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Posts posted by mjt328
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3 hours ago, SaulGoodman said:
I'd say this year's roster is definitely better than '22 or '23. Much better receiving corps than either team, and much better defense than '22.
No way.
Their offense was #15 in the NFL in scoring this season. That is easily the worst they have been with Patrick Mahomes under center.
After losing Tyreek Hill, they weren't as explosive. But they were still very efficient with Travis Kelce in his prime.
Now they aren't explosive, they aren't efficient, and they have been suspect at both tackle positions on the O-Line.
I agree the defense has stepped forward as the other side of the ball has gone backwards. Better than 2022, sure.
But that group was absolutely dominant last year. This year I think they are just good. We can absolutely put 30-40 points on them.
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46 minutes ago, Dafan said:
Everyone was celebrating the 2pt drop by Andrew's. I was freaking out. I believed we would have driven down and won the game before overtime. But once that drop happened....my stomach turned. In old Bills fashion I thought "f***, now Ravens are gonna get the onside kick and Tucker will get the game winning field goal."
That drop had me more worried than if he had caught it.
All the scenarios were going through my head.
The Ravens getting the onsides kick...
Fumbling the snap on the kneel down...
Being a Bills fan is hard.
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It was a tough situation all around. Can't blame the coaches either way.
In my opinion, it was a really bad spot by the refs. Close to a full yard short of where it should have been. But spot challenges almost never work, and we really needed to conserve those timeouts, in case we needed a game-winning drive. So I can't fault McDermott for not throwing the flag there.
Good coaches think ahead. And despite how much I love aggressive play, the Field Goal always needed to be the call on 4th Down. You need a play that is going to get the touchdown on 3rd, and it was probably too far for a single QB sneak.
Killing clock was a factor, and we've been more successful running the ball inside the 5 yard line this year. Which meant the smartest play was probably either a Josh Allen run or a handoff to James Cook. Both have been really good this year, but the Ravens made a great stop.
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The Chiefs are playing in their 7th straight AFC Championship game.
In my opinion, this is the 7th-best team they have fielded in that period of time.
The Bills were built to stop the Chiefs. They were not built to stop the Ravens, and barely squeaked past them.
We have taken them down in the regular season every year. Should have done it in 13 seconds. Had a chance last year, despite most of the starting defense being injured. Despite the even record overall, I think we have the edge over them.
At this point, it's all about the mental hurdle.
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With a night to compile my thoughts...
The Bills played excellent in the first half. Couldn't have asked for more. Game script played out exactly how we needed it to.
They did fantastic at stuffing Derrick Henry, and were very aggressive on defense with blitzes - which played a role in forcing those turnovers.
Offense was a perfect mix of run/pass. The only time they got stopped was on the BS holding call.
In the second half, the Ravens seemed to adjust. We just turtled up on offense, and just tried bleeding away the clock.
Never seen the Bills play so conservative with Josh Allen under center. Refused to attempt a pass over 5 yards in the air.
Defense was getting steamrolled in the last two quarters. Mark Andrews really choked away the game for them.
I feel more fortunate that we escaped that game, as opposed to impressed at how awesome the team played. But how many times have we exited the postseason on the opposite end... feeling like the Bills played great, and we were the unlucky ones?
The Bills are the best team remaining in the Final Four.
The next step is getting over the mental hurdle of finally beating the Chiefs in the playoffs.
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Just like every KC game this year.
Look like a mediocre 9-8 team all game. Other team shoots itself in the foot repeatedly, and blows it at the end.
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1 hour ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:
Taking the chiefs down to the wire in the playoffs is literally the peak of what any afc head coach has been able to do in the playoffs lol. Pats had a coin flip fall their way to win a game in ot, bengals just squeaked one out once that felt like more luck than anything seeing as it’s pretty generally accepted Zac Taylor is kind of a mess.
Our goal should be #1 in the NFL. Better than the Chiefs. Not proudly amongst the other franchises who took them down to the wire.
