sherpa
-
Posts
3,698 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Gallery
Profiles
Forums
Events
Posts posted by sherpa
-
-
1 minute ago, Tiberius said:
Good! Glad you narrowed your response to a specific, though crazy and wacky, criticism. Ukraine does have it's own airfields and our air force has a rapid response teams to set up air bases in places that have none.
The entire suggestion is preposterous, and nobody, certainly not any Air Force officer is going to set themself up as a "tripwire."
Air combat involves much more than throwing a few squadrons in a foreign land.
-
3 minutes ago, Tiberius said:
So would an invasion of Ukraine if we just let it go. Just like when let Halie Selassie get run over by the Italians. That would have been terribly easy to prevent. We did nothing. And Hitler took notice. Putin's launched two invasions already as we sat back and watched. Sooner or later these--yes I'm going to use that term--dominoes are going to start falling more and more
Easy.
I'm not going to expand a response to other options.
Just going to stick with what you posted and I asked about.
Deploying a "couple of fighter squadrons" would require an airfield to operate out of, which we don't have there, some kind of command and control capability, which would involve AWACS, tankers for air-air refueling, a huge ground force for support and maintenance.
Just a crazy, impossible suggestion that the pilots would be wacky to undertake.
-
1
-
-
8 minutes ago, Tiberius said:
It's message board serious. I would seriously consider it, yes.
"Message Board Serious," is probably an indictment.
The idea is preposterous, senseless, would never be considered and likely produce irreparable harm.
I'm not sure if you are familiar with this kind of thing, but it takes a whole lot more than what you propose to ever be effective.
-
2 hours ago, Tiberius said:
Or maybe we should send a couple squadrons of fighter-interceptors to Ukraine to protect their airspace
Still obsessed with Obama?
Is this a serious suggestion or a joke?
Not meaning to be disrespectful, just wondering.
-
Ya. McClusky was a South Park High School guy.
It was the Japanese destroyer, Arashi he followed.
Nimitz said that McClusky's perseverance"
"decided the fate of our carrier task force and our forces at Midway."
I think there is a bronze statue of him in Buffalo.
In recognition of his heroic actions, the "McClusky Award" is given annually to the most outstanding strike fighter squadron in the US Navy, and it is a very big deal to receive that.
-
2
-
-
The cracking the code thing is overrated.
The US was only able to decipher a percentage of transmissions, and the Japanese did not include a number of details in what was deciphered.
The US knew where and when.
They did not have any idea of the position of Japanese "Kido Butai."
With inferior equipment and inferior tactics, it was pure serendipity that South Buffalo native and CAG Wade McClusky found the Japanese carrier fleet, resulting in the sinking of four Japanese carriers in ten minutes, and changing the course of the Pacific war.
-
2
-
-
46 minutes ago, dpberr said:
It's what isn't mentioned. CIA. Weapons. Air power. Missiles. Battlefield intel (from satellites and the air)
IMO, Russians don't care about sanctions from the West because Europe is desperate for Russian energy, Russia is in OPEC, and the country makes its money off its energy and weapons sales.
Disagree completely.
The oil card has been played.
Oil is plentiful and massive amounts can be easily brought online.
The Russians haven't nearly the power that is ascribed to them.
They simply don't understand that until they are hit over the head with their lack of perceived strength.
It has happened many time before.
-
1
-
-
5 minutes ago, LeviF said:
Considering what Churchill would later say about the attack, it wouldn't surprise me to learn that the British knew and said nothing. Churchill would say that when he laid his head down on 12/07/41, deep in his bones he knew that the war was won.
Check out Major Frederick Rutland, and how the British stashed him in 1941 when his espionage for the Japanese became apparent.
-
1
-
-
4 hours ago, BuffaloBill said:
There are plenty of theories suggesting the U.S. knew in advance that the attack was coming.
The US didn't.
Far, far more likely that the British did know, but there is no compelling evidence that anybody really knew, though they should have.
Embryonic intel performance, but ultimately, a Japanese suicide.
-
29 minutes ago, LeGOATski said:
Valid period was 00Z to 24Z. FM "from" 1900 until the end of the valid period, genius.
Don't try to explain something you clearly don't understand.
But we all know you will because you're "that guy."
I have read them and "understood" them for many decades, including many format changes.
To use your quote, and I am extremely informed on how to read it, it is from 2pm Buffalo time, until 7pm Buffalo time, ending a full hour and a half before game time.
