Chaos
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Posts posted by Chaos
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Championship caliber.
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4 hours ago, Chaos said:
I took Josh Allen over 34.5 yds rushing at -112 and Josh Allen any time TD for +180 and Bills -2.5 for +155.
This is aging well.
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I took Josh Allen over 34.5 yds rushing at -112 and Josh Allen any time TD for +180 and Bills -2.5 for +155.
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The best season any QB ever had was the combo of Bob Griese and Earl Morrall in 1972 .
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11 hours ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:
I thought this might deserve its own thread
Jay Skurski, probably paywall, trial available
The Buffalo Bills’ center was asked about the idea that the team's only true identity on offense is that they don’t have an identity, and what that says about the coordinator.
“I think it says he's somewhat of a lunatic, you know what I mean?” Morse said.
Um, not exactly. That requires a little more explanation.
“Lunatic in a good way,” Morse said. “He's just nonstop football. Puts in ridiculous hours. Relays information, divulges information to the players that is pertinent, but understands how to do that in a way that he wants it to and it's about success.”
Morse has named us. The Bills have the "Lunatic Offense"
I laughed until the dog and the neighbor's dog and the fam and the rabbit all came to see what was wrong with me. The other neighbor's parrots probably started yelling "WHOOOO!" "Hey ey ey ey" and "Bills make me wanna SHOUT" as learnt during the Steelers game.
I mean, doesn't that just fit? Here's the football analytics pundits. Beane and the Bills are crazy to draft Josh Allen. He's a joke of a first round pick. "Numbers say" he has less than zero chance to succeed. Lunatics! Lunatics I tell you!
We have 2 returning starters on offense. We're very young. We have a young QB. Logic says "KISS, baby, strip it down, keep it simple"
Daboll is the Honey Badger, Honey Badger don't care. You can DO this! Yes, it's crazy to think so! I'm a lunatic! LETSGO!
"The Bills’ offense is ever-changing. One of Daboll’s go-to phrases deals with how the NFL is a week-to-week league.
“That’s how I’ve been brought up in the business,” he said Thursday as the Bills concluded their practice week ahead the AFC wild-card playoff game Saturday at Houston. “The defenses are different that you're going against. The schemes are different. You try to put together the best plan you can to try to win that game, whether it's run it a bunch, throw it a bunch. Different run schemes, different pass schemes, that's what we try to do. (....) We have our own style and our own system, but the philosophy behind game-plan (specific) offense is something that I really believe in,”
Morse is right. Daboll is a lunatic. A total genuine freakin' lunatic.
And then there's Josh Allen. He's improved, but he can still look freakin' incompetent at times. Then other times he pulls off ***** that no normal human should be able to pull off: "Oh my goodness! The QB just....OUT AGGRESSIVED the entire defensive line!" He makes throws that will spin your head around like Linda Blair on the Exorcist. We have Knox, who makes 10/10 High Degree of Difficulty stuff then drops the Bunnies. Our receiving corps is crazy: bunch of tiny Smurfs....who can strip the jocks right off the best DBs in the league.The playoffs are this weekend, and here we are, #5 seed with a record equal to the division winner we'll face. Here We Go!
Billy Joel said it:
If a cover version could change "Bedford Stuy" alone it would even make a pretty wicked Stadium Player Intro song, actually
This post is trying way to hard.
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6 minutes ago, Doc said:
I don’t recall anybody saying anything about not wanting Kitchens.Which has nothing to do with "pining". I am one of those people that think words have meaning.
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2 hours ago, Locomark said:
Interesting stat...DiMarco has 41 yards receiving on the season and Robert “deep threat” Foster has 64.....glad he plays teams.
He wins the annual McD waste of a roster spot award I am now calling the “Tolberts”
It should be the Peterman award
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11 hours ago, Doc said:
And it was just a few months ago where more than a few were pining for the off-season moves of the Browns.
To be fair, I am not aware of anyone anywhere pining for Kitchens as HC. (Other than Baker Mayfield)
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12 hours ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:
Listen to yourself. "Routine play for any gunner"
Correct. Foster is the gunner. That's the point. Foster is the gunner because he cemented his role as the best choice for the position.
Who is the alternative? Hint: if "just a back up safety or DB" were a better gunner than Foster, they'd have replaced him as gunner.
A replacement gunner only needs to be adequate, not "better", if the change upgrades the offense in a meaningful way.
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15 hours ago, Joe in Winslow said:
That would be great, to see Lamar Mania come crashing down.
Lamar mania will be over by the end of the 2020 season, with or without Roman.
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3 hours ago, Just in Atlanta said:
The pieces are there and this is the best team we've seen in two decades. The Pats dynasty, meanwhile, is breathing its last gasp. The Jets have ole googly-eyed Gase at the helm and the Dolphins are two years away.
Enjoy the ride while it lasts.
Why are the Dolphins two years away. They just beat the Pats in New England. Have 14 draft picks and 100+ of cap room.
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1 minute ago, GoBills808 said:
Not if they lose Roman.
a team that has the same head coach for a decade, only two gms in more than a decade becomes unstable if they lose an OC who is on about his fourth OC tour of duty. Weird. By that definition the Steelers became unstable when Dick Labeau was released.
