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SoTier

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Posts posted by SoTier

  1. 9 minutes ago, Thrivefourfive said:

    We all expect a playoff birth. 
     

    The Bills have an impressive regular season and win 12+ games but are playoff fakers and even lose ANOTHER home playoff game.

     

    or

     

    The Bills figure it out late (again) and go into the playoffs playing well, win a game and compete in another (again), which would be a surprise and give some hope for the following season.

     

    Which scenario would you prefer?

     

    I'd prefer the Bills to have some luck in the playoffs, especially in regard to coin flips and injuries.

  2. 5 hours ago, US Egg said:

    Maybe a Buffalo thing, often hear crick instead of creek.

     

    That's definitely a WNY, especially Southern Tier, thing.   I've heard people refer to the village of Silver Creek as Silver Crik.

     

    One thing that I've noticed recently on tv is some actors seem to add an extra syllable to some words, most notably on words that end in ing.  Examples:

    go-ing becomes go-ing-ga or com-ing becomes com-ing-ga. 

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  3. 43 minutes ago, Trev said:

    McD is still our coach. No we’re not in contention and we won’t be until he is replaced. 

     

     So, who would you suggest to replace McDermott?   Mike McDaniel whose Fins were great at beating the crap out of bottom feeders (Broncos, Jests, Commanders, etc) but managed a single win against teams with winning records?   Maybe Bill Belichick? 

  4. 3 hours ago, Pine Barrens Mafia said:

    None of those guys are keeping DCs awake at night, that's just homerism. Kincaid MIGHT after this season, but not now.

     

    I don't think that the Bills need to have a roster full of elite offensive players who "keep DCs awake at night".   If they give Allen a variety of good/excellent options in both the passing and running game, Allen will give every DC he faces nightmares.   If the Bills were going to go for "elite" players, they might do better to add elite OLers than elite skill players.   I'm not arguing for getting by with JAGs on offense but the reality is that a team that's paying a prime franchise QB has limited options for adding/keeping difference making players past their rookie contracts so a lot of their offensive players are going to be on a level of Kincaid and Cook.

     

    I do think that the Bills absolutely need to find a couple of elite players on the defensive side, especially on the DL.   The Bills have had some bad luck with defensive injuries the last couple of seasons.   Miller, White, and Milano might have qualified as elite if not for injury.   Ed Oliver came into his own last season, and hopefully the Bills find a DE to take advantage of his good play inside to create more QB pressures.

     

     

  5. 9 hours ago, KDIGGZ said:

    90% of you couldn't complete a pass with nobody there except you and the super fast receiver that gets 10 yards down the field in less than 2 seconds. Now add in the 6'4" OL that you can't see over, the 300 pound DL running full speed towards you, and 65,000 people watching. There's definitely an art to it all. Good luck!

     

    I have no illusions that even fifty years ago as a 20 something I could complete even 1 NFL pass, so I owned the reality and voted a goose egg.

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  6. 8 hours ago, Big Blitz said:


    Don’t be shocked if Defense is what we’re talking about Thursday night.  

     

    I certainly hope not.   With the quality and quantity of WR prospects in this draft and the Bills need for a speedy outside WR, it ought to be a no-brainer to pick the low hanging fruit rather than reaching for a lesser prospect on defense. 

  7. 1 hour ago, Just Jack said:

    Saw Luke Combs at Highmark last night.  Even though I do not know his music, it was a great show.  Four opening acts, one being the Avett Brothers.  Concert started at 5:45pm, LC came on at 9pm.  Finished just about 11pm.  

     

    Better you went last night.  I think the folks who go tonight are freeze their arses!  The temp's not only going to be 40 or less but the winds are likely going to gusting over 20 MPH.  ☹️

  8. 41 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:

    Fair enough

     

    I guess, any of those guys (along with Newton) would be playing no more than 40-50% of the snaps. On the edge Von, Rousseau and Epenesa will play a lot. Jonathan and Toohill will play some too. On the interior, Ed O, Daquan, Austin Johnson and Deshawn Williams will all play. Obviously, a 1st will play quite a bit but the point being, they’ll be fine either way. Could they be better? Sure.
     

    On the boundary, they are lacking 2 starters and 200 targets. Those guys are going to play, at minimum, 80% of the snaps. They’re going to have the ball thrown to them, A LOT. When Allen is the reason that you win or lose, you need to support him so that he doesn’t have to keep doing it all by himself. 

