Orlando Tim
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Posts posted by Orlando Tim
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12 hours ago, BillStime said:
COVID vaccinations for children are safe... but I defer to parents because it is NOT my call.
You got that Tim? Focus on your own and your family's medical decisions.
Thank you for admitting Trump is correct here, glad we all agree.
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7 hours ago, BillStime said:
If you ever wonder why I assume you are a right winger truly pretending l, this video is one of the reasons. Every reasonable person believes a COVID vaccine being mandated for kids is evil, who do you disagree?
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3 hours ago, BillStime said:
You are literally the only person over the age of 6 whom is fooled by these short clips being strung together.
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18 hours ago, BillStime said:
I am highlighting the hypocrisy of the cult who make a point to NOT target actual pedophiles doing damage to children.
18 hours ago, Orlando Tim said:how do I or anyone "target" pedophiles who don't brag about it openly?
14 hours ago, BillStime said:You make no sense - ever.
Billsy most common state, confused by a logical progression. He wants me to target pedophiles but can't explain how I can do that if the pedophile is not open about it.
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2 minutes ago, BillStime said:
Hoax - and you know it.
I am highlighting the hypocrisy of the cult who make a point to NOT target actual pedophiles doing damage to children.
You try so hard…
The guy is jail, hopefully for a long time, but serious question for you- how do I or anyone "target" pedophiles who don't brag about it openly?
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37 minutes ago, BillStime said:
All he did was lie and people died
Imagine linking to an article that says 6ft and a cloth mask would make things better in 2024.
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48 minutes ago, BillStime said:
How am I defending him, Buffalo Timmy?
If you aren't defending him then what are you doing? LOTT outs pedophiles and people that sexualize children, which this guy clearly is in that category. You defend these people on here, not sure how else you put this guy in a thread with LOTT.
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39 minutes ago, BillStime said:
Libs of TikTok missed yet, another one... As did @BillsFanNC - but then again Roy only cares about innocent trans and LGTBQ people existing.
I can't believe you are defending this guy, he is a creep who belongs in jail and you are here trying to to act like it is ok.
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Right now Sydney is happy a good guy with a gun was able to stop the dude with a knife. Anyone who focuses on the tool and not the person is too dumb for this conversation.
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18 minutes ago, The Frankish Reich said:
It's the Iron Law of Trumpy Projection!
Trump's fortune came from his adjudicated racist father's slumlord past and he's always given off strong racist vibes (see the whole Central Park murders "wilding" thing he inserted himself into). So let's accuse Biden of racism!
Trump is caught on tape saying he just grabs women by the p[]ssy and he always manages to be backstage when those young Miss Teenies are getting dressed and he brags about how shaggable his teenage daughter has become. So let's accuse Biden of being a perv!
There's your response, Tarheel.
Frankish do you actually believe the Central Park 5 are innocent? Those dudes are guilty, the only question is whether the prosecution handled the case in a proper legal manner.
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29 minutes ago, ComradeKayAdams said:
I’ll get to your ad hominem attacks in a second. But first:
1. You think satellite data is necessary to understand historical ice sheet size?? El. Oh. El.
As I’ve repeatedly explained, we have WAY more than 30 years of climate science evidence for the troposphere and for the oceans. Extrapolation is necessary for understanding the historical stratosphere, but even for all the upper atmospheric layers we can make strong educated guesses based on other indirect evidence like from ice sheet gas bubbles (particularly from migratory ozone concentrations). You hate extrapolation probably because you have ZERO understanding of molecular physics and statistical thermodynamics (plus plasma physics, if analyses include the layers sandwiching the stratosphere from above).
And again…if you hate extrapolation so much, then at least offer your own explanation for WHY THE STRATOSPHERE IS COOLING WHILE THE TROPOSPHERE IS WARMING. Tell us why we should believe your garbage science instead of consensus science.
And again…three decades’ worth of data points are sufficient to quantitatively define a climate. This is a mathematical/statistical/graphical argument and not a completely arbitrary definitional one.
One thing you got right here: deforestation practices do threaten rainforests way more than climate change (even though I never argued otherwise…but whatevs).
