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eSJayDee

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Posts posted by eSJayDee

    Is the platooning on the DL philosophical or a product of not enough great players?

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    I think it's a combination of both.  Yes, fatigue or "hunger" comes into play, but it's an optimization thing.  You've got a great player, who the more they play, the weaker they get.  At some point, a mediocre talent playing at 100% is better than a (significantly ) better player playing at 100-x%.  If you've got 2 mediocre players, let them split time in the hopes that their increased playing time will improve their abilities.  And you don't know which is more likely to improve and of course further, there's diminishing returns on the "experience" factor as well as fatigue/"damage".

    Question for the Capologists?

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    Well, this yr they're getting a ~$50m QB for minimum wage.  As it stands, they're basically pushing the cost of having him play this yr into next yr (sort of like how many teams convert salary to signing bonuses to get under the cap).

    They're basically deferring most of his cap value to next yr.  They can make next yrs hit more tolerable by either taking other players future salaries & making them SB this yr, thereby lowering their '24 hits, or by further extending Rodgers.

    Their question is whether or not he's worth $50m+ for playing next yr.  Maybe they just cut him, if not, they're prolly have to extend him to make that hit more tolerable.

    • Like (+1) 1

    Motor to Texans

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    For that figure, I'm disappointed we let him go.  "Up to $3.75" to me means, "probably $3 or less".  Minimum wage is over $1m after a few yrs experience.  Yes, he was lacking breakaway speed & he certainly wasn't the "big back" we're clamoring for, but our RBs aren't used that much, & for that amount of cap space, I think he would've been worth retaining.  Heck, a 2 yr "Up to $7.5m contract, w/ maybe a $2m SB & "minimum wage" this year & hold onto him this year & see if Cook really is worthy of getting the majority of playing time.

    I can only hope this means we're bringing in a "big back" to be our #2.

    • Like (+1) 2

    Capology Help

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    1 hour ago, WhoTom said:

     

    I remember a scene from Apollo 13 where the guys in Mission Control were calculating the desired incoming trajectory angle - too steep and the astronauts would burn up in the atmosphere, too shallow and they'd bounce off of it. Imagine your life being determined by a room full of engineers using slide rules.

    Actually, there was some instance where they needed to calculate something "on the fly".  Calculations were done on a computer & the astronaut(s) insisted that they be checked/verifed by a woman w/ a slide rule.

    1 hour ago, WhoTom said:

     

    I remember a scene from Apollo 13 where the guys in Mission Control were calculating the desired incoming trajectory angle - too steep and the astronauts would burn up in the atmosphere, too shallow and they'd bounce off of it. Imagine your life being determined by a room full of engineers using slide rules.

    Actually, there was some instance where they needed to calculate something "on the fly".  Calculations were done on a computer & the astronaut(s) insisted that they be checked/verifed by a woman w/ a slide rule.

    Capology Help

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    Our cap space right now is based on the top 51.  You've mentioned 10 players signed, the lowest of which only raises the cap figure ~$400k (I think minimum salary now is ~$700k).  Those other non-minimum-ish cap hits bring that total to ballpark $15m in my head.

    • Like (+1) 3

    very good SI piece by Andrew Brandt on "cap jail" nonsense because you had to pay a quarterback

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    Yes, it is "just accounting", but sooner or later, you have to pay the piper.  Under a rookie contract, a 1st round QB is costing < $10m/yr cap.  Assuming he pans out, his next contract is gonna avg $40-$50m.  That extra $30m or whatever is PRECISELY the $ you need to sign your other premium/elite players.

    Yes, the bottom 1/2 of your roster doesn't cost much cap wise (I think he's generous in his estimate, as he seems to be short a few player & you also have to pay all your injury replacements & presumably all your cuts w/ guaranteed contracts)

    Having that QB on his costly contract means that you can't afford 2 or 3 other costly contracts; in our case that means some combination of Edmunds, Poyer, Singletary &/or some starting quality FAs that we'll be unable to sign)

    • Like (+1) 1
    • Agree 1
    • Dislike 1

    Nerdy Salary Cap Thread

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    I don't think restructuring Von Miller is such a good idea. 