     

    I pretty much agree.   I'm not a great follower of draft prospects and prognosticators (I've only started paying attention to all the draft talk in the last two weeks or so), but I think most of the draft analysts don't see this draft as particularly good one for defensive players, particularly edge rushers.  This draft is loaded with WR prospects, both in quality and quantity.   It's seems much more likely that the Bills find a top WR in this draft on Day 1 than they find a top pass rusher in the first round.

  9. 2 hours ago, Billznut said:

    I’m not sure what the previous poster was trying to say. 

     

    It might be a internet glitch.  If the "submit reply" button doesn't respond, if you hit submit again ... and again ... and again until it finally goes, the resulting post will have multiple copies of your original text in one large post.   Been there, done that.   Always check your posts ...

  10. 55 minutes ago, M. Wrotto said:

    With expectations lower this year than the past couple of years, here’s a thought. Offer Josh to the Bears for both of their first rounders and their second. Draft Williams, Thomas and Mckonkeywith the first rounders. Fill out the rest of the roster from there. Put 2024 in the books as a probable reset, Look out league in 2025.

     

    On the off chance that you are young person who is very new here and not a troll, I won't be crude or rude in my reply.  However, there is another recent "trade Josh for Chicago's picks" thread -- along with its own poll.   You should ask the moderators to combine this one with the earlier one.

  11. If Belichick was willing to be the Bills assistant HC and/or defensive coordinator, I would be all for it.  Dick LeBeau helped the Stillers win two Super Bowls (XL and XLIII) as a sort of HC emeritus with the title assistant HC/defensive coordinator.

     

    I think it's very unlikely that Belichick would consider such a position if the Bills offered it.  I think he wants to be a HC in order to get the wins he needs to become the winningest HC.

  12. 5 hours ago, Chaos said:

    If you take an objective view of the current Bills roster, other than Allen, are there any players on the current roster that justify refering to Beane as a wizard. Or is it more accurate to say the current roster, other than Allen, is kind of meh. 

     

    I doubt you know what a "meh" roster is, dude.  

     

    Check out some of these wonderful rosters from the Drought years:

    2001 - 3-13

    2003 - 6-10

    2006 - 7-9

    2008 - 7-9

    2010 - 4-12

    2011 - 6-10

    2014 - 9-7

     

    These rosters contained some outstanding players but most of the roster spots were occupied by players that had to improve significantly to make JAG level, especially on the lines.

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  13. 6 hours ago, FLFan said:

    https://theathletic.com/5418352/2024/04/17/nfl-mock-draft-2024-full-seven-rounds-dane-brugler/?source=user_shared_article

     

    I was not sure where else to post this but mods please merge if appropriate.

     

    For those of you with Athletic access, Brugler’s 7 round mock draft posted today.  Linked above. If you are not familiar with him, he publishes  an excellent compendium and ranking of NFL draft prospects each year that can also be found on the Athletic. He has the Bills trading up with Jacksonville to 17 using their first this year, two fourths, and a second next year to take Brian Thomas.  He has us with Cole Bishop, Safety in the second, and Javon Baker, WR in the third.  This seems like an excellent result to me, but certainly interested in what the more knowledgeable draft gurus around here think.
     

     I would be thrilled with Thomas in particular. Bishop seems more of a box safety but does have some cover skills as well.  Baker is a potential replacement to Gabe’s role on this team, but with more ability to get open in intermediate routes.  Good YAC ability as well. 

     

     

     

    I would be good with giving up that for Thomas.   I think that most analysts think Thomas will go in the teens.  I'm not into the draft more than to have a very superficial knowledge of the prospects the Bills could be targeting in the first round, so I defer others on the rest of the Bills picks.

  14. Belichick's career path was an outstanding DC who went on to become a great HC.  I would love McDermott to follow that path.

     

    Belichick's failure to secure a new job after his NE stint ended, has more to do with his having total control in NE for 24 years and how he's perceived as relating to his players than to his being a primarily defensive HC.  Most owners don't want a GM/HC although a few teams still use this model.  They want a GM and HC to work together rather than competing for supremacy. 

     

    I think that Belichick's perceived image is of a master manipulator and win-at-all-costs guy who doesn't tolerate mistakes, calls out anybody and everybody, etc.  I don't know if that's a true image or not, but I think when fans think of Belichick, that's a lot of what they think.    I think McDermott projects a much different image, one of a HC who cares for his players as people, is a patient teacher, is more encouraging coach than a disciplarian, and a HC who works well with others.  Again, I don't know that that's an accurate image, either, but several media analysts have speculated that many owners are looking for HCAs who work well with today's players -- and that would be kinder, gentler guys than Belichick and more like McDermott.  