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6 minutes ago, GoBills808 said:
In one fell swoop...this is how stable organizations like the Steelers come up aces even when they aren't good- their division does stupid, stupid stuff. Roman leaving Baltimore for Cleveland HC would simultaneously be bad for Browns and Ravens.
The Ravens aren't stable?
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1 minute ago, GoBills808 said:
Because passer rating is a bad stat
Stipulate that for arguments stake. Why does that mean this new stat is better?
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1 hour ago, matter2003 said:
In today's era where nobody throws INT's that is unbelievable. That would have led the league back in the Kelly era where mid teen to low 20 numbers of INTs were commonplace. Craziest part about it is Winston doesn't see it as an issue and said he is just going to keep slinging it.
Winston being ranked dramatically higher than Jimmy G. makes me question why this would be superior to simply looking at passer rating.
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Without supplying the formula its hard to validate whether or not it is any more logical than simply using passer rating. But It looks like you had fun doing it.
Personally, I think the gap in QB evaluation is largely around situational analysis and offensive style .
For example:QB 1 throws 4 yd completion 4 yd completion 4 yard completion. 12 yards and a first down = Passer Rating = 79
QB 2 throws ball incomplete, throws incomplete, throws 12 yard completion. 12 yards and a first down = Passer rating = 46
QB 3 throws ball incomplete, throws incomplete, throws 35 yard completion. 35 yards and a first down = passer rating = 79
QB 4 throw ball 30 yards, throws ball 30 yards, throws interception 2 first downs and a turnover, passer rating = passer rating = 70QB 1 is what I would call "Brady Style" QB2 is "Josh Style" nobody is really QB 3. QB4 is "Winston Style".
In terms of results, QB1 QB2 and QB3 should all lead to plenty of scoring drives. Its hard to say QB 4 is clearly better than QB 2.
I have my own theory that the best measure may be "points per drive start vs expected points per drive start". QB A starts on own 20 and leads the team to a field goal. QB B starts on the opponents 10 and leads the team to a TD. Which QB did a more effective job leading the offense?
Statistically drives starting on your own 20 net 0.4 points on average. So field goal in that situation is generate 2.6 points above expected.
Drives starting from the opponents 10 statistically generate 4.5 points per drive. So a TD generates 2.5 above expected results. Both drives above average and pretty similar in results. If someone tracked every drive you would have a pretty solid measure of offensive success compared to expected success.
You could also take it one step further and measure the offensives result, not just by points scored or not, but expected points resulting from field position for the opponent .
Also it should be noted that "Expected Results" is something that probably needs to be more dynamic than league average. Not every schedule offers similarly tough Defenses to play against.
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1 hour ago, ganesh said:
When a player is targeted 16 times in the season, how do you expect him to excel. With emergence of Knox and arrival of Beasley and Brown, there has been no opportunities for Foster.
Foster has not been able to create opportunities for himself. Maybe Williams can.
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14 minutes ago, LSHMEAB said:
Easy drops are a concern, but I'm definitely not gonna throw this kid under the bus. He's got all the talent in the world to be a real asset on offense. When he's "on," he's tough to cover.
We certainly don't have a plethora of young playmakers, and I believe his ceiling is much higher than Singletary's.
Singletary has had a great year for a third round RB. But translating from an 6 to 8 carry change of pace back to a feature back has not really translated to great results yet. I am not sure his ceiling very much higher.
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8 hours ago, Floydboy12 said:
Browns need to find the best deal they can for OBJ. Nearly impossible to win with a distraction like him on team. Add picks to shore up both lines. I'd say the same about Mayfield but it's hard to give up on what you thought was the franchise QB. Also may be a good idea to hire coach first and then find a gm he wants to work with aka the Bills.
Clearly the first step the Browns need to take, is to visit Two Bills Drive and find out what a random bunch of Bills fans think they should do. Once they get that insight, things should flow smoothly from there.
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1 minute ago, C.Biscuit97 said:
Huh? He got hurt his first year and lost last year. How many does Allen have? What’s the point of this?
you guys realize football is a team game. You don’t think Watson would have benefited playing with the number 3 defense instead of the number 28 one like Houston is ranked?
its cool to love our guy but Watson and Allen are asked to do different things. It’s like Mahomes last year. He had the second worst defense in the nfl but he must be a loser because he couldn’t get them to the SB.
The point is that with a poor supporting cast Watson does poorly. Allen has a ***** line, and poor pass catchers and mediorce backs. His results are impacted by that. Its not complicated.
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13 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said:
Yeah, let’s just pretend Watson also wasn’t amazing in college as well. Bills love to dismiss the talent of other qbs while they make every excuse for their own. Watson has had a garbage o line, garbage rbs, and now an average at best defense. He’s really really good.
how many playoffs wins does watson have with his garbage and defense?
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Just now, C.Biscuit97 said:
I mean this is the definition of being a homer. I think Allen has done some good things but Watson might be a top 5 qb right now. He has to carry that team to wins. Watson and our defense would be a SB contender.
Only if he gets to bring hopkins tunsil and fuller.
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Has to be Allen. It would suck to be a Texans fan.
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Playoff #1 Bills @ Texans PostGame Thread
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
Texans gave the game ball to the Refs, the true MVP today.