SoTier
-
Posts
4,977 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Gallery
Profiles
Forums
Events
Posts posted by SoTier
-
-
On 7/29/2023 at 5:31 PM, RalphWilson'sNewWar said:
One thing working for Miami is they do have the only offensive minded head coach in the AFC East.
Who I would also say is the best offensive coordinator in the AFC east.
And with Vic Fangio, on defense that would put them as having the best two coordinators in the division.
But what about Bellichick… historically he’s great, but he’s not what he was five seasons ago. And McDermott? Let’s see how long it takes for him to shake the rust off.
On 7/29/2023 at 6:44 PM, Ya Digg? said:I don’t get the love for Fangio-honestly what has he done that makes him this amazing def. Coordinator? One that automatically makes him the top guy in the division. Admittedly I had to look up the guy’s name, but the Jets guy has been there for a couple of years and they do (unfortunately have a great defense) and you are just ranking Fangio above McDermott and Belichik. I’m not saying you’re wrong, but I don’t understand what Fangio has done that makes him this amazing coordinator
I don't get it either. Fangio has had a long career as a defensive coordinator and produced some outstanding defenses, but he's also had average and below average defenses which suggests that he's not a super hero who can turn JAGs into superstars when his defense lacks talent or has been decimated by injury.
Belichick, McDermott and Saleh were all outstanding defensive coordinators prior to becoming successful HCs, so they're not exactly trash. More importantly, they've had several years to build their defensive teams so that their personnel fit their defensive systems whereas Fangio is going to have a defense that's largely been built by others, some or many of which may not be a good fit with what he wants to do. He also runs a very complicated defense that may take a while to become effective.
I have no doubt that Fangio can improve the Miami defense this season, but it was pretty poor last year. There's no way in hell, though, that Fangio's a better defensive coach than Belichick. It's not Belichick's coaching that's fallen off in NE, it's the talent level.
-
1
-
-
Terry Bradshaw. The Steelers won 4 Super Bowls between 1974 and 1979 after spending decades as one of the NFL's bottom feeders, and TB was their offensive leader.
-
1
-
-
5 minutes ago, billsbackto81 said:
Would you feel better if you heard it from Bill Nye or Neil Degrasse Tyson?
Nope.
-
32 minutes ago, Doc said:
She admitted it was a hoax. Should have claimed she was drunk or someone drugged her.
The girl in the Araiza case or the young woman in the Alabama case? I looked up the result of the Araiza investigation, and the criminal charges weren't brought against any of the defendents because there wasn't enough evidence to get convictions. Apparently, after the DA declined to bring charges, the girl (who was 17 at the time) filed the civil suit, which made Araiza's name public.
-
1 hour ago, billsbackto81 said:
Never mentioned a link. Referring mostly to YouTube sports videos, Twitter, podcasts and fans in general.
Well, that's certainly a scientific sample.
-
5 minutes ago, I'm Spartacus said:
Like that woman from Alabama that staged her fake abduction 2 weeks ago.
I think the difference is that the woman in the Araiza case actually had a basis for her criminal complaint in that she felt that she had been raped by several men at a party. I don't know if the criminal case against the other men went forward but the criminal investigation revealed that Araiza had left the party. The woman in Alabama fabricated the entire incident ... there never was a toddler on the side of the interstate and she was never kidnapped.
-
2
-
1
-
-
14 hours ago, Chaos said:
It would be interesting if someone was able to correlate competent oline play to QB longevity. I think its accurate to say Tom Brady had the longest stretch of excellent oline play during the longest QB career ever. Probably not a coincidence.
Longevity and success. Andrew Luck retired a decade earlier than he likely would have because of the injuries he suffered, compliments of Indy not investing in a better OL, but he's just the most notable example.
13 hours ago, Dan in Owego said:If they want him to run less then give him an elite line, period full stop.
Totally agree. Last year, Allen had to "run for his life" far too much. He also had to intentionally run far too much because the Bills running game was ineffective too often. A better OL would improve both of those issues even with just average RBs.
