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Ecmic82

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  1. I think there’s five scenarios if the Bills win. Losses by either… Pitt and Cin Pitt and Jax Jax and Cin Pitt and Hou and Indy Cin and Hou and Indy
  2. No, the Broncos are lurking at 7-7 (with the head to head win) and a very easy closing schedule. IMO they’re the biggest threat right now to keeping a 10-7 Bills team out of the playoffs.
  3. it’s convoluted but a Browns win gets the Bills a lot closer to the playoffs as a 10-7 team than would a Texans win. You basically want at least 4 wild card contenders (including the Broncos and Steelers) to get to 8 losses. For the Browns, that’s not likely. It’s a definite possibility for the Texans.
  4. Fourth time this year a minus 3 turnover team won a game. First time this year a minus 3 turnover team won a game while also committing more penalty yardage.
  5. I’m one of those rooting for the Browns to win their final few games (or at least their games against the Texans and Bengals). Yes, the Bills can go 3-0 in the final three weeks and essentially write their own fate, but it’s the NFL and crazy sh!t happens in the NFL and I’d like to afford this post-Dorsey team some grace in proving who they ultimately can be. give the Broncos and Steelers a loss at some point, and give 2 of the Texans, Colts, Jaguars, and Bengals another two losses, and the Bills will have that grace. It’s not an inconceivable ask.
  6. I do believe this is the only scenario in which the Bills win out but miss the playoffs. a shorthand for the Bills to go 10-7 and still make the playoffs is: Denver and Pittsburgh lose 1 more game, and 2 of Cincinnati, Indianapolis, Houston, and Jacksonville lose 2 more games. (other scenarios exist, including paths where the Browns lose 3 games, but are somewhat less probable 😉) if you’d like to mitigate the emotional toll of the worst-case scenario, you can get north of 1000-1 odds on the 13 leg parlay.
  7. The main takeaway was their effectiveness in the red zone. They’ve been pretty bad all year, and I’d guess it’s one of the few common threads that tie together all their losses. And I don’t think it’s simply a matter of variance that they had a good game in the red zone. They’ve obviously shifted philosophy to incorporate the run more (overall, but also in the red zone) and while sometimes not extremely effective from a pure “yardage-on-a-particular-play” perspective, I do have hope that their successes are at least partially due to the finally-real THREAT of a run in the most congested part of the field, which might open up their uncreative red zone passing game.
  8. He’s had three weeks to reincorporate as a practice participant after eleven months of what I’m sure was often a physically and mentally deleterious process. Not a long time, perhaps especially because he’s mentally reaching for the extremely high bar of performance expectation that he’s cleared throughout his career. I have zero concern that there’s any ill intent for not playing. So I’m not concerned that he isn’t playing.
  9. Not a popular opinion, but I agree. The first thing you HAVE to do in that situation is attempt to draw an Offside. defense is in a situation that a bite is more likely. Take the delay of game penalty if you have to. Half the distance to the goal from the two inch line. Who cares. safety at ~20 seconds worst case. F**k it, I’d put Allen in shotgun and, depending on his read of defense, give him an option of a draw or scramble-right-and-eventually-bomb out of bounds. Nothing in-play. it’s Monday Morning quarterbacking, I don’t care. Sneak is conventional wisdom and not a “bad” call, but with this specific line and this quarterback in this specific situation, maybe not the best strategy in my opinion. Fumbled handoff is the only reasonably possible catastrophic play within the realm of possible calls-and-outcomes there.
  10. There’s no way this team should be bottom half of the league in red zone efficiency, and play-calling needs to be better there. The Bills were effective running the ball against the Chiefs, and I’m not sure there’s a good reason why you throw the ball three straight plays from the Chiefs’ three yard line, on a drive you dominated by running the ball. This is my only concern from the game, because it’s a recurring one.
  11. The defining metric of “what the coach would achieve with an average roster” necessarily precludes what the coach has IMPACTED on his actual rosters. For example, I’d guess PFF accounts for each Bills’ defensive player’s performance in their algorithm, but don’t account for the Bills’ coaching staff’s impact on each defensive player’s performance (because, how the hell could that be quantified?). And, then, what the f*ck is the point? Ad revenue? Yeah, for ad revenue.
  12. The Titans taking a CB at 34 is more evidence that the Bills might’ve traded up in order to prevent the Titans from stealing Elam away.
  13. I think the Titans could’ve been the third team vying for one of the two cornerbacks. Would explain the Chiefs move, and the Titans’ subsequent trade back following the Bills pick. The Titans have two 4th round picks, neither better than the Bills though.
  14. Yeah I’ll echo that hitting a guy in stride who has his man beat by 20 yards is probably not the best situational throw. Better to toss it up and let the receiver make an easy catch. I think what happened to Diggs there is it was an abnormal play for him - how often do you get to camp under a bomb with no defenders near? - so when he caught it he had no idea where the defense was. His reaction actually looked like a preparation to get hit or to evaded a defender. It ended up looking odd because he eventually realized no one was actually near him.
  15. Hopefully a “convert” dynamic within the locker room will have a positive impact on vax hesitancy.
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