The Frankish Reich
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Posts posted by The Frankish Reich
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27 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:
How concerned should we be with Franklin's weight? He's 176 and three inches taller than Xavier Worthy.
I'm no scout, but this reminds me of what we see when MLB scouts talk about "projectability." Worthy just looks like a guy who will always be skinny, not the guy who may fill out and gain strength/weight as he matures. Franklin seems to have more of a projectable frame. So if they were pitching prospects, I think we'd see something like "Franklin has the frame to fill out and add 2-3 mph to his fastball."
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2 hours ago, Tiberius said:
Hidden behind all the silly "it's TDS" comments is the actual policy changes being cooked up by people and groups waiting to pounce in a new Trump presidency.
And so far, this is one of the scariest - Trump with a say in monetary policy.
Say what you want about the Fed, but having an independent central bank has been one of the most critical factors in sustained economic growth, and as a preventative against political manipulation of the currency.
It is an awful, stupid, dangerous idea. And it's in play if Trump wins.
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23 minutes ago, Big Blitz said:
And my hunch is we want Franklin. Anyway:
On the class…..
The best? Almost certainly not.
ESPN’s Matt Miller speculated we could see eight WRs drafted in Round 1. But I’d give only three WRs from this class a Round 1 grade. Granted, those three WRs are freaking awesome — I have this year’s WR3 ranked above any WR from the last two Draft classes. But after the Big-3, I’m not seeing any WRs with real WR1-upside. I’m just seeing a whole lot of landing spot-dependent WR2s and WR3s.
The most overrated? Possibly. This is not a great draft class based on the analytics. At the very least, it doesn’t look anywhere near as strong or as deep as 2021.
Genuinely, I don’t ever remember a WR class where the film and analytics were so misaligned. And it almost felt as though the less I liked a player’s analytics, the more highly regarded they were by the Mock Draft Industrial Complex. (The inverse of this was true as well.)
What metrics are actually predictive at the WR position? Basically, all of the stats I’m using in this article. Generally, the more often a stat is referenced (such as career YPRR), the more predictive it is.
Worthy:
Without getting too deep into the weeds here (we’ll save that for the footnotes), I’ll just say that… Worthy’s 22.8 BMI ranks the 10th-lowest of any WR since at least 2000. Among the 45 lightest WRs, DeVonta Smith (24.1)[16] is the only one to post a 1,000-yard season in the NFL. So, even if the NFL appears to care less about low-weight / thin-frame WRs in recent years[17], the overall track record is pretty abhorrent.
It’s much easier to argue that Franklin has no worse than the fourth-best production profile in this class than to argue that he’s the WR9
Thanks. Great summary!
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39 minutes ago, djp14150 said:
IIRC buffalo signed KJ Hamler who has 4.4 speed
He HAD 4.4 speed.
He actually flashed some potential with the Broncos, but he just couldn't stay on the field.
As for Worthy: after sleeping on it, I'm fine with the trade and passing on him. A lot of talk here about how he's 165 pounds (o.k., I'll give him 170) and how he'll get beat up in the NFL. I'm not so worried about getting beat up running routes. But receivers do need to block too, and I can't see him having the ability to do that. So everything is kind of screaming situational speed guy, not primary X receiver. Andy Reid no doubt feels that he can make that work. With our current WR room, I don't think the Bills could make it work.
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20 minutes ago, DapperCam said:
Beane has an entire day to trade down again. Maybe we can get a 3rd round pick in 2026 if he plays his cards right.
It's not the trading down that bothers me. It's the fact that I got suckered into watching the most boring two hours on TV since Geraldo opened Al Capone's vault.
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Breaking: RG3 pissed that Washington drafted Cousins in the same year as him.
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If Andy Reid wanted him, that's good enough for me to turn down the trade and draft him myself.
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1 minute ago, TheWeatherMan said:
We’re going CB or C at 28 and trading up in the second for a WR.
I'd like that.
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Why does Quinyon Mitchell look 34 and JJ McCarthy looks 14?
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32 minutes ago, BillStime said:
Our tax dollars hard at work...
