billsredneck1
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Posts posted by billsredneck1
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10 minutes ago, VW82 said:
I don’t mean to call him dumb either. I’m sure he’s a smart kid. He just doesn’t have hardwired football instincts like some of these guys who have been life and death with the game since they were kids. He’s behind the curve.
I can’t see any reason why Josh won’t have multiple receivers go off in a game on a consistent basis. He did that later in the season last year. It just takes him longer to find the open guy because he wants them to really get open so he can gun it in as appose to having to lead the receiver as much and risk behind inaccurate (my working theory). He’ll get better at that too. But it’s that extra second he takes in the pocket to figure out where/how to throw that’s going to determine a lot of his career. Bet he can shave at least half of it off in the next few years, and for him given all his other gifts that might be enough.
keep in mind that he was a rookie and trying to find jones/clay and foster. look at what he has this year. they've covered the bases.
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1 hour ago, billsfan1959 said:
I think Allen will learn to take the shorter routes more often; however, I believe he will always look to make the big play first. That just seems to be his mentality and, honestly, that's the kind of QB I want. My guess is that he will improve his completion %, but, he will likely stay in that 58 - 60% range. I am fine with that and I think he can be very successful in that range. Cam Newton was the MVP with a 59.8 completion percentage.
I think it is more important that he have a TD% of 5+ and an INT% of under 3.
me too. i'm excited! brown and foster on the outside should be a show. the cool thing is josh has such a fast ball that he can throw deep and the dbs won't have the time to adjust and break on the ball. like somone else said, i haven't been this excited since 1987.
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12 hours ago, ColoradoBills said:
So would I. It would be more than enough for JA to keep up his end of the bargain.
With the exception of the Orton year Bills haven't had 3,500 yards since 2011.
As for wins/losses. Too much of a team thing. Logically I got a 8-8 maybe a 9-7 season but it depends so much on so many new players.
If all goes real good 10 wins is not out of the question. The 1st 2 games right out of the gate will mean so much.
i agree with this. i'm worried about the 1st game being on the road against greg williams. if we start out 2-0 i'm expecting 11-5.
i also think josh will quiet the comp. percentage naysayers. he led the league in 20+ yd. attempts so when he starts taking those shorter outlets i believe he will be at no less than 64%. i also see a td/int. ratio much better than most seem to expect. i'm going with 3900yds. 27td 9int.
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44 minutes ago, JaCrispy said:
T...t...today, Tasker....I cringe every time I hear him speak...its unfortunate because it seems he tries so hard to spit it out but the words just will not come.
sounds like he's got that cocaine nasal drip thing going on. but, it's the only 3 hrs. that i'll listen to wgr except sports talk saturday ( sal's show).
i try to listen everyday and really give murph credit for his show prep and guests lineup.
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4 hours ago, Florida Bills Fanatic said:
I agree with you. Given his salary, I doubt that the Bills are in the market for Gerald McCoy. I envision the D-line in passing situations being Hughes, Oliver, Lawson at d-tackle, and either Murphy or Alexander at D-end. The price to acquire and pay McCoy is probably too high when there may be more pressing needs. I was in Indianapolis last week and there is talk there that the Colts may have an interest and a need for McCoy. They also have the cap space to take him. If he is made available, it could develop into competing bids which would drive up the cost to get him. I don't see Beane being interested in that scenario.
i've mentioned this as well and the added bonus is rushing lorax along with this. i think it will be very effective and even downright scary. hopefully murphy has a major comeback year.
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1 hour ago, ScottLaw said:
What the ***** are you talking about??
i haven't heard or have seen your posts in a while...which...correct me if i'm wrong fellow members, are generally to the negative. as to my point, i thought castillo, frazier and rico were gumba hires. bobbie johnson with daboll are gonna be the backbone to this offense for years. juan and daboll were like oil and water. the only question mark on this staff is frazier. if mcd has to right the ship too many times he will be gone too. i am very happy otherwise with the coaches right now. we are gonna improve dramatically on all phases.
the only iffy part is defensive line scheme.
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33 minutes ago, ScottLaw said:
That's not really an excuse.
You feel obligated to hire someone you worked with before even if he blows at what he does?That's a terrible reason to hire someone and a easy way to get yourself fired.
well look who came up for air. why did he hire rico, frazier and castillo?..