    Yes, w/ Allen, due to his dead cap you're married to him for a few more yrs regardless, so adding a millions more potential dead cap & spreading out the cap hit of a few $mill each yr for a few yrs is NBD.  He is young & the chance of him not substantially under producing relative to his contract are slim.

    That's not the case w/ Miller, especially as he's coming off a significant injury surgery.  I can see the potential that you might be "stuck" w/ him in the near future if he under performs his contract.  That's a bad situation that our current regime has typically managed to avoid after their initial purge.

    Also, I'm not sure how this works, but I believe since Oliver is playing under his option year, no savings can be made by extending him.  His salary is what it is.

    • Like (+1) 2
    • Agree 2
    • Awesome! (+1) 1

    Is the Bills need for 8 D-linemen each game costing the team in other areas?

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    I don't think it's so much a game day issue, but rather a team composition issue.  Players cost both cap space & "draft capital" (One has the potential to have players on their rookie contract substantially outperform their market value - see 2021 J Allen vs 2023).  And it doesn't appear that we get a discount on salary/cap cost for these part time player.  Before investing HEAVILY in draft picks (Epenesa, Bashem, Groot) we had the highest cap allocation for D Line.  And not corresponding production.  Now, although our cap costs are more reasonable (Miller takes a big jump this yr), we also have the cost of 3 premium draft picks.

    Our defense has 7 players that barring injury, play almost 100%.  The offense has 6 & a few others that play 80%.  I'm all for having 6 capable D-linemen rotating in, (in large part cuz injuries are inevitable & playing IMO contributes to improved play), but 8 is excessive.

    • Agree 1

    Which one was worse ? 13 seconds or Cinci fail ?

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    Every team has games where they're flat &/or not playing their best.  The latter part of the season, we weren't playing that well & IMO were lucky to win all those games.  We just didn't show up against Cincy & got our butts whooped.  And, as a fan, realizing what they team had gone through, I think it's quite understandable to have a letdown.

    As for the 13 seconds... we were a very good team, playing well & improved toward the end of the season & we just crapped the bed.  So annoying to collapse like that & really inexcusable.

    Kyler Murray: How did the Cardinals fall for it?

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    It makes sense that he have "input".  They've got a lot of $ tied up in him as well as more importantly cap space, which is a more finite resource.  You want to maximize that investment & much like having Allen's input on a OC, you should listen to what his opinion is, though it certainly shouldn't be the only factor.

    Now, as for how prudent it was to actually invest that contract in him... ;)

    Any woodworkers on here?

    in Off the Wall

    Posted

    I'm pretty much a novice, but I've done a few projects I'm fairly proud of.  A table for my dog (replacing the ~50 yr old one my Dad made) the top of which matches the solid surface countertops I made & installed , a couple of bathroom vanities (here's the 2nd) & a couple garage doors which I think are beautiful (turns out the construction was quite similar to the rotted ones they replaced.

     

    Sorry.  No pics as they're too big to upload. :(

    OT: In praise of the NFL's good guys

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    I think the majority of people are "good people".  NFL players for the most part have done an excellent job at fostering their "athletic ability" (which extends beyond physical traits).  Seems reasonable to theorize that as they have excelled at making the most of their talents in their chosen profession, that that ability would also extend in fostering their "goodness".

    Yes, there certainly are a few bad apples, but I think they're outnumbered by those that one would consider go above & beyond to be a benefit to society.

    • Like (+1) 1

    Is the QB position a roadblock to expansion?

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    I don't think so.  You can win w/ a "good" QB & a strong roster.  There's over a dozen good QBs now.  The other thing about expanding the league, that'll lower the cap amount per team.  Teams w/ $50m QBs will be even further hampered w/ giving them a strong supporting cast.  Now, the dilution of the rest of the talent pool is another matter IMO, though I guess if everyone is pulled to a lower level, the competitiveness remains the same, but the question remains what impact that has on the overall product.

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