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Posts posted by Mikie2times
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OP, to give you an idea, you not only have the local fan base fighting for a ticket but you have an entire generation of Bills fans between the ages of 34-41 (Give or take) across the United States that has never had a chance to see a Home playoff game. That fan base was was born from the early 90's Bills and these people become fans as kids because we had a lot of national exposure. Now they make adult money. I'm one of them and know several others. Good luck getting a ticket, it will be hard to come by.
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I watch a lot of college football and was singing his praises when we drafted him. Shifty in space, overlooked because of his size, college, and lack of a top end top gear. I thought he was first round talent 5-10 yards from the line of scrimmage. That is to say, the guy is hard to find, shifty, power, balance, acceleration. I really don't care if he's going to finish a 60 yard run or not at the clip he's breaking 10+ yard runs.
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Shame, these conditions in a home game SHOULD make us favorites against just about the entire league outside Baltimore and the 49ers. Dealing with cooler weather and 20+ MPH, only Allen and a few others can manage. Tom would shrink (See Philadelphia away game), Brees would struggle. The list of cerebral QB's with fading arms is rather long.
About the only thing you would really not like to see if your Buffalo is a run oriented team and probably the best kicker in NFL history (should we end up in a one score game). That is exactly what we get Sunday.
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I remember putting $100 on the ML at +950 on that game. Nice hit. In fact I miss Lamar at Louisville because he was such a great fade after he became really well known. That offense literally turned into give it to Lamar. He manufactured everything on every play. Petrino was just awful in how they utilized him. I like the notion that some of our players are familiar with him but take very little away from his time at Louisville.
I'm not scared of Lamar. He is having an amazing season, should be the MVP if things hold serve, but he will get figured out. You look at his passing numbers and it's easy to say and he's a great pocket passer. He isn't. His athleticism and the power Greg Romans run game has made two athletic QB's look like great passers, especially in the stat book. Lamar is just the next level of it all and Roman is having a field day. But all of his game and the Baltimore offense is predicated on running and once teams figure out how to neutralize that more Lamar will start looking much more baffled. I don't know when the blue print will come, I just know it will. Hopefully this weekend.
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I attended one of them with Jimbo in Detroit.
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Huge win today by the Bills and easily the most impressive of the season. That Denver team wasn't nearly as bad as the record indicated.
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I referenced this about Brady after the Eagles game and I based most of it on one concept. Not evaluating how good he is currently or how long he can play above average football. Just evaluating the psychological challenges age can have on a player like him. He's one of the most competitive players in NFL history. Not only from a standpoint of winning and losing but from the standpoint of evaluating his own performance. He has be talking for years about how long he can play. I don't think he really got his head around the concept that his body could just start failing him. So in a situation where he might have played poorly in the past he would usually show the poor body language, dust himself off, and whoever played him the following week good luck. What I think he's finding now is he keeps dusting himself off and nothing is happening. He keeps hitting a wall against what his expectations of himself are. He will come to the realization very soon that he will never be the player he was. Given who he is as a competitor, I just don't think he can survive long in that environment. He is too critical with himself and the psychological tole will eventually do him in. This is his last season in my opinion.
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21-13 Broncos
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3 hours ago, Chaos said:
seems like there is one group fans convinced that every team we play is better than their record indicates.
another group of fans seem to think we only play powder puffs.
I am in the category that by week 11, a good team playing at home should be expected to beat beat a 3-7 team who only has 1 road game as a fairly routine matter.
I expect it to be very polarizing. Pretty much every advanced model used to forecast future success has Buffalo very poorly rated. Most well below even the lowly 3-7 Broncos. They have us rated below Cleveland. It seems to me the more these simulations play out, the more it turns into see the advanced stats were right. Then a win like last week and it’s see we are that good, but the advanced stat guys are like, ugh, this is another powder puff. As usual the truth is somewhere in the middle. Look at the line movement on this game if you want a clear picture of exactly what I'm saying. Started off -5 and got immediately dropped to -4 and will close at -3. So what you got is the record driven thinkers/perception off record driving the opening number. Then the advanced guys driving it down. Handicappers do not care very much about records, in fact they want teams like Buffalo to have a following and become a popular bet only to fade the hell out of them if the data indicates a regression. I can say to a certainty the data indicates a regression, that doesn't mean it will occur, it's just the data. I can say for Denver it indicates a progression. If you care about that or not, that’s each fans perspective. Just as how much or little the fan base reacts to one game or a series of games. How much they factor in record, base stats, advanced stats and opponents. So on, so forth.
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Anybody that thinks Denver falls into the easy win category, rude awakening come Sunday . Don't let the record fool you. This is not a good match up for us. Denver could easily be 6-1 over the last 7 games playing a much more difficult schedule. Two losses by a total of 4 points and the Minnesota debacle last week. They looked better in wins against the Titans and Cleveland. They have an excellent running game ranking 10th on football outsiders. They have the 9th rated defense and 6th rated run defense on Football Outsiders. The make up they have is basically a carbon copy of the Eagles. We do get the benefit of facing an inexperienced QB but if we win this will certainly be the best team we have beat all season.
