Orlando Tim
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Posts posted by Orlando Tim
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1 hour ago, BillStime said:
Oh, really, ORLANDO Tim?
Empty shelves spotted across Central Florida as residents stock up amid rising coronavirus cases
Here’s why you still can’t find toilet paper at the store – Orlando Sentinel
Southwest Florida stores are out of milk, meat and other supplies. So now what? Some tips.
Toilet paper limits, empty shelves are back as coronavirus surges (tampabay.com)
Empty Grocery Shelves Are Alarming, But They're Not Permanent | WGCU PBS & NPR for Southwest Florida
Coronavirus has Volusia grocery stores facing empty shelves (news-journalonline.com)
Florida Today: Food shortages: What's still missing from grocery shelves
Supermarkets Scramble To Meet Demand During Coronavirus Pandemic | WUSF
lmao
You showed entirely empty shelves, which we never had at all. Some items out of stock but I could always just get napkins vs paper towels and oatmeal vs cheerios. One of the articles you link to literally shows one brand of paper towel being out and acting like that is a big deal
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16 hours ago, BillStime said:
That top photo was never my local stores, only authoritarian governors caused that.
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I have been reading how McKinsey consulting is the group most responsible for the push to DEI by showing that by having diversity the business did better. Where McKinsey screwed up is they completely missed the reason was not related to the color or orientation of the person hired. The reason is that when you hire the best person regardless of these things you have a better more profitable company. The cause and effect reasons are completely messed up here.
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On 2/15/2024 at 11:01 AM, Tiberius said:
Should we raise taxes or cut spending to get the deficit under control?
100% cut spending, anyone who thinks the US government needs more tax money when it is already the most expensive government in world history needs to be ignored
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15 hours ago, BillStime said:
Thanks confirming the hoaxHow is it a hoax? All that is stated by the school district is that there is no policy to do that, the fact that you think means no teacher did it shows how little you know about how some teachers now act.
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On 4/2/2024 at 8:14 PM, ComradeKayAdams said:
So you’re referring to the GLOBAL mean surface temperature, which I think is currently ~59 degrees F. It’s calculated by taking the average of enough LOCAL mean surface temperatures across the planet. These local data points are about equally spaced from each other and form a spherically symmetrical pattern. The number can be calculated manually, but most computers trivially find it with numerical integration techniques. Each data point representing each local mean surface temperature is similarly found by calculating local temperature averages across equally spaced time increments, over the course of a full year.
The annual delta of Earth’s mean surface temperature is what tells us the net heat trapping from the greenhouse effect. You can never rely on local mean surface temperatures to give you the full story because global warming is never uniform. Western New York could be experiencing an unusually cold year under global warming conditions, while Florida and Brazil and the Middle East and Russia and Antarctica could all be experiencing unusually warm years. If you’ve ever seen global annual heat maps, you’ll see a mix of hot and cold spots but overall much more heat.
But that’s just the surface temperature. There are also temperature measurements for the ocean and for the different layers of the atmosphere.
My new challenge to all the anthropogenic climate change skeptics here: explain why our troposphere is heating up while our stratosphere is cooling??
Throughout most of Earth’s history, we know that climate has been dependent on interactions with the Sun: either from solar weather variations or from the periodic peculiarities of Earth’s motion about the Sun. The exceptions have been geothermal activity like volcanoes and related atmospheric composition changes. So if the current observed global warming is related to planetary interactions with the Sun, then the atmospheric heating should be uniform. But it’s not. Why is that??
FYI: for those who want to suggest cloud coverage, keep in mind that cloud effects vary greatly by type, height in the sky, and time of the day (reflective during the day and insulating at night). Climate data indicates that these effects can quickly cancel each other out, so evidence for any longstanding cloud-related positive feedback loop that initiated global warming is highly unlikely.
Can you show me all the studies of ocean temps and the stratosphere from the 1920's? As you stated much of the temp data is derived from computers, which have only been largely useful and accurate for 30 years. Secondly why have the overall predictions laid out by Al Gore in his crap movie been wrong? We have plenty of snow, hurricanes have not gotten worse, and temps are within 1* of that time frame. As we argued once before the very fact that they do not have the actual raw numbers from prior to 2008 but only the "fortified numbers" makes the whole thing absurd, scientists don't get to cull numbers at their choosing. The fact that they remove the 5% that disagrees with the assessment on a topic that is about small changes is crazy. If I took away my bottom 5% of students I would be the top teacher in the county easily every year.
This is from the group that does the research
"The CRU told some skeptical researchers it couldn't send them the original raw data because "data storage availability in the 1980s meant that we were not able to keep the multiple sources for some sites, only the station series after adjustment for homogeneity issues. We, therefore, do not hold the original raw data but only the value-added (i.e. quality controlled and homogenized) data." This explanation raises legitimate questions about how the lost original data were manipulated to produce the "value-added" data.
