Sierra Foothills
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Posts posted by Sierra Foothills
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13 hours ago, PBF81 said:
It's pretty simple, this short/high-percentage game simply isn't Allen's forte`. It's not. But that's what they were trying to force him to do under Brady.
For a prediction this season, and it depends upon what the definition of "what kind of season," since many reduce it to Ws/Ls, but if we're talking passing metrics, I'll lean towards Allens' regular season production under Brady. If we take those stats and extrapolate them out for 17 games we get:
4,148 Yards
24 TDs
17 INTs
60.7% Compl. %
85.5 Rating
The yardage, TD, INT, and Compl. % totals are fair given the circumstances. I'd bump up the rating slightly, maybe into the low 90s, but well into average range for QBs. Many are saying that his numbers will get better as Brady installs his game, but Allen's numbers last season under Brady were the best in his first two games under Brady where he had as many passing TDs in those two games as he did in the last five games.
In the last five games Allen averaged 1 TD/game, 218 YPG, 1 INT/game, had an 81.8 rating, which is horrible, across the board.
The offense is going to reflect McD's complimentary football definition. That much we know. Who knows, perhaps as was the case with Peterman McD throws in the towel to fan and media pressure and changes that. Unfortunately for anyone hoping for big passing numbers, that's not consistent with that philosophy argue as one may to the contrary.
One thing that Allen has always struggled with in both college as well as the NFL is checking down and hitting his more open and/or higher-percentage typically shorter options. His metrics this season are going to be incredibly dependent upon his ability to improve there coupled with Brady's offensive game-planning/scheming.
About the only sure thing is that it's not an odds-on prediction that Allen's metrics are among his best as his seasons have gone. Sure, it could happen, but it's not at all likely.
Thanks for posting the video. I did a basic audit and found this:
Josh's Interceptions Vs Yards beyond LOS Intended Receiver NYJ 60 Harty NYJ 41 Diggs NYJ 15 Davis WAS 40 Davis JAX 50 Diggs NYG 11 Sherfield NE 18 Knox TB -2 Kincaid CIN 19 Davis DEN 22 Davis DEN 16 Harty NYJ 48 Kincaid PHI 3 Diggs KC 14 Sherfield LAC 43 Diggs NE 40 Kincaid MIA 8 Davis MIA 40 Davis Ave 28.67 yards INTs per intended receiver Player INTs % Target % reg season Davis 6 33% 14% Diggs 4 22% 27% Kincaid 3 17% 16% Sherfield 2 11% 4% Harty 2 11% 4% Knox 1 6% 6% Shakir 0 0% 8% I think it's really interesting that Josh's average depth of interception is almost 29 yards. On many of those plays it seems he was just chucking the ball downfield and not showing much discipline.
Also interesting how incommensurately high the INT% to target % is for Davis, Sherfield, and Harty.
Note also that Shakir was not the intended receiver for any of Josh's INTs.
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Apparently I'm the only one who didn't know the new stadium will have a grass field?
I'm surprised that hasn't been a bigger topic of conversation here.
Super happy to hear this... might playing on grass have some impact on the roster building strategy?
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Gauntlet time?
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11 hours ago, Aussie Joe said:
I would prefer to try to draft a TE Day 2 next year who can take over as TE2 in 2026..
Quinton Morris anyone?
10 hours ago, HOUSE said:Knox is history
Seymour or Norty?
7 hours ago, Brand J said:Joe Marino said that Knox is the highest paid skill player on offense. That’s wild.
That is wild.
4 hours ago, Brand J said:If Knox catches that easy first down against the Steelers, Bernard likely doesn’t get hurt and we have him for the game against the Chiefs. I’m not singling out that one play as a referendum on Dawson, but he lets too many routine plays get away from him. He’s 2nd string for a reason.
Isn't Knox a bit shaky in the catching department? It's been brought up by others elswhere that between Knox, James Cook and Gabe Davis that the Bills had too many players with undependable hands.
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7 hours ago, section122 said:
I LOVE this. Here's why:
1. Having a formal official around will help the players with rules and understanding them.
2. This will help the coaches understand why calls were made to help prep the team better.
3. Parry comes with knowledge of other ref tendencies. Who likes to call what and who lets things slide.
4. Parry getting a cushy gig with the Bills will hopefully get officialls to go easier on the Bills knowing one of their own is being taken care of (yes pure unadulterated speculation but the world is not what you know but who you know).
I see zero negative to this hire and only positives. What a forward thinking move by the Bills!
We're at our usual ratio of one good post per every 4 pages. Thank you @section122 for the one good post.
Agree with all of the above and would have made the same arguments had you not posted. All of your points are excellent.
