harmonkillebrew
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Posts posted by harmonkillebrew
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Gabe is pretty much a one-trick pony WR. He shouldn't really be a #2 in an offense that is constantly going to be playing against 2 high safety zone looks. His routes are not crisp enough to win underneath and to reliably find the holes in the zone. He will do fine against teams with lesser personnel than the Jets or when teams play man, but OBD should have known this is not the trend for how Defenses are playing us and found a better fit for #2.
Josh still misses a reliable underneath guy like Beasley. Cole had 82 catches on 112 targets in 2021. That was never reliably replaced last year (Davis had 48 catches. Unless Kincaid turns it on, it seems Josh doesn't really trust anyone underneath. It's pretty much the same as last year - Diggs or bust.
Josh went from an established vet WR corps of Diggs, Emmanuel Sanders, and Beasley to Diggs, Gabe, Shakhir, and Harty. It's not a shock that he's struggling with the underneath stuff. OBD made a mistake not addressing #2.
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There have definitely been some questionable decisions the past few years.
1. Not making more of an effort to get a MLB replacement (drafting Bernard, Dorian, no FAs, etc...)
2. No real competition for Spencer Brown
3. Not getting a better WR #2 complement
4. Investing so much draft and FA capital in our D line rotation at the expense of other position groups (See above). (Why is D-line the only group that needs to rotate constantly?)
the trading up and sacrificing picks every year starts to catch up to you. Not hitting on draft picks in rounds 1-3 makes it worse
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Dude works out (probably hard) in morning on an empty stomach. Then doesn't eat anything until 4pm and it's skittles...???
You try that.
He's intermittent fasting for a good 18hrs, which kicks his metabolism into overdrive.
And best time to burn fat (as opposed to carbs) from a workout is early morning on an empty stomach.
He must eat a mean, protein filled dinner though. Don't get the skittles part either....
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Obviously I'm a fan
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T was great. Beautiful deep ball, exciting runner. He's easily in the top echelon from the past 20 years.
Fitz gets more love b/c he gives it back. I don't think Tryod has expressed his love for B-lo in the same way.
But T is way over Losman, EJ Manuel, Captain check-down and other duds from the 17 years of futility
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Take J Allen out of the mix and we're middle of the pack
He elevates the entire roster in ways only a couple of QBs can (Mahomes, ....)
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It's concerning that only 2 of those were from last year and both early in the year. I hope Allen hasn't peaked. Last year was not up to his standards.
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5 hours ago, Robert Paulson said:
you may be on to something and others have posted/reported this as a way to counter the new game geared towards the passing offense. BIG on the line, fast behind it.
3 BIG D Linemen eating up space in the middle and taking on blockers
2 'traditional' LBs-right now that would be Milano and Miller who can stop the run, rush the passer and cover a bit
2 Nickel/LB Hybrid tweeners that can cover a TE/slot while supporting the run, Johnson and the rookie or Bernard or Benford?
2 outside corners- we are set
2 safeties- we have 2 of the best
It's about matchups.
When a team is in 11 personnel (1TE) and 3 WRs - we are in nickel with Milano lined up over the TE. That means the other LB is a MLB (Klein??)
If a team is 12 personnel (2TE) - if we stay in nickel we'll get crushed in the run game. Ideally with Williams/Bernard we can play 3LBs and still cover 2TEs and defend better against the run. Still need a MLB, but maybe a traditional, larger MLB is not as good as two speedier coverage LBs (to go along with Milano).
If a team goes 4 WRs, 1TE - we go dime with Milano the lone LB
Maybe it shakes out that we only end playing against 11 with a MLB, or heavier goaline configurations part of the time, given the trend toward 2TE sets in the division/leagues. So Klein will only see the field 25% of the time anyways. ...
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I think we got better on Offense, not as much as I had hoped (no consistent RB or #2WR option, or even RT competition).
But we look worse on Defense. I'm hoping McD can address with more direct coaching, but talent-wise LB and DT (and how they fit together) are a concern. I am cautiously optimistic Elam will take the next step, but if he doesn't our CB room also looks weak. Also, if Von does not return to form, our pass rush will suffer again.
A lot will be on Josh again to get us to the promise land
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1 hour ago, MrEpsYtown said:
Well I didn’t buy the whole Dodson has a chance to start deal. Now I kind of have to. He’s only 24 years old about to turn 25, been in the system 4 years now. He has good size and athleticism. He has hung around this long because McDermott loves him. Remember that he served a suspension coming into the league. There were red flags…yet the Bills held on to him, stood by him, and he worked to stay. If I am a betting type man, I would say it’s his job to lose. I feel like McDermott maybe wants to give Dodson a real shot at this.
However, I do think Baylon Spector is going to give him a run for his money. He has instincts and athleticism. He is a few pounds lighter but more athletic. Spector is also 24 going on 25. So there isn’t any advantage there. Dodson has all that experience over Spector. What Spector was lacking in was functional strength and if he got after it this offseason, he truly has a shot. I just keep going back to how good he looked in preseason and he was a difference maker playing at a high level at Clemson. One other thing is that he played in the 4-2-5 as a stacked backer at Clemson, which essentially what the mike is asked to do here…though he spent most of his time as a will, I think he can play the mike.
