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BigBillsFan

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Posts posted by BigBillsFan

  1. 1 hour ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:

     

    Points scored in regulation for this past weekends playoff games - 

     

    19, 20, 20, 17. 

     

    Buffalo's season average  PPG - 19.0

     

    So you use the basis of our SEASON average and juxtapose that with the PLAYOFFS. This slight of hand works on some people.

     

    The playoffs are a different animal. Players, coaches and GMs alike all know this.

    1 hour ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

     

    Both Beane and McDermott said they need to score more points, so not sure where you're going here

     

    Unless they change the OC I don't see that much of a difference. Josh has struggled with the blitz all year, and the run game was abandoned consistently until the 4th quarter if we were winning to run out the clock.

    My point is they don't understand offense so it's hard to score more points even if you say so if you keep continuity.

     

    I mean here's a list:

    -Peterman & Allen as the only QBs on the roster to start last year

    -Gore as the starting RB this year

    -Shelfing Yeldon over Gore or DiMarco

    -Not using the run for almost the entire 1st half in many games this year

    -Not using screen passes in a game, or a swing pass

     

    I saw nothing creative to stop teams blitzing.

     

    We'll never be the Chiefs or Saints, fine, but can't we produce as many points as Indy minus Luck or the Cards with Murray, or the Panthers with an undrafted QB?

     

    • Like (+1) 1
  2. If this were the 1980's I could see his reasoning. Today's NFL means other teams will score points. If you can't score points you won't win against better teams.

     

    If Big Ben was QBing the Steelers I would consider that a loss for us, if Tannehill was QBing the Titans that might have been a loss.

     

    You have to score 22-25 points to win consistently. Continuity here with next year's schedule will be a disaster.

     

    At this point I don't think McD gets offense. You let your OC stop the run, you have 2 newbie QBs to start the season, and you decide WRs are optional.

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  3. The problem with the argument of "Josh" led his team to the playoffs is you would have to believe if he was replaced another QB couldn't do the same thing.

     

    Let's use the 7-9 Raiders and the 10-6 Bills. I don't think anyone would think if David Carr was on this team we would be worse, but in fact be better. We certainly would have won the Browns game.

     

    Even better is Drew Brees from 2014-2017 when the Saints went 7-9 every year. Do I think that Drew Brees would have done better than Allen? Of course.

     

    A QB can only influence a team for about 4-6 wins above average replacement (e.g. Cassel in NE), but they certainly can be responsible for losses from turn-overs (e.g. Winston in TB).

     

    A better question is are we better with Gardner Minshew over Allen. I'm not saying we are, but if the question could be asked then he didn't lead the team, it was the defense and limiting turn-overs.

     

    To the OP's question, no I don't think he is. I think Daboll is a clown. The Eagles game showed me he has no idea what he's doing.

  4. 1 hour ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

     

    May we inject a few facts? 

     

    Through the end of the 3Q - which ended with the Bills still leading 16-8 - Josh Allen had completed 16 of 25 passes (64%). 

     

    Therefore, of 46 passes, he threw 21 passes in the 4Q and OT, after they lost the lead. 

     

    Now, I can critique the playcalling in the 4Q and OT - I think they should have "Motored" more - but frankly, if the Bills have to limit Josh's passes to 30 per game to win, they need to move on at QB.

     

    The other solution may be to use him like Lamar Jackson but without his speed, but he has power. Push him into a passer who rushes knowing he won't lost past his rookie contract but see if the result can be different because at this point I will never see him as a pure passer. I don't think anyone could see him passing 40 times and the Bills winning. He's not a gun-slinger for touchdowns type of QB.

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  5. I have a very nuanced take on Allen. I don't think he's the 15 year franchise QB type but he is the QB who could win us a Superbowl if coached right in a 1-2 read system under a rookie contract that we use the money on a power running game with some big WRs and good TEs. I think of him as a better passer, but worse runner than Lamar Jackson.

     

    I honestly believe if they draft right with a new RB in the 3-4th round, a big WR in Rd 1 and a new OC who appreciates running the ball with a mean streak and take all of FA money on defense, resigning vets, and a pass rusher we can win next year.

  6. 1. Offensive coordinator

    2. Offensive coordinator

    3. Offensive coordinator (yes it's that important it's all top 3)

    4. WR

    5. DE

    6. OLB

    7. Offensive coordinator

     

    Yes Daboll has to go that badly. Who in the world gives up on the run the entire OT and multiple games? Who takes a 2nd year QB and makes him wait for 3 second routes to develop without giving him screens and slant options for hot reads?

  7. You're as good as your record. Every team has to play the record they are given. They do remind me a lot of the 2018 Bears, the difference is our defense was consistently good. Defense is more reliable to fall back on.