To point number one, of course Parry will have involvement in training camp and practices. Why would they pay him as an officiating/game management coach and not have him do so?????
To point number two, of course he'll advise the coaches on officiating nuances which can be taught to the players. And of course he'll know the tendencies of the various officials and crews and of course his hiring will generally play positively in the officiating community.
And yes, there is zero downside... which makes you wonder why anyone would have a negative view of this hire. The Bills have just done something that makes total sense... and that no other NFL team has done before... to a generally lukewarm and negative response here.
Other points to consider:
- In 2020, the Bills hired Marc Lubick as their Game Management Coach. You think that maybe Parry will be assisting Lubick in these duties?
- Half of all NFL games are decided by 7 points or less. You think maybe that Parry's hire might have a generally positive effect on game outcomes?
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10 hours ago, GunnerBill said:
He doesn't scout the players. Every time you see a scouting box shot from the Combine it is Beane and his staff. McDermott goes for the interviews to get under the skin of them as people.
Bill, you can call it what you want. Scouting consists of more than just video analysis or attending games or practices in person.
Was McDermott scouting or not when he was almost run over by Ed Oliver at the Oliver's Pro Day Workout?
Do you think the Bills drafted Tre'Davious White and Ed Oliver without McDermott doing a fair amount of "talent evaluation" beforehand?
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2 hours ago, hondo in seattle said:
If Von was a Van, this might have been the first NFL team to have three Vans.
Then they’d have enough for a Venn diagram.-
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21 hours ago, Sierra Foothills said:
There's probably not a single O-lineman in the NFL that doesn't cross train (at least) at one other position.
Cross training is particularly important for young O-linemen because it provides a deeper understanding of each player's assignment on every play. Understanding the assignments and footwork of the entire unit is a prerequisite in becoming a successful O-lineman and a successful offensive line.
These are professionals and they're employed because of their work ethic and aptitude for the game. I highly doubt there's an O-lineman in the NFL that only practices and studies his own position. Doing half the work of the others at your position group is no way to gain esteem among your group, or proficiency at your craft.
I have to amend the above bolded to "there are very few O-linemen in the NFL that don't cross train at another position."
I would say that it's common for players to have center-guard flexibility and guard-tackle flexibility. It's not as common for a tackle to train at both ends of the line as a swing tackle. From comments players have made over the years it seems like swing tackle is the most difficult adjustment for an O-lineman. I would imagine that for the same reason (reverse mirroring), that guard-guard flexibility would also be difficult.
On another topic, in the Buffalo News today Bills Director of Player Personnel Terrance Gray said the following about SVPG:
“(Kromer) had a chance to simulate some things you would see at the guard position that confirmed, at least for us, that he has the interior line flexibility center and guard,” Gray said. “He also stood out in the classroom with his football intelligence and an ability to process.”
How does an evaluator look at Van Pran-Granger’s video of him playing center and project him to guard?
“One is a consistency to play on his feet and his ability to bend and seeing him get out in space and hit his target.”
Based on those comments it seems SVPG will cross train minimally at one of the guard spots.
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3 hours ago, stinky finger said:
Eager beaver, ain’t ya 😂
Trying to stay warmed up and ready to go!
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2 minutes ago, FireChans said:
Believe that McD is either:
1. scouting every defensive player we could possibly draft in the first 100 picks
2. Has prescient knowledge about what players will be available when we pick and scouts ONLY them lol
There’s conjecture then there’s conjecture lmao
Yeah, McDermott goes to the Scouting Combine but he has no interest in scouting the players.
Got it.
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1 hour ago, FireChans said:
Again, I will ask.
When did McD have time to personally scout a third round DT prospect?
You'll have to ask him and until you do, it's your conjecture vs mine.
I'll add that you cannot argue that 1) The Defense is McDermott's Baby and 2) McDermott is a renowned control freak.
Believe what you'd like but I'm not here to debate.
P.S. - Tre'Davious White was not Doug Whaley's idea.
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13 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:
Burden will be the first WR drafted next year. He will likely go in the top 5. If the Bills don’t go the veteran route they can try to go way up for him. It’s another option for the top of the depth chart but obviously not for this year.
Sounds like a Beast!
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44 minutes ago, BobbyC81 said:
They have to work together. It would make no sense for the GM to draft guys the coach doesn’t like and/or that don’t the system well. Otherwise you have a Marronne /Whaley situation with the coach yelling out in front of everyone “Get me a freakin’ Quarterback!”Hopefully this doesn't rekindle the debate...
There's absolutely no question in my mind that McDermott has definite opinions about SOME of the players in the draft.