2. Agreed! Too many Luddites on the political left oppose nuclear fission power plants.
3. What kind of nonsensical argument is this?! Yes, of course civilization will adapt to a dystopian planetary environment because we will technically have no other choice. But do you properly understand how much money and human suffering it will cost along the way to adaptation?! Damages to global food supplies, coastal city alterations, natural disaster relief, increases in the spread of infectious diseases, vulnerable island nations, mass population exoduses from newly uninhabitable regions (such as large swaths of the Middle East)…we should try to minimize or avoid what we can of all this.
4. Okay…and perhaps these environmentalists were making reasonable predictions, depending on the specific assumptions of petroleum engineering tech advancements and geo-exploratory land/sea availabilities with which they were working?? That was my point. How is this relevant, anyway, to the topic of anthropogenic climate change from the perspective of professional climate SCIENTISTS??
5. My point here was that the U.S. government intervened and enacted meaningful change to the specific problem of North American acid rain. Yes, I’m fully aware of the general pollution problems with China and India. Acknowledging that reality doesn’t justify neglecting other problems over which we have some degree of control.
Now regarding your doubts of my education: If you have a BillFans.com account, it shouldn’t take you too long to find my LinkedIn and Instagram profiles. Go ahead and evaluate my STEM credentials if you’d like. I’m wearing a blue sleeveless pencil dress in my LinkedIn pro pic and an “earthy-colored” hippy-looking bell-sleeved skater dress in my Instagram pro pic (background: the Long Island Central Pine Barrens, my absolute favorite place in our beautiful state of New York!).
Regarding my nuttiness: Dude...bruh…I’m a Slavic-American girl from Western New York who has endured a 17-year playoff drought and now an ongoing 13-year one. You were expecting sanity??
I should not have called you nuts, that is definitely my mistake. You are one of the people here who always respond with a well thought out response and I regret posting that. I will blame it on dealing high schoolers all day. To the science part:
I hate extrapolation because it always starts from your assumption. You are arguing that the stratosphere and troposphere going in different directions is a historical outlier, but truly we don't know. What was the stratosphere and troposphere doing in the last ice age? We can only guess. When I was in high school in the 1990s I was told the finger lakes were carved by glaciers, but I have been informed by my nephews that is not the belief anymore.
But you and I have one major difference which we will never bridge- I don't trust government to enact meaningful change. Lowering pollution is a good thing but not at the cost of stopping our economy. Politicians main goal is to get re elected, and that is why California is a mess despite being an "environmental" state.
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This is actually an interesting dynamic here that I want put to a test- what percent are you sure he is a pedophile? If you say 100% either way you are being a political hack. I am about 30% there but this diary alone is not enough but it does look bad. It also looks worse that they treated this the same way as hunter laptop, first it is fake, then it is real, then you should not believe it. I ask this of @BillStime @The Frankish Reich @BillsFanNC @Doc most pointedly.
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1 hour ago, ComradeKayAdams said:
What unavailable raw data are you talking about?! Stratosphere temps? Just use the most recent decades of data that NOAA and NASA-GISS have made publicly available. To reiterate: we’re looking for an explanation of HOW THE STRATOSPHERE IS COOLING WHILE THE TROPOSPHERE IS WARMING.
And yes, I do believe that government-directed money allocation can influence planetary climate to some extent. That’s pretty much one of the main realized corollaries that come from acknowledging greenhouse effect physics! Probably more accurately: I believe that private industries, through technological innovations based on government-funded research, will play a bigger role than various carbon pricing strategies (carbon tax, cap-and-trade schemes, etc.) meant to modify human energy consumption behavior.
(100)/(1 billion) = (10^2)/(10^9) = 10^(-7) = 0.0000001 = 0.00001%...so you were missing a zero…but point taken lol! Your question is a really good one: do we have sufficient data from a large enough time span to make such definitive climate science claims?
I would say we do. For one thing, if you look at scatterplots of temperature data versus time and analyze the regression lines (the relative positions and the slopes) which describe the climate behavior, you’ll quickly see that a rule-of-thumb minimum of about three decades is perfectly reasonable for defining a given region’s climate.