Later, University of East Anglia Pro-Vice-Chancellor Trevor Davies stated, "It is well known within the scientific community and particularly those who are skeptical of climate change that over 95% of the raw station data has been accessible through the Global Historical Climatology Network for several years." See above about data interdependence."
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5 minutes ago, BillStime said:
Just freakin Google it man - you are embarrassing yourself.Google used to state in 2010 that the largest playoff comeback in NFL history was some other team besides the Bills, Google is not the be all end all of searches. Because using a different search engine I found this:
https://www.whec.com/archive/fact-check-cat-litter-in-schools/
Which did not pop up on Google. Beyond that kids do dumb crap like this all the time, putting kitty litter in the bathroom would not even crack the top ten dumb crap my students have done this year. I doubt any school officially sanctioned this but sometimes teachers do dumb things to help kids feel accepted
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I truly doubt we make any kind of move up to 6 but I would definitely use some of our plethora of picks to move up in the second to get a good recovery there.
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Sadly this is was likely the best deal we could get for Diggs because if we traded him and he pulled an AB we would really be in trouble because we would owe his salary and then have to cut him after June 1st if he did not want to play
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This is a writer for the Gmen and the "article" is hilarious. He thinks the talent gap from Josh to Daniel Jones could be covered by 2 1st rounders. He also thinks we would want Daniel Jones, which I would rather roll with Trubisky regardless of cost. Lastly the salary cap impact could not be dealt with even if we wanted to trade him.
2 hours ago, nosejob said:I would gladly give the Giants next yrs 1st for 47, pick 70 and 166. WIN/WIN
Gimme Ladd, Legette, Sweat and Maason Smith....then BPA
The reason I disagree is that last year we only had 4 picks stick around and 3 go play on other teams, we don't have the roster slots for all the players we should draft. Your player picks are fine but not enough roster slots.
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This is not the shot as Diggs some will take it as but the facts are that we started winning when Diggs stopped being the main target. He is clearly a great player but last year he was not a go to guy, he was just another receiver. His stats were middling for the entire second half of season and when it was time to step up he was not that guy. I wish him well but if we did not have the salary cap hit I would be glad to get a second for him.
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In this draft I don't want to spend any future picks to move up for a WR, since so many high potential guys are available. I would rather sit tight and draft best one at 28 and use round 5 pick to move up in second to get another. Other than MHJ I would not bet on any individual rookie WR is a difference maker before November so I am thinking long term here
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7 hours ago, Ethan in Cleveland said:
Oh come on. The defense is the cause of the loss to Chiefs x 2 and the Texans. It was not Diggs.
Diggs was the worst player on the offense vs the Chiefs this year. He dropped more than he caught and most especially the dropping of the bomb pass was the worst drop for Buffalo since Ronnie Harmon. Diggs is at best the third best receiver I have seen far behind Reed and Moulds but acted like he owned the playoff records while it is Moulds and Davis who really did.
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On 4/2/2024 at 7:22 PM, Roundybout said:
What do you think her little army does? Watches from afar?
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna102784
There is no evidence that any of these people are related or inspired by LOTT. You literally linked to an article where an incompetent cop blamed someone to pass the buck on why they did not catch one person but the FBI shows no evidence of LOTT being related at all. At my school we had 3 bomb threats it's first year and all three students were caught. In February there was a emailed gun threat and the two disgruntled adults were caught and prosecuted. This keystone cop not finding out who it is and throwing blame like that is terrible.
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3 hours ago, Roundybout said:
Let me know when Dems start doxxing people doing their job because they’re gay.do you actual think her reposting what people are openly posting on Tiktok is doxxing? These people are not doing this stuff anonymously, so you are intentionally lying to try and make a dishonest point
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In all seriousness the last pick of this draft would select the highest ceiling QB left, and develop him as best I could.
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2 hours ago, BillStime said:
Yeah - they could. What does the title of the article say? And where did I ever say Disney would leave? lmao
And - aren't they discussing sales tax increases in the two counties that make up Disney World?
And last, you said Disney was no longer "formally pushing trans crap" - did they cancel Gay Disney?
The article is written with morons in mind and only morons believed it for a minute. Gay days have always existed outside official Disney policy, it has been going on at least as long I have lived in Florida. Right now the only possible tax increase is the one that Demings has tried to get passed a bunch of time now is for public transportation, which he started pushing before Disney situation and is unrelated. Lastly Disney would never move from Florida after investing as much as they have so anyone who listed that as even a 1% chance is stupid.
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1 hour ago, BillStime said:
How does that QUOTE equate:
https://www.newsweek.com/anti-desantis-voters-could-foot-billion-dollar-disney-tax-bill-1700103
You linked to this or a similar article back then. It is ok you know it is true but probably went back and deleted it.
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On 4/22/2022 at 9:25 PM, BillStime said:
lol - I told you Disney paid taxes - lol 🤣Disney paid $780.3 million in state and local taxes in 2021.
Enjoy your tax increase bro!
You mean like this one?
