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Matt_In_NH

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Posts posted by Matt_In_NH

  1. 4 minutes ago, boyst said:

    ...

    also. this promises us a 12th round comp pick because the jets will let their left handed Ethiopian-Thai special backup long snapping coach sign with the colts.

    It might end up being a 13th rounder...........dont count your chickens buddy

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  2. The team is not cap compliant yet, like 12M over and has a bunch of holes to fill on the DL and safety and WR and backup OL.   They need money for the draft class, practice squad and replacement guys due to injuries in season.  I don’t see them skipping the JA restructure but they can choose to do a full restructure or partial.   Also the bigger thing for them to avoid is restructuring. Diggs.  They need to give themselves a way out IMO if needed (not advocating for getting out).  So just not doing that is a win for this off-season IMO.  
     

    Bottom line is beane did some good work but a lot of work still to go.  We saw conservative Beane last week.  This week is likely to be drunken sailer Beane.  

  3. 8 hours ago, Warriorspikes51 said:


    I think Bills may look to get a few years younger and upgrade from DQ as much as I enjoyed his time here

    They can easily do both...get younger and sign DQ.   They need numbers, 4-5 at that position, right now they have 1.  I think signing DQ to a modest deal (6M per year is the projection if that is true) makes sense as does drafting one plus another in FA or the draft.

  4. 49 minutes ago, DCofNC said:

    Did you watch Zeke last year?  The guy is not done, he looked pretty darn good.  He would be a nice compliment to Cook and he can still catch the ball.   He’s not being asked to carry the load, just be the #2.

    That’s not CLOSE to starting money for a DE.

     I live in NE so yes I did.  He averaged 3.5 YPC

  5. 2 minutes ago, NeverOutNick said:

    The extensions for Dawkins and Knox are not necessary. I think he can get basically same outcome without extending either player.

     

    I also don’t love Zeke but I get his reasoning since he’s very good at the things Cook is not (pass blocking, short yardage up the middle). I believe we can find a guy in the draft like Corum instead.
     

    His mock free agency and draft weren’t perfect but overall it was very well done and I would be stoked if it went basically the way he drew out. Duvernay is a guy I know would thrive in this offense and is an immediate upgrade at returner. 

     

    First, I listen to Marino's podcast and I enjoy it because he is pragmatic and brings reasonable arguments, he is not always right but his thought process is good.  What Marino said is what would need to happen.  Knox is a restructure, not an extension.  Not sure what you mean by same outcome without extending, guessing you mean restructure but that is what he is proposing for Knox already.  Dawkins is an extension and that is needed to lower his cap number, he is in the last year of his deal..  He already has void money next year so they could add to that but they could extend  him to keep him on the team after this year.  

     

    I hate the Zeke signing, he is done, I would rather keep the 6th or 7th round pick.

  6. probably not agreeing on terms at the moment is my read.

     

    So Dawkins is currently 15th in AAV at $14.575M.  Next year is his last on his current deal.  What do people see for his extension, years, guaranteed and AAV?  I think his agent will be looking to get him to top 5 given his string of Pro Bowl's, that would put him around $20M AAV.    Unless he is willing to sign for something closer to where he is now, I am not doing a new deal with him but he is tough, he has missed one game in 7 years but you dont pay for the past, you pay for the future.  What are people willing to sign up for?   I think I would let this year play out unless he was willing to take less than he is reasonably able to demand.

     

    https://overthecap.com/position/left-tackle

     

  7. 3 hours ago, T master said:

     

    Then you have been watching other teams than the Bills the last 2 seasons 

     

    2022 - 2023 - Poyer, Doyle IR , Morse, Phillips, Bates, Kumero, Brown, Hyde IR , Bottger IR, Von IR, Roseau, Oliver, Stevenson IR, Hamlin, Jones .

     

    2023 - 2024 - Rapp, Shorter, Phillips, Millano, Tre IR, Harris IR, Doyle IR, Spector, Benford, Davis, Hyde, Ilam IR, Jones IR .

     

    There may be a few that i forgot but i'd say this is plenty, some not as bad being short term injuries but if you count the games of some starters on a pitch count coming back from a previous injury this is quite enough for me .