The good, the bad, and the ugly.
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Just now, daz28 said:
This Supreme Court is full of idiots, lead by Alito. He's basically arguing, because it might rain here, you should consider evacuating into a hurricane. Some of his arguments were astoundingly stupid. I would have never thought the handmaiden might be the smartest of them all.
She’s smart and seems to have an occasional pragmatic streak.
Alito just seems angry and bitter now, becoming more and more doctrinaire as the years go by. Usually the opposite happens with some experience.-
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1 hour ago, Doc said:
Did Russia hold her as just a bargaining chip
Does it matter whether it was solely as a bargaining chip? That's how they used her to extract something they wanted.
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57 minutes ago, JDHillFan said:
Large numbers of democrats, blacks, and Latinos/Latinx/Latines (or whatever white lefties call them now) apparently don’t like brown people. Poor Roundy!
On a serious note - I can't find the underlying poll questions/data.
If you dig into what Axios did give us, yes, the majority favor "mass deportations." But what does that mean? Does it mean rounding up people and sending them home without due process? Maybe not: 58% favor "increased pathways" for legal immigration. Would that include the spouse of a U.S. citizen who's here illegally? 65% say we should create new mechanisms for legal immigration so people don't have to enter illegally (not sure in what way this is different than the "legal pathways" question). 46% want to make sure people with legitimate asylum claims are protected, but how do we separate legitimate from illegitimate without due process (court hearings, etc)?
My takeaway: Americans largely agree that the current situation is chaotic and unsustainable. I agree too. But they are also fundamentally decent people who see a role for immigrants - an increased legal role - and protections for people claiming asylum. So that's how we got here. "Mass deportations while assessing each case on its merits" is really a contradiction in terms.
EDIT: I think I'd interpret it this way - "American people believe that those who are subject to deportation under the law should be expeditiously deported." Which is an indictment of Biden's policies, which by their own terms allow a lot of people who are here illegally and have no means of legalizing their status to stay here anyway.
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6 minutes ago, sherpa said:
It is a highly regulated industry regulated by far less skilled and talented people from the gov.
Carter's deregulation was a bit before my time, but the industry has been in turmoil since then.
Countless bankruptcies.
Not my point.
But, I saw the incompetence from the front left seat for years, and the further you get the gov away the better.
My favorite FAA story, and I have many.
In 2013 there was some solar airplane travelling cross country. Highly publicized.
It was to land at JFK at 3AM on a Sat. morning. That was agreed to to prevent disruption of traffic, as they planned on shutting down the airspace on its arrival.
Anyway, they claimed they had some tear in the fabric of a wing panel, and wanted to change the plan an land at about 11:30pm.
I was flying a 777 to Tokyo that night.
Number two for takeoff, they advised they were shutting down the entire New York airspace for two hours so this 35mph thing could land.
Scores of international departures on the ground.
There is a rule that a flight that is longer than eight hours needs an extra pilot, an augmented crew.
The eight hours are measured from gate departure to touchdown.
Many airlines, especially European airlines with western European destinations like London or Paris, don't have augmented crews at certain times of the year because the flight times are less.
Anyway, one after another, during taxi they went back to their gates and cancelled because of the eight hour rule.
Thousands of people involved. Thousands of hotel rooms, rebooking etc.
In the interim, three airplanes that were to land at LaGuardia, also closed, declared fuel emergencies and landed at JFK.
An absolute cluster****.
Goofy thing lands with great media fanfare and JFK re-opens.
That is what you get with these guys.
What you get with the current group is understaffed controller operations resulting in schedule cancellations, a NOTAM distribution system that fails and results in a nationwide shutdown of the system.
But.....We have spent money time and assets to de-gendered language in the industry, forced employees to watch stupid workplace sensitivity programs, send appointees to Congress who have no knowledge of the system and couldn't/didn't come close to Congressional approval, and now will tell them how to price the product and fine them.
Thanks - I've said before that one reason I still hang out here is once in a while someone has actual knowledge/experience that helps me learn something or understand something better.
