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The Frankish Reich

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Posts posted by The Frankish Reich

  1. 1 minute ago, SectionC3 said:

    I’m not arguing with you.  Just thinking like them.  I want Daboll back here.  We need a new voice, and someone whom Josh respects.  McD is not going to win a Super Bowl here.  Maybe somewhere else, and maybe we regret moving on.  But it’s not happening here, and I’d rather not squander the rest of Josh’s career with the crapfest we’ve seen the last month. 

    Ahh, we are pining for the days when Robert Foster - Rober Effin Foster! - average 20 yards per catch.

  2. Weird time to fire him. Management (Schoen) and Daboll seemed to agree that Wilson was the bridge QB. It failed miserably. And the Giants now show signs of life with Dart turning in a surprisingly good rookie year. I guess Schoen can't fire himself.

    • Agree 1
  3. "Stop the Steal!"

    There was one side, and one side only, interested in delaying the certification of votes.

    The entire conspiracy theory here is ridiculous.

    Oh, and I see the perp was 5'7" +/- 1 inch. So basically 68% of all adults in America. Really narrows it down.

    But "gait analysis!" Gait carrying a bag with a metal pipe bomb in it. I'm sure we have studies showing the reliability of that.

  4. 1 hour ago, JDHillFan said:

    January 6 happened and many involved paid a price. You want to somehow hand wave away somebody planting a bomb in Washington DC because Jan 6 happened. Nonsense you called it earlier today. That’s weird. 

    It's the ridiculous conspiracy theories, not the idea of some unidentified person planting a bomb.

    Ask yourself: if the bomb goes off, chances are the "counting of the votes" is called off as the Capitol is evacuated. Who benefits from that? Donald J. Trump. The vote isn't certified and, of course, he gets more time to try to convince Pence or whomever to give in.

    The simplest explanation is preferred, particularly when the other explanation is some convoluted nonsense.

  5. I thought this was a joke when I first read it. 50 year mortgages, what could go wrong?

     

    I see some reddit posters have already done the math. Example:

     

    A 50 year mortgage doesn't actually bring down the cost of a home by that much.

    Consider a 430k home. 30 year FRM would be 6%. 50 year FRM would be 6.5% to account for the longer term.

    Monthly payment on 30 year is 2578 and on the 50 year is 2423. Total interest paid on the 30 year is $498k and on the 50 year is $1024k.

     

    Got that? The 50 year mortgage would "save" the buyer about $150/month, at the cost of paying half a million more bucks over the length of the loan.

     

    Possibilities:

    A. He really is that stupid.

    B. He really thinks you are that stupid.

    C. Both A & B.

    • Agree 2
  6. 1 minute ago, RobbRiddick said:

    I don't think it's possible, but I see that as the only way they'd boot McD out.

     

    McDermott was great for this team and it can't be overstated how he and Beane turned around a 17 year sh*t show, but he's unfortunately become stale. I agree with everyone who says he's taken the team as far as he can. The problem is I don't see them changing things up because grabbing a new HC is like drafting a QB with a high draft pick, it's a total crapshoot and I think they'd see it as too much of a risk so they'll find it easier to stick with him and hope Beane can have a great draft and FA period and do what's needed to put them over the top. 

     

     

    I don't disagree, but I'll point out that it's a pretty normal cycle in the NFL.

    Really good teams get in the pattern of just trying to patch that one or two perceived holes in their roster. Pass rush lacking? Bring in Von or Bosa and draft edge rushers every year. Missing that stud WR? Trade for Diggs. Running game lacking? Focus on the O line and getting a more explosive back.

    Meanwhile your strong points (LB, secondary, receiving corps) get weaker with age and injury and get traded away based on bad attitude (Diggs). Then you miss the playoffs or get embarrassed by a one-and-done and the coach gets fired and you clean house of everyone except the QB and maybe one or two other key players who are under contract. And if you do it right you're right back in the mix in a couple years.

    We're just about there.