-
6 hours ago, Inigo Montoya said:
I think the jury is still out on how good of an NFL coach McDaniel is.
I don't like him as a person because of how he handled Tua's injuries and then having the moxie to come out in a press conference and say that he would never put a player out there who wasn't safe to play.... right after the entire NFL watched him do just that!
He put Tua back out against the Bills when he was clearly not safe to play, and to maintain the charade, he sent him back out 5 days later on a short week and nearly got him killed against the Bengals.
He said he would never sacrifice a player to get a win. Does anyone believe that? Not a fan.
I'm also not sold on McDaniel. Maybe he's the genius that he's been proclaimed to be, but the NFL's history is littered with coaches who seemed great in their first season but proved otherwise. Most recently, Chip Kelly with the Eagles and Kliff Kingsbury with the Cards turned out not to be quite the geniuses they were considered early on.
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
-
9 hours ago, Airseven said:
Yes. The three games last year are evidence. Dolphins eked one out in the heat. Bills eked one out in the snow. Bills eked out a home playoff game against a D-league QB. Dolphins have done a good job adding high end talent to their roster. There is no gap. Best of all the rivalry is back full throttle.
The gap between the Fins and Bills at QB is the size of the Grand Canyon. Tua is a good QB but he's not in the same zip code as Allen, Burrow or Mahomes, and that's the Bills' trump card.
-
On 7/26/2023 at 5:34 PM, The Frankish Reich said:
since 2000, no true "running QB" has ever lasted as an effective starter past Age 33.So we've all heard it. Josh Allen needs to change his game, become more of a pocket passer, less inclined to take off running. His longevity depends on it. Does it?
The sample is small, and many of the leaders on the yards per game board are still young and active.
But it's not promising.
Bottom line: since 2000, no true "running QB" has ever lasted as an effective starter past Age 33. [Exception: weird, inexplicable Randall Cunningham comeback at 35, but that happened in 1998.] Historically, you'd probably expect most QBs to run out of gas in their mid-30s. But we're now in the age of Brady, Brees, Rivers, Rodgers, Manning(s) playing into their late 30s or 40s, and yet no actual running (not "mobile" or "scrambling" - we're talking about the guys who pull it down and take off downfield) QB has made it past 33. Many were done in their 20s.
These are the post-2000 QBs who either averaged 30 yards per game running over at least a couple seasons of starts, or who had at least one 500+ yard rushing season or multiple 400+ yard rushing seasons in their careers. (No, Rodgers and Mahomes have never had even a single 400 yard rushing season)
1. Lamar Jackson. 63.4 rushing yards per game. 26 years old. Still active. Poor injury history.
2. Justin Fields. 57.9 yards per game. 24 years old. Too soon to tell.
3. Mike Vick. 42.7 yards per game. Basically done as a starter by Age 33 season (even with missing 2 years due to suspension)
4. Jalen Hurts. 42.2 yards per game. 24. Too soon to tell.
5. Josh Allen. 40.1 yards per game. 27. Too soon to tell.
6. Kyler Murray. 38.7 yards per game. 25. Too soon to tell
7. Cam Newton. 38.0 yards per game. Effectively done as a starter by Age 30 season.
8. Colin Kaepernick. 33.3 yards per game. Effectively done as a starter by Age 28. [**Big Asterisk]
9. Robert Griffin III. 32.3 yards per game. Effectively done as a starter by Age 24. Devastating knee injury.
10. Daniel Jones. 31.6 yards per game. 26. Too soon to tell.
11. Deshaun Watson. 30.9 yards per game. 27 Too soon to tell (but not looking promising) [*Little Asterisk]
12. Randall Cunningham. 30.6 yards per game. Effectively done as a starter at 31. But then with a weird, non-running QB career year at 35. Then done again at 36.
13. Russell Wilson. 28.7 yards per game, but four 500 yard-plus rushing seasons by age 29, including one 800 yard season. Effectively done at 33 (unless there's a surprise return to form under Sean Payton?)