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2 minutes ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:
The people that left felt intimidated by MAGAs there. When they’re deplorable, it doesn’t take a majority. Read the piece.
I read the piece again and it says the first lady is "middle of road Republican" but did not want to discuss politics, you assume it is maga because is makes it easier for you rationalize, but much of Orlando went for Biden. Secondly they make a statement in the article that is factually incorrect, property taxes in FL stay about the same because of state law, my property taxes are $200 more a year now then in 2004 when I bought home despite it being 3 times the value.
1 minute ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:Several had lived in Fla for decades. They noticed a drastic change. Last couple of trips to see friends there convinced me not to return. Our friends moved to Williamsburg. Much more civil and sophisticated…
Williamsburg VA is more sophisticated than where in FL?
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@BillStime remember when you warned me that Disney would leave and then it would cost us in Orange County $2 billion? Wow literally nothing you said was even remotely correct, but the Disney CEO was ousted and Disney is no longer formally pushing Trans crap, so an overall win for Florida in every way.
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8 hours ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:
The political climate of the state is an important part of this piece.
Once again do your homework, both areas are the bluest areas of Florida.
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7 minutes ago, 4th&long said:
What is the purpose of the insurance companies making people replace roofs that are only 9 years old or less? Did they change how they construct them because of the hurricanes? Seems pointless if the whole house is laying on the ground but the roof is intact laying on top of the debris or blown away in one piece?
I used to work in insurance so I have a better understanding than most so this is longer than need be probably. I left insurance world in 2013 to teach and my last year there was with one of the 4 biggest Property insurers in FL. At that time we were spending more money on lawsuit claims then on straight paid claims. The law on the books until 2023 was if someone could prove insurance owed one more dollar than was paid that the insurance company had to pay out for the insured lawyers. Over time lawyers when they were confident they were going to get paid started getting engineers and other people to fluff the bill so that 10k roof which was fluffed up to $12k became a 40k payout. The reason for the 9 year old roof is most likely one or more of these three 1) roof is not of better roofing materials 2) they have already shown a penchant for calling in claims 3) the insurance company is shrinking their coverage in the area and want only the best risk, so if they want to lose them or their neighbor and they want the better risk. I was able to keep my roof until it was 21 years old, I paid to have it changed myself and my insurance dropped by 25%, so I was paying for the higher risk. FL insurance has made definite improvements over the past year but it will take time for it to shake out.
5 minutes ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:Insurance costs will just get worse while y'all deny global warming. 100 degree days suck....
That happens on average three times a year in Orlando, the record is 7 days in one year and that was a century ago
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45 minutes ago, Tiberius said:
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/rcna142316
While costs have been rising across the country, some areas of Florida have been hit particularly hard. In the South Florida region, which includes Miami, Fort Lauderdale and Palm Beach, consumer prices in February were up nearly 5% over the prior year, compared to 3.2% nationally, according to the most recent data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Homeowners insurance rates in Florida rose 42% last year to an average of $6,000 annually, driven by hurricanes and climate change, and car insurance in Florida is more than 50% higher than the national average, according to the Insurance Information Institute. While once seen as an affordable housing market, Florida is now among the more expensive states to buy a home in, with prices up 60% since 2020 to an average of $388,500, according to Zillow.
For Carter, who made the move in 2022 from Kansas to a suburb of Orlando for the weather, beaches and to be closer to her grandchildren, the costs began to quickly pile up. She purchased a manufactured home and initially expected the lot rent in her community to be $580 a month. But when she arrived she learned her monthly bill was actually $750, and by the time she left it had jumped to $875 a month. Along with the $9,000 in repairs from the armadillos, her car insurance doubled and Hurricane Ian destroyed her home’s roof on her 62nd birthday.
A few items to mention here:
1) Orlando is now absurdly expensive and not dropping soon most likely, supply is low for homes and demand is huge. In 2018 I recommended many people move south where similar cost for better lifestyle, now it is better lifestyle for much higher cost, unless you are moving from NYC, or other major city.
2) the article quotes people who moved to an extremely expensive area (West Palm) and seemed surprised at the cost and congestion. Moving somewhere without research is on them.
3) anyone moving to Orlando to buy a manufactured home is about 40 years late, they are cheap to buy because they are expensive to maintain and the land rentals are very unstable. Also car insurance doubling means she was in accidents for certain, my insurance has not increased by even 50% since 2016.
4) last point is before moving here do some research, the costs are continuing to rise because it continues to grow. Know what it costs and expect it to be whatever the national inflation is + some.
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Are you better off today than you were four years ago?
in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Posted
Not sure how old you are but I am certain you live somewhere liberal and likely don't travel much. Our country is not garbage, most of it is great, even places like NYC will be great again when they get real leaders. Before I started teaching I had a job where I worked in 50+ cities over 7 years and the only two I really disliked was LA and Vegas, because it was the only place where it seemed most people were willing to lie to get ahead. Our country is awesome, but in general we still have crap politicians.