1 hour ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:i just don’t buy this ‘mental hump’ business and you are risking the future of the entire franchise on this false notion that ‘things can’t get worse’. A lot of you sound like you want to replace a hc with a sterling record against the only other afc east opponent that has a shot of doing anything that plays the chiefs as consistently well as anyone for a completely unproven no head coaching experience type guy. And y’all expect this unproven guy to be able to accomplish a feat that no other coach in the league is doing with any kind of regularity. Chiefs are 1-8 against active head coaches not named Sean McDermott this decade in the playoffs. It’s pure insanity and would be mocked mercilessly by the nfl world.
To make the change, you absolutely need to acknowledge that things could get worse. But staying the same, they also may never get better. That is the dilemma. Some fans are so afraid of going back to the drought days, they would be ok if we never got over the hump.Think about the Steelers. Mike Tomlin has mastered the art of finishing above .500, making the playoffs and going no farther. At what point do you demand more?
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40 minutes ago, SoMAn said:
I’m sure McD can sleep well tonight knowing he has your blessing to continue for at least another season as the Bills head coach. 🙄
Anyone who’s entertained the notion of firing McDermott is a complete idiot in my opinion. The team has won 14 of 18 games in what was expected to be a ‘transition year’ with the exodus of several key players. It would probably have been 15 of 18 if they’d played their best team against the pats. In the process, they handed defeats to the top seeded teams each conference, and also both teams from the last Super Bowl.
But yeah, let’s start looking for McDs replacement if they lose.
When I hear the ‘fire McDermott’ chants, I’m convinced they’re coming from the same idiots who went ballistic when the Bills chose Josh Allen rather than Josh Rosen.There needs to be more balance from both sides when it comes to the Sean McDermott debate.
I agree that some Bills fans go totally overboard, wanting to fire him every time he misses a replay challenge or makes a slightly questionable time management decision. But I also don't think he should just get an unlimited leash for the rest of his career, like some people seem to suggest.
Is Josh Allen one of the Top 2 quarterbacks in the entire NFL? Is Brandon Beane one of the best GMs in the league? If those things are both true, then why do we keep falling short of winning the Super Bowl? Not just being the champion, but we are currently at 3 straight home losses in the Divisional Round (hopefully that breaks on Sunday evening). For all our regular season success, we can't even seem to get the AFC top seed either. It's either the talent or the coaching. Can't have it both ways.
We all realize where this franchise was pre-2017. We all realize what McDermott has helped build us into. He's a great guy, the locker room clearly loves him, and I really want to see him succeed. Winning the AFC East is much nicer than going back to the drought days. But I'm not willing to just keep accepting second place forever. It doesn't make me or anyone else an "idiot" for refusing to accept falling short. The Bills absolutely MUST win a championship (and soon), or something needs to change.
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16 hours ago, zow2 said:
Lamar said he's not going to wear a throwing glove this week. He did it once and didn't like how it felt. I'm saying he has no idea how his hand will feel on Sunday evening in that icebox. Wasn't there a clip on Hard Knocks a few weeks ago where Lamar was complaining about the cold and it was like 35 degrees out.
Weather has the potential to have a much bigger impact that people are giving it credit for. Especially if Jackson has some trouble gripping or throwing the ball.
It's easy to say that weather favors the better running team. But I'm not sure that's really the case.
What makes Baltimore especially dangerous is them being a dual threat. You can't just focus on Jackson or Henry. Anything that pushes them into being more one-dimensional is a huge win for us.
We already know that our QB can throw the ball fine in snow and heavy winds.
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19 minutes ago, YoloinOhio said:
He's got a point.
If we've learned anything from watching Josh Allen's career, it's that he's soft and doesn't like to get hit.
🤣
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7 hours ago, Special K said:
Everyone bringing up that the Ravens blew out the Bills in week 4, but failing to mention 4 Defensive starters were not playing in that game.
Everyone trying to STEAL yet another MVP from Josh Allen and give it to Lamar for "reasons".
The absolute insult of a team that is 9-0 at home this year being a home underdog in a PLAYOFF game!!!!!
I'm angry as a fan......but if I was a player on the Bills, and my team was being disrespected by the above reasons, I would not just want to win this game, I would want to destroy them.
I hope the Bills use these slights as fuel, and play this game with an "out for blood" mentality.
They should be looking at the Ravens on the other sideline and thinking this:
(okay, maybe this goes too far🤣🤣)
Go Bills!!!!