Following Denver we get another challenging situation. Dallas, like Denver, an excellent run game ranking 3rd in the league behind a huge offensive line. Unlike Denver we should have more luck running the ball. You can run on Dallas and you better try, because that pass rush. Dear lord. Ever since they added Bennett it's gone nuclear. Just having watched them two straight weeks the type of speed they bring off the edge and how aggressive they play. If Josh is dropping back and hanging out he will be done. We have to mirror what Minnesota did to them Sunday Night two weeks ago. Lot of running, misdirection, using the speed against them. Garett is capable of beating himself.
We will play consecutive weeks against teams that directly challenge our weaknesses as we have seen thus far. Excellent rushing teams, excellent run defense and pass rushing.
We have to get a split out of this thing. We will know how far this team has come and where we stand moving forward once everybody is fat and happy on Turkey next Thursday.
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18 minutes ago, billsfan1959 said:
Roman is an excellent coordinator and is a big part of getting the most out of Jackson’s talents.Right....how many teams would have asked Lamar to stop running. Learn how to be a NFL quarterback. This guy did the same thing with Kaep and Tyrod. Again, not nearly the talent of Lamar. But he’s got a special ability in the run game nobody else in the league has. In a league with growing pedestrian QB play, that and great defense can do a lot of damage.
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11 minutes ago, Bangarang said:
He strikes me as someone who would be a better coordinator than HC.
9 minutes ago, matter2003 said:The mistake people make is they assume just because you are a great coordinator you will automatically make a great head coach.
Nothing is farther from the truth. They require a hugely different skill set. Head coaches need to have a skill set of a CEO and have tons of non football decisions to make. They need to oversee and hold their coordinators and other coaches responsible. X's and O's are far less important than their leadership and ability to hold everyone accountable at the position.
This is why so many great coordinators make lousy head coaches. Just because you do a great job with X's and O's doesn't mean you can run an organization.
Title says he will be a HC. I agree he's better served as an OC but somebody will pursue him for a HC role soon. Even while thinking he would be a much better OC vs HC, I wouldn't have a problem with the hire. I don't see evidence from most converted OC's and DC's that they have some superior level of HC ability. Most fail in that spot, NFL is littered with them. At least he has a very clear plan. About as decisive in what he wants to do and accomplish as any coordinator in the league. He knows the path to accomplish it. He knows how to teach it. He knows the players he needs and he can get those players. This all pertaining to offense which makes him even more appealing. 99% of the rest of leagues OC's have a requirement that most teams never find (Excellent passing QB).
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I don't remember the general thoughts on Roman when we brought him on. Too much discussion over Tyrod and Rex at the time. What I do remember was some of the "This is a passing league comments". I remember fans thinking Roman was past his time.
As we all know the league changes. Perhaps Roman was a bit past his time a few years ago, perhaps he was ahead of it? I think many coaches will look at what Baltimore is doing and say hey, I'm not going to try and find the Bill Walsh 1 in 50 QB anymore. Why should I? Who can I get that is an athletic passer/runner, develop an outstanding run game and stack the defense. If that's your model who has a better history of executing it than Roman? His level of success is rather absurd, perhaps constantly undervalued during an era where the running game was all but dead.
His two years here we finished in the top 15 in points scored. Last time we did that in two consecutive years was 1995 and 1996.
He was with the 49ers prior, 3 straight years they finished top 15 in points scored. Last time they accomplished that was 2001, 2002, and 2003. They also went to two NFC championships and one Super Bowl during that time.
Now with Baltimore, leading the league in points scored and certainly looking poised to go on a deep playoff run.
I always loved this guys offense. He has done some great things with Kaep and Taylor, and some down right stupid things with Lamar. Lamar is a rare talent, I understand that. But he didn't exactly fail with less.
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1 hour ago, row_33 said:
Dallas can look like any slot on the spectrum from trash to gods on any given series this season
somehow i have never developed hate or like for America's Team over 50 years, leads to a lot of amusement by watching the reactions of others
I don't disagree about Dallas as a whole. I don't think they're a threat for a Super Bowl or anything. They're inconsistent. That said, what they do consistently is exactly what we don't do well. Namely run the ball with power (offensive line has been healthy and unhealthy all year, hopefully we get unhealthy). Then since they added Bennett, that pass rush is just dumb = Allen bailing, fumbles, picks, etc. If you caught them play the Vikings a few weeks ago, that is what we need to do in order to have a chance. Minnesota lived off play action, screens, anything to turn the speed and aggressiveness Dallas has on defense against itself.
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Dallas game is going to really be a struggle. Just the way the Cowboys are built. I don't think they're Top 5, but they have a huge offensive line geared toward the power run game and a defense that gets to the QB about as fast as any team in the NFL. If you watched them lately you would know what I'm talking about. OK results, it's the the style of play that scares me.
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16 minutes ago, The Real Buffalo Joe said:
He's not what he once was. Unfortunately for us, the Patriots* prepared for this and have the best defense they've had in a long time.
