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harryS

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    Democracy’s Fiery Ordeal: The War in Ukraine 🇺🇦

    in Politics, Polls, and Pundits

    Posted

    9 hours ago, B-Man said:

     

    Fifty-four percent of likely voters do not believe Joe Biden’s response to the Ukraine crisis has been effective, according to a new Rasmussen survey released Thursday, showing only 40 percent think the president has acted effectively.

     

    The survey also revealed that only 26 percent of voters “believe economic sanctions will be enough to stop Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, while 48% think the United States and its allies will have to intervene with military force to stop the invasion.”

     

    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/current_events/russia/ukraine_54_of_voters_say_biden_s_response_to_russian_invasion_is_ineffective

     

     

     

    man, hopefully these 48% don't actually support that though.

    Nuclear Diplomacy

    in Politics, Polls, and Pundits

    Posted

    2 hours ago, Tiberius said:

    How does Russia win? They going to hold Ukraine? Install a puppet? 

     

    I could only guess at the other two questions (and my guess would be either annexation or perhaps creation of a new Russia-friendly republic), but as far as the military facts on the ground, the bulk of Ukraine's forces are encircled in the Donbas, Mariupol, and now Odessa.  Russia is winning and has never been anything other than a 99% favorite to win.  Incidentally, most of the supplies and weapons the West are promising to Ukraine will end up in Russian hands.

    Nuclear Diplomacy

    in Politics, Polls, and Pundits

    Posted

    18 minutes ago, Tiberius said:

    You are right,mi won’t waste my time looking at them 

     

    haha, I predicted it.  typical lib.  you'd rather drown in mainstream media nonsense and believe that Ukraine is winning this war (lol) than just read the other side and decide for yourself which analysis sounds more reasonable.  the funny thing is this isn't even a left / right issue.  it's simply "where do I get the best war reporting, and do I understand the counterpoints to what I'm rooting for?"  in fact, Fox News is just as bad as CNN on reporting on this war.

    • Like (+1) 1

    Nuclear Diplomacy

    in Politics, Polls, and Pundits

    Posted

    3 hours ago, Tiberius said:

    Whatcha watching and reading? 

     

     

    you will probably not even look at these links, but i will supply them anyway.  note that they are unabashedly pro-Russia but the question you should ask is: are they accurate?   we will find out in the coming days and weeks whether the mainstream media is painting the more accurate picture or whether the pro-Russia sites are.

     

    https://thesaker.is/

     

    https://www.moonofalabama.org/

     

    https://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/

     

     

    Nuclear Diplomacy

    in Politics, Polls, and Pundits

    Posted

    On 3/1/2022 at 6:46 PM, Tiberius said:

    I agree with allowing Putin to save face and for Russia not being punished long term with sanctions, but it must also be remembered that he is not to be trusted. I think a relaxing of many sanctions in return for him leaving Ukraine should be openly put out there. The Nazis used the reparations regime for great propaganda, we shouldn’t create same type of situation. 

     

    But, I think Putin is going to face a horrible defeat no matter what. He has beached a whale which might murder a lot of people before it finally sprays blood (like a harpooned whale) but it will be destroyed if it tries to conquer Ukraine. I don’t see how they possibly win. 

     

    The world is supplying the Ukrainian defense now. If Putin loses it will because of western assistance and he knows that. 

     

    Will he go nuclear after he clearly has nothing nothing more than a ruined hulk of an army? 

     

    Of course thats how I see events drifting, but the future is a locked door no one can see behind 

     

     

     

     

    lol, I'm going to guess the propaganda you're reading/watching about this war is less accurate than the propaganda i'm reading/watching.

     

    • Thank you (+1) 1

    Matt “frat” Stafford.

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    i read it as stafford trying to be faithful to his wife.  if he hunched over the fallen photographer to check on her, he's such a cooz-hound that he'd be tempted to cop a feel or perhaps even perform insertion.  (don't shoot the messenger!  stafford is the bastard, not me.)

    • Haha (+1) 2

    Brandon Beane: Top priority for offseason - protecting Josh Allen

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    if the line continues its solid play from the end of the season, then great.  it'd be foolish to count on it, though.  definitely try to get better and build out depth on the OL.

     

    20 hours ago, Ethan in Portland said:

    As for those that want less QB runs, it doesn't make sense to me. My gut tells me QBs are more likely injured in the pocket than when on a designed run. Allen's injury his rookie year was in the pocket. Guys hitting him in the head or rolling into his legs happens in the pocket. Hand injuries happen on throws usually not runs.

    I favor letting Josh run. Its part of his game that makes him MVP caliber. I think he can be MVP just with his arm but I also don't fear him being asked to run the ball by both design and improvisation. 

     

    you're only addressing the catastrophic injury aspect of the debate, though, which is just a minor part of it.  most people just don't want Josh to build up the cumulative wear and tear on his body over many years.  it'd be nice if he could age like Brady instead of like Big Ben.