The Ravens are admittedly a bad matchup for us. I've been extremely nervous about meeting them in the playoffs since Week 4.
BUT the level of overconfidence and disrespect coming from that side (fans and media) is getting absolutely ridiculous. There seemed to be more people giving the Broncos a chance to upset us last week, than giving us a chance to win this game.
We aren't talking about marching into Baltimore against an unstoppable 16-1 team that steamrolled everyone during the regular season. We are talking about a team that lost 5 games this year, and was still fighting for their division in the last week. We are the higher seed and playing at home.
I really hope our opponent is underestimating us this much.
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2 hours ago, Logic said:
It's confirmed:
The year the NFL takes the first round bye away from the one-seed, the Bills will immediately begin perennially winning the one-seed.Pretty much. This is exactly how it's probably going to happen.
It's obviously not on purpose. But it just shows our fantastic luck.
We missed the playoffs for 19 years or something ridiculous. Right after we got to the top of the AFC East, they added another Wild Card team.
As soon as we became the second best team in the AFC, they took the bye from the #2 seed.
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14 minutes ago, JGMcD2 said:
What bottom feeder teams are jumping us and winning Super Bowls?
Here are the Super Bowl matchups since Josh broke out in 2020...
Tampa Bay/Kansas City (2020)
Los Angeles/Cincinnati (2021)
Philadelphia/Kansas City (2022)
San Francisco/Kansas City (2023)
Oh, and for good measure the Super Bowl in 2019 was San Francisco/Kansas City... so who are these bottom feeder teams leaping us? If you want to point to the NFC teams, your argument is just dumb, we don't play in the NFC. If you want to point to the Bengals, considering they're the only team outside of KC to make a Super Bowl, then your definition of "bottom feeder" is ridiculous.
Yeah, I don't understand what the poster was saying either.
Kansas City has been a playoff team since Andy Reid took over in 2013. They were in the AFC Championship during Josh Allen's rookie year, and won it his second year. We have been trying to jump them from the get-go. Not the opposite.
Outside of a couple injury-plagued years, Baltimore has been one of the best AFC teams for the last 15+ years. Lamar Jackson in the same draft class and broke out a year before Josh Allen. At this point, they have the same number of AFC Championship appearances during their careers. Neither has made a Super Bowl. So hard to say they have jumped us either.
So that only leaves the Bengals. Who made one Super Bowl and lost it.
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2 hours ago, MikePJ76 said:
Making coffee turned on the ticket here in Dallas and they are talking about how Allen needs to win this game or he will forever be known as a guy who can’t win playoff games.
not a peep about Lamar! Then they moved on to talking about how awesome Jaden Daniels is.
very interesting how this has become the national opinion.
The media wants everyone to see Patrick Mahomes as the king of the mountain, and then Josh Allen/Lamar Jackson/Joe Burrow as the sub-tier beneath him fighting for that #2 spot in the league.
But deep inside, they know that a Super Bowl ring (or two) is the only thing keeping Allen from being the top dog in the entire NFL. He is the new Peyton Manning to Tom Brady. They don't have that kind of expectation with Jackson or Burrow.
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2 hours ago, zow2 said:
Ray Davis took that hit and it sparked the team to a blowout.
Hate to see him suffer that injury, but the personal fuel played a huge factor in us finally blowing the game open.
The definition of taking one for the team.
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7 hours ago, Buryravens said:
Quarterback rating wise.
Lamar has the longest extended play margin in nfl history. It’s not 8 guys in the box and him hoping someone is open it’s him extending plays.
the ravens have one win when Lamar doesn’t have a 114 passer rating and that was the last game of the season
also 82 (81.8%) of Henry’s yards are when the game is level or the ravens have a lead.
Sorry. But nobody can claim that having a future HOF running back with over 1900 (!!!!) yards rushing isn't affecting the coverages Lamar Jackson is facing every game.
QB ratings don't account for the heavy boxes, bigger personnel, the slowed pass rush, and all the other elements that factor into having Derrick Henry in the backfield. They are just an equation that tries to compile all of his passing stats. We all know that Jackson had great stats this year. But numbers alone don't make this an all-time historically great year.
