Orlando Tim
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Posts posted by Orlando Tim
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12 minutes ago, harmonkillebrew said:
Beane has a real tendency for a certain type of player.
Ray Davis is a Zack Moss clone
Coleman isn't too far off from Kelvin Benjamin and Devin Funchess.
None of those guys panned out.
Seems Beane consistently under values speed in skill players. I was hoping we'd come out of this draft faster and more explosive on O, but instead it's more of the usual.
Coleman would have been a decent replacement for Gabe. Similar skill set. Is Samuel supposed to be the Diggs replacement? Hard to see us being better on offense.
Or defense for that matter. They don't seem to have a vision or plan for getting better than the Chiefs. Feels like a reset year.
So we should expect 2k in yards from Coleman over the next 2 season just like Benjamin? should we also expect him to then eat his way out of the league? Besides being tall they have little to compare.
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If they are going to stretch the season to more real games, which I like, they need to put in two stipulations: they need two bye weeks and they need to make the Thursday night game teams be two teams coming off a bye. I would be surprised if the extra game does not happen especially since the time line would be perfect from Labor Day to Presidents day.
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The people using Kelvin Benjamin as a bad example apparently don't realize he went for 2k yard combined his first two years played as a pro, and the dude then stopped trying to keep in shape. As for Coleman he is closest receiver in draft to Diggs, Diggs is not a true burner but he fights for the ball and will catch jump balls. He has to learn how to run better routes quickly because the FSU offense ran on Jordan Travis improvising and it is built into the plan.
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1 hour ago, ChiGoose said:
Aside from the 11 different sources I included in my post, I'll give you this: Study Confirms Climate Models are Getting Future Warming Projections Right
I do find it interesting that you're bringing up whatever you think my solutions so dismissively since I personally don't have any climate solutions and my whole point is that the Right is rejecting the underlying truth (climate change is real and driven by humans) specifically because they don't like the solutions offered to combat it.
The fact that I acknowledge the climate is changing, state we need to adapt to it, and then point out, that not one of your crisis situations has occured is me "denying climate change". No major water rising, still plenty of snow on mountains, no wild fires where the forest are culled but keep telling yourself you understand the science. Climate on the planet is forever changing and chances are the more people that like be on the planet the more we will affect it.
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This is clearly an over sampled Democrat survey. NBC knows the data is garbage but made sure they printed it. You can argue it is technically correct In that they actually did a poll but any poll that only has Desantis up 2 pts in Florida is crazy. He has not only the die hard political people, but the vast majority of the "normal" parents, and of those that did not like him 2022 many have moved out of state.
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7 hours ago, ComradeKayAdams said:
Yay!! You can use an internet search engine! Now use it once more for any critiques of that paper’s flaws and limitations. Doing so may help explain why a paper that is 7 years old has negligible citations and no follow-up research, from the author himself or from any peers within the skeptical climate science community.
The theme of my posts has been to direct some of that same skeptical energy toward the skeptics, too. The correlation between atmospheric carbon dioxide and surface temperature has been exhaustively researched over the years, so any future hypothesis that challenges the conventional wisdom has a steep mountain of scientific tests to climb.
You just looked up the stratosphere cooling effect NOW?? We’ve been talking about it for several weeks! The theory has been around for many decades, soon after the discovery of the stratosphere itself. How much more time is needed for the data to persuade you? 1 year? A decade? A century? A full geological epoch? I have already explained why the data is so persuasive. Climate skeptics always have unreasonable standards that are never rooted in scientific reasoning…
A solution to anthropogenic climate change is way too nuanced for me to address in full right now (and I’d rather focus on NFL draft gossip, to be honest, because this is my personal Christmas in April!). So a very brief summary:
1. What private industries should mostly control: market-driven technological innovation in solar energy, electric vehicle battery technology, nuclear energy, other green energy (wind, geothermal, hydro, biofuel), carbon sequestration, planetary terraforming, civil engineering, agricultural tech, and lab-grown meat.