So with that in mind: privatize air traffic control? Have privately-owned airports on the European model? Completely deregulate airline pricing and go with an open competition on fares and perks is the best way to ensure the passenger gets what he pays for? What about new models like JSX (a great customer experience, by the way), ostensibly operating charter flights and avoiding major airports and TSA?
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8 hours ago, All_Pro_Bills said:
I think its important to view the "problem" with the MSM from the perspective of not only what they tell you, but also what they don't tell you. What might be characterized as lying by omission. Journalistic activism.
Take the border chaos as an example. The MSM would lead you to believe this is purely an epics humanitarian crisis. And we're obligated to handle it in the manner its being handled. Its not a failure of the administration in Washington to control and secure our border. Or a failure to deal with the Mexican government's intransigence to do nothing. Or a failure to stem the tide of drugs and criminal cartel activity. Or a failure to show any concern for the safety and job efforts of border agent. Or a failure to address catch and release crime, stress on city and state budgets, impacts on citizens and business, the quality of life. All more or less secondary. Immigrants murdering Americans? No problem. Americans murder Americans too. The idea of closing the border and prohibiting anyone from entered in the current manner is inconceivable. Our Federal government is powerless here but they can force Americans to use correct pronouns and arrest people quietly praying in front of abortion centers. Because that makes somebody feel "unsafe" But letting 10 million illegals into the country making everyone feel unsafe? Not a problem. Secure our borders, not so much a concern. And every complaint or criticism of the administrations handling of the crisis is met with "but Republicans rejected a bi-partisan "solution" to the border crisis". No mention the terms of the bill were unacceptable. Its like Biden's team is writing the news and these puppets are reading the teleprompter. The MSM news has become a politicized version of a specific political parties view of reality and is no longer an objective, factual source of truth.
I get your point on the border crisis. Most of the reporting is really poor.
But some of the mainstream media reporting is superb, and that's not because it's pro-Biden. For example:
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/29/us/us-border-arizona-migrant-crossings.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/31/us/us-immigration-asylum-border.html
From the second one, on the pull of loose asylum laws and the overwhelmed system:
The United States is trying to run an immigration system with a fraction of the judges, asylum officers, interpreters and other personnel that it needs to handle the hundreds of thousands of migrants crossing the border and flocking to cities around the country each year. That dysfunction has made it impossible for the nation to expeditiously decide who can remain in the country and who should be sent back to their homeland.
“I don’t know anyone who has been deported,” Carolina Ortiz, a migrant from Colombia, said in an interview in late December at an encampment outside Jacumba Hot Springs, about 60 miles southeast of San Diego and a stone’s throw from the hulking rust-colored barrier that separates the United States from Mexico.
Or this:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/masses-of-migrants-overwhelm-panamas-darien-gap-73d032d7
There is a good depth of reporting out there. Yes, in the Opinion sections the liberal approach dominates. But there is also actual reporting - sending a reporter to Panama, to the SW border, talking to people, analyzing statistics. I'll give some credit to Fox's Bill Melugin too for actually being there and asking some hard questions, but I guess now even Fox counts as "mainstream." Thank goodness that this type of actual reporting still happens in the mainstream media. The Alt Media is all hot takes and sloganeering. It's ok I guess for what it is, but for many people that kind of thing is their sole source of news. That's a bad thing.
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11 minutes ago, Doc said:
You think they're putting prisoners in the tourist section of T&C? Where they get mai-tais and conch fritters?
Well it's not the same as being held by Russia as a bargaining chip, which we all know was the case with Griner even though she did apparently violate Russian law.
And yes, the State Department is no doubt involved, and they will advocate for the detained American. That's one of the things they do, even for the idiot Americans who get arrested engaging in some high-spirited drunken revelry in someone else's country. Turks and Caicos will want to assert its right to control what comes into their country, but ultimately they have an interest in American tourism and this will likely be resolved quickly. Without the need for a T&C spy to be exchanged for him ...
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9 minutes ago, njbuff said:
But his army all have guns, don't they, according to you clowns?
If Donald's supporters wanted to take over physically, trust me, they would.
