https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/04/23/ukraine-aid-biden-congress-russia/
The potential game changers in the conflict are the newly arriving ATACM-300 long-range missiles. These precision weapons will allow Ukraine to strike deep into Russian-occupied territory in Crimea, Donbas and coastal regions — hitting Russian airfields, supply depots, staging areas and command-and-control centers within Ukraine.
The ATACMS “will degrade Russian logistics inside Ukraine in the near term,” a senior administration official said on Tuesday. “In the longer term, Russia will have to reconsider its strategy.” That might eventually open the way for a just negotiated peace.
Russian analysts recognize they’ve lost momentum. With the new American aid, “some increase in Ukraine’s defensive potential is possible, and offensive as well,” according to Dmitry Stefanovich, a researcher for a think tank associated with the Russian Academy of Sciences. He added that on a “symbolic” level, the U.S. aid “will clearly raise the morale of the Ukrainian armed forces.”
Vasily Kashin, another analyst in Moscow, warned of new military pressure on Russia. “Ukraine will have additional high-precision weapons that it will use against our troops and our territory.” He added that new air-defense weapons for Ukraine “will again limit the use of Russian aviation,” which in recent weeks had been striking power plants and other targets in Ukraine almost at will.