B-Man
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FTA:
Total cases are the wrong metric
A low probability of catching COVID-19
The World Health Organization (“WHO”) released a study on how China responded to COVID-19. Currently, this study is one of the most exhaustive pieces published on how the virus spreads.
The results of their research show that COVID-19 doesn’t spread as easily as we first thought or the media had us believe (remember people abandoned their dogs out of fear of getting infected).
According to their report if you come in contact with someone who tests positive for COVID-19 you have a 1–5% chance of catching it as well.
The variability is large because the infection is based on the type of contact and how long.
The majority of viral infections come from prolonged exposures in confined spaces with other infected individuals. Person-to-person and surface contact is by far the most common cause. From the WHO report, “When a cluster of several infected people occurred in China, it was most often (78–85%) caused by an infection within the family by droplets and other carriers of infection in close contact with an infected person.
Cases globally are increasing (it is a virus after all!), but beware of believing metrics designed to intentionally scare like “cases doubling”. These are typically small numbers over small numbers and sliced on a per-country basis. Globally, COVID-19’s growth rate is rather steady. Remember, viruses ignore our national boundaries.
Growth rates are tricky to track over time. Smaller numbers are easier to move than larger numbers. As an example, GDP growth of 3% for the US means billions of dollars while 3% for Bermuda means millions. Generally, growth rates decline over time, but the nominal increase may still be significant. This holds true of daily confirmed case increases. Daily growth rates declined over time across all countries regardless of particular policy solutions, such as shutting the borders or social distancing.
Declining fatality rate
As the US continues to expand testing, the case fatality rate will decline over the next few weeks. There is little doubt that serious and fatal cases of COVID-19 are being properly recorded. What is unclear is the total size of mild cases. WHO originally estimated a case fatality rate of 4% at the beginning of the outbreak but revised estimates downward 2.3% — 3% for all age groups. CDC estimates 0.5% — 3%, however stresses that closer to 1% is more probable.
Due to COVID-19’s sensitivity to UV light and heat (just like the normal influenza virus), it is very likely that it will “burn off” as humidity increases and temperatures rise.
https://medium.com/six-four-six-nine/evidence-over-hysteria-covid-19-1b767def5894
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4 minutes ago, leh-nerd skin-erd said:
I appreciate the response, your histrionics notwithstanding. Fair enough, here, I fixed my query to meet your view of the world:
To what point would you personally perform the procedure in exchange for the paycheck? 7 months? 8? Would you perform the abortion just prior to the child being born? Entering the birth canal? Would you terminate the life of the child after the child was born? If so, for how long? Since you volunteered, what is the minimum paycheck you would accept for terminating the life of the fetus (or child)?
You will not get a direct response................as he will not acknowledge Gov. Notham
WARNING ALERT for BIGOTS: Life News posts
Pennsylvania Planned Parenthood Defies Order to Stop Elective Procedures, Still Killing Babies in Abortions
California Gov Orders Non-Essential Businesses to Close, But Planned Parenthood is Still Doing Abortions
Church Refuses to Close Because Planned Parenthood is Still Open Killing Babies
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UNBELIEVABLE !
It's like they think that people have no memory at all............?
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They just keep repeating the same lie over and over..........
DNC Responds To Carter Page Lawsuit, Claiming Steele Dossier Is ‘Substantially True'
https://dailycaller.com/2020/03/21/steele-dossier-carter-page-lawsuit/
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11 minutes ago, Dirtyd415 said:Quote
This is obviously photoshopped. How many parking garages have you been in that have acoustic drop ceiling panels?? That’s the first give away, sprinklers coming out of the afore mentioned drop ceiling and the light source/how bright the beds are illuminated are some others.
I believe that it is real.........Vanderbilt University.
NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo announces ‘trials on potential drug therapy recommended by Trump’ (media hot takes at risk of aging POORLY)
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Worst PPP'ers and WHITE HOUSE PRESS CORPS HARDEST HIT:
Trump’s approval rating soars during handling of Coronavirus.
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FINALLY, SOME GOOD SENSE:
PA Turnpike to reopen all 17 closed service plazas to support truckers amid COVID-19 crisis.
A SITE THAT ALLOWS YOU TO DEEP DIVE INTO THE JOHNS HOPKINS STATISTICS: Covid19Stats.Global.
JOBS:
ANALYSIS: TRUE. Coronavirus Reveals the Downsides of Urbanization.
Earlier: Left’s Pet Issues Like Mass Transit, Reusable Bags Prove Deadly During Coronavirus Crisis.
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IT’S SATIRE, BUT IS IT REALLY?
Trump Hits Back At China By Announcing U.S. Will Also Expel American Journalists.
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WORLD ENDS; WOMEN AND TRANSGENDERED HARDEST HIT:
● The Coronavirus Is a Disaster for Feminism.
—The Atlantic, Thursday.
● As Hospitals Prepare for COVID-19, Life-Saving Trans Surgeries Are Delayed.
—Vice.com, Thursday.
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Coronavirus cases doubling faster in the U.S. than any other country, report says.
“The report was written by the infectious disease analytics team from MITRE, a Bedford-based nonprofit. Cases have been rising sharply across the country and the report shows they double every 1.75 days — very quickly in comparison to South Korea’s 23 days, which has been widely hailed for its competent coronavirus response.”
