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eSJayDee

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Posts posted by eSJayDee

  1. He was a 2nd round pick.  At the time, I don't think anyone was calling it a reach (some even considered it a "steal" as I recall).  He's still on his rookie contract so he's got a reasonable cap #.  Ideally, he gets "injured" & we can save the roster spot.  Otherwise, come off-season, he's probably worth a low draft choice for someone to kick the tires.  By virtue of this logic, I hope he's still on the team.  That said, I hope he doesn't see the field.

  2. 1 hour ago, MarkyMannn said:

    I just had to do the math. 157mph is 230' per second. THAT is some serious speed Wow. The Vette hits that speed in 10 seconds

    The way I looked at it (which goes to show how incredibly reckless (or perhaps wreck inducing ;) ) is if you're going 157 mph & someone pulls out "in front" of you, even 1/4 mile, you're exceeding their avg speed by over 120 mph.  That means that you'll hit them in about 7 seconds.  A car w/ good brakes (which I'm sure the Vette has) can stop from 60 mph in about 100' or roughly 2 seconds.  It'll take a LOT longer to stop from 157 meaning that quite possibly even if you're totally paying attention, have great reaction time, hitting someone that pulls out in front of you, quite possibly BEYOND your range of visibility, it may well be physically impossible to avoid rear ending them.

    • Agree 2
  3. 25 minutes ago, Warcodered said:

    I like having him as the backup but it's not like we can get anything for him down the line this is likely a 1 year pitstop for him, so if you can get good value for him I'm not sure you can say no.

    Actually, indirectly, we might well get something for him.  If we lose more FAs than we sign, we're entitled to compensatory picks.  How much do you think a starting QB who signs for $10m+/yr is worth in that formula?

  4. 9 minutes ago, FilthyBeast said:

     

    The reasoning that some of the local media have given is that they don't want to risk him to injury since he's the only real backup center option we have. (Although that's where Felciano has also played in the past).

     

     

    That's just stupid logic.  So, if Bates really is our 3rd (we're assuming the 2 starts are interchangeable & they're the best guards) best option, keeping him on the bnech for the scenario of Bates getting hurt THEN Morse gets hurt?

    Geez, by that logic, shouldn't we keep Allen safe, cuz if he gets hurt, then Trubisky gets hurt that leaves us w/ only Davis Webb?

    • Like (+1) 1
  5. Actually, in this game it was Allen that was throwing the short s*** passes & Tua that was throwing down the field (at least somewhat).  Allen only had 1 20 yd completion whereas Tua had like 3 (including the 40 yder).

    I'll concede by the eyeball test, no way could you say Tua had a better game than Allen.  But, possibly based on some sort of "yds completed down the field metric" (that ignores TD passes & INTS ;) ) I could see how you would rate Tua's performance superior.

    • Like (+1) 2
  6. It's all about probability & utility.  Given equal utility (which is debatable), if you think you're gonna score 2 > 50% of the time, you go for it (every time).  (Even if you make 100% of your kicks, your expected points are only 1.0).

    In the Dolphins case, they needed more than 14 pts more than us in order to win.  Once they score the TD, if they make the 2pts, now they only need 7 more.  If they miss, they still need a TD & another score (a 2 pt PAT ties it & a FG wins).  So in this case, given relatively equal "payouts", the utility gained by going for 2 makes it the prudent move, by not only giving you a better chance to win (assuming successful), but also facilitates better strategy down the road.

    ( I probably didn't explain the reasoning well - I was a math major, not English ;) )

    • Agree 1
    • Thank you (+1) 2
  7. 9 minutes ago, BillsFanForever19 said:

    I found myself wondering as the game went on - which is the better call?

     

    Replacing Spencer Brown with Tommy Doyle?

     

    or

     

    Shifting Daryl Williams from RG to RT, shifting Jon Feliciano from LG to RG, and replacing Feliciano at LG with Ike Boettger?

     

    Seems like you're messing with continuity quite a bit doing all of that. 

    I think one reason is that they're not happy w/ their "best 5" & used Brown's absence as an opportunity to try to improve.

    Brown is presumably among the top 5. (Not that it's relevant to the discussion, but so is Williams.)  It's the guard's play that is primarily lacking.

    So, since Mongo isn't doing well enough on the left, have him try right.  Ford wasn't cutting it, so leave him on the bench & try Botteger(sp?).

  8. re: Albany being stuck w/ the Jest.

    CBS6 seems to be void of info on this (website & Facebook).  Does anyone know who to contact to confirm & perhaps more importantly, vioce a preference for the Bills to hopefully sway them to change?  TIA.

    re: Albany being stuck w/ the Jest.

    CBS6 seems to be void of info on this (website & Facebook).  Does anyone know who to contact to confirm & perhaps more importantly, vioce a preference for the Bills to hopefully sway them to change?  TIA.

  9. What did their defense do, let's see...

    Well, in the 3rd quarter, they were effective in stopping us.  As for the 4th, I think their strategy was "get so far behind & out of the game, that they stop trying to score".  I think they managed to accomplish that quite well. 

    As for the 1st half, seems like their strategy was "don't let them hit those intermediate 10-20 yd passes", which they did a reasonable job of as well.  How, let guys open 30-50 yds down the field.  We averaged over 30 yds a complete! And it wasn't skewed by a single long play.

    I'll add statistically our offense was "hindered" by the fact that KC had the ball so long.  Our defense didn't totally stymy them (KC's offense is too good for that), but rather VERY effectively slowed them down so they couldn't keep up w/ our offensive production.

  10. They might have to pay more for him so they can have more flexibility.  Seems to me you're much more likely to lose elite running ability due to injury or just natural deterioration than elite arm talent.  W/o his exceptional arm, JA still has the ability to be a good QB.  How good would LJ be if he wasn't much of a runner?  Can you say $50m+ in dead cap space?

  11. 1 hour ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

    Mixed in with the offense:

    M Hyde               FS                82  61%

     

    Couple things:

    1) I had not realized Wallace only played ~ 1/3 of the game.  Someone said "cramps" but I wonder if the taunting penalty had anything to do with it?

    2) Any update on Hyde?  He met with the media after the game and I didn't hear questions about injury.

    Either you or what you're quoting transposed those #s.  I assume he played 61 defensive snaps, or 82%, same as Poyer.  They were pulled for the last series or 2, which IMO is a good thing.

  12. I've waded through 5 pages before I saw someone alluding to "taking one for the team".  Players sacrifice/risk their long-term health for the short term benefit for the team.  (Ronnie Lott says "Hi").  Beasley played w/ a broken leg last yr!  Further, from what I understand, most of these players take copious amounts of pain killers, anti-inflammatories, etc yet they're reluctant to have a vaccine that like literally BILLIONS are now getting?  Seems to me, you're not being a good teammate if you're endangering your teams chance of success by not getting vaccinated.

    • Like (+1) 5
    • Eyeroll 1
  13. Considering the depth & strength we have at other positions (as well as planning for next yr) & that we likely won't be a RB/running-centric offense, I see us not carrying too many RBs on the roster.  Considering that they're now apparently have Gilliam to be use in an "emergency" situation, I can see it quite possible that we only carry 3 RBs.  Singletary (who looks far better than last yr), Moss, & ...?

    Granted Brieda looks fast, but does he really offer that much else?  I think it depends how much he'll contribute on STs.

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