Rew
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Posts posted by Rew
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Poyer and Hyde aren't at the levels they were at in their primes, but the defense is still notably worse when either are out. They may not be "arguably best safety pairing in the league", but they aren't a liability when on the field. Still both quality starters that have tremendous responsibility in an otherwise depleted secondary. I'd be comfortable with their skill levels going into next year, but unfortunately availability is becoming an issue.
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14 minutes ago, Scott7975 said:
Knowing cocky loser Dolphins fans talking about how they still own the division and the Bills lost to the Pats so its all good.
Actually, there are many of them that are ceding the division.
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Just now, balln said:
Right? Why does the sky judge seem to be heavily involved in beginning of year but then magically disappear now?
I believe he was talking about the giants play calling.
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41 minutes ago, Your Brown Eye said:
Still 3 more after that, and we will need help. We do not control our destiny, so we could win out and still not get in.
I don't think that is true after today
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Unfortunately, looks incomplete after another stellar Allen play
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Just now, Maine-iac said:
We have no one even sniffing the QB.
We were doing a lot better until epenesa's rib
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Just now, Brianmoorman4jesus said:
Why the ***** do we have no timeouts left?
We used them to preserve time for the O to have a drive and had to burn one on a Hyde injury
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What did he mismanage?
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The drive was going to happen. The int was on 3rd down. KC would have had another 20 yards to go after a punt, but they looked locked in that drive.
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Brady said it was his mistake and he had to have an answer. That time he had an answer.
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1 minute ago, zow2 said:
What the hell? on the update Simms said the Bills got the ball on KC 40 and rolling!
Got it on the 50, stalled on 40. Punted on 3rd and 9.
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1 hour ago, John from Riverside said:
Other than the pro bowlers that we have on injured reserve that were playing at pro bowl level
I had the same initial reaction, but the comment is true. Our current roster is healthy. We have vere few (none maybe?) of the "playing through it", "managing pain", "waiting until off-season for surgery", etc. We have a few critical pieces out for the season, but our 2023 roster for the rest of the year is healthier than most teams in week 14.
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3 hours ago, Gregg said:
Then why haven't Mayfield and Darnold gotten this type of hate. Both were also drafted ahead of Jackson.
Not sure why the media is so hard on Josh, but neither of them need an excuse to be critical of them.
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Hard not to agree with him
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4 hours ago, Buffalo619 said:
Collapsing is not playing well. We lost. Your definition of playing well is not good enough and not up to NFL standard. This isn’t pop Warner where you get a participation trophy. Lol
So you wouldn't consider the Bills' game against Philly "up to NFL standard"? Do you watch any NFL games?
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3 minutes ago, jcamm1966 said:
Shows how bad McD is
Or it shows that when you lose half of your defense it takes a few weeks to figure ***** out
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6 minutes ago, par73 said:
According to Marino's All-22 analysis, that pass to Davis in the end zone should have been to the outside (if so, biggest error of the game was on Allen). I don't know if that is correct, but if so, two biggest mistakes of the game were on JA.
Not just Joe. Multiple people would agree that if the play had time to develop that the "right" option was to the outside. That doesn't mean it was an error by Allen. The Zero Blitz didn't allow enough time to make the read. Davis didn't realize that the play was a bust and didn't look back to see if the ball was coming hot. Brady rightly stated that coaching was the issue. There should have been a true hot route that didn't rely on a long developing option.
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While including all turnovers makes sense, any total turnover count still hides some data. Using the same list that you provided, I tried to come up with a fair look at how likely someone is to turnover the ball and view on how likely they are to score a touchdown. Basically, the combination of sacks/rushes/receptions turn into "other touches". Fumble rate is lost fumbles on those touches. turnover rate is ints and fumbles out of all plays where the QB didn't hand off the ball (throw/scramble/rush/receive). touchdown rate is on the same basis as turnover rate. This is still not perfect, as it doesn't account for kneeldowns and arm punts, but more complete then any of the other views bouncing around today. I also wish I could find a publicly available breakdown of fumbles lost on sacks vs fumbles lost rushing, but no luck.
Out of this grouping of active players Allen is tasked with the 2nd highest total touch count (43 times per game). Allen is in the elite of the league (Rodgers/Mahomes/Allen) with how frequently their touches turn into touchdowns. Allen's touches result in a turnover 2.4% of the time, which is on the higher end of the 2-2.5% grouping. I ran numbers for a few other active players not on this list and they tend to be 2.5% on average with several in the 3-4% range and a few under 2%. As an example of high turnovers on active players, Winston is at 3.7%.
In conclusion, Allen touches the ball more times per game than most active quarterbacks, he scores touchdowns at a frequency that puts him at an elite level, and he turns over the ball around league average but at a higher frequency than many of the other elite players. In short, he is not at all representative of a "turnover machine", but he is also not a role model on elite ball security.
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7 hours ago, Ray Stonada said:
We have surprisingly few significant upsets, when I think about it.
Basically Dallas in 2019.
Beating KC at Arrowhead in 2021 and 2022.
It's hard to upset when you are the favorite, which we've been in most games for years.
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1 hour ago, John from Riverside said:
I hate to break this to you, but McDermott‘s not going anywhere. They could lose every game from here on out and he would still be here.
I'd agree that under most scenarios McD is still here next year. Losing out is one of the scenarios where he is probably let go
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On 11/27/2023 at 3:33 AM, Zerovoltz said:
11 wins would do it...but 10 probably won't because of all the bad tiebreakers the Bills don't hold. That Denver loss was BRUTAL...all the way around.
As of today 10 wins is like 50/50 if the loss is against an AFC team and 70/30 of the loss is against the cowboys.
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22 minutes ago, Drew21PA said:
Dang just did the playoff machine
we lose to either KC or Dallas things are ugly.
too bad teams like cinci and such are just rollover games for some in our division
just sad the Steelers will be most likely making the post season it’s unreal
Russ and the broncos most likely taking our 7th seed thanks to the pathetic showing against us
Actually if we go 4-1 losing to Dallas is the best odds of playoffs at this point.
With as lackluster as the AFC has turned out this year, we have near a 70% chance of landing a wildcard if we run the remaining AFC games.
Beat the chiefs and we'll start doing the math on whether Miami is going to have anything to play for in week 18.
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3 hours ago, Brianmoorman4jesus said:
The defense is the same zone every week every down every game. The league figured this guy’s defense out in 2020. Just zero adjustments and every QB that’s willing to take the easy throw will have anything they want on every 3rd down. If we aren’t turning people over, we aren’t stopping them. McDermotts defense is what cost us a Super Bowl and now it’s costing us the playoffs
Except we are sitting at 16th on defensive 3rd down % this season, 2nd best in the league over the last 3, and 7th last season. Criticism of McDermott is valid, but commentary like yours that is so far from reality makes it hard for anyone to have a serious conversation. This is far from "anything they want on every 3rd down".
McDermott is widely viewed (and backed by data) as one of the best overall defensive coaches in the game. It is well worth having a conversation about his situational play calling or game management, but you have to do it in the context of some pretty successful football.
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@HoofHeartedCan you give some education on decision criteria for option routes in our scheme? What are the reads, when do the receiver/QB make the read, and how clearly or how much room for ambiguity are the decisions.
On longer option routes the QB has to throw before the receiver even makes his decision. Can they both be right based on when they have to make the decision?
Week 15, Cowgirls v. Bills - Predict the Score
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Bill over boys, 35-32