The question is how many? (this is essentially what we can't agree about)
There's zero chance in my mind that McDermott doesn't have a strong opinion about any players the Bills pick in the first 3 rounds. For instance, tell me with a straight face that McDermott doesn't have a very strong opinion about DeWayne Carter.
JMO.
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1 hour ago, ColoradoBills said:
I may have missed it, but I did not hear that McGovern desired to become the C. I took it that the Bills slotted him there.
He didn't need a "chance" to be the 1st string LG.
17 minutes ago, Doc said:I don't wish to debate this but I will say that the cliche amongst NFL teams which normally holds true is that "we'll start our 5 best offensive linemen."
I am expecting that to be the guiding principle.
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36 minutes ago, mrags said:
Chris Collinsworth was likely never more “excited” in his life after seeing that.
Very true.
Collinsworth's excitement made me feel a bit uncomfortable and a bit queasy as well.
I had to watch some Josh Allen highlights in order to feel better again.
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4 hours ago, Einstein's Dog said:
Who is Burden?
I'm with you, get the trade for the top WR. I think the main choices are Aiyuk, DK Metcalf. D Adams, DHop.
Yeah I don't know who he was talking about either but I'm fundamentally opposed to adding any player who doesn't pull his own weight.
JMO.
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28 minutes ago, ColoradoBills said:
McGovern (after I checked) has had about 100 snaps at Center. That's less than 2 full NFL games.
I can't find any info on how well he did in those limited snaps.
Having him move from LG to C is a question mark to begin with IMO. None of us even know how good will be there.
The more I look at this, the more I think they will give VPG every chance to take the starting position.
The bolded is my belief as well... it will be an open competition.
No one is gonna be handed anything on a plate.
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8 minutes ago, billsfan89 said:
I don't get the Bills "needing" Van Pran to play guard for flexibility. Given that McGovern is the starting center and he can play guard why is having a pure center as a backup center a bad thing? If a guard gets hurt you just flex McGovern out to guard and have Van Pran at center. If McGovern gets hurt you put Van Pran in as you need a center anyway.
There's probably not a single O-lineman in the NFL that doesn't cross train (at least) at one other position.
Cross training is particularly important for young O-linemen because it provides a deeper understanding of each player's assignment on every play. Understanding the assignments and footwork of the entire unit is a prerequisite in becoming a successful O-lineman and a successful offensive line.
These are professionals and they're employed because of their work ethic and aptitude for the game. I highly doubt there's an O-lineman in the NFL that only practices and studies his own position. Doing half the work of the others at your position group is no way to gain esteem among your group, or proficiency at your craft.
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1 hour ago, JohnBonhamRocks said:
I’m just happy someone used complement correctly
Yes, he should be complimented.
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Let me know when we're starting...
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9 minutes ago, Goin Breakdown said:
Your wondering about Mr wonderful's comment on Coleman's wonderlic has me wondering what there is to wonder about.
Things that make you go hmmmmm....
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4 hours ago, dorquemada said:
Yeah I know my point is ppl acting like a 24 year old is counting the minutes until they can get social security. Most of them were the same people who were mad when we didn't bring frank gore back at age 54
Gore was 44, not 54.
At age 34 Ray Davis is definitely older than the average rookie. By comparison Tremaine Edmunds is going into his 7th season and he's only 21... but every athlete is different so in that regard, age is just a number.
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The Athletic article "2024 NFL Draft Sleepers" Sedrick Van Pran-Granger, C, Buffalo Bills Round 5,
in The Stadium Wall
Posted · Edited by Sierra Foothills
For context, the article featured 14 rookies and 9 notable mentions so it wasn't one of these "one player per team" click baits.
Sedrick Van Pran-Granger, C, Buffalo Bills
Round 5, Pick 141
I was probably higher on this center class than some, but even those who weren’t feeling the group as a whole could agree Van Pran-Granger was a great value in Round 5. A three-year starter, two-time national champion and two-time captain, Van Pran-Granger was the backbone of Georgia’s powerful and nasty rush attack after earning the starting job in 2021. He’s probably only a center in the NFL, which is likely why he fell as far as he did.
However, the Bills needed center help and Van Pran-Granger is powerful enough to earn reps as an NFL starting offensive lineman right now. If he’s healthy, watch for him to turn heads early in fall camp once the pads come on.
Another center pick I liked on Day 3: NC State’s Dylan McMahon to Philadelphia in the sixth round. Don’t be surprised if he outperforms his draft slot.
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5511949/2024/05/23/nfl-draft-2024-rookie-sleepers/?campaign=5888993&source=dailyemail&userId=555233
Mods, please merge if you feel it's necessary.