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On 5/11/2019 at 1:28 PM, ScottLaw said:
?
This is a terrible excuse.
Not sure if Kromer wasn't interested but keeping him on board would've made A LOT more sense than hiring Castillo. Kromer is an excellent O Line coach.
agreed but, i think 1st year coaches may tend to feel obligated to guys they've worked with in the past. then when the heat gets cranked up, they man up and make decisions.
i think the way our staff is built now is fantastic. i've always had my reservations with frazier but i'm willing to trust mcd as long as he exercises control over the d when needed.
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16 hours ago, Rocket94 said:
Depending on this coming season plays out, and if it were me...I would target the best DE and WR on 2020's draft board.
100% agree with this and imo clowney is fool's gold.
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7 hours ago, WideNine said:
This, and apologies for the long post.
We all hear it is a passing league, but a solid run game is still essential and NE put on a clinic last year that a strong run game coupled with short possession passing can still be pretty effective - added bonus of preserving Brady's 40+ year old noodle arm while keeping that other team's high-flying offense cooling their heels on the sideline too. Their defense, like ours was also good at limiting opponent TOP and creating turnovers.
They rushed for 1st downs an average of 131 to opponents 93, passing attempt for 1st down averages were too close to call which tells you that NE was able to possess the ball and run more rushing plays on average than their opponents. Now their average rushing plays (and this is where the contrast with the rest of the league can be seen) NE rushed 478 times while the average for the rest of the league was 367. Sony Michel was their workhorse for most of that. Passing they only attempted 574 to the league average of 605, BUT NE completed 378 to the league average of 370. So on average teams try 30 or so passes more than NE, but they have nearly 40 more fall incomplete. They were 10+ in turnover ratio.
Not to be Captain Ahab tilting at whales with my NE comparisons, but it seemed fitting when folks get so enamored with high flying offenses that you look at the team that has been able to bring those teams down and learn something from that.
Running the ball is still effective strategy, but you have to keep the sticks moving and maintain possession of the ball (as one can see with the increased number of plays on average NE was able to run). They are efficient in the passing game having far fewer passes fall incomplete, but not in the traditional sense of having a clear #1 WR diva-type that some on this board seems so determined to find; rather the ball is spread around to guys who do not drop it with the average yards around 15 - Gordon was their guy for stretching the field but only by a bit... note White who had the most reception but averaged 8.6 yards - evidence of that short possession game that the coaches want Allen to master over time.
James White 87 751 8.6 42 7 Julian Edelman 74 850 11.5 36 6 Rob Gronkowski 47 682 14.5 42 3 Josh Gordon 40 720 18.0 55 3 Chris Hogan 35 532 15.2 63 3 All this being said I don't think there should be any specific offensive philosophy the Bills fall into, rather being proficient running and passing and tailoring game plans for the next opponent. The only guiding principal that I think they stay committed to is working strategies into the game plan to wean Allen away a bit from the "hero ball" he plays to leaning a bit more on his team mates. That means having some patience with the short high-percentage game and working the running game that did not exist last year.
This does not mean that Allen will not take his deep shots, if he sees Brown or Foster singled up or uncovered he is going to use his cannon arm - as he should. His arm strength is an advantage that the Bills should not ignore. Also does not mean that Allen will not take off some times, he was pretty dangerous with his legs and gradually was learning to head for the sidelines or slide to avoid the big hits. If a defense gives up 15 yards of green in front of them, Allen is going to take off (and should) if he is confident he can get a 1st down or more.
More effective balance in our offense (rushes and short high-% passes) less turnovers or "3 and outs", just means it is going to be a nightmare for defensive coordinators to game plan the Bills. Of course we also need a defense that does not bend so much that teams can simply eat up the clock moving slowly down the field keeping our offense off the field (the flaw of that bend-don't-break nonsense) - statistically we have a very good defense, but teams with a good rushing attacks were able to move the sticks on us while we feasted on teams with poor offensive lines and passing attacks. I think those feasting games inflated our defensive averages and ranking enough to create some misleading assumptions. Lastly the wild card that cost us a few games where the offense and defense played tough, we need a Special Teams unit that can kick the ball, notch field goals when needed, cover to protect field position, or tilt field position a bit in our favor which was largely missing last year.