Millions of his supporters know how to use their weapons.
Just sayin.
There it is, another suburban basement revolutionary.
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2 minutes ago, sherpa said:
The post you have authored in good faith fails to acknowledge the reality of the business.
First things first.
Airlines have offered inducements for overbooking since I began my career.
They keep extremely accurate data on this, and use very sophisticated algorithms to decide on each flight every day.
Interestingly, of all the issues in the business, overbooking was the most popular issue among passengers.
It is extremely rare, 1 passenger per 10,000 who is removed without volunteering.
Anyway, to the point.
The first thing is to acknowledge that aircraft movements on the ground and in flight, as well as airport status, gate availability and pretty much everything associated with the industry is controlled by the gov.
The result, at least in my 32 year career, is that nearly all delays were the result of the FAA.
Most were reasonable, ie weather and other factors, but they are really not good at optimizing the system.
They do incredibly stupid things.
Second, these small fee issues are totally passenger determined. Want to check a bag, that's going to cost something, because it requires labor to do it, move it, load it, unload it and pay for the airport systems to get it back.
Internet service? Much more complicated and expensive to provide it and maintain it on an airplane.
I could go on and on, but you get the point. These things cost money.
What you probably don't understand is the price sensitivity of the airline passenger.
I heard a large airline CEO explain that a $1 difference in ticket price listed on one of the popular internet travel sites results in an enormous difference in demand for the ticket.
Ergo, the only way to survive is to have the lowest possible price listed.
That is what created all of these other fees.
Get the lowest ticket price as possible on the sites and you get business.
Next, to think that the gov has ever been good at regulating the business aspect of the industry is crazy.
As an example, I was a 777 captain. The Passenger Bill of Rights law they passed provided that if we were in violation of the time issue of not returning to the gate or a few other components of it, the penalties made it cheaper for me to blow all the emergency slides and simply evacuated the airplane.
It's crazy.
The legislation passed in 2010 as the result of the Colgan Buffalo crash was ill conceived.
It had no understanding that little commuter airlines are not similar to wide body, long haul international stuff, so it made no sense in many ways.
Anyway, I could go on, but the gov wacking industry when you've got something as goofy as our current FAA, which can't support the industry that supposedly funds it is crazy, and the current Sect. of Trans is proof positive, but this administration seems to have an allergy to soliciting business people advice.
Their stupid strategy of trying to convince people they are helping the little guy is a failure and invites potential shortcuts that shouldn't be taken.
Open a restaurant.
Have the gov run your parking lot, your employees, your capacity, your ingredients.
Then allow them to shut you down for hours during your busiest times.
Understaff your "regulators" to the point where you can't operate at certain times because they can't staff their end.
Then fine them when the gov can't perform.
You get the point.
I do get it. I grew up in an airline family. It is a highly regulated business.
So I heard all the arguments: overbooking is essential to an airline's survival. An airline seat is the ultimate perishable good. If overbooking (and bumping passengers) isn't allowed, then airlines will have to eat the cost of no-shows, endangering their very survival.
The market was skewed ridiculously in favor of the airlines and against the passenger. So we corrected that. We are now trying to correct some other practices that also give the airlines too much leeway. One of the provisions of the new regs: I didn't even get a refund of my checked bag fee unless my bag was delayed by over 12 hours. Really? The airline failed to get the bag onto my connecting flight and they're still gonna charge me when I arrive at 9:00 pm and my bag follows the next morning at 8:00 am?
Go ahead, keep your various fees, etc. But let's make sure they're clearly disclosed, and that the customer understands what he's being upsold on. It won't kill the airlines any more than deregulation did under Carter, or that The airline passenger bill of rights thing did more recently. It simply restores some order, certainty, and fairness to the process.
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1 minute ago, njbuff said:
So, Donald has an army?
And, if so, why are sh!tlibs still breathing?
Because his army sucks?
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Breaking news! Requires a new thread!!
Or maybe a recycled 4 year old story that got no traction then (because there was nothing there) and will get no traction now. Other than with the useful morons of Donald's Army.