    Mike McDaniel hired as HC by Miami

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted · Edited by harryS

    On 2/8/2022 at 8:55 PM, Hapless Bills Fan said:

     

    1) The calls for McDaniel to somehow validate his "Blackness" to the public are out of line.  If the league is satisfied he meets the letter of their law, that's enough

     

    I don't personally care, but it should be noted that black people do, and they are not a fan:

     

     

    6T1OGz3.jpg

     

    TD1xhnG.jpg

    Bills and Chiefs Favorites For Next Seasons Super Bowl Winner

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    6 hours ago, haroldwaide said:

    They might make a bit if interest from my wager, but I guarantee I make more from their site playing Texas hold em.

     

    I actually don't doubt it.  I'm guessing you play at BetOnline with a Hud?  You can print money that way.

     

    As for your question about why 7 to 1 is a bad price, you can search for how sportsbooks make a killing off the futures markets.  If they're laying 7 to 1, I guarantee the fair price (based on current knowledge of the teams) using their computer algorithms is at least 10 to 1.  If you do the math and add up the prices for all 32 teams in the Super Bowl futures market*, you'll find out that the sportsbook is basically charging a vig of 50% whereas on a regular point spread bet, they're only charging a vig of 10%.

     

    * Because we know in a perfectly fair market, all the probabilities should add up to 1

    Growing speculation that Stephen Ross might be forced to sell Dolphins(EDIT: Has succession plan in place to cede controlling interest to Bruce Beal if need be)

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    Flores wins if this happens.  I believe Flores' career was already in danger because Ross was backstabbing / ratfudging him with the other owners; Flores was about to be blackballed out of the league.  But if he can make Ross lose his team on the way out, then Flores will have gotten his vengeance.

     

    The "NFL is racist" stuff was just to draw as many eyeballs as possible to the situation in Miami and Flores' accusations.  Flores may very well believe it but it's not his primary motive.  As they way, "all politics is personal", and in this case there is a personal vendetta between Flores and Ross.

    • Agree 1
    • Awesome! (+1) 1

    Bills and Chiefs Favorites For Next Seasons Super Bowl Winner

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    On 2/14/2022 at 8:21 AM, Niagara Dude said:

    You really cannot say which team should be favourites until draft and free agency completed

     

    sure, but as long as degenerates are willing to bet this early, the sportsbooks will lay out some bad lines for them to bet into

     

     

    19 hours ago, haroldwaide said:

    I've already placed my wager on the Bills.  

     

    why?  that number was going to still be available in September.   you just loaned the sportsbook money interest-free for no reason.

    Rams Team Building Strategy Will It Be Duplicated or a Rareity

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    17 hours ago, QCity said:

    It's a statistical outlier. Kudos to them for pulling it off. You could make a good argument that the Rams were the 5th or 6th best team in the league and the stars aligned for them this year.

     

    If you really want to mimic their success then a) draft another Aaron Donald and b) draft another Cooper Kupp. Good luck.

     

     

    it'd be an unpersuasive argument given that outstanding D-line, a lockdown corner, a good CB2 to complement, the WR corps when healthy, an O-line that can pass protect well, and Stafford's arm strength.  the Rams were loaded.  they also could've lost in the playoffs easily, but no need to downplay their talent.

    Super Bowl Post Game Thread

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    Happy for Aaron Donald, a legend of the game.  Couldn't care less about Stafford.  It's like saying, "finally the long-awaited ring for Kirk Cousins! so deserving!"

     

    Satisfied with the Rams win because it might send a message to McBeane since the Snead/McVay partnership in L.A. started the same season the McBeane partnership started in Buffalo.  Two Super Bowl appearances, including a win for Snead/McVay.  This helps keep McBeane humble hopefully, lets them know their poop does stink.  

     

    6 hours ago, No_Matter_What said:

    My hot take: This was the last SB Joe Burrow has ever played.

     

    This isn't really a bold prediction considering how hard it is to get there.  Will Josh ever get there, with McD as his coach?

    Are we over-reacting to the 13 seconds?

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    Wide Right was a 50/50 kick back in those days.  (Nowadays, a kicker would be expected to hit it 85%+ of the time).

     

    MCM was a tough call to make.  Yes, the ball went forward like 6 inches, maybe a foot, but you could understand why the refs thought it went parallel.

     

    No Goal.  Again, a bang-bang play on what for decades had been called a goal.

     

    I'm not saying there was zero incompetence on the three above, sure there was.  But on the scale of incompetence, none of those three come even close to 13 seconds.  Not even close.

    Are we over-reacting to the 13 seconds?

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Success said:

    Ask me on Sunday night.

     

     

    if Cincy beats the Rams, it wouldn't mean that the Bills would've done it also.  just like how Cincy was able to figure out a coverage to slow down the Chiefs and we didn't.  i tend to think the Rams will spank the Bengals, but IF the upset happens, we can't draw conclusions from it, and it wouldn't make 13 seconds any worse.  it's bad enough already.

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