap!
49ers get Gregory and the Broncos 7th round pick. Broncos get the Niners 6th round pick in return.
Niners 6th rounder and Broncos 7th rounder may actually be consecutive picks. So ... why?
Face saving or something that I'm missing?
It's got to do with waiver priority. If the Jets are planning to cut Hardman, they tell the Chiefs ahead of that. If the Chiefs kind of want him, and would definitely put in a waiver claim, they have to guess how likely it is that a team with a worse record would also claim him, and therefor get him. Let's say that the Bills are actually interested in getting Hardman for free - if they put in the claim the Bills would get him and the Chiefs would miss out.
A swap of 6th and 7th round picks in a future draft is about the cheapest compensation you can offer. Maybe a couple of bags of footballs would be cheaper, but if the Jets are already fully stocked with footballs, then it's not very enticing.
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Well, Norman hasn't been out of the league all this time.
2020 - 13 games with Buffalo
2021 - 17 games with San Francisco
2022 - 2 games with Carolina
He's obviously not the same guy he was in his heyday, and probably not even the same guy he was in 2020. But he's just on the practice squad. And as another poster mentioned, he could be a good veteran presence in the DB room.
I agree with everybody that I hope we never have to play him in a game, but this is a sensible move. And it in no way precludes any trades or stealing guys off other teams practice squads (which have to go to the Active Roster immediately).
You have to assume that at least the top 96 cornerbacks in the league, and probably the top 128, are on somebody's active roster right now and are untouchable except via trade. Possible somebody in the 130 range is on somebody's practice squad right now, but you're taking a risk by signing him to the active roster.
Asked before...... But any "wow" catches this year by a Bills receiver???
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Actually I can think of a few by Gabe Davis. I can think of 3 where he speared an absolute rocket that was out in front of him that he grabbed on a dead run. Then there was one at the 2 yard line in a comeback attempt with no room at all at the sideline.
As someone above mentioned, it's more a consistency problem with Gabe. He also has some wow drops.