2. What the government should mostly manage: fundamental STEM research funding in everything related to the climate change problem, carbon market legislation for industries, green economy training programs for displaced workers of old energy economy, public transportation upgrades, all other civil infrastructure upgrades, regulations/land acquisitions for curbing suburban sprawl, land reforestation, and EPA oversight of environmental conservation practices.
You brought up COVID, by the way, as if managing a sudden pandemic in real time is comparable to long-term planning for climate change… Ironically enough, the absence of effective government economic intervention (in the form of financially compensating citizens who were forced to not work) was an enormous socioeconomic stressor but a policy that libertarian types supported. The standard free-market solution was to keep everything open as normal, but doing so would have rapidly overloaded hospitals and led to many more deaths.
I am very rooted in reasonable explanations, which is why I always like more data. The investigation into stratosphere has only been done by those who wanted one answer. I will point out again that the historical trail of temperature in the stratosphere is very limited and any discussion of a larger time frame is reliant on computer modeling. I understand the climate is ever changing and recently it has been getting warmer, but climate change has become the boogie man and unrelated things have been blamed on it.
Truly you and I will never agree because you only see what you want to see, which is government is the answer. To state a more free market solution would have overloaded hospitals is in direct opposition to what Sweden showed fully and Florida showed in the US. FL despite being one of the oldest populations in the US was below average for death rate while being far more open until at least 2022.
I will allow you the last word this go round but your solutions rely on government being honest and using financial restraint, which when we are 34 trillion in debt and members of Congress are worth 100s of millions makes the start of the discussion seem ridiculous.
5 hours ago, ChiGoose said:Climate change is a pretty solid example of a specific way the political right is currently broken and living in a fantasy world.
The right doesn't like a lot of the left's solutions for combating climate change (and that's fair, it's ok to have policy differences and no plan is perfect) but instead of acknowledging reality and proposing their own plan, they just deny that climate change is a thing at all.
Then they point to anecdotes, highlight anyone with extreme positions as being representative of everyone, ignore predictions that were correct while highlighting predictions that were wrong, and try to evoke emotional reactions that distract for the factual realities.
It's a common thing across a lot of different issues today: deny reality and push emotional reactions to prevent any action to address problems. Create an "us vs them" scenario the conveniently supports whatever big moneyed interests want.
Anyway, if you don't believe that climate change is real despite the o v e r w h e l m i n g evidence, you're being played like a fool.
PS: If you're not a fan of immigration, you should be really concerned about climate change.
I will ask you to point out one prediction that was correct that was trumpeted? Simply showing temps have risen in the past 50 years shows me nothing. The fact that 7 billion people affect the planet and the climate is changing is obvious and will always happen but your solutions are not only ineffective but damaging to our economy
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9 hours ago, The Frankish Reich said:
A matter of statistics.
“Mainstream Media” = maybe a couple dozen sources max. Do they get everything right, right away? Of course not. Maybe they hit .900. Or .800.
“Alt Media” = thousands of sources. Ridiculous conspiracy tweeters like Pizzagate Jack. Opinion twitter monkeys like those often cited here, offering a hot take on some MSM story. Completely fake propaganda sites posting from Russia. Cherry pick the good ones (nobody here does) and you may approach MSM reliability. But just assume that a National Enquirer or Pizzagate Jack story/tweet is reliable? I even see Alex Jones cited here. I don’t know the batting average, but “Mendoza Line” is probably applicable.Stories that the MSM lied about since 2020: COVID origin, Hunter laptop, "most secure election in history", outdoor protest are safe but school is not safe, police brutality. Those are the things I can think of in less than a minute. Your assurance that they hit .800 is laughable. CNN actually went to a news first concept and their ratings tanked because no one was interested, though I did actually watch more then. Your grabbing Pizzagate as your example is the definition of cherry picking, because so few believed it.
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34 minutes ago, L Ron Burgundy said:
Did he say they were perfect? Maybe I missed it.
Me thinks you missed the point.
He stated "that's different than actually making stuff up out of whole cloth at the urging of a particular candidate" which is EXACTLY what CBS did. I am very aware s lot of these smaller "news" organizations take a small piece of info and blow it up beyond reason but to pretend that the MSM is not doing the same when you are our age is being intentionally stupid.