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New York couldn't even get weed right.
Boosters of legal marijuana promised a utopia like something from the sunniest dreams of the 1960s: responsible use, oodles of tax revenue, and upstanding entrepreneurs instead of lawbreaking dealers. But in New York less than two years later, a thicket of illegal stores is crowding out licensees in a genuine fiasco.
I live in Colorado. Woo-hoo, first in the nation to legalize weed! I didn't like it when it happened, not because I'm not in favor of legalization (I am) but because I didn't want Colorado to become an even bigger magnet for weed tourism, etc.
And guess what happened when Obama said "go ahead?" A bunch of weed stores opened. A bunch of greenhouses growing weed for them started up. A bunch of ancillary services joined them. I recall sitting at a coffee shop overhearing a conversation between some kind of investor group and a guy who was starting up a weed packaging business. (Real quote: "We want the customer to be able to open the package and get that blast of fresh weed, kind of like opening a potato chip bag"). And the black market essentially disappeared. Licensed, generally well-regulated, not an anything goes third worldly bunch of fly-by-night outfits.
New York had the model. Just copy Colorado! And still they got it horribly wrong.
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6 minutes ago, JDHillFan said:
It seems that people noticing everything around them is the one thing you actually find bad.
Here's the WSJ worrying that things are too good and can't last. It seems that nobody on the right (old or new) can be happy these days.
https://www.wsj.com/economy/global/us-economy-strongest-world-imf-projections-8e707514
America’s Economy Is No. 1. That Means Trouble.
If you want a single number to capture America’s economic stature, here it is: This year, the U.S. will account for 26.3% of the global gross domestic product, the highest in almost two decades.
That’s based on the latest projections from the International Monetary Fund. According to the IMF, Europe’s share of world GDP has dropped 1.4 percentage points since 2018, and Japan’s by 2.1 points. The U.S. share, by contrast, is up 2.3 points.
China’s share is up since 2018, too. But instead of overtaking the U.S. as the world’s largest economy, the Chinese economy has slipped in size to 64% of the U.S.’s from 67% in 2018.
You sound like my mother. 75 degrees, sunny, gentle breeze. Me: what a fantastic day! Mom: but not for long! The weatherman says it may snow next week.
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58 minutes ago, Doc said:
He violated the laws of another country. He probably didn't mean to do it, but he did. Hopefully Biden's Admin is working as hard to get him out as they did Griner.
Because Turks and Caicos is just like that Arctic Circle prison camp where Navalny died while taking an ill-advised stroll.
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1 minute ago, JDHillFan said:
You are the one that believes the housing market is in good shape because some sellers may reap generational wealth, correct? Kudos are in order for belonging to a very exclusive group with that thinking. But hey, keep that glass about 1/10 full
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Different thing.
The housing market: for every loser (the young person paying a high price for a home), there's a winner (the old person making a mint and retiring somewhere warm).
On the macro economic scale, an overheated economy means inflation. We just had that. The Fed raised rates to try to get things back in balance. So far it seems to be happening. Why is this bad? Inflation was bad, the cure for inflation is bad, everything is bad ...
What’s are the planks of the right wing’s platform?
in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Posted
Here's a good interview with Paul Volcker about presidents and the Fed:
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/23/business/dealbook/paul-volcker-federal-reserve.html
while President Trump has complained in recent months about the Fed’s plan to raise interest rates, he isn’t the first to try to influence the independent Federal Reserve. Mr. Volcker recounts being summoned to meet with President Ronald Reagan and his chief of staff, James Baker, in the president’s library next to the Oval Office in 1984.
Reagan “didn’t say a word,” Mr. Volcker wrote. “Instead Baker delivered a message: ‘The president is ordering you not to raise interest rates before the election.’” Mr. Volcker wasn’t planning to raise rates at the time.
“I was stunned,” he wrote. “I later surmised that the library location had been chosen because, unlike the Oval Office, it probably lacked a taping system.”
So it happens, and I don't know if anything forbids it. But making some kind of consultation mandatory nevertheless impacts the independence of the Fed in a way that isn't good for stability.