Moreover, we’re looking for the following criteria to give us scientific confidence:
1. A logically reasoned hypothesis that is experimentally falsifiable.
2. Reliable methods of data collection with sufficient precision.
3. Statistically large enough sample sizes of data.
4. A consistent data signal trend that is well above thermal noise.
5. A process of elimination for all other explanatory factors.
The latter-most criterion is what distinguishes surface temperatures and (to some extent) ocean temperatures from stratosphere temperatures. With surfaces and oceans, we have plenty of pre-Industrial Revolution earth science evidence, with confluence, that so far rule out all known natural explanations for climate change.
For stratosphere temperature data, we’re mostly relying on the strength of the first criterion I listed. But fortunately, the stratosphere is a lot less complicated than the troposphere in the sense that there are way fewer feedback control system inputs to understand. And even before the days in which air balloons and airplanes and satellites were routinely traversing the stratosphere (even before we knew of the stratosphere’s existence, really), tabletop experiments were performed of the energy absorption/emission behavior of molecules like carbon dioxide, nitrogen, oxygen, ozone, and whatever else might finds its way into this atmosphere layer.
So basically, geophysicists already had well-articulated predictions of how an atmospheric layer sitting above another layer of increasing carbon dioxide density might cool and contract. Modern temperature data from satellites simply confirmed this strong hypothesis. But if the anthropogenic climate change skeptics have an alternate explanation, then by all means…
Regarding temperature recordings: official ones are always taken in the shade. The purpose of the recording is strictly to measure the air’s temperature, which is just a single aggregate number that quantifies the average energy of the air molecules. So to accurately measure this, the air sample needs to be isolated from any additional energy coming directly from the Sun (in the form of electromagnetic radiation).
Actually, all that I told you about the ozone was that its well-studied behavior can’t explain the observed cooling and contraction of the stratosphere. But since you brought it up lol…yes, it’s in much better shape since that 1987 Montreal Protocol which banned the international use of certain industrial chemicals. Yay government intervention!! A rare victory for Mother Earth over laissez-faire cultists!
Addressing the rest of your post content:
1. Climate change fatalism is a completely unacceptable philosophy because of the potential triggering of climate change tipping points (ice sheets, permafrost, ocean currents, coral reef health, rainforests, boreal forests, etc.).
2. It would have been helpful if our country had planned much earlier for an electric car economy and a modernized electrical grid. In this regard, I mostly blame the festering culture of climate change denialism and government-hating libertarian fanaticism.
3. What constitutes a global population limit is subjective. What’s the expected quality of living? Land, freshwater, and food are finite resources. Tech advances in agriculture have pushed back the more alarming overpopulation predictions, but there is a limit. A certain percentage of Earth’s land must also be reserved for forests (preferably old-growth ones), if you’re at all concerned about climate change. Also: go vegan to reduce land usage and reduce greenhouse gas footprints!
4. I don’t know who exactly has been claiming that we’ll run out of oil or when they made these claims, but it is still technically a nonrenewable energy resource. Technological improvements in extraction and refining, as well as places that have become open for resource extraction, are pretty significant variables that have allowed for an enormous range of predictions.
5. U.S. Clean Air Act amendments dramatically reduced acid rain! It’s one of the best examples, in fact, of the potential of cap-and-trade schemes.
I actually thought you were educated but you are nuts.
1) there is no evidence that ice sheets less today than 100 years ago because there is no starting point from before satellites. Rainforest threat is much more related to over building. Your arguments are based on 30 years of knowledge and pretending you can extrapolate them.
2) the only way to plan to for electric cars is to build more power plants and they are snuffed out by liberals.
3) you are arguing that adaption is what saved us with population but not this.
4) environmentalist claim it, which you know.
5) you think the US 5,% drop in pollution is counteracting the 300% increase in China and India? Literally my high schools know that is dumb.
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5 hours ago, BillStime said:
👆🤡 Karen is so desperate to whitewash something everyone saw on TV.
Who the F cares if Twitter removed his Tweet or video. Its was public for three hours after he posted it. And yet he continued to post absolute bullshitt designed to incite his cult.
10:58 a.m.: Members of the Proud Boys are seen heading toward the Capitol. A member tells the BBC: "We're taking our country back."