A lot needs to come together this year and not just the offense, and maybe Vegas is right, but they lean on metrics so much and can be blind to teams that are on the crux of breaking out. The Bills could be that team this year and I can't wait to see what the coaching staff is able to do.
wow...good job and i think they built this roster to do exactly what you said. daboll will game plan week to week ...opponent to opponent. when we need to rely on the run we will be able to do so and against guys like greggo....bombs away.
fwiw, greggo may be satan when it comes to a headhunting defense, but last year he led the league in giving up the biggest chunk plays. everything i see so far tells me these guys are planning their roster by looking at who they'll be playing. for once we have some active brain cells running this team. thank God.
i am expecting 10-6/11-5 ed oliver is gonna be dpoy!
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20 hours ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:
I dunno what "run first" means exactly, but Seasnakes and Ravens tend to break about even on rush attempts vs pass attemps, or even rush a bit more than they pass.
Seasnakes have won and played in a SB and had consistent playoff appearances 6 of last 7 seasons (looks like success might be fading though?)
Ravens won a SB what, 7 years ago? and prior to that enjoyed good success with a rush-heavy offense.
A number of teams would never be described as "run first" but they noticeably improve their success when they balance their passing attack with a better rushing game. Rams, N'Orleans, and Da Bears would all be examples.
It's been said that a successful rushing attack is a young QB's best friend, and I do believe it. So I hope our plan is balance. Somewhere between 45% - 48% rush attempts/(rush+pass) would be about right.
I'll wait to discuss a change in philosophy to becoming a passing team, when it's seen to be changed.
One can find equal evidence that we're trying to upgrade our rush game as well.
i am more excited than i've been since the sb years. we have got the horses up front and with bobbie johnson, hopefully they'll jell quickly. we are loaded at rb and looking at the wr corp they built, we could have the best show on tundra. brown / beasley,jones /duke / foster. i hope they keep 7 with mckenzie and sills making the roster. WE ARE BUILT TO SCORE!
add to that...knox / kroft and croom. i think sweeney becomes our next nick oleary and i don't see fisher making the cut.
and our defense should be giving us the chance to be on the offense a lot. i believe daboll is gonna unleash some stuff that is gonna be unstoppable!
edit: i know my math was off with wrs, but the first 5 and roberts are a lock so we'll have to wait and see....
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i'm glad we didn't get him. it's obvious he wanted to, not just be a rotational player and he got an incentive laden contract. good for him and glad we didn't pi$$ money away there.
i am confident in who we have. we may as well let lorax enjoy a career year. i think we'll get double digits from hughes and murphy....probably7-8 from lorax.
i'm hoping j. phillipps along with shaq , harry and oliver can pitch in for a dozen. maybe we get a couple from eddie, milano and tremaine.
i also hope we blitz more. i like mike love and this rookie they drafted late (d. johnson) could turn into a pass rushing machine. i'm expecting 40+ sacks.
i love what they did in the draft...except i would have probably done different in the 3rd rd. (jaylon ferguson), but i trust these guys. i haven't been this excited in years.
i'm just now on the edge of my seat waiting to see what the starting 5 on the oline looks like.
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1 hour ago, billsfan89 said:
If you are a free agent this time of year you have flaws. I would take a look at Shane Ray as a 4th DE. But I think Ben Watson becomes the primary target for Beane at this stage.
not at 38, besides he's in ne and will probably go to them.
4 hours ago, BarleyNY said:https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/free-agents/all/available/
Here is a list of unsigned FAs. It is very uninspiring after the first 4 names - and they don’t seem like fits for the Bills.
thanks for changing my community score and not leaving me stuck on that number! uggh
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1 hour ago, BarleyNY said:
https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/free-agents/all/available/
Here is a list of unsigned FAs. It is very uninspiring after the first 4 names - and they don’t seem like fits for the Bills.
a lot of decent/good players but all 30 or older. i'm really hoping trent murphy is the comeback player of the year.
wyatt teller will be our spot secret weapon on the dline. (ie.) short yardage/goaline situations. you heard it here first.
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i think we stand pat and kick shaq inside with oliver on passing downs. play murphy / lorax / love and the rookie d. johnson to rush the passer. we will be fine.
we need to blitz more. seems like every single time we did last year, we got a sack.