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  15. 1 hour ago, Sweats said:

     

     

     

     

    You fit right in around here then.

     

    I'm undecided if you're trolling or if you simply refuse to admit, even to yourself, that you've said/wrote/posted something really stupid, so you have to defend that indefensible position to the death.   Brandon Beane has better things to do than waste even a nanosecond on considering a trade offer for Josh Allen ... that's supposing that some other GM has wasted even a nanosecond thinking that the Bills would accept any offer for him.

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  16. This  "epic" trade scenario is the stupidest idea that I've ever seen on TSW.   The Biils won the NFL equivalent of a $500 million Powerball lottery in 2018.    Trading away a generational QB talent in his prime makes absolutely no sense in the modern NFL with free agency and the salary cap forcing frequent player personnel turn over.  

     

    How hard is it to find a truly great NFL QB?   I bolded the first round QBs in the list below who I think are/were about equal with Josh Allen, which would be Rodgers and Mahomes.   I used red for the 2 QBs who have had significant injuries that derailed or may derail their pro careers.  Even if you include Luck and Burrow, the first round of 20 drafts have yielded only 5 what might be considered "generational QBs".  That's less than 8% of the QBs taken in the first round.   There were numerous franchise QBs who were very good and fewer who are/were close to great for a time, and a handful of likely HOFers.  Rodgers, Mahomes and Allen, however, are on a level above any NFL QBs who have played in their prime in the 21st century except for Peyton Manning and Tom Brady. 

     

    Here are 20 years of the 66 first round QBs in this century who have finished their rookies contracts:

    2001 ... 1 ... Michael Vick

    2002 ... 1 ... David Carr     3 ... Joey Harrington

    2003 ... 1 ... Carson Palmer     7 ... Byron Leftwich     19 ... Kyle Boller     22 ... Rex Grossman

    2004 ... 1 ... Eli Manning     4 ... Philip Rivers      11 ... Ben Roethlisberger      22 .. JP Losman

    2005 ... 1 ... Alex Smith     24 ... Aaron Rodgers      32 ... Jason Campbell

    2006 ... 3 ... Vince Young    10 ... Matt Leinart     11 ... Jay Cutler

    2007 ... 1 ... JaMarcus Russell    22 ... Brady Quinn

    2008 ... 3 ... Matt Ryan      18 ... Joe Flacco

    2009 ... 1 ... Matthew Stafford     5 ... Mark Sanchez    17 ... Josh Freeman

    2010 ... 1 ... Sam Bradford    25 ... Tim Tebow

    2011 ... 1 ... Cam Newton    8 ... Jake Locker    10 ... Blaine Gabbert    12 ... Christian Ponder

    2012 ... 1 ... Andrew Luck     2 ... Robert Griffin     8 ... Ryan Tannehill      22 ... Brandon Weeden

    2013 ... 16 ... EJ Manuel

    2014 ... 3 ... Blake Bortles     22 ... Johnny Manziel     32 ... Teddy Bridgewater

    2015 ... 1 ... Jameis Winston      2 ... Marcus Mariota

    2016 ... 1 ... Jared Goff     2 ... Carson Wentz      26 ... Paxton Lynch

    2017 ... 2 ... Mitch Trubisky    10 ... Patrick Mahomes   12 ... Deshaun Watson

    2018 ... 1 ... Baker Mayfield     3 ... Sam Darnold      7 ...  Josh Allen     10 ... Josh Rosen     32 ... Lamar Jackson

    2019 ... 1 ... Kyler Murray      6 ... Daniel Jones      15 ... Dwayne Haskins

    2020 ... 1 ... Joe Burrow      5 ... Tua Tagovailoa     6 ... Justin Herbert      26 ... Jordan Love

     

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  17. 58 minutes ago, JimmyNoodles said:

    I couldn't read the aricle becasue of the paywall, but that premise is correct IMO.  The more swings you get in the draft, the better chances you have of getting a hit.  Early rounds (1-3) render better athletes, so it obvously makes a difference where your picks lie.  While I generally like Beane, I hate his draft philosophy of moving up to get "his guy."  It costs us swings at the bat to get young cheap talent.  Here are the early trade ups.  QB you have to move up for, but the rest are very debatable how well we did.    