12:53 p.m.: The crowd outside the Capitol grows and confrontations with police begin.
1:11 p.m.: Trump tells supporters to "fight like hell" because if they don't, "you're not going to have a country anymore."
1:45 p.m.: Rioters push past police and an officer announces that it is "now effectively a riot," although officers are trying to get compliance.
2:00 p.m.: Rioters force their way past barricades and advance to the exterior facade of the Capitol, forcing their way into the building.
2:10 p.m.: Rioters begin to break through the doors and windows of the Senate.
2:20 p.m.: Congress members are instructed to evacuate the chambers.
2:26 p.m.: Trump intends to call Alabama Republican Senator Tommy Tuberville, but he calls Utah Republican Senator Mike Lee instead. Lee gives the phone to Tuberville, who tells Trump that Pence was evacuated and he cannot talk.
2:38 p.m.: Trump urges people to "support our Capitol police and law enforcement," and tweets that "they are truly on the side of our country. Stay peaceful!"
2:41 p.m.-2:43 p.m.: A group of rioters attempts to get through a locked set of doors outside the House Chamber. Protester Ashli Babbitt is fatally shot while trying to crawl through it.3:05 p.m.: House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy tells WUSA that he called the president to urge him to "calm people down."
3:13 p.m.: Trump posts on Twitter that he's asking people at the Capitol to "remain peaceful" and not engage in violence: "Remember, we are the party of law and order–respect the law and our great men and women in Blue. Thank you!"
3:19 p.m.: Pelosi and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer call the Pentagon for help and are told the National Guard request was approved.
4:17 p.m.: Trump posts a video on social media telling rioters that he knows their pain and hurt. "We had an election that was stolen from us. It was a landslide election and everyone knows it, especially the other side. But you have to go home now ... We have to have peace. We have to have law and order. ... So go home. We love you, you're very special. ... I know how you feel. But go home and go home in peace," he says.
5:20 p.m.: National Guard members start arriving at the Capitol.96:01 p.m.: Trump tweets a post suggesting that the Capitol riot was the result of a fraudulent election. "These are the things and events that happen when a sacred landslide election victory is so unceremoniously and viciously stripped away from great patriots who have been badly and unfairly treated for so long. Go home with love and in peace. Remember this day forever!" he says before deleting the tweet.
7:00 p.m.: Facebook removes Trump's posts from the social media site.
7:02 p.m.: Twitter removes Trump's tweets and suspends his account for 12 hours.
8:36 p.m.: Facebook suspends Trump's page for 24 hours.You will NEVER be able to erase the stain of that day or the most corrupt POTUS in our lifetime.
Shame on all of you.
You truly are special, you believe an insurrection occurred from some of the most well armed men on the entire planet but they all forgot to bring their guns. Anyone violent deserves jail, the rest is a political with hunt for the mentally disabled
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1 hour ago, 4th&long said:
I actually follow this account and they literally never show there source and never respond to where their info comes from. If you believe it you must have thought the national enquirer was hard hitting journalism. BTW- actual money situation
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8 hours ago, BillStime said:
Do you intentionally put up stupidly incorrect posts? Is someone paying you to be this dumb?
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Frankish and I agree a lot on the idea that climate change is something we simply have to learn to deal with, especially since we know man does affect the climate since there are 7 billion of us here. I though see the government more along the lines of the oil embargo of the 70s than actually doing anything useful. We can pretend that California can handle 20 million electric cars in 10 years but without a greatly improved electric grid that is not happening. In the past 50 years I have been told the earth was overpopulated at 3.5 billion, we were gonna run out of oil several times, and acid rain was coming. I was just told by@ComradeKayAdamsthat the ozone is in great shape so that is another problem government promised to fix, never did anything but still no issue.
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1 hour ago, 4th&long said:
I have seen a lot of our country and want to see more. It is a beautiful country. I have never went to visit an area or not visit an area more importantly based on politics. I never said our country is garbage, I’m not sure how you got that from that post? I don’t travel overseas because I want to see our country. In fact my dream vacation is to rent an RV and take about a month and drive across the country.
