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harryS

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Posts posted by harryS

  1. 8 minutes ago, appoo said:

    IF the Bills lost a good game to the Chiefs then I think this season is a success. The bust part is hard for me to get my head around. 

     

     

    No, it would be an epic failure.  (Also, if we had just taken care of business in the regular season, the Chiefs would've had to play at Buffalo).  The good news is even if it turns out to be an epic failure, we should have plenty of chances in future seasons to make up for the failure.

    • Eyeroll 1
  2. 48 minutes ago, Rampage said:

    Titans - Bengals are going to get physically dominated on both sides of the ball. They're a finesse team. Tennessee beat us. They beat Kansas City. They beat the 49ers. They beat the Rams. It's funny how many people are writing them off. 


    Packers - If any team left in the NFC can go into Green Bay and win it's the 49ers. The problem is I don't have confidence Jimmy G can play turnover free football in that weather, and he's banged up. Trey Lance is not a good quarterback either, so if they need to rely on him to lead them to victory it won't happen.


    Bucs - If Jensen & Wirfs play, I like Tampa. If they don't, this one's over by kickoff. LAR has the best d-line in football and it will be a long day for Brady and that offense.


    Bills - Self-explanatory

     

     

    Nice picks.  I think I'd take the Rams even if Jensen and Wirfs play, certainly with the 3-pt spread.  I'll be rooting for Brady to pull one out though since the Rams are more loaded.

    • Like (+1) 1
  3. 14 minutes ago, Warcodered said:

    We've seen them fail to get to the Super Bowl using this exact same strategy for like 5 years.

     

    have they ever hosted an AFCCG?  i agree that we're underestimating a Titans team that's getting healthy at the right time

     

    much prefer the bengals win that game

  4. 11 minutes ago, FilthyBeast said:

     

    This is something a lot of folks are really underestimating.

     

    And I keep saying if you go back 5 years or so ago and watch what the panthers were doing with Cam Newton, the whole NFL world probably thought they were going to be the dominant team in the NFL for the next 10+ years especially after Newton's peak 2015 MVP season and SB appearance.

     

    But fast forward to present and we all know where both the Panthers as a franchise and Newton as a QB are and that 2015 season seems like light years ago. So this must be a cautionary tale for this franchise and Beane and McDermott know this better than anyone since they were in Carolina in those days.

     

    no one thought that, lol

  5. 17 hours ago, corta765 said:

    The one thing with windows is they close before you realize it. You can basically pin point with every great QB and team when there's truly closed. For the 90s Bills their last great gasp was the Steelers loss in 95. After that Kelly was pretty much done in 96 physically and the gas was dry. BUT going into 96 you wouldn't have thought that at the time. In 2019 the Pats window clearly closed as Brady and a decent defense got rolled by the Titans at home. But people still thought until he left they would reload and be good. The Seahawks exploded like a supernova in 2012 but after their loss in 2014 the magic never came back. I think a lot of people would've figured another SB run would happen but here we are and they faded.

     

    In general windows being open are really really tough in all sports. Golden State in the NBA ran super hot for 7 years and then fell back for two. The examples are endless. For the Bills it is reasonable to say they probably have 3-4 years here. One of the other things thought is outside of NE/Brady most of the time you get maybe 1-3 cracks at winning the title. Brees and Rodgers each have only one a single title, Ben won 2 and went to 3, Manning went to 4 and won 2, Eli won 2, Russel Wilson went to 2 won one, etc.. It is incredibly difficult to get a ton of cracks and once your there that could be your only shot. Marino went year 2 and never again, but Kelly went to 4 and Elway 5. So yea maybe the Bills win the SB this year (god willing) but it is very possible despite the window being open that could be our only crack (not complaining if they win). The AFC is loaded with young talented QBs in Mahomes, Burrow, Herbert, & Jackson who will all challenge Allen even with his and the Bills window open. If they all eventually get even one crack apiece this decade, that leaves four chances for Josh to have his or go. That isn't including either that some young hotshot comes in to join the crew like Lawrence. In general what I would say is feel good about the fact at some point in probably the next 7-8 years Allen and the Bills will get their chance at the crown and make their run god wiling. How many more times they do after that? There is just soo much that goes into it and you need a little luck too

     

    Good post.  The only examples that we have to think about are Wilson and Marino, as all the other guys were old when their windows closed and had great success.

