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harryS

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Posts posted by harryS

  1. On 6/3/2022 at 9:04 AM, Thurman#1 said:

     

     

    Hunh?

     

    There are five questions asked about ranking teams analytics. And one of them was asking about the worst, so you didn't want to be mentioned. 

     

    Of the four questions asking about positives, the Bills got ranked third in one and fourth in another and not mentioned in the other two questions (only three teams were mentioned in one and only six in the other.

     

    Everyone ranked Cleveland and Baltimore first and second. Both good teams, though it's hard to figure the Browns QB situation at this point. After that nobody was an obvious third, but the Bills probably come in 3rd or 4th overall.

     

     

     

    you're bad at analytics if you believe the data in that article is reliable for ranking Buffalo as having a top-4 analytics department.  

  2. 2 hours ago, UKBillFan said:


    I think Beane said Bass and Ferguson would be helping Arazia in terms of holding. I remember referencing it at the time, why Haack wouldn’t help too. Especially as, in the same comment, Beane called him an elite holder.

     

    Haack:  Okay, young Araiza.  This is Holding Lesson #1.  I'm going to teach you a hand-strengthening exercise.  First, splay all your fingers out on that table there.

     

    Araiza:  That's weird but okay.  Hey, is that a mallet you're holding in your hand?

     

    Haack:  .....  Nope.  This is also not me raising it over my head.

     

     

    • Haha (+1) 3
  3. 5 hours ago, Nihilarian said:

    What I don't get is... why a team (or the teams fans) that almost never punts wants a punt god?

     

    Seems like the NY Jets could really use him. 😄

     

    that's overstated as we still punt over a quarter of the time.  it's like how we only average 2 FG attempts a game but it's still nice to have a great placekicker.

     

    araiza's the ultimate field flipper.  now, any time the bills are in bad field position (like after a 3-and-out), the opposing team is in bad field position.  opposing DCs will have to gameplan around Araiza and make sure Buffalo always gets a couple of first downs before playing D for real.

    • Thank you (+1) 1
  4. If there were only about 20 players with 1st-round grades and that was close to consensus around the league, it makes sense that picks in the 20 range (like 23) can extract more in a trade than you would otherwise think possible.

     

    Obviously Elam was one of the last players that the Bills had a first round grade on (maybe THE last) and they didn't want to plug CB2 with a player a tier below.

    • Like (+1) 1
  5. 41 minutes ago, sherpa said:

     

    Of course they're going to defeat Ukraine, but it's going to be the most pyrrhic victory in memory.

     

    Russia becomes economically and politically isolated and loathed by every nation on earth except its satellites.

    As well, the Russian military performance has been abysmal. Embarrassing actually.

     

    Alliances in opposition to them are tuned up and strengthened.

    Passive states like Germany, are changing to a far more hostile view of them, and countries like Finland and Sweden have become NATO friendly.

    Even historically neutral Switzerland is participation in sanctions, and it's hard to believe the "occupation" phase is going to go well for them.

     

     

    haha, you should tell reddit and twitter that.

     

    as for sanctions and relationships between countries, we'll have to see long-term what the impact is.  i hope you realize there is potentially major blowback on the european and u.s. economies, too, and the possible death of the petrodollar.  I think there's a chance the U.S. and Europe will hurt worse, and just as importantly, I think there's a chance the U.S. and Europe populaces are less tough in the face of economic wars than the Russian people, who are used to being poor.

     

    you know, we're a week, a week and half into a war, and it's funny how so many internet experts can predict the future.

  6. 1 hour ago, John Adams said:

     

    The Nazi leader of Ukraine is a Jew so

     

     

    so? Zelensky also released prisoners and armed them.  He's going to use whatever soldiers he can get, and indeed a decent amount of his military is NeoNazi.  (btw, Nazis hate Russians, too.  It's not really that surprising).

    14 hours ago, Big Blitz said:

    When this is over, I see no better outcome then 150 million hungry poor unemployed cancelled ostracized Russians armed with the world's second largest nuclear arsenal. 

     

    extremely optimistic, i'd say.  If you're referring to the sanctions, we'll have to see what the blowback on the european and U.S. economies will be, as well as the petrodollar.

  7. 9 hours ago, B-Man said:

     

    Fifty-four percent of likely voters do not believe Joe Biden’s response to the Ukraine crisis has been effective, according to a new Rasmussen survey released Thursday, showing only 40 percent think the president has acted effectively.

     

    The survey also revealed that only 26 percent of voters “believe economic sanctions will be enough to stop Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, while 48% think the United States and its allies will have to intervene with military force to stop the invasion.”

     

    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/current_events/russia/ukraine_54_of_voters_say_biden_s_response_to_russian_invasion_is_ineffective

     

     

     

    man, hopefully these 48% don't actually support that though.

  8. 2 hours ago, Tiberius said:

    How does Russia win? They going to hold Ukraine? Install a puppet? 

     

    I could only guess at the other two questions (and my guess would be either annexation or perhaps creation of a new Russia-friendly republic), but as far as the military facts on the ground, the bulk of Ukraine's forces are encircled in the Donbas, Mariupol, and now Odessa.  Russia is winning and has never been anything other than a 99% favorite to win.  Incidentally, most of the supplies and weapons the West are promising to Ukraine will end up in Russian hands.

  9. 18 minutes ago, Tiberius said:

    You are right,mi won’t waste my time looking at them 

     

    haha, I predicted it.  typical lib.  you'd rather drown in mainstream media nonsense and believe that Ukraine is winning this war (lol) than just read the other side and decide for yourself which analysis sounds more reasonable.  the funny thing is this isn't even a left / right issue.  it's simply "where do I get the best war reporting, and do I understand the counterpoints to what I'm rooting for?"  in fact, Fox News is just as bad as CNN on reporting on this war.