One of your words was censored, I assumed it was like the word crap, maybe it rhymes with duck, which does change the sentence
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1 hour ago, ComradeKayAdams said:
No, I did not state that much of the data is DERIVED from computers. All of the data collecting and data PROCESSING is done with computers because it can be. Interpolation and numerical integration techniques have been around since the days of Newton and Liebniz. Or are those now considered part of the grand climate science conspiracy??
Direct temperature readings of the stratosphere and oceans have been extremely thorough and precise for at least the past few decades. Exactly how many more years of data collecting here are necessary before consensus inferences can be accepted??
I suppose we could discuss rising ocean temperatures here, if you insist, but it won’t be overwhelmingly convincing to the “skeptics” crowd because the factors contributing to its rise are far more nuanced than they are for the stratosphere.
So let’s get back to the stratosphere, in relation to the troposphere. Direct temperature readings for the stratosphere have been collected since the first satellites were launched, but we can focus on the public data compiled from the past three decades. What is a “skeptical” person’s explanation for the consistent drop in stratosphere temperature (along with its physical shrinking), well above thermal noise variation, in parallel with the consistent rise in troposphere temperature?
A simple physics-based or earth science-based explanation is all that I’m requesting. L Ron and Tibsy and 4th-y and I, however, do demand a peer-reviewed scientific research paper citation if you’re going to suggest ozone variations because that explanation has already been thoroughly analyzed.
My commentary on Al Gore’s movie and on Climategate haven’t changed since we last had those discussions ~2 years ago here.
I find it funny you are throwing around the concept of conspiracy theory when you believe that if I simply give the government money they will control the weather. I will also point out that requesting a peer reviewed study when you admit the raw data is not available is absurd.
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9 hours ago, 4th&long said:
No problem bro. I came here thinking I might learn something (after wanting to stir the pot) but that would be impossible when people are still fighting about ***** that happened 3-4 years ago. The only thing I’ve learned is this country is ***** no matter who wins!
Not sure how old you are but I am certain you live somewhere liberal and likely don't travel much. Our country is not garbage, most of it is great, even places like NYC will be great again when they get real leaders. Before I started teaching I had a job where I worked in 50+ cities over 7 years and the only two I really disliked was LA and Vegas, because it was the only place where it seemed most people were willing to lie to get ahead. Our country is awesome, but in general we still have crap politicians.
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1 hour ago, BillStime said:
Oh, really, ORLANDO Tim?
Empty shelves spotted across Central Florida as residents stock up amid rising coronavirus cases
Here’s why you still can’t find toilet paper at the store – Orlando Sentinel
Southwest Florida stores are out of milk, meat and other supplies. So now what? Some tips.
Toilet paper limits, empty shelves are back as coronavirus surges (tampabay.com)
Empty Grocery Shelves Are Alarming, But They're Not Permanent | WGCU PBS & NPR for Southwest Florida
Coronavirus has Volusia grocery stores facing empty shelves (news-journalonline.com)
Florida Today: Food shortages: What's still missing from grocery shelves
Supermarkets Scramble To Meet Demand During Coronavirus Pandemic | WUSF
lmao
You showed entirely empty shelves, which we never had at all. Some items out of stock but I could always just get napkins vs paper towels and oatmeal vs cheerios. One of the articles you link to literally shows one brand of paper towel being out and acting like that is a big deal
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16 hours ago, BillStime said:
That top photo was never my local stores, only authoritarian governors caused that.
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I have been reading how McKinsey consulting is the group most responsible for the push to DEI by showing that by having diversity the business did better. Where McKinsey screwed up is they completely missed the reason was not related to the color or orientation of the person hired. The reason is that when you hire the best person regardless of these things you have a better more profitable company. The cause and effect reasons are completely messed up here.
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On 2/15/2024 at 11:01 AM, Tiberius said:
Should we raise taxes or cut spending to get the deficit under control?
100% cut spending, anyone who thinks the US government needs more tax money when it is already the most expensive government in world history needs to be ignored
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California (again)
in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Posted
https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2024-04-15/californias-population-is-on-the-rise-so-much-for-claims-of-its-demise#:~:text=California
California is still losing citizens of the US l, but they are making up for it with illegal immigrants. They lost 91k more than they gained of American citizens but they are proud to have illegals filling that void.