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4 hours ago, The Frankish Reich said:
Except that's not my point.
My point is that the so-called mainstream media isn't perfect. Sometimes they repeat what campaigns feed them. Sometimes they fail to do their own investigations and fact-checking before they report an allegation. The reports on the Steele Dossier are an example.
But that's different than actually making stuff up out of whole cloth at the urging of a particular candidate. That's how this ridiculous "Ted Cruz's father was close to Oswald" story started. And obviously knowing that the story was made up, Trump harped on it in his campaign. And that was only possible because Trump essentially controlled what the Enquirer did.
CBS made up the story about Bush in 2004 wholly and completely and they were debunked with 24 hours by a bunch of basement dwellers. Your statement is not only wrong but if you believed it when you wrote it you are stupid.
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2 hours ago, Tiberius said:
We'll see. Abortion bans bring out a lot of voters who do not usually vote
Do you think the people moving to FL are coming because they want liberal policies? Florida will be all red except the 3 idiot counties in the southeast. Florida demographics have changed since 2018 when a liberal had a chance.
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12 hours ago, Tiberius said:
Florida is in play, IMO
You are delusional, Trump wins Florida by at least 500k. I may as well state the Bills have a chance at drafting MHJ without trading multiple ones, it could happen in everyone in Florida goes brain dead.
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3 hours ago, Brandon said:
There are significant concerns about Coleman's speed and ability to gain separation on the outside in the NFL, and that's been the biggest need on the Bills offense. He probably fits best as a power slot guy, but the Bills drafted Kincaid for that role last year.
If they take a speed/separation guy at 28 and Coleman is there at 60, I wouldn't be opposed to taking a chance on him.
Those are all valid points, we do need a outside guy more so I will state Legette or we can try and move up for someone who could be special.
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I like Legette more of these two but I don't see why Keon Coleman is not being discussed as our Diggs replacement- he likes to fight for the ball and would round out the WR room nicely.
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2 hours ago, ComradeKayAdams said:
I’m guessing you never skimmed through the articles or the Nature paper?? I’ll explain it another way: D = A – B – C
D is the observed increase in Earth’s angular velocity.
C is the calculated decrease in Earth’s angular velocity due to polar ice cap melting.
A is the increase in Earth’s angular velocity due to mass movement within its liquid outer core.
B is the long-term decrease in Earth’s angular velocity due to the Moon’s gravitational pull.
“D” is what everyone agrees is happening. “C” is the subject of the Nature paper. “D” is positive and greater than “C.” So “C” is saying that global warming effects are slowing Earth down, but not enough to reverse the effects from “A” that are speeding up Earth (in the short-term). Did that clarify?
And yes, I’m still quite confident in the science of anthropogenic climate change! If you have been paying attention to my posts, then you know why: data confluence plus an effective process of isolation/elimination of climate change-inducing variables.
Any progress on an alternative scientific explanation for the cooling stratosphere?? Or on a scientific refutation of the causal relationship between atmospheric carbon dioxide ppm and planetary mean surface temperature??
Ugh. This thread was at its peak when it was just Muppy and I analyzing awesome dresses. Somewhere between Leh-nerd Skin-erd posts, we must have leapfrogged a megalodon or two.
The cooling of the stratosphere I finally looked up and it was presented less than 5 years ago based on the findings of people looking for global warming. I am not stating the cause is not what they state it is, I simply will wait for a little more time and until more people have gone through the data. This does bring us to our next point, which is what is the solution? Is turning it over to the government a good idea? We just saw what happened with COVID and how they messed it up, why do you believe they will do better?
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My kids don't get the way Bills fans can be but we went to a Orlando Solar Bears hockey game and I was wearing my Sabres Jersey and I got dozens of "Go Buffalo" and when in line one guy all but hugged me as we discussed Sabres and Bills. Both kids asked after how I knew him, and I of course had no idea who he was. I also gave high fives to at least 5 other guys who I did know either. Our friends in Lightning jerseys did not have similar experiences.
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6 minutes ago, ComradeKayAdams said:
But the claims from the two articles don’t contradict each other!