    • Like (+1) 1
  7. 2 minutes ago, Sojourner said:


    Good points. I think the thing that separates those 2 guys is experience. Tannehill laws freshly moved to QB from WR when he got drafted out of A&M. 
     

    His rise to success was similar to Jones and Darnold’s… the perfect coaching and talent landing spots. If he stayed in Miami I don’t think he would have found the same success as he did in Tennessee. 
     

    Maye has experience as a QB and is surrounded by Super Bowl winning offensive staff. That’s the difference. 

    And Maye just has the ability to make all the NFL throws, which Tannehill in that Titans offense was kind of able to fake his way through.

    • Agree 1
  8. "Blowing it up" probably means keeping Allen and Cook (because of his new contract) and treating everyone else as dispensable. Which is, after all, what they are in today's NFL. Maybe I'll add Benford as a keeper mostly because of his contract, but that's it.

    And if they do that, how are we any different than the Rams, who are currently beating up on the Niners after "mortgaging the future" for Stafford, Donald, etc.?

    The turnaround time in the NFL is now really, really fast.

  9. He just did it again. This time he bragged about how much revenue his tariffs will bring in.

     

    This right after his attorney argued to the Supreme Court that the tariffs were about foreign relations, not about revenue. If they're about revenue (even in significant part), then they're a tax, and the taxing power belongs exclusively with Congress.

     

    And then they sent out Bessent to try to walk back Trump's "Truth Social" brag.

     

    Just an effin idiot.

  10. 2 minutes ago, Orlando Buffalo said:

    Are you telling me you can't tell your wife from behind by the way she walks? Seriously this is not some crazy new thought. It was in the MI move like a decade ago. 

    I am telling you it is completely unreliable.

    Think about the error.

    First of all, why did Glenn Beck decide to compare the pipe bomber to this particular cop and not to the thousands of others in and around the J6 protests? Did he compare the gait to any of them? If so, how many? In other words, it's a Seek and Ye Shall Find mini-dragnet with a sample size (as far as we know) of one.

    Second, who did the "gait analysis?" Any indication of whether it has been shown to be accurate in controlled studies? Where does the bs precise "94-97%" come from? Are they saying that even when it dings "match" there's a 3 in 100 to 6 in 100 chance that it wasn't the subject?

    This is no "breakthrough" or anything that would resemble sufficient evidence to even get a search warrant, much less to publicly accuse someone of a crime.

    There's a lot of crap in Mission Impossible movies. Maybe you shouldn't believe everything Tom Cruise does in movies.

  11. 1 hour ago, SCBills said:

    99.9% chance this goes nowhere, but these are the types of ideas that the populist right needs to fight back against the populist (socialist) left with.
     

     

     

    go ahead then!

    You've got the House, the Senate (kill the filibuster), the White House, and a compliant Supreme Court.

    Repeal Obamacare! There is literally nothing stopping you.

    Do it. No blaming John McCain or whatever. Just do it.

    Or just STFU already.

    • Haha (+1) 1
  12. Just now, JDHillFan said:

    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3925574/

     

    Sounded made up in 2014 when this was published back in the Obama era, didn’t it? I think there have been advances in technology since then that may have made it more of a thing. 
     

    200.gif
     

    you DO NOT want this case solved, do you

    Here's what I see.

     

    Capitol Hill cop testifies against leading "3 percenter" and obviously guilty Guy Reffitt. (Just take a quick look at his own statements)

    Glenn Beck and his crack team of "gait analysts" compare some tiny sample of the cop's "gait" to video of person leaving pipe bomb under a bench.

    Glenn Beck issues spurious "conclusion" that there is a 94-97% chance that cop is the pipe bomb suspect in the video.

     

    This is actually libel/slander against the cop.

  13. 11 minutes ago, leh-nerd skin-erd said:

    Great question, Mumplestilskin. I'm at the mercy off the reporting (or lack thereof) as to current status of tariffs.  One report suggests $90 billion has been collected and the proceeds are held by the US Treasury.   That same report suggested refunds might well be in order if the SC determines his actions were beyond the scope of his authority. I imagine that will be a pretty serious cluster***.   I saw another report that suggested $195b has been collected. 