14. Kordell Stewart. 23 yards per game [value decreased by early "slash" years], with four 400+, one 500+ rushing seson by age 29. Done as a starter by Age 30.
15. Tyrod Taylor. 25.6 yards per game, but three 400+ and one 500+ yard rushing season with the Bills. Constant injuries since. Done as a starter by Age 28.
13. Donovan McNabb. 20.7 yards per game, but three 400+ and one 600+ yard rushing seasons by age 26. Effectively done as a starter by Age 34.
14. Steve McNair. 22.3 yards per game, but five 400+ yard, one 500+ yard, and one 600+ yard rushing seasons by age 29. Effectively done as a starter by Age 34.
15. Daunte Culpepper. 25.3 yards per game, but five 400+ seasons, one 600+ rushing season by age 27. Done as a starter by age 28.
16. Vince Young. 24.3 yards per game, but rookie season 500+ yards rushing. Done completely by age 28. [*I feel like he should get the world's tiniest asterisk, but I'm not sure why]
THE GREAT EXCEPTION
17. Steve Young (included here even though he'd retired after 1999, and was before everyone else's time). 25.1 yards per game, but four 400+yard, one 500+ yard rushing seasons by age 32. Made it all the way to Age 37 as a top-flight starter, even rushing for 454 yards that year. Like I said: The Great Exception.
Your statement, " since 2000, no true "running QB" has ever lasted as an effective starter past Age 33" doesn't actually mean very much. Most pocket QBs, even starters, aren't particularly effective starters past age 33, either. Most QBs enter the NFL when they're 21 or 22, which means that they would have to be in the league for 11 or 12 years, yet you include numerous QBs who aren't old enough to be part of your sample.
Most QBs, whether passers or runners, don't have 11 or 12 year careers. I looked at the 43 QBs drafted in the first round between 1998 and 2012, meaning that they all could have the ability to play at least 10 years, and would have been the QB prospects given the most opportunity to become starters early in their careers. Only 21 of these 43 QBs (49%) had careers that lasted at least 10 years. Only 14 of the 43 QBs were starters for 10 or more seasons (33%). Only 9 of these QBs were starters every year they played (P Manning, McNabb, Palmer, Roethlisberger, Alex Smith, Cutler, Ryan, Stafford, and Tannehill). Phillip Rivers and Aaron Rodgers both sat on the bench for 2 and 3 years, respectively, before they became starters and Eli Manning was benched in his last year, so there were 12 first round QBs who were "career starters" over a decade or more in the NFL (28%).
There are numerous reasons why QBs fail to have long NFL careers. Mostly, they simply aren't talented enough. Sometimes they don't apply themselves to improving their skills. Sometimes they have/develop substance abuse problems. Sometimes other off-field issues, including mental health problems, short-circuit careers. Of course, even "pocket passers" can have their careers shortened by injury, with Andrew Luck being the poster-boy for injury shortening a career.
-
1
-
-
9 hours ago, Warcodered said:
I mean it is a bit of a mirror like situation, the Broncos did everything Wilson wanted and this year the Jets have been bowing to every one of Rogers whims.
Deja vue all over again ... the Broncos also were supposedly only a QB away from being a SB contender.
-
6 minutes ago, Buffalo03 said:
They just cleared 33 million in cap space so maybe this was why
The Jests being the Jests, that was my first thought, too. Splurging on another RB is something they seem likely to do rather than improving their OL, which is terrible.
-
My hummer(s?) are back in my garden. Usually I only see 1 female in the garden at a time, so I'm not sure if I have only one or different girls come at different times. I don't know how long hummers live, but I've had at least one female feasting on the bee balm by the porch every year for about a decade, so I suspect that there have been numerous girls coming at different times. Last year, after the young had fledged, I did see several males. The problem with observing hummers in my yard is that I have flower gardens with bee balm, hostas, salvias, and crocosmia (all hummer faves!) on three sides of my house, so they can be scattered all around. My lot is long and fairly narrow, so the back gardens that contain the trumpet vine and more hostas are a long way from the house, so seeing tiny birds there is impossible from the back porch.