Maybe you didn't notice the Wild Card game just a few days ago, where the Steelers edge rushers were crashing down to tackle the running back EVERY SINGLE TIME on read-option plays. After playing the Ravens twice earlier in the season, one of the top defenses in the league felt their best chance of success was stopping Henry first. Not Jackson. I can absolutely guarantee that Buffalo's gameplan will also be to TRY shutting down the run early, turning Baltimore into a one-dimensional passing team, and forcing Jackson to beat them solely with his arm. That is not the way NFL defenses usually approach a game against a QB who just had the "4th Best Season" in NFL history.
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46 minutes ago, Buryravens said:
Slightly better? It’s a 4th best season all time for a QB.
So how exactly do you quantify the "4th best season all-time" for a QB?
I've been watching this sport for over 35 years, and I wouldn't put Jackson's season anywhere near the top I've ever seen.
As with the MVP debate, the argument against Jackson keeps coming back to Derrick Henry. I've probably seen a dozen Ravens games this year. And in my opinion, Henry is clearly the primary driver of that offense. He is the guy defenses are most concerned about stopping. The games he didn't play good were the games they struggled the most in.
Stats never tell the whole story. As someone who watched Peyton Manning throw 55 touchdowns in one season from the pocket (using nothing but his brain and his arm)... I just can't be that impressed watching Jackson taking advantage of 7 guys playing in the box and casually tossing the ball 25 yards downfield to guys who aren't even covered.
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1 hour ago, HappyDays said:
Most of the conversation is understandably on the Ravens offense vs our defense. I'm actually more interested in the opposite matchup though. I worry a bit that the Ravens defense matches up well against us. They are the best run defense in the league in both YPG and YPC so we probably can't lean on Cook like we did yesterday. Their weakness appears to be passing outside the numbers but that's been our offense's weakness too... I think this game has to be the Amari Cooper game if there ever was one. If he's 1v1 outside he needs to get the ball. Get Coleman going on back shoulders too. We need to score 30+ and it will have to come through the air. Our first game we didn't have the horses to execute that way. This is where we find out if the addition of Cooper and the growth of Coleman are enough to flip the script.
Not worried much about the Ravens defense.
Josh Allen is pretty much matchup proof. Yes, he has bad games sometimes (just like everyone else). But it's usually more about him having an "off-day" than anything the opposing defense is actually doing to him. If he's locked-in on Sunday, the Ravens aren't going to stop us from scoring.
There is a legitimate reason everyone is worried about the other side...
First is history. The Bills defense has historically struggled the deeper they get into the playoffs. They have historically struggled to stop Derrick Henry. And possibly their worst performance in the last 3 years was against the Ravens earlier this year. Playing the matchup game, it's just a nightmare to try and load-up front to stop Henry...AND be prepared for Lamar Jackson to run...AND have decent coverage in the secondary. That is for any defensive coordinator in the NFL. Much less an undersized team that prefers to play light boxes and Nickel personnel.
My feeling is that we MUST throw some clever wrinkles at them early with our defensive looks, make stops in the redzone, and most importantly get a lead. This is not a game for our trademark slow starts. Our best hope against the Ravens is to make them one-dimensional, turn them into a passing team and make them rely on Jackson to make plays with his arm.
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39 minutes ago, RoscoeParrish said:
So he has to have an elite defensive performance against arguably the highest powered offense in the league (Baltimore) and one of the greatest QBs and HC/OCs in NFL history (KC), in order to exercise his demons?
Well yes. Of course.Until the Bills get past those teams and win the Super Bowl, they will be known as a strong regular season team that chokes in the playoffs. As they should.
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10 minutes ago, appoo said:
He’s already over and well beyond the hump. There is no hump to overcome.
Hes proven himself to be a great coach. You measure NFL coaches on longevity of success more so random luck with injuries and how they do against Hall of Fame talent in single games
Some coaches are good at building culture, shaping a locker room and creating year by year consistency. But they just don’t have what it takes to finish the job and win a championship.McDermott may be a good coach. He may even be a great coach. But at some point, you can’t just ignore the playoff failures. Defense is supposed to be what he brings to the table. The road to the Super Bowl goes through the same guys every season (Mahomes, Jackson, Burrow). If he can’t figure out how to slow down those guys, we are just spinning our wheels.