     

    In 2018 he moved up for a QB, which worked out because the Bills were lucky nobody selected Allen before us. Edmunds cost us a 3rd (we got back a 5th).

    2019 sent a 5th for Cody Ford.  Gave up 2 4th rounders for Knox.

    2020 trade for Diggs, sent a 1st, 5th, 6th, and a 2021 4th.  Got a 7th back  

    2021 no trade up. 

    2022 Elam cost a 4th

    2023 Kincaid cost a 4th.       

     

    The question about 2018 really is, would Beane have traded up to #7 if Allen was already gone?  Usually those first round trades are finalized when a team is on the clock ... so that the team trading up knows their guy is available.  I certainly hope that that was how Beane worked it to get Allen rather than just trading up to #7 on the hope that Allen would be available.

     

    Trading up without being sure that the player you want will be available seems a pretty stupid move.

  18.  

    On 4/13/2024 at 3:19 PM, CoudyBills said:

     

    23 hours ago, Just Jack said:

     

    Funny enough, my phone must have seen me reading your post, because shortly after my FB feed suggested this article...

     

    11 Unbelievable Conspiracy Theories That Were Actually True | HowStuffWorks

     

    Thanks for the enlightenment.   I think that many of those conspiracy theories, though, rather quickly crossed over to real conspiracies because evidence that there was some truth to them was found.    The Business Coup was discovered before it took place.   President Kennedy nixed the CIA's terror plot they intended to blame on Cuba.  The 1970s CIA assassination plots were discovered by Congress only a few years in.   

     

  19. On 4/13/2024 at 12:46 PM, julian said:

    This is common knowledge, many so called conspiracy theories have been proven correct, not sure how you don’t know this. I could list plenty but what’s the point ? You’re obviously coming from a place of skepticism and if you were genuinely interested in educating yourself about the topic you would have already done so and certainly wouldn’t be relying on a stranger on a message board to do so.

     

    Like I said, it’s really not controversial or interesting so I’m not going to entertain the back and forth, I respect your views and hope you have a nice weekend.

     

    I don't think you understand the difference between a conspiracy and a conspiracy theory.  

     

    If something illegal or sinister or unethical, occurs that's the result of two or more people planning it, that's a conspiracy.  Conspiracies leave clues that remain available after the fact to investigators -- conspirators themselves, people that conspirators may have confided in or confessed to or who may have seen something/heard relevant to the conspiracy, forensic evidence, various paper or electronic records, surveillance film or photos, etc.  Investigators may not be able to gather enough evidence to convict the conspirators in a court of law  or it may take them many years to get enough evidence to do so, but there is always some evidence of the conspiracy very early on in any investigation.    An example of a famous conspiracy in the US: Oklahoma City Bombing

     

    A conspiracy theory is an alleged conspiracy that's lacking with any substantial evidence that an a conspiracy exists.   The supposed "evidence" that supports conspiracy theories is most often denial that a single individual could have carried out the action so there must be others involved.  Another kind of "evidence" believers cite to support some conspiracy theories is pseudo-science or debunked science.  Frequently supporters of conspiracy theories may cite coincidences or omissions or mistakes as "evidence" of a conspiracy by someone. 

    Conspiracy theories linger for decades because no evidence ever comes to light, no matter how much rehashing of the facts.  There are no death bed confessions from co-conspirators.  No researchers working on other historical events about the same time never find some physical evidence that sheds new light on anything.

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  20. 17 hours ago, julian said:

    The fact you can’t admit that some so called “conspiracy theories” have proven to be true over time, just means your not a serious person or you live in an echo chamber, either way I respect your views and you have a great evening.

     

    Name three conspiracy theories that have been around for a quarter of a century or more that have been proven true.   I asked you this question before at the beginning of this thread and you never answered, so answer it now or you will prove that you are the one who is " not a serious person or you live in an echo chamber" -- and that you no respect others' view:

     

    On 4/12/2024 at 9:19 AM, SoTier said:

     

    What conspiracy theories have been "proven correct"?   After 60 years, there's as much proof that the CIA killed Kennedy as there is that the Cubans, Russians or Mafia killed him.   John Wilkes Booth died in a barn in southern Virginia in April 1865.  FDR didn't know about the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor before it happened.   Hitler didn't escape to South America.  Astronauts landed on the moon several times.   9/11 wasn't "an inside job".   Speculation, rumors, coincidences, debunked pseudo-scientific theories and outright lies do not constitute "proof". 

     

     

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