I've had no luck attracting hummers to a feeder, which is where many people see multiple hummers. They apparently prefer real flowers! I'm trying again with a new feeder and nectar, but no luck so far. I'm going to put a shepard's hook in a batch of bee balm and see if that attracts some to the feeder.
-
2
-
-
1 hour ago, Buffalo03 said:
I'm not saying that they are giving information from other people, I'm saying that "they" are the other people. There's Watson and the women are the "other people"
Ummmm ... so, the victim saying, "Joe Smith walked up to me and stuck a gun in my face" shouldn't be accepted but Joe Smith saying "I didn't do it" should? Is that what you're say?????
-
1
-
-
On 7/19/2023 at 8:09 AM, RichRiderBills said:
I don't think we've ever seen the original emails. Whoever wanted to cancel Gruden found more power in "summarizing" or paraphrasing them.
Take for example the "racial bigotry" aspect, which has not existed in his reputation.
The root of this was supposedly an email where he made fun of Demaurice Smith and his lips.
Take that for how you will, but I see that as a huge stretch.
The reason that the "original emails" were never published is simply because many, if not most, were too disgusting to be published in the mainstream media, and before you start bellyaching about the "bias" of "MSM", consider that local and national news outlets don't broadcast or publish the worst crime or accident scene photos, either.
As for Gruden's "reputation", it was a carefully maintained fiction. He's just a hypocrite who revealed the real guy behind the facade with people he believed shared his "values". Mel Gibson never had a reputation as an anti-Semite, either, before he was arrested for drunk driving and started spewing venom about Jews.
-
1
-
-
9 hours ago, thenorthremembers said:
Yes, if truly apologetic and taking steps to correct the behavior, he certainly deserves forgiveness. I dont know if thats the case, but I know for certain I am human and have made terrible decisions and missteps in my life. I would hope people would forgive me for mine, as such I try to forgive others for theirs.
It's hard to be "truly apologetic" or take steps to correct bad behavior when the only thing you think you did wrong was getting caught. That seems to be Gruden as far as I can see. Keep in mind, too, that Gruden wasn't a dumb, easily influenced adolescent or young adult but a supposedly mature fifty-something who ought to have known better when he wrote these emails. Moreover, the volume of the bigotry Gruden expressed -- not to mention the crudity of some of it -- makes his behavior significantly more than some instances of poor decision making.
-
2
-
-
17 minutes ago, boyst said:
First, the USA Today newspaper is a pretty low end tabloid. Its topical approach and overall effect to local news, specifically through its parent company have ruined community communication bases.
2nd, I have not read one single review of the movie that doesn't leap to call it a right wing propaganda situation, or link "q-anon" etc.
3rd, it should be clear that critics are morons paid to stir emotions like Cowherd. They're not honest or living in a world of regular people. These same people praised Cuties or for its bravery and called it a great movie. They hated Hillbillyollogy and clowned on it for being too fake. The same people that praised Concussion and the little Mermaid remake as historic movies.
This is being made into something to make something of it. Plain and simple. It's a movie that shines a light on a real problem. It doesn't need a message, to be a symbol, or some sort of characterization of its deeper meaning. If these media types truly wanted to make it go away, they wouldn't cover it. They only ended up covering it because they were forced to by its popularity of the people - and when they covers it they are taking a massive ***** on it just because they hate the people who like the things they don't.
For the record I never saw cuties, I won't see this movie, either.
Did you read the article? It referenced/quoted several positive reviews as well as others that panned it. It also stated that the movie doesn't make any reference to QAnon or make any political statements. The connection to QAnon apparently stems from the film star's comments.
-
On 7/12/2023 at 4:51 PM, thenorthremembers said:
Thankfully Coaches and GMs are starting to become aware that the game is more about being smart than it is about Oklahoma Drills and bashing one anothers heads in.
Gruden still had one foot in the old ways and being an idiot finally got him done in. I think he deserves to be forgiven, what I don't think is anyone should be lining up to feel sorry for the guy.
