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Gettysburg

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Everything posted by Gettysburg

  1. Saints are a complete team. Would be interesting to see their offense though against the Bills Defense.
  2. Changes at WR, Oline, and Special Teams helped, so did playing the Jets, but the eye test is what matters. Barkely visually is just much better than the 3 quarterbacks the Bills have started this year. He is talented and polished. Allen is talented and unpolished. Anderson and Peterman had moments where they looked ok for filling in for a few downs or plays but never could not put entire games together. If Allen wasn't coming off a long layoff I think he could fare ok. He has not seen a live defense in a long time. Starting him makes little sense. I would just go with Barkley until the Jets at home. If the goal is to give him reps and confidence then the Jets at home in a few weeks looks like a much better spot to return. If Barkley beats the Jaguars and Dolphins you just have to stick with the hot hand until they are eliminated from the playoffs.
  3. The Bills will blow it open with turnovers. I don't think the Jaguars want anything to do with getting on a plane and coming up to play in cold weather. I bet they fold early. My only concern is if Bills start rookie and their defense makes him look like what he is. A rookie that has not played in 5 or 6 weeks coming off a pretty serious injury.
  4. I understand odds just fine. I don't think every game is a 50% chance. I don't see the Bills losing another home game this year. Confident they are going to win all 4. 100%.
  5. I don't know if he is very good, but nobody is going to get upset with anyone you put on a practice squad, as long as they stay there. If he is a great practice quarterback that can get the Bills defense prepared bring him in. If not, don't bring him in. Coaches should not make decisions based on what fans or national media think or say.
  6. I like the Bills chances. Jaguars probably check out like the Jets.
  7. The only start that matters is with the Bills. And he looked like the best quarterback that has played for the Bills in a long time. 31 points in a half against anyone is a miracle with a team that couldn't score on anyone.
  8. He is a good coach but has a Hall of Fame quarterback. The Bills also made the playoffs last year. He didn't and he had a heck of a lot more talent. I wouldn't want to play him in the playoffs but he isn't beating the Chiefs.
  9. Minnesota's defense is not Jacksonville's defense. This defense will eat Allen for lunch. Or any rookie for lunch. He will have no idea what is going on.
  10. I thought Jacksonville would lose like 21-3 or something like that but Jacksonville is obviously playing for their life today. I still cant see Jacksonville scoring on the BIlls and I can see the Bills feasting on Bortles turnovers. My concern is they start a rookie. I don't think you can play Allen against this defense.
  11. If they start Barkley we will win. If Allen, no shot. The Bills defense will shut down Jacksonville. Allen though will be confused all day and throw pick after pick. Barkley likely will fare better and the Bills should pull out a 17-13 game or something like that. Asking a rookie coming off an injury and a more than a month on the sideline to return against this defense would not be wise.
  12. Jacksonville will not be a 7 point favorite if Barkley starts. In fact if Jacksonville gets blown out today, the Bills will be favored if Barkley starts. The line is assuming the Bills are throwing a rookie against that defense. I think you will see the end of Jacksonville today. Six straight losses, out of playoff contention. They will pack it in. Just like the Jets.
  13. I wasn't taking objection to your post. I was annoyed by being called a troll. I really believe the Bills vs Pats in week 16 will determine the AFC East winner. I think the Bills are the best team in the AFC East if they keep Barkley in at Quarterback. I think this division can be won with our defense and a competent offense. Teams with the number 1 defense in football should and usually are in the playoffs.
  14. Troll? I laid out a plausible scenario. I included a playoff calculator to verify the outcomes of my statements. I firmly believe the Bills will win their next four games and the Pats will drop 3 of their next 4 games. This will set up the Bills at the Patriots in week 16 and that game will determine the winner of the division. What is so crazy about expecting the Bills to beat a bunch of bad football teams, with 3 of those games at home? What is so crazy about expecting the Patriots to lose to the Vikings, Dolphins on the road, and Steelers on the Road? I think the Bills Defense is the best unit in the AFC East. I think the Bills with Matt Barkely and added speed at the receiver position finally makes it a legitimate offense. I don't believe the Jets games was a fluke.
  15. The Bills are not losing to a Jacksonville team on a 6 game losing streak coming up to Orchard Park, especially a rested Bills team. That team will not even show up if it is under 32 degrees. The Bills Defense will eat the Dolphins for lunch. The Dolphins can't score, and I am confident if the Bills stick with the veteran they will. If they go with Allen, anything is possible, including a 9-3 loss.
  16. I don't think the Patriots are that good. That is where we differ. I think they are headed towards a collapse. I really believe they will get beaten at home by the Vikings, lose on the road to the Dolphins (just like they got blown out by the Titans last week) and the wheels will completely come off in Pittsburgh. I think they are done. The Bills have the number 1 defense in football. They finally have two NFL caliber quarterbacks. They get Jacksonville who will likely have lost 6 in a row next week. They get a soft Dolphins team the next week. They then get an atrocious Lions and atrocious Jets team at home. Is it really insane to predict they win the next 4? The Pats just got blown out by the Titans. The Pats get the Jets, then they get a hot Vikings team that could get even hotter, a road game against a team similar to the Titans in the Dolphins, and then the red hot Steelers. Is it insane to think they lose three of those four games? That happens and the Bills head to New England with the AFC East Championship on the line.
  17. That is not what I said. I think the chances of the Bills winning their last 5 ( plus NE which also counts as a loss for NE) are closer to 33%. I place a 90% chance at the Bills going 4-0 againt Jacksonville, Jets, Lions, and Dolphins. I expect all 4 to have checked out.
  18. I believe there is a 10% chance of the Bills winning their last 6 and also the Patriots losing to the Vikings, Steelers, and Dolphins on the road. 1 in 10. That is my guess. If it played out 10x then 1x it would fall perfectly. That is not very good, but it also isn't like hitting the lottery. The Bills schedule is weak. The Patriots are not that good as shown by their game against the Titans.
  19. This is the silliness of the Rooney Rule. Should a team that just fired a black coach have to interview minority candidates to replace him?
  20. Not true. What I am saying is the Bills chance of making the playoffs is highly improbably, but not as impossible as one would think. Therefore the Bills should still be trying to win games until they are officially eliminated. Benching a quarterback off a 41 point performance for a rookie just to get him experience is something you do only once you are eliminated from the playoffs. With how anemic the offense has been all year long, benching a quarterback off a 41 point performance is arguably the dumbest thing this team has done at quarterback. And they have done a lot of dumb things at quarterback.
  21. This picture is meaningless. It is only about winning the AFC East. All these other teams are irrelevant. The Bills catch the Pats and win the division or they are not making the playoffs. What I am saying is the Bills have a better chance of winning the division than people think and they should still be trying to win games, not get players experience. It is 1%. Not .1%. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/nfl-playoff-machine.html And you can't use the Bills season to predict future outcomes. The Bills are 3-3 with Allen or Barkely as their starters. Not 3-7. I take that into account. The computers do not. They run all scenarios as just a 3-7 Bills team.
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