Chaos

bears are going to score more than the Bills or Eagles did against the WFT

should have been a flag there

We might need to consider the talent is overrated.

Maybe Dick Butkus is running things from Heaven tonight.

Are all NFL tv commentators required by contract to declareBieniemy a genius?

So stopping the vaunted Commanders pass rush is easy?

Probably until Edmunds is an adult.

The latest bombshell to drop on this one? The Bears coaches are working with Tremaine Edmunds on getting lower when he tackles. After their $72 million investment in a middle linebacker, he needs to work at tackling. https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nfl/bears-talent-judgment-backfiring-in-big-ways/ar-AA1hDaxB

We can watch the Chicago Edmunds vs the Washington Commanders unencumbered by a conflicting Bills game tonight.

Very sad. Great Player.

The impact of turnovers is hugely exaggerated. Bad teams lose. Bad teams have lots of turnovers. Bad teams lose because they are bad, not because they have turnovers. The situation you are discussing is an extreme example. However people underestimate the rump act of a punt. In the modern game the only difference between a punt and a turn over is average starting field position. Against the best offenses, ie Chiefs and Bills, starting field position is not a huge factor. Allen or Mahomes starting on their own 20, is more likely to result in points than Justin Fields starting at midfield.

I am not aware of anyone who posts on TBD disputes the Bills have been one of the best regular season team the last several years. (that #1 seed has been elusive, so not the actual best")

Everyone who soiled their pants over Josh only getting the team to a tie in regulation should feel embarrassed.

Every Snap Edmunds played against the Broncos. Five minutes of your life, you will never get back. https://x.com/ImBearingDown/status/1709704176949731688?s=20

About 50% of #1 seeds make it to the Super Bowl. Correlation is more likely at play than causation. Most often the #1 seed is likely the best team in the conference. But 50% of the time someone who is not a number 1 seed makes it to the Super Bowl. This happened as recently as 2021-22, when two #4 seeds played against each other in the Super Bowl. The #1 seed spot does not matter. But it is not dispositive. Side note - Mahomes has shown he can lose at home in the plaoffs.

Allen was brilliant the last three seasons. Then he injured his UCL. Then he had one bad game this year (with a 70% plus completion rate). Now he brilliant again. But now his brilliance is supported by a good oline, a much better running game, and a game plan using more play action. Same brilliant top 2 QB play, with a much better cast around him.

What are you evaluating with the “eye test”? A subjective judgement of who is the “best qb”? An objective judgement of who is the best passer? or something else?

In individual games, there is a high level of correlation between winning and the team with the higher passer rating. Win the passer rating battle, win the game. This reflects both the QB and the defensive efforts. I am not sure any statistic comparing across single games is particularly useful, other than wins/losses

Damn metric system

Most of my knowledge of Europe is based on the movie "Pulp Fiction". The location given in the movie for mayo on fries was France. Some of my other European knowledge base comes from American fast food restaurants. If I understand Long John Silvers correctly, the Brits use malt vinegar on fries.

Just like every game, the bills played in Toronto was a Bills home game every game Jacksonville plays in London should be a Jacksonville home game

As a side note, it is ridiculous that this counts as a Bills home game.

Oddly for all the complaints about passer rating, over the course of a season it is pretty effective at identifying the top QBs, and it correlates very well with winning football games.

I specified the last 3 seasons. Which does not include his first or second season. It does include the season the third season where Allen put the team ahead with 13 seconds to go against the Chiefs, with a much a much lesser offensive cast.

…by some…