     

    Injuries are a part of the NFL, have the Bills had more than their fair share of injuries?  Actually the answer is NO, we all want all guys to play all games but unfortunately that does not happen.  It has been well documented the Bills go to great lengths to study injuries and prevent certain types, especially soft tissue injuries.  They are also more conservative than other teams in players coming back from such injuries.   For instance, in 2022, the DT's had a lot of calf strains, they specifically changed some things practice/stretching wise to try and deal with that.   NFL football is physical, ACL's happen, Achilles happen, broken bones happen, all teams deal with injuries.  The Bills have the current longest stretch of their QB and #1 receiver playing every game.   My point is not that injuries dont happen to the Bills, rather you have to compare to the rest of the league to see if you are doing better or worse.  Every fan of 31 teams can point to injuries and say that is why but that is mostly excuse making.   Saying the Bills have had an epidemic of NFL injuries the last 3 years is just not factual.

  8. 34 minutes ago, Tuco said:

     

    Correct, it's not all additive. It's one or the other. Spotrac shows it that way because they are showing what the numbers are technically, right now, and also what the numbers will be when the contract voids as expected. It's not an official site so they can do that. So yeah, the reason it shows $812,500 for the next 3 years (actually 4 years counting this one) is because technically the contract is not yet void and technically Douglas is under contract through 2027. So the proration is, for now, spread out between the years 2024-2027 at $812,500 per year. And yes, the $2,437,500 dead cap figure is the total of those 3 years from 2025-2027 that will all be accelerated to 2025 once the contract actually voids.

     

    So if the contract voids as expected right before 2025 starts, the $2,437,500 number will be the 2025 dead cap. If, however, they reach a new deal that un-voids those years and Douglas stays under contract, then the $812,500 figures stay in place for those years as prorated bonus and the dead cap figure would disappear.

    Thank you!

  9. 1 hour ago, Aussie Joe said:

     I see Douglas still has $6m counting as a “base salary” for 2024… couldn’t more of this figure been converted to a “restructure” freeing up more space this year ? 

    Next year is the only year on the co tract so there ar eno years to average that down. Other than void years which they have already done.  Void years is dead money that counts in the future for a guy you have today.  

  10. 5 minutes ago, Ethan in Cleveland said:

    Numbers don't tell the full story here.

    It is true very few games missed on offense. I think the only starters to miss time were Knox and Davis and those were only a handful of games.

    On defense they lost arguably their best player at each level of the defense. Losing Milano 13 games plus playoffs was heartbreaking. Add the cluster of injuries at the LB spot and the impact was felt.

    All that said, and as you point out overall as a team they were healthy especially on offense. 

    That was 23 the chart i posted was for 22.  I just think the injuries are overblown.  Because tte white was injured we end up with a hetter player.  Lineal Joseph helped fill the void at dr before jones came back.   Milano was a huge loss.  But when someone throws around “epidemic” when it is not true it needs to be questioned.  The offense was super healthy last year, priobably as good as you could hope as you spelled out.  

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  11. 41 minutes ago, The Red King said:

     

    Please, please tell me you're kidding. 😆


    confirmed another case of someones gut feeling/ excuses with no useful factual information. 

     

    For instance, for 2022 when the Bills were supposedly had an epidemic of injuries (your words)...the Bills were actually had among the least games lost due to injury.  

     

    https://twitter.com/ManGamesLostNFL/status/1613667261696319489/photo/1

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  12. I believe there will be changes to schedules in future years for extreme hot and cold weather.  Some will complain that it shows a weakening of the populous but public policy and group think changes things over time, it is just how it is.

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  13. So Dawkins is currently 15th in AAV at $14.575M.  Next year is his last on his current deal.  What do people see for his extension, years, guaranteed and AAV?  I think his agent will be looking to get him to top 5 given his string of Pro Bowl's, that would put him around $20M AAV.    Unless he is willing to sign for something closer to where he is now, I am not doing a new deal with him but he is tough, he has missed one game in 7 years but you dont pay for the past, you pay for the future.  What are people willing to sign up for?   I think I would let this year play out unless he was willing to take less than he is reasonably able to demand.

     

    https://overthecap.com/position/left-tackle

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