To me Bernard isn’t in this thing. He’s smaller than these guys, and I just didn’t see anything last year that told me he could step in and be a starter this year at mike. He also played in that 3-4 type front at Baylor so the job and run fits are quite different. I think he is still two years away and in my mind, Dorian Williams is already better. I dunno.
To me Klein is the vet you have around as insurance if this all goes FUBAR, but I am not sure he is a truly a starter anymore.
I like Dorian Williams and I think he can play mike. He played it for 3 years at Tulane. I think Beane’s apprehension about playing him inside is that he likely feels Williams will not be able to step in and be the green dot guy right away. IMO the only guy in this draft who could have done that was Campbell. Williams is only 21 goin on 22 and started at Tulane for 3 years. He is likely not ready but the upside is there. If I recall, McBean were super apprehensive about Tremaine being the guy calling the defense as a rookie. They had their doubts and said some of the same things they are saying about Williams now, but Tremaine picked it up quick. I could see the same thing happening here.
So to me it is Dodson vs Spector (if he got stronger) with an outside chance Williams blows them both out of the water.
Good analysis, but I can't say any of this gives me confidence in our D this year. We missed Edmunds the few times he was out and we just don't have an adequate replacement, let alone an upgrade. It's looking like our D will take a step backwards this year. The front office screwed up.
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any remaining UFA MLB?
Zach Cunningham.....?
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1 minute ago, Buffarukus said:
i said this as well. our team is in a division with pretty good run attacks and these small fast lbs dont seem like good stick your face in the line stack and shed players. maybe its to dare them to keep the ball out of rogers, hill hands. the jets played us close with their #1 rb injured. NE has always had a good running attack and won a game strictly running. miami played us close every game and had career days against our D and we seem to be all about pass support with smaller fast guys.
i think the gameplan in the AFC will be run the ball down the bills throats to eat up clock and hope josh reverts to his old gunslinger all or nothing old self that can force mistakes and turnovers.
klein is better run stuffer so we will see but the future looks to be pass specific D. especially if we are sticking to our nickle base roots. hopefully our new TE and line negate josh's reliance to put it all on his shoulders
This is my concern. There were times that I felt our base nickel was exploited by run-first teams. That will be NE and NYJ, but even Cincy showed they could dominate us in the trenches. Now we're subbing out Edmunds for .... Dorian? Klein? Spector?? We are going to get gashed week in and week out. UNLESS, we alter schemes slightly and play more 3 LBs and/or more blocker-eating DT/DE play (which means less Oliver and more 1-tech DTs and 5-tech DEs, which we don't really have the personnel for).
The strategy isn't clear to me.
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Anyone have any idea WTF we're doing??
Options:
- Edmunds was such a bad fit that we decided we didn't need to replace him?
- We're going to play more base 3 LB, with no real "MLB"
- we're moving to a 3-4 and Daquan Jones will play NT
- We will sign a FA MLB (who's left... Myles Jack?)
- Klein will be a stop-gap at MLB until Dorian Williams can learn the defense and gain 15 lbs
- others?
I'm having a hard time understanding our small LB drafting strategy.
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On scenario 1, it's clear they see Kincaid as a different position from Knox - a move TE v. an inline TE. They will complement each other. So not a hurt feelings issue or redundancy like drafting a RT might be.
The gaping hole at ILB is too much to ignore if Sanders or Simpson drop. I can't believe Jack Campbell went top 20
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we need the best ILB available, including trading UP to get him, if needed
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Drew Sanders
Steve Avila
(trade down scenario)
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6 hours ago, bills6969 said:
White is better than Edmunds
No question.
trade Oliver for him and sign him to an extension to minimize cap hit this year. use the savings from Oliver's per year to sign a DT and/or draft one.
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On 3/30/2023 at 1:44 AM, Chicken Boo said:
For what its worth, his combine numbers are similar to Paul Posluszny's.
Hi size is nowhere near. Puz was barely 6'2" 235. Campbell is huge - 6'5" 250. His numbers were a pleasant surprise for his size. He had the highest athleticism ranking at the combine for LBs.
Still, he'll be there in the 2nd.
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Bills are looking to trade up. At least that is the word on the streets.
It won't be for Drew Sanders, but more likely someone they love at OT or DE - premium positions - that is falling.
If we stay put it could be Sanders, but more likely we wait until the 2nd
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This is always one of my favorite topics. I think more than half the time the board consensus would have been better than the GM and personnel experts, despite half the available information. I always think that level of hubris needs to be factored in to BPA and other discussions.
Recent examples:
- Creed Humphrey over Boogie Basham
- Breece Hall over Kaiir Elam
There are so many examples from earlier that left everyone scratching their head
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I like Spencer Brown
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Klein will be available if we miss out on the guy we want in the draft
At this point, I'm expecting we trade up to get Drew Sanders
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Harty and McGovern were both over $2m per. I would have thought they'd cancel out Edmunds to a degree, therefore not resulting in a 3rd rd comp
Why Dorsey is not the answer
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Dorsey is a bad fit for Josh. He needs an OC that will reign him in and not give him the opportunity to make stupid plays at bad moments.
I wish it wasn't true, but Josh needs constant coaching. He's not the QB that can thrive and win with just any old OC.