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13 hours ago, Joe in Winslow said:
You want bold? I'll give you bold.
Jets finish last in the division, behind even Miami.
....carp lips greggo goes ham on gase in a season long feud while the team implodes...
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41 minutes ago, gjv001 said:
If we are lucky Ty will be an upgrade at LT, and play for at least two years. This will give the Bills an opportunity to put a top 10 Oline on the field and win the Line of Scrimmage.
i'm wondering if ty would be the best or better of the 2 at lt and if dion would even be willing to kick inside for the time being. ty/dion/ morse/ ? / ford?
i definitely think they are planning on ford at rt.
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On 5/7/2019 at 8:31 AM, BuffaloHokie13 said:
I'm setting my bar at 265/450 (~59%), 3300 Passing Yards, 22 TDs, and 16 INTs.
i'm going 310/480 64.6% 3950 29 tds 9 int. allen will start taking those underneath or in the flat shots when needed instead of waiting for the home run throw.
plus much improved pass pro will help tremendously.
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for us to get to 10-6 and a playoff birth, i expect the averages to be:
no less than 28 att. per game
no less than 275 yds per game
no less than 3800 yds
i would like to expect higher in each stat but, it's josh's 2nd yr and our run game should be much improved.
hopefully we get an avg of 30/30 pass/run per game.
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11 hours ago, McGee Return TD said:
A healthy Murphy will do wonders for the d-line this year. I might be in the minority but I think he played pretty well when he was on the field last year. He can get 8-10 sacks across from Hughes.
That said, depth doesn't hurt, and if Ansah passes a medical evaluation he should be seriously considered. As much as a healthy Murphy would do wonders, it's unrealistic to expect him to play 16 games.
i'm hoping for murphy to be a monster this year ....and having lorax right behind him should wreak havoc. if oliver can push qbs out of the pocket, you know they're gonna run to the right away from hughes.
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this guy is gonna be a stud wr for us. period. i am so psyched...brown/ duke/ jones/beasely foster and combined with kroft and knox...not to mention shady out of the backfield,
we are gonna be unstoppable. i'm looking for a big payday this year....and our defense is gonna be badass...
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22 hours ago, NewEra said:
I’m more excited about him than any of our WR additions. Not because he’s the best, but because he’s such an unknown. He could be cut. He could be our best WR (unlikely, but Robert Foster was our best WR last year and he was cut during the season)
me too. i know he's gonna give 110% and could possibly be an eric moulds for us.
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no less than 9-7 but expecting 10-6.....maybe even better. imo the whole key to this season lies with brian dabol. we finally have an oc that isn't stuck with his own ego/plan and will game plan for each opponent and get the players in place to succeed. he also has an oline coach that he's on the same page with.
i hear a lot of callers on the radio complaining about the receiving corp. i'm assuming they are the ones that were pounding the table for dk.
with brown / beasley / jones / duke / foster along with kroft and knox, that looks like a solid group to me. i also see sills eventually helping. i believe dabol is gonna come out firing. our run game should also be top 5. special teams should also take a leap ahead.
if they can gel together a starting 5 oline before preseason starts, we could be a very hard team to stop.
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i would for sure extend hughes with a good 2yr. deal, but hopefully at the season's end. as far as shaq...when is the deadline? imo, he'd have to be able to kick inside.
he says he's much stronger now than last year. i don't see him as any more than a 2 down end at best and if he progresses this year fine, but if i'm gonna pay him he'd have to have the ability to kick inside when needed.
i wonder how he'd do next to oliver on passing downs with hughes and murphy on the ends with lorax rushing as well. i'm thinking that could be pretty effective. if trent is healthy and really has a bounce back year, i'd rather have him at end though.
hopefully harold and johnson, along with eddie y. can pitch in. maybe mike love will make a jump. i don't think they're gonna make a big trade or deal for ansah or clowney.
Pro Football Talk - NBC Sports - Predicting Most Improved Teams
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
true ,but i believe he gave up the most big chunk plays in the league last year. hopefully daboll is ready week one. if greggo wants to send the heat, hopefully we can burn him deep.
he hasn't faced a qb that can throw an 80 yd pass at 80 mph.