     

    With Wilson and Marino, I would say the lesson is the same.  This is really the Allen/McDermott era, not the Allen era, as Josh still needs McD to maintain being a very good coach who can adapt to changes in the league in order for the Bills to realize the 15 years or so of contention that we want to see.  You can easily argue that Carroll and Shula couldn't maintain current with the times or otherwise support their superstar QBs in the way needed to consistently contend.  Carroll runs the ball too much and probably has a defensive system that's been figured out that he stubbornly sticks to.  With Shula, my memory is hazier, but I believe he couldn't hire a defensive coordinator worth a damn and couldn't adapt/adjust to the division rival running a newfangled no-huddle offense.

     

     

  6. the Chiefs have gotten much better against 2 high safety as the season has progressed (mostly because Mahomes has become more patient and stopped turning it over).  but conservative zone is still the best way to play them.  you'll give up 30 points, yes, but if you go aggressive against that speed, you're going to give up 50.  play conservative and give Josh a chance to outduel Mahomes.

     

    KC is going to rape our defense.  It's up to our offense to rape their defense just a bit worse.

    • Like (+1) 2
    • Agree 1
  7. 4 hours ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:

    This entire defensive line rotation we’ve been rolling with was literally only implemented to slow down mahomes enough to win this game.  I think we’re taking this one too.  Put us at a bit of a disadvantage against power run teams as we have speed and not that much size but we are built to win this one. 

     

     

    Many teams ran all over us last season, too (including the Chiefs in the regular season game), so I don't know if the changes are that dramatic.  I just think generally we like light boxes and more coverage so opposing teams will sometimes have success running, and that was true before this season.  Also, the defensive ends have been whipping boys for the fanbase all season, so they're not going to inspire confidence now as the Mahomes solution.  And while I like our DTs, the Chiefs have a very strong interior of the OL.  "We're built to beat the Chiefs" has become a battle cry that I'm not sure is deserved (especially with Tre White out), other than we have a QB that might win a shootout against them.

  8. 7 hours ago, starrymessenger said:

    Most see next Sunday night as pretty much a 50-50 proposition. For sure it’s the biggest matchup of the playoffs so far and a treat for all football fans. To me it could well boil down to how well the Chiefs D-line is able to play, Frank Clark, Jarron Reed, and esp Chris Jones. If they are unable to bring big pressure on Allen the percentages swing big time 70-30 in Bills favour. 

     

    I think the Bills o-line will continue their stellar play, Josh will have time, and we'll score 30+.  

     

    BUT, unlike you, I'd still have it as 50/50 because unfortunately I think the Chiefs will be the first team to really expose our depleted cornerback situation.

     

    We have to win a shootout.  I like our chances, but it's gonna be close.

     

    6 hours ago, TH3 said:

    Wilbon has a problem with good white guys

     

    You're on the right track as there is a racial element.  It's more that he's protecting his boy Mahomes, and he doesn't want to see any young white QB get more praise than Mahomes.

    • Like (+1) 1
    • Eyeroll 1
  9. 44 minutes ago, RyanC883 said:

    KC has made two impactful upgrades: Ingram and at RB.  

     

    We have done nothing to upgrade and lost Tre.  So I'd give KC the advantage here. 

     

    C'mon the offensive line and running game are clearly better now.

     

    That said, I completely disagree with the thread starter that the result will be the same.  Ain't no way in hell we blow out the Chiefs again.  We need to win this game 34-31 or so.

    And let's hope the Bengals knock off the Titans, too.  My heart can't handle back to back nailbiters.  I want to host the AFCCG

    • Like (+1) 1
  10. 15 minutes ago, T master said:

     

    Given the way KC's D has played it wouldn't surprise me given the fact that Ju Ju is coming back that Ben pulls one out of his hat to win but i'm actually hoping he doesn't so Josh can put a beat down on the Chiefs so there is no BS from their fan base that if we would have played the Bills we would have beat you & all that ! 

     

    And we know that's how it would go from them so i hope the stars align to do just that & beat them in the play offs despite beating them during the season to show yes the Bills are the better of the 2 and dispel any excuses while on the way to a SB !! 

     

    GO BILLS !! 

     

    i'd rather just have the easier path.  you know who wins smack talk wars?  fans of teams who win the super bowl

  11. 29 minutes ago, zow2 said:

    A lot of KC fans are kind of dismissing the Steelers game later and thinking about next week.  That’s bad karma.  I felt that way about us in game #1 vs Pittsburgh.

     

    very different situations.  a whole offseason to cook up surprises vs season-long film on a team.  plus teams in early season form vs late season form.

     

    i personally can't even muster up the energy to root for Pittsburgh, i find them winning so unlikely.  hopefully this is the jinx that is needed for them to win.

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