Forgiven for being a bigot and a hypocrite? I think not. Howard Cosell left MNF voluntarily after the 1983 season because of the controversy resulting from a comment he made during a MNF broadcast in 1983 that was interpreted by many as racist (Cosell). Three decades later, Gruden wrote/posted excrement that was blatantly racist, homophobic and misogynistic, even by standards of the 1980s.
On 7/12/2023 at 7:30 PM, Limeaid said:Gruden has enough money to have a name change and some cosmetic surgery and some hair dye/wig and never need to deal with again,
On other hand: Jon Gruden intends “to burn the [NFL’s] house down”
I'm not sure what legal grounds Gruden has to sue the NFL over the emails. Once you send an email to someone, the recipient can do whatever he/she wants to do with it just as if you sent that person a letter via "snail mail". If these were sent to Snyder at an official Washington Commanders' email address, he absolutely had no expectation of privacy. Those emails became the property of the team as soon as they hit the team's server(s).
On 7/12/2023 at 8:25 PM, machine gun kelly said:I’ll say what I stayed when this was new, I don’t condone either nor does any reasonable person the horrible remarks, but to write it down on a permanent record is ######ed.
My sister and other family members are in law enforcement and she has stated so many times “everything is discoverable”. I’ve talked to my kids so many times and told them not even Snapchat that they tell me goes away in a date or two is crap. If law enforcement wants they can get just about anything. Texts, IG, Facebook, Snapchat and just about any other social media venue, even this board.
Thankfully we have mods to keep knuckleheads from themselves here (for the most part).
When I was in high school more than half a century ago, one my teachers said something that always stuck in my mind: never put down on paper anything you'd be ashamed for your mother to see. Just add email and/or social media, and that's still a good rule to follow.
-
4
-
1
-
-
On 7/15/2023 at 2:54 PM, boyst said:
Exactly.
Yet, Taken was a box office smash.
How does Taken blow up as a franchise and this gets blacklisted for 5 years?
FWIW ... Here's a piece on the film with some explanations about why it's controversial ... and why it wasn't released sooner: Why 'Sound of Freedom' is a Hit.
-
6 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:
Actually the odds are that the veterans will continue to be the kind of players they've been over the course of their careers.........not that "2 of the 5" will be a lot better than their career averages. It doesn't work that way.
Did you not live thru the offseason where Marv Levy and Dick Jauron signed 15 free agents who had been unable to excel anywhere in the NFL or in recent seasons and the best of the lot turned out to be the receiving inept Robert Royal? Or Beane's 2018 class of free agents where he allocated $100M to contracts for a half dozen players who had once been solid starters but had been in steep decline or injured more recently and ALL of them turned out to be terrible signings? There is not a law of averages associated with players who fail to excel or have injuries. This isn't like flipping a coin.
But don't take my word for it..........the general consensus is that the Bills offensive weapons around Allen are mediocre. And that's despite having Stefon Diggs and reasonable expectations for Dalton Kincaid as a rookie. It's just not an impressive group of receivers. I hope they play better in their continued reserve roles than their years of compiled stats indicate they are. Maybe the Bills get lucky and defy the actual odds........but I am presuming the more likely outcome.
A veteran player's potential to improve significantly depends upon several things, probably his age, position, and his "fit" for the new team being the most important. It's not uncommon for young veterans who played their first contracts as part-timers behind established veterans to blossom on other teams where they get the opportunity to start in an offensive or defensive system that fits their skill sets. Think Jerry Hughes, Michah Hyde, and Jordan Poyer. Sometimes, veterans just need an opportunity to play, too. Think Fred Jackson who failed to catch on with the Bears, Broncos and Packers and wound up in NFL Europe before signing with the Bills and finally getting an opportunity to play. Older veterans can sometimes improve, too, especially if they've been in a bad situation where they are used differently or feel better about the atmosphere, etc. There's also no guarantee that bringing in a big name FA is going to pay immediate dividends. In fact, there are numerous examples to show just the opposite, so teams need to do their homework to be sure that targets FAs truly fit.