A lot of Bills fans are so terrified of possibly going back to the old drought days… they would be content stay in this cycle the rest of Josh Allen’s career.
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Let’s not take a victory lap yet. This is what a decent defense was supposed to do against a rookie QB.
Right now, the Bills are in the exact place they have been the previous 4 seasons. Still a long, long, long way to go. Only once were they able to get past that point (against a much inferior version of Lamar Jackson). And they still haven’t shown they can remotely slow down playoff Patrick Mahomes.
Nobody is impressed winning a Wild Card game. It’s the next three games that defines who this team really is.
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3 hours ago, DCOrange said:
That's mostly just due to Lamar missing games in his non-MVP seasons. If you normalize the stats for a 17 game projection, they're basically equal on wins and yards with Josh averaging a handful more TDs and a few more turnovers. More importantly, it doesn't really matter how they played in totality over the last 6 seasons for the MVP. Lamar was the pretty clear choice for MVP the first time around. Last year was a really wonky year where there were zero deserving candidates but somebody had to win it. The fact that all but one guy opted for Lamar is a little weird IMO but Josh didn't have a spectacular year last season either; may have been more deserving than Lamar though. And this year there are two very strong candidates and it looks like he's ultimately going to win out. Just because it's 3 MVPs to 0 doesn't mean it's an example of bias.
Please. Quit making excuses for these pathetic voters.
The MVP award is narrative driven. And if you can't see how the sports media keeps switching the criteria every season in order to prop up certain players (and downplay others), then I just don't know what to tell you.
Last year, you couldn't watch a Bills game without hearing how absolutely terrible Josh Allen was at turning over the ball. You would have thought he was having a Jameis Winston year or something. He absolutely crushed little MVP Jackson in every other stat. But they needed to pull Allen down. This year, not a peep. Total turnovers were never on the stat comparison between Allen/Jackson. Because this year, our guy had less. And where was all the talk mid-season about turnovers when Patrick Mahomes was leading the NFL? It's total B.S. Suddenly nobody seems to care that Jackson had Derrick Henry either, when last year we kept hearing about lack of weapons.
And I don't want to hear about "normalizing stats" out either. How many voters are factoring in how many times Allen spent the 4th Quarter sitting the bench or handing the ball off, because his offense had already run up the score? In my previous post, I was nice enough to include Allen's second season, where many in the NFL were still calling him trash or a bust. Even factoring in that year (where Jackson was winning his first MVP), Allen has still scored 54 more touchdowns and racked up over 3,000 more yards over the past six seasons.
The simple truth is... Allen is a better player. It's really not close. It hasn't been close since 2020. Yet voters keep picking the other guy. Not just for MVP, but also for All-Pro, Pro-Bowl, etc. We can all theorize the reasons. But it's pretty clear the sports media keeps moving the goalposts.
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56 minutes ago, Dan said:
Agreed. It’s a bit much the amount of disrespect being given to the #2 seed in the AFC. It’ll be a bit interesting to see how the team responds to all this come Sunday at 1:00. I really hope the Buffalo media asks every player about why everyone feels they suck so bad.
The Bills get disrespected like this every year. Half the time, Josh Allen doesn't even make the Pro Bowl.
I'm waiting for the year they actually do something about it.
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27 minutes ago, DapperCam said:
Wow, Lamar might actually have more MVPs than playoff wins. I kind of think the media hates Buffalo.
Statistics over the last five years:
Total Yards: Allen (27,871), Jackson (24,336)
Total TDs: Allen (242), Jackson (188)
Team Wins: Allen (71), Jackson (68)
Yet somehow Jackson will likely have 3 MVP awards during that period of time, while Allen has zero.
There is clearly bias... either for one player, or against one player, or both. No other explanation.
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Bears hire Ben Johnson as HC
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Another benefit on winning this week. The farther we go in the playoffs, the better chance openings are filled by other coaches.
Maybe we can hold onto Joe Brady for another year.
Teams want to make their coaching moves ASAP, especially with other teams competing for the same candidates.