One is describing the larger NET RESULT of an increase in Earth’s angular velocity, mainly due to movement of mass in the liquid outer core beneath the mantle. The other is describing the smaller GROSS RESULT of a decrease in Earth’s angular velocity, due to mass redistribution from melting polar ice caps. Note that this observed net result of increasing angular velocity is an extremely temporary one, on the order of a human lifetime, compared to the vastly larger long-term trend of decreasing angular velocity due to Moon-induced tidal force friction.
So all this has next to nothing to do with anthropogenic climate change and everything to do with the conservation of angular momentum. And we know that modern data collection for this science is exceptional, as are the computational models that depend on the accuracy of moment of inertia modeling (i.e. how the Earth’s mass is distributed). Even the geological data matches well with the modeling predictions: as early as around 600 million years ago, an Earth day was around 22 hours long. There’s no geological data beyond that time, but physical modeling suggests that an Earth day about 4 billion years ago was about 8 hours long.
In conclusion: everyone please read these types of articles and blog posts more carefully. Apply the same skeptical energy to the skeptical crowd (who have their own agendas!) as you do to the mainstream science crowd.
Both can't be correct as they both state they have already seen the changes happening time wise, you cannot have both a longer day and a shorter day at the same time, they are mutually exclusive. I also understand both versions of science are valid, I acknowledged that when I said " both study models are valid" but each weighs it's own variable as the more important one and does not take into consideration the other variable. Finally acknowledging the massive changes the earth has gone through you seem quite confident that all the changes happening now are man made, vs all of the massive changes that have happened throughout time with minimal impact from man
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On 4/16/2024 at 9:39 AM, The Frankish Reich said:
This Yuri Bezmenov guy, lately the late darling of the right-wing echosphere, was indeed remarkably prescient.
In the mid-1980s, he seems to have foreseen the total collapse of capitalism thanks to the efforts of his former employer, leaving the Soviet Union as the sole international superpower.
You do realize you are proving his point? The way the Russians kept the population under control is to make them respond as you just did. Your deflection because you don't like his completely true facts is to attack with unrelated information.
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On 4/16/2024 at 10:50 AM, B-Man said:
These two stories were published on the same day a few weeks ago.
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@ComradeKayAdams this is what I mean by computer model start with assumptions. Both study models are valid, but at least one of them is fundamentally flawed and in such an enormous way that not only is there reasoning wrong, but the conclusion is 100% wrong. I want to point out that I don't which is correct but both are stating the change has already started.
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On 4/19/2024 at 12:40 PM, Tiberius said:
Russia attacked our electoral system in 2016 to help Trump.
If you are a proper representative of liberals in the USA then I am frightened. You believe the Steele Dossier was put out by the Russians to help Trump and nothing anyone has said for the past 8 years has made you even reconsider that thought for a moment.
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On 4/16/2024 at 2:28 PM, The Frankish Reich said:
Good question that remains largely unanswered after 230 some years.
When it was written it meant people here legally. If legally in country you get protected by Constitution, if you are a foreign national who is here without permission you do not get protections. There is not a question of what they meant only what dishonest politicians/judges do. The system is phenomenal until you have people believing they are moral by allowing criminals into their community
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The $8 cap is stupid and only sounds good to people who are economically illiterate, right along with $20 minimum wage laws. Biden pushing the idea of putting all non negotiable costs up front makes complete sense.
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I have twice been through voir dire and I was rejected both times based on my answer to a couple questions. I gave honest answers but in the one case it was clear the prosecutor wanted people who believed the guy was guilty because of almost exclusively testimony, where I need solid evidence
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I don't know hockey like I know football but the lack of defensive structure this year was far too evident. We far too often would be scrambling on defense when it would have been easy to snuff out the chance if we simply knew who had to be where at all times. In October I can blame a player, in January forward it is coaching. The offense is acceptable but the defense is not even close.
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Late in the draft I would like Will Shipley. He could be the poor man's Cook. He catches well out of backfield and seemed to find open spaces when I watched them.
Rd 2, Pick 33: WR Keon Coleman, Florida State
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
What does Ladd do so we'll that Coleman does not do?