     

    I still think we could be 10-6 if we had a stable running game earlier.

     

    My crisis of belief is the staff's lack of planning. In 2018 they didn't know who was the QB and no back-up vet, this year they ran only tiny WRs and the 2nd RB was an old RB with no burst. I don't know how they thought it would be a good idea.

  8. I was having a heart-attack during the game it was so intense.

     

    I never believed it was over until Watson threw his final pass. I stayed up to watch the Cheatriots lose. It was the only way I could sleep. Watching Henry drill those mofos in the 1st half was borderline nirvana after my heart was pulled out of my chest after they lost. Then I could sleep. 

     

    I won't lie, I'm still having chest pain from the gain and anxiety. We haven't won a playoff game in so long and I wanted it so bad. Still I'm not depressed today, I'm too busy from work.

  9. The main reason I don't believe in "climate change" is not scientific, it's pragmatic. If the people who profit from it the most live on islands with private jets or near the ocean in mansions than that tells you everything you need to know. They wouldn't want to be in a house which will be underwater so quickly and pollute so much with their AC units and gas emissions.

     

    My other reasons are just as pragmatic:

    -If you add profit incentive to science you'll get the results you want

    -Banks invest well and they wouldn't loan on houses which are bad investments like coastal properties

    -If your models haven't found to be true why should we believe your future prognosis

    -If you don't ban the goods of other countries who pollute more than others you're a liar

     

    The Hollywood chants of "Trump bad" on climate change yet they follow and praise China for marketshare is all I ever need to see. 

     

    Once I see calls to ban Chinese imports for pollution I'll believe they're serious, until then it's all a joke for profit masquerading as virtue. I'm not saying climate change is false, but if you look at the salesmen for their religion they are mercenary profiteers who don't believe their own hype by their actions. 

     

    The real crisis is pollution and how it affects us today with birth defects, cancer, etc.. That I'm fully onboard with. 

    • Like (+1) 5
  10. We have to eliminate the idea of an "elite D" those days are over with the rules. A great play, QB, and WR will always have an advantage over the defense. Farve didn't magically become more accurate with a much higher rating as he aged, it was the rules. Go look up his career stats.

     

    An elite D today means it can only hold teams to less points. The days of holding teams to under 10 points is over unless that team's offense stinks.

     

    The best an "elite D" can do is hold a team to under 20 points consistently, which means you need an offense to supplement that. I believe I read teams that score 24+ more points win 74% of the time.

     

    Our real goal is to build an effective offense to score 22-25 pts a game consistently with a great running attack so we can let McDermott focus 100% on defense. Daboll isn't that man, he's abandoned the run too many times over multiple games this year, especially in overtime. I have no idea what he was thinking.

  11. The problem was the 3 and outs in the 2nd half giving our defense no time to rest. This is Daboll giving up the idea of creative run plays to put all of the pressure on Allen.

     

    We moved the ball exceptionally well with misdirection and great running plays for 1 possession. Then Daboll became possessed with weak play-calling. 

     

    I know the knee-jerk reaction is to blame Allen's 2nd half performance, which was poor, the truth is he wasn't put in a position to succeed. 

  12. 2 hours ago, Scott7975 said:

    The pass to the FB.... Why do we have a play design where are FB is even running that route?

    I don't like Daboll, but the play was perfect to be honest. He had the FB running that route to throw the D off defending underneath. It's a confusing play. The problem is you shouldn't pass to the FB there but someone open underneath like Brown. 

  13. They need some serious upgrading to the coaching on offense. I would get a co-head coach on offense that can get his own OC. The emphasis should be on running at least 25 times a game with variety and creativity. Since McD isn't that skilled for that side of the ball I would 1st put the emphasis on coaching so Allen has 2 reads max per play and can focus on execution instead of mental chess.

     

    2nd Get a RB in the 3-4th round that's 5-10" or 6'-1" and weighs at least 210 to help Singletary.

     

    Cut Kroft, Murphy & Star and put that money into a 6' or taller elite WR in free agency. 

     

    Draft a tackle or DE in the first round. Get an OLB in the 2nd.

     

     

  14. The mistake we made was not throwing more screens, slants and hitches  to build up some rhythm along with a running game in the 2nd half just to keep the defense rested. 

     

    A lot of us are blaming the defense but you can't go 3 and out a few times in a row and not give up momentum. We needed to find enough rhythm to keep the defense rested, even if it was 7-8 play drive that ended in a punt. 

     

    Allen is not the QB to win us the game with his arm alone, but with good coaching, solid running game, and defense. He should throw the ball max 30 times a game. The drive that started the game he didn't have a real pass the entire drive. His legs are good enough as well as a great coached game. Daboll did horrible leading Allen to play uncomfortably and against his strengths.

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