    • Like (+1) 1
  10. 3 hours ago, Tiberius said:

    Whatcha watching and reading? 

     

     

    you will probably not even look at these links, but i will supply them anyway.  note that they are unabashedly pro-Russia but the question you should ask is: are they accurate?   we will find out in the coming days and weeks whether the mainstream media is painting the more accurate picture or whether the pro-Russia sites are.

     

    https://thesaker.is/

     

    https://www.moonofalabama.org/

     

    https://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/

     

     

  11. On 3/1/2022 at 6:46 PM, Tiberius said:

    I agree with allowing Putin to save face and for Russia not being punished long term with sanctions, but it must also be remembered that he is not to be trusted. I think a relaxing of many sanctions in return for him leaving Ukraine should be openly put out there. The Nazis used the reparations regime for great propaganda, we shouldn’t create same type of situation. 

     

    But, I think Putin is going to face a horrible defeat no matter what. He has beached a whale which might murder a lot of people before it finally sprays blood (like a harpooned whale) but it will be destroyed if it tries to conquer Ukraine. I don’t see how they possibly win. 

     

    The world is supplying the Ukrainian defense now. If Putin loses it will because of western assistance and he knows that. 

     

    Will he go nuclear after he clearly has nothing nothing more than a ruined hulk of an army? 

     

    Of course thats how I see events drifting, but the future is a locked door no one can see behind 

     

     

     

     

    lol, I'm going to guess the propaganda you're reading/watching about this war is less accurate than the propaganda i'm reading/watching.

     

    • Thank you (+1) 1
  12. i read it as stafford trying to be faithful to his wife.  if he hunched over the fallen photographer to check on her, he's such a cooz-hound that he'd be tempted to cop a feel or perhaps even perform insertion.  (don't shoot the messenger!  stafford is the bastard, not me.)

    • Haha (+1) 2
  13. if the line continues its solid play from the end of the season, then great.  it'd be foolish to count on it, though.  definitely try to get better and build out depth on the OL.

     

    20 hours ago, Ethan in Portland said:

    As for those that want less QB runs, it doesn't make sense to me. My gut tells me QBs are more likely injured in the pocket than when on a designed run. Allen's injury his rookie year was in the pocket. Guys hitting him in the head or rolling into his legs happens in the pocket. Hand injuries happen on throws usually not runs.

    I favor letting Josh run. Its part of his game that makes him MVP caliber. I think he can be MVP just with his arm but I also don't fear him being asked to run the ball by both design and improvisation. 

     

    you're only addressing the catastrophic injury aspect of the debate, though, which is just a minor part of it.  most people just don't want Josh to build up the cumulative wear and tear on his body over many years.  it'd be nice if he could age like Brady instead of like Big Ben.

  14. On 2/8/2022 at 8:55 PM, Hapless Bills Fan said:

     

    1) The calls for McDaniel to somehow validate his "Blackness" to the public are out of line.  If the league is satisfied he meets the letter of their law, that's enough

     

    I don't personally care, but it should be noted that black people do, and they are not a fan:

     

     

    6T1OGz3.jpg

     

    TD1xhnG.jpg

  15. 6 hours ago, haroldwaide said:

    They might make a bit if interest from my wager, but I guarantee I make more from their site playing Texas hold em.

     

    I actually don't doubt it.  I'm guessing you play at BetOnline with a Hud?  You can print money that way.

     

    As for your question about why 7 to 1 is a bad price, you can search for how sportsbooks make a killing off the futures markets.  If they're laying 7 to 1, I guarantee the fair price (based on current knowledge of the teams) using their computer algorithms is at least 10 to 1.  If you do the math and add up the prices for all 32 teams in the Super Bowl futures market*, you'll find out that the sportsbook is basically charging a vig of 50% whereas on a regular point spread bet, they're only charging a vig of 10%.

     

    * Because we know in a perfectly fair market, all the probabilities should add up to 1

  16. Flores wins if this happens.  I believe Flores' career was already in danger because Ross was backstabbing / ratfudging him with the other owners; Flores was about to be blackballed out of the league.  But if he can make Ross lose his team on the way out, then Flores will have gotten his vengeance.

     

    The "NFL is racist" stuff was just to draw as many eyeballs as possible to the situation in Miami and Flores' accusations.  Flores may very well believe it but it's not his primary motive.  As they way, "all politics is personal", and in this case there is a personal vendetta between Flores and Ross.

    • Agree 1
    • Awesome! (+1) 1
  17. On 2/14/2022 at 8:21 AM, Niagara Dude said:

    You really cannot say which team should be favourites until draft and free agency completed

     

    sure, but as long as degenerates are willing to bet this early, the sportsbooks will lay out some bad lines for them to bet into

     

     

    19 hours ago, haroldwaide said:

    I've already placed my wager on the Bills.  

     

    why?  that number was going to still be available in September.   you just loaned the sportsbook money interest-free for no reason.

  18. 17 hours ago, QCity said:

    It's a statistical outlier. Kudos to them for pulling it off. You could make a good argument that the Rams were the 5th or 6th best team in the league and the stars aligned for them this year.

     

    If you really want to mimic their success then a) draft another Aaron Donald and b) draft another Cooper Kupp. Good luck.

     

     

    it'd be an unpersuasive argument given that outstanding D-line, a lockdown corner, a good CB2 to complement, the WR corps when healthy, an O-line that can pass protect well, and Stafford's arm strength.  the Rams were loaded.  they also could've lost in the playoffs easily, but no need to downplay their talent.

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