I’m not ready to concede to this. Just like I’m not ready to get overzealous about the Bills. New England got waxed by Baltimore. Philadelphia has played several times this year with both Jackson and Jeffery out and they look like crap when that happens, Wentz has looked lost in these spots. Like Buffalo, they just haven’t played anybody. Points for taking care of business, but I would give the Bills better odds at winning a playoff game this year than New England MAKING the Super Bowl.
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27 minutes ago, atlbillsfan1975 said:
By end of the season it is happening. You can see it big time.
I don’t think the Pats getting home field advantage is an advantage. The colder it is I think we see a worse game for Tom. Love to see the camera pan the stadium and the look on all the Pats fans as they know the end is here.
Belichick is the best but at some point you have to have a good QB to win the big games. Brady is doing just enough with his experience and wisdom of the game . It won’t be enough soon.That’s what drove my post. He has the look of a man whose body is failing him. It’s like you can see him start to get it. You can only dust yourself off so many times and try and overcome that adversity. I also agree on the weather. If he keeps playing, I imagine it will be somewhere warm. It would be a mistake though. I can’t stand the dude, but after his career I would much rather him go out semi on top or on top than as a beaten man half of what he was.
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13 hours ago, Livinginthepast said:
Its always been Brady's quick thinking on his feet and ability to understand what he is facing (in an instant) in a defense that has been his greatest asset. I don't see any decline there at all. His pocket presence is still decent and he still is able to avoid the sack for the most part. Passing accuracy and strength has dropped off but he is probably at the level of a 35 year old Qb now. As long as he has weapons on offense and a great D, he unfortunately will continue to dominate.
Actually I do see a decline there. Maybe a millisecond or two. Then another couple milliseconds on release. Then weaker arm. His offensive line isn’t doing him any favors nor are his receivers but they didn’t in the past all that much either. Again, main point is this is not a guy I’m scared of anymore. He’s not done per say, but I’m not worried about some magical Brady GOAT legend virtually guaranteeing outcomes like he has his whole career. He’s not that player anymore. Defense or not, that makes New England vulnerable.
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I suppose it depends on your definition of done.
Is he good enough to run an efficient offense? Sure.
Can he lead his team to a solid record with great defensive play? Sure.
Will his QB rating look appealing? Sure.
Are you still scared of him putting New England on his back and willing them to victory? Not at all.
Are you still thinking a loss is all but guaranteed if the game is close and New England has the ball last? Not at all.
It's the start of the demise. How much longer until it turns into an abrupt decline? Not sure. He's not showing accuracy like he has in the past. Not the same pocket presence. Instead of just being annoyed by the pass rush he is completely wilting and becoming more Trent than Tom in his check down frequency. He's afraid of getting hit and can't get the ball downfield. Setting his own personal records multiple times this season as far as passing inefficiency. For the first time I'm not nervous about New England because of Tom Brady. That defense with an above average QB is a very difficult out, but he is no longer playing like the GOAT and the decline is coming.
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18 minutes ago, Seven-N-Nine said:
And now they have lost to a bad team, I'm wondering if they will be an underdog in Miami now.
According to DVOA and Vegas the line it was even on a neutral field. According to the final score the line we even on a neutral field. From rankings 23-32 ten teams exist, Buffalo being one of them at 25. We are 6-1 against those teams, 1-1 against teams 23 and 24. 0-2 against everybody else. I'm not a doomsday person here. Nobody thought playoffs when the season started and we have done a great job at taking care of business against the teams slotted worse (6-0). That's an impressive 6-0, but where we are, it's not far off our preseason expectations. Every game we play each week is up for grabs. We shouldn't be assumed to be better or write in wins against anybody.
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https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/teameff/2019
Again, we still will make the playoffs in my opinion, but when Vegas pegs you as even on a neutral field with the Browns and this information feeds into Vegas and supports it. Yes, these rankings are accurate from my chair. Had we won by a few points it wouldn't have changed my view on that.
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Chicks don’t even know the name of our band
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Fitz just never got the right situation for him because his skill set doesn't really allow for it. He is incredible off the bench when a team needs a spark but in order to put him in that position proactively it likely means alienating your starter. If coaches felt more comfortable just letting a starter know look, your playing like crap and Fitzy is coming in. Your still our guy. Well, I could see somebody like that really being able to help a franchise. Unfortunately he usually only came in after injury or then he played well enough to be named starter. He should have always been a guy to light a fuse and had plenty of options to do so given today's QB play if coaches weren't so squeamish on pulling a guy temporarily .
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2 hours ago, apuszczalowski said:
Probably depends on when it happened.
If he was born blind it probably wasn't hard because he grew up learning how to do everything with the disability not knowing anything else. If it happened later in life it's probably more difficult because you have to relearn how to do things and you know there's a difference you aren't used too
He was born with it. Just the whole depth perception thing and playing corner (obviously with his good eye facing the QB). It was really a great story. One of those guys when he made a tackle would just charge up on the ball carrier with so fast and always cut peoples legs out before they could even make a move. It was impressive to watch.
Rumor Roethlisberger done with Football
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
I live 30 minutes from his home town and the stories that come out of Findlay are far worse than anything the Media has reported. Also well before the media reported it.