UPDATE: On the other hand, this is right, I think:
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FROM THE SAME INTEL CLOWNS WHO CLAIMED RUSSIA STOLE THE 2016 ELECTION:
Today’s Washington Post front page features a sensational story claiming the intelligence community was warning President Trump and Congress way back in January that coronavirus was going to be a worldwide pandemic.
But closely reading the key graph shows it to be based on one anonymous source, plus the opinions of anonymous “others:”
“Intelligence agencies ‘have been warning on this since January,’ said a U.S. official who had access to intelligence reporting that was disseminated to members of Congress and their staffs as well as to officials in the Trump administration, and who, along with others, spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe sensitive information.”
And. on the opinion page (or do I repeat myself?), what is this but “nine former intelligence chiefs” warning that:
“We cannot let the covid-19 pandemic be a cover for the deeply destructive path being pursued by the Trump administration. The most recent illustration of this unprecedented attack is the continuing dismissal of career intelligence professionals — officers who have ably served both Republican and Democratic administrations regardless of their personal political stripe.”
Translation: Trump is remaking the leadership of the intelligence community, displacing the entrenched bureaucrats – careerists and career political operators – who tried to sell us the Russia hoax, the Mueller probe and the quid pro quo. So in response, they are weaponizing the coronavirus.
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WITH HELP FROM STAFF,
Biden to pretend to be president.
"Joe Biden is planning a regular shadow briefing... to show how he would handle the crisis and address what he calls the lies and failures of President Trump."
"Biden gave a preview of what’s to come in a conference call with reporters Friday, where he listed a litany of false and misleading statements from Trump.... 'President Trump stop saying false things, will ya?' Biden said. 'People are worried they are really frightened, when these things don't come through. He just exacerbates their concern. Stop saying false things you think make you sound like a hero and start putting the full weight of the federal government behind finding fast, safe and effective treatments.'... [H]e said, his house is being outfitted with equipment that would enable him to livestream events, have interactive tele-press conferences and broadcast interviews with network television. 'I would like to get in the position and we're trying to work out so that the headquarters ... to be able to accommodate my directly answering questions in front of a press that's assigned to me,' he said. 'We've hired a professional team to do that now. And excuse the expression that's a little above my pay grade to know how to do that.'"
Politico reports.
It is a real challenge for Biden and his people to figure out how to campaign from a distance. Sitting on the sidelines and taking potshots at the man who is working nonstop to manage the crisis — this might not feel right to some of us. Biden has to stay in the game somehow, but maybe less is more. Don't make the President's job any more difficult than it is. And don't turn on the cameras just to agitate us with non-insights like "People are worried... they are really frightened." Every guy in America knows how to watch TV and then turn on the videocam and live-stream about how the President bothers him.
Or... I guess Biden wouldn't know how to make such a video. He has "a professional team" to push the little buttons for him, and he's not embarrassed to call the work "above my pay grade."
If you're trying to remember when Obama used that expression, it was in answer to the question when does the unborn have human rights: "… whether you’re looking at it from a theological perspective or a scientific perspective, answering that question with specificity … is above my pay grade." I believe Obama was trying to say he is not God, so he cannot be the one to say where that subtle line is.
In the case of Biden, he was just trying to say, he doesn't do electronic gadgets. He didn't really mean that the work he can't do is above him. More like below him. Or part of a world that he hasn't engaged with and never will.
IN THE COMMENT: rehajm said:So he's going to pretend he has a job where he has press conferences and updates people on the functioning of government even though he doesn't work for the government. Then he's going to do mystery science theater on Trump press conferences and also 'fact check' Trump and government agencies.
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U.S. Orders Up To A Yearlong Break On Mortgage Payments
National Public Radio, by Chris Arnold
Homeowners who have lost income or their jobs because of the coronavirus outbreak are getting some relief. Depending on their situation, they should be eligible to have their mortgage payments reduced or suspended for up to 12 months. Federal regulators, through the mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, are ordering lenders to offer homeowners flexibility.
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Satire ?
I don't know.
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Even if legal, politicians profiting off inside information amid coronavirus crisis is outrageous
by David Marcus
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Always.
Injuries are to expected.
We need as many good players as we can get.
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The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Posted
I am aware of that sir.
But rather than take one sentence of his post and dismiss him from on high............
I read the whole thing and checked his links/sources.
Then I clipped several parts (with links) that I thought many on the board would like to see.
POST-QUARANTINE: Needed: the reopening plan. Fast.
“Needed fast: a plan to open up the economy again in a virus-safe way. Every business should be (and likely is) working hard to figure out how to operate in a virus-safe way. Federal state and local government need to be working 24 hours a day during the next few weeks to promulgate virus-safe practices.
Not because they are particularly good at it, but because they are the ones shutting things down, and their permission is needed to reopen, fully or partly.
People also will want the confidence to know that businesses they patronize are compliant. You’ve got two weeks — figure out what combination of personal distancing, self-isolation, testing, cleaning, etc. will allow each kind of business to reopen, at least partially.”
Here is an update on the photo I posted yesterday, it is real, but NOT as presented by the media.
It’s a triage area for testing new arrivals, not “overflow” space because the hospital is full with coronavirus cases.
More here.