     

    From my perspective, we'll know when we know, and deal with the fallout when it happens.  

    Commerce Secretary Lutkin's family bought up rights to a ton of tariff proceeds to cash in if the courts say they have to be refunded. I think it was about 30 cents on the dollar. Those bets are looking good now.

    Here's what I expect (acknowledging that I have perhaps 3 or 4 readers here and not the 70,000 of some anonymous Twitter account): the tariffs based on the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (the ones at issue here) will be struck down. The Supreme Court will send it back to the lower courts to decide the "remedy" (including does money need to be refunded). And Trump (like Biden before him in the student loan forgiveness case) will try to reenact the tariffs under a different authority.

  14. Not from anyone's social media feed. Not from MSNBC or Fox. From people who actually know what they're talking about.

     

    1. Sean Trende. Writes for Real Clear Politics (somewhat right-leaning overall). No greater wisdom has been spoken about American politics than his guiding principle that coalitions in American politics are constantly shifting and rarely survive  long-term. And here he sees that happening:

     

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2025/11/06/a_bad_night_for_republicans_with_no_bright_spots_153494.html

     

    Americans don’t do mandates. Donald Trump’s claim to a sweeping mandate was always dubious. He won by a little less than two points and failed to clear 50% of the vote. But I’ve always been fond of political scientist E.E. Schattschneider’s view of things: “The people are a sovereign whose vocabulary is limited to ‘yes’ or ‘no.’” We read all sorts of things into election results because it’s our job.  But “the people” only say “I prefer this candidate” or “I like that one.” They don’t really get to explain why, nor in most elections do they get to rank preferences.

     

    2. G. Elliott Morris is a data journalist, previously with the Economist. He is one of the best at digging into the numbers. And he sees the same thing:

     

    https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trumps-winning-2024-coalition-has

     

    Morris points out that the "new Trump coalition" of working class whites, country club Republicans, and an increasing share of blacks and Hispanics has fallen apart. Again, coalitions are unstable, and this weird "coalition" (if you can even call it that) featured groups that just don't have a lot in common.

     

    It is clear now that claims of a fundamental realignment of American politics have been highly exaggerated. The 2024 election is best seen as an anti-incumbent election stemming from economic anxiety, most but not entirely driven by rising inflation during Joe Biden’s presidency. The elections held this week were a continuation of the anti-incumbent sentiment from last year — this time directed toward the new party in charge. The biggest difference between 2024 and 2025 is that Republicans are running the country now, instead of the Democrats.

    But for the realignment theorists, it’s actually worse than it looks. From 2024 to 2025 Republicans lost the most support — 25 points, on average — among the very voters they theorized would remake the GOP into a vast, multi-racial, working-class coalition. Today’s Chart of The Week looks at subgroup vote choice in 2025. The data suggests Trump’s winning coalition has all but evaporated — if it ever existed at all.

     

    Let’s start with the voters who were supposed to cement the GOP’s new coalition: non‑white, working‑class/lower-income, and young Americans. From 2020 to 2024, these three groups moved an average of 12 points toward Trump at the presidential level (on vote margin), according to Pew.

    In 2025, the same groups snapped back to the left — this time by 25 points on average. In fact, in Virginia’s exit poll (actually “The Voter Poll” by SSRS, but I’m going to call it an “exit poll” colloquially), Republican margins fell across every single subgroup except older voters (this could be due to noise in the exit poll samples). This is exactly what you’d expect from an anti‑incumbent election driven by economic anxiety and frustration at anti-democratic and far-right policy outcomes — and after a supposedly durable ideological realignment immediately falls apart.

     

    3. (From Trende and Morris) Policy emphasis and the beginnings of a new Democratic coalition. The message of Spanberger and Sherrill AND of Mamdani was an economic one. Class politics, not identity politics. "Affordability" is the mantra, and this makes it more difficult to play the "she is for they/them" card for Republicans. Again, shifting coalitions.

     

     

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