What exactly constitutes your "general consensus" besides commentators, amateur and professional, who share your opinions about the Bills?
5 hours ago, Doc Brown said:Those aren't offensive weapon rankings and rightfully weigh the QB heavily. The Chiefs and Bills are #1 and #2 overall because that's where they finished last year and it's hard to argue either got worse in terms of overall personnel. Any "offensive weapon" rankings I've read have both of us around 10th with one elite weapon (Kelce and Diggs) with average depth behind them.
IMO, any team with a top level QB beyond his rookie contract, simply can't afford to have many other elite offensive players beyond their rookie contracts without depleting their defense of talent.
-
On 6/27/2023 at 9:00 PM, Limeaid said:
Agree. Very non-aggressive. They will have a bunch of sparrows and finches around and will defer to them.
Been trying to figure out a feeder for them for peanuts which a squirrel cannot get to.
There are feeders with weighted perches that are squirrel resistant. I bought a tube feeder like that to discourage pigeons (Squirrel Proof Tube Feeder). The ports are large enough to feed peanuts in shells. If the cardinals don't like my new feeder -- they tend to prefer platform type feeders -- I will probably get one that looks like a building that has long perches: Birders Choice Feeder
-
On 6/22/2023 at 9:06 PM, SCBills said:
Some people yearn for something more than the mundane.
I can’t make you understand that if you don’t want to.
Some people just HAVE to have bragging rights whatever the cost ... to themselves or to others.
On 6/23/2023 at 10:26 AM, Not at the table Karlos said:What? The navy heard it when it happened. They're an agent of the US government. They didn't release this immediately. They admitted to hearing it days before the debris field was found. You would be the loon in this situation.
-
1
-
-
On 6/22/2023 at 10:44 PM, Gugny said:
I am in Northeastern NY (Glens Falls, Saratoga, Lake George region).
Hardly any hummingbirds this year so far.
I thought it might be the poor air quality due to the fires in Canada, but that’s cleared up now and still nothing.
Anyone else?
I have about the usual number, which isn't a lot since I live in a very urban area. I usually see only 1 or 2 on any particular day. They start coming when my hostas start blooming and stay to feast on red bee balm (monarda). This year at least one has visited my fuschia plant hooked to the awning over the back porch, so I'm going to hang a hummingbird feeder near the other feeders to see what I get.
On 6/24/2023 at 4:57 PM, Limeaid said:I left peanuts in a cage to catch night feeder. Found a frightened cardinal in it.
Cardinals like to feed really late when it's almost dark. They also come very early in the morning. I think they do this because they're naturally very shy.
On 6/24/2023 at 10:25 PM, redtail hawk said:what is that?
It looks like a kingfisher, possibly a young one.
-
On 6/25/2023 at 11:50 PM, Draconator said:
Ok. The back story.
I'm bipolar. Diagnosed and all that. Not a big secret as my life is pretty much an open book. Back in my 20's, 30's, and early 40's, any income I had went to bars, dinners, etc. Rent and such be damned! (Such as the life of one with Bipolar).
Fast forward to the mid-'40s, and I found a psychiatrist who authorized a medication I was aware of that had good success with others with the same diagnosis. Now 8 years on that medication, and I could actually pay rent and the like. Not only that, but I can actually hold down a good job for more than 3 months at a time.
So yeah. My wonderful wife and I are buying our first house together. She is a previous homeowner with her prior husband. But for me? First-time homebuyer. No time like the present yo.
Congratulations on buying your first home, but especially for gaining control over your illness so that you can have a better life, with or without your own home!
-
1
-
Public Student Loan Forgiveness?
in Off the Wall
Posted
Student loan forgiveness programs go back to the 1970s at least. The general outlines of the programs have always been the same: students who accumulated debt in pursuing a degree could have all or part of it forgiven if they worked in specified fields, most commonly teaching in inner city schools. As college degrees became requirements for many jobs, most public employees were made eligible. In recent years, the program administrators, though, made it difficult for students to qualify for the program. The Biden administration has made it easier for more students to have their loans forgiven.