Backintheday544
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Posts posted by Backintheday544
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Panic mode setting in1 hour ago, B-Man said:Emerson update.
Thanks for pointing this one out!!! What’s really cool about it is the data you looked at doesn’t include the learners.
When you include learners, you get:
With leaners pushed:
Arizona - 🔴 Trump +1.1
Georgia - 🔴 Trump +2.1
Pennsylvania - 🔵 Harris +0.3
Wisconsin - 🔴 Trump +1.6
Nevada - 🟡 Trump +0.1 (was 0.6 w/o push, so still "tied")
Michigan - 🔵 Harris +0.7
N. Carolina - 🔵 Harris +0.4
What does that get us?? A Harris victory!!!
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Crazy a guy calls himself a black Nazi and wants slavery to come back but not a single Republican has come out to be disapprove of the guy.
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There’s no Trump-mentum:
https://abcnews.go.com/US/harris-trump-august-fundraising-fec-filings/story?id=113893128
This comes after the Harris campaign and the DNC raised $257 million in the month of August, while the Trump campaign and the RNC raised $85 million the same month, filings show.
Trump's Save America PAC's new filing also shows that it spent nearly $2 million on legal bills in August, with one of Trump's lawyers, Todd Blanche, receiving more than $1 million of that sum.
Of the $85 million- $5 million came from 1 guy! Lol
oh and Oprah raised $100 million at her event the other day. More than Trump did in all of August in 1 day!!!
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With this guy and the Gaetz stuff that just came out, all Republicans aren't just weird, they're sick.
"One of the witnesses said in a sworn affidavit that the teenager, who was a junior in high school at the time, was naked; people attending the party engaged in “sexual activities”; and partygoers consumed alcohol, cocaine, ecstasy, and marijuana. Testimony from the witness and two other women, one of whom was Gaetz’s then girlfriend, all placed the congressman at the party. A digital forensic examiner also confirmed activity from Gaetz’s cell phone at Dorworth’s house." (https://newrepublic.com/post/186197/matt-gaetz-sex-scandal-new-documents-minor)
And we know that's real because in the debate thread the righties here said sworn affidavits are legit evidence.
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Update on all the aggregation sites:
Forecast tracker (Sep 21)
Name
13 Keys 🔵Harris100%
Primary Model🔵Harris75%
538🔵Harris60%
RacetotheWH🔵Harris60%
The Economist🔵Harris60%
Split Ticket🔵Harris62%
JHK🔵Harris55%
DDHQ/The Hill🔵Harris55%
CNanalysis🔵Harris53.5%
Votehub🔵Harris
RCP🔵Harris
24Cast🔵Harris72%
Solid Purple🔵Harris56%
338Canada🔵Harris54%
David’s Model🔵Harris50.8%
Nate Silver🔵Harris51.1%
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10 hours ago, Big Blitz said:
Uh oh! Nate Silver’s company really still caking in those reliable Q and MC polls.
Btw, where were the polls this week - they are all missing again.
and just like that Harris is tied in PA on Polymarketbut that is good to point out he inefficiencies in Polymarket vs a regular betting site.
ooooo and a high quality PA poll hit last night
How bad is this PA poll and the other recent PA polls? If Trump loses PA, he needs GA, NC, AZ, and to peel off either MI or WI to win. That ain't happening.
Harris has a clear map advantage headed into early voting.
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They’re not a great comparison since 2020 was covid so early vote was probably depressed a little with people doing mail but…
Final turnout total from Fairfax County, VA on Day 1 is 3907. The 2020 number is 1213. This is a Democratic stronghold as Biden’s margin here was +42 in 2020.
Because VA didn’t have non-excuse early voting in 2016, and 2020 was special because of the pandemic, there is no baseline for comparison.
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Extending leads at Polymarket
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All the PA teamsters endorsing Harris!!!
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Stuff like this and what the GOP is pulling in PA is why Harris first act should be to get PR and DC as states. republicans won’t have the senate for a long while with 4 new Dem senators. Abolish the senate filibuster. Stuff the Supreme Court with the most liberal judges possible.
GOP wants to play politics, about time to one up them.
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Not a good look for Trump. 57 percent of a 4848 sample says he shouldn’t be president with 20 percent undecided.
This is going to be a landslide for Harris.
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They’re just pushing it now because Maine passed their deadline to change. NB is held up by 1 Republican who used to be a Dem that said he would never go for it.
It’s really pointless anyway. The only way this affects the election is if it’s 269-269. Then it would most likely be Trump as President and Walz as Vice. Trumps old as hell and eats terribly. I’d put my money on an eventual Walz presidency in the next 4 years under this.
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More good news
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41 minutes ago, SCBills said:
This time a few years ago, polling came out in South Carolina that had Jaime Harrison tied with Lindsey Graham.
Lindsey Graham won in a landslide.
Cruz/Allred feels similar.
Main difference here is Cruz is unliked by everyone. Graham I don’t believe ever had a really negative approval rating from the right.Dont forget in 2018 when Crux had to run, Cruz beat Beto by only 200,000 votes. He hasn’t gotten more popular.
Graham went from +16 before the Harrison election in 2014.
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3 hours ago, Westside said:
Hoax
take that hoax all the way to the bank!!!
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Bad news for Republicans. Last special election before Nov and we got a +7 shift to Dem from last election
https://www.cbsnews.com/newyork/news/donald-payne-jr-seat-in-congress-lamonica-mciver/
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2 hours ago, BillsFanNC said:
Lol that’s just a lie. I watched for a bit and it was 270k and is up to 1.3 million views. -
2 minutes ago, Roundybout said:
Yeah, I don’t care about the Walz thing, and the other two are fabrications. What else ya got?
What about Trump having an affair with a porn star while his wife was pregnant, huh? Yea what about that….. is that how whataboutism works or can I only use Dems as the bad guys? -
Fox News is even talking about it
Hell yea!!!! Lower that Republican NC voter enthusiasm!
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This is MAGA
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14 minutes ago, BillsFanNC said:
This ignores that polls right now in NC are slightly for Harris. In a close election turn out matters. This just needs to convince 2 percent of the Republicans in NC to not show up to vote, if that. If less than 2 percent didn’t show up in 2020 Biden wins NC.-
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Cruz losing!!!!
ILLEGAL ALIEN Menu: Dogs, Cats And Geese
in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Posted
People on the right here need to understand they are the minority. They’re not a silent majority or a loud majority. They are firmly minorities in this country.