That is the 1900Z forecast you included.
-
18 minutes ago, LeGOATski said:
Right, so the valid time at the top is just irrelevant. When I did these forecasts I did them for a 24 hour period as accurately as possible, like we're supposed to. But they're done every 8 hours and amended in between for accuracy because high accuracy is important.....
The forecast is for a period of hours as depicted.
Within that "period" are individual periods, often four hours, but it varies based on the expected changes within that overall period. Rapidly changing weather causes more "FM's."
That's the "FM" meaning "from."
That is why the forecast that you provided specifically states those limited periods, as I have quoted.
Same thing every day, everywhere.
It is ridiculous to assume that a single forecast would be valid for 24 hours.
They aren't and they never have been.
The 24 hours contains many individual time periods within, as you linked.
Personal crap aside, I don't care.
-
3 minutes ago, LeGOATski said:
You don't hate it. You love it. Although, it seems like you didn't look at the valid time. 0624z. Tafs cover a 24 hour period.
Absolutely not true.
TAFs are for relatively short periods.
That's why, in you original post which I quoted contains the following:
"FM 060200
FM 060600
FM 060900
FM 061200
FM 061600
FM 061900"
The valid forecast periods are for a few hours each, and the last one you mentioned was for mid afternoon.
It is not true that any specific aviation forecast would cover a 24 hour period.
I'm not sure whether people here know what these are used for, but they have extremely significant impacts on flight planning and dispatching, especially in the long haul. international realm, as they determining fuel loads an alternates, and can ultimately determine allowable routes and passenger loads.
Again, I hate to bring it up, but if someone else does, and I know the premise to be wrong, as in pointing out a 2pm forecast for an 8:30 game, I will.
Respectfully.
-
1
-
-
16 minutes ago, Motorin' said:
And what is the shape of the building in relation to the wind off the lake? Do the upper decks block the wind coming off Lake Erie, or are the endzones open to wind?
Any structure always blocks wind, unless it's a tornado.
That is not to say it won't be a factor.
Winds coming over a structure will be deflected down to some degree, and when they get in a confined space will swirl.
The structure doesn't have any "open end zones."
It has a minor tunnel that is enclosed.
The wind forecast for this evening's game are locked solid from the west. Not from the lake.
The stadium is oriented northwest-southeast.
The winds will be perpendicular to the structure, but will change a bit throughout the game as the low moves further east.
-
1
-
-
5 minutes ago, Motorin' said:
The reason why wind is such a problem is because the field is dug into the ground which creates a wind tunnel effect and causes swirling winds across the field.
Simply aerodynamically false.
Any structure effects wind.
Being below grade means nothing.
It is simply the shape of the building as it relates to the direction/velocity of the wind.
-
8 hours ago, LeGOATski said:
Can't wait to see tomorrow's KBUF TAF. Current one still has gusts at 50+ mph through the end of the forecast (7pm local), just before game time. No precip.
KBUF 052347Z 0600/0624 10012KT P6SM BKN050 WS020/18040KT
FM061900 25025G46KT P6SM BKN035
I hate to bring this up again, but it comes up again and again.
The 061900 time is GMT.
That is 2pm EST.
All TAF times are GMT.
The latest TAF valid at 07000, (7pm EST this evening) is:
Winds from the W (260 degrees) at 23 MPH (20 knots; 10.3 m/s) gusting to 40 MPH (35 knots; 18.0 m/s).
Not a great difference in velocity, but when reading TAF's, you must subtract five hours from the valid time during EST, or four hours during Daylight Savings Time.
-
I would be really disappointed if I thought the Bills players cared about the weekly national media that spits out NFL nonsense.
-
1
-
-
No worries.
The Bills under Sean McDermott have a totally accurate 3d model of the stadium.
Before the game, they will enter the exact winds into the wind tunnel with the model.
There will be no surprises.
Josh will be droppin' them in like a Steve Carlton slider.
-
1
-
-
19 minutes ago, billsfanmiamioh said:
I have seasons in the lower level (row 27) and you can often look up at the flags on top of the stadium and see them pointing straight out. Meanwhile the ones on the goalposts will swirl and vary in intensity. And down closer to field level you’ll feel comparatively little. It really is a strange stadium for wind. That McKenzie kickoff muff earlier in the year was a great example.I think all are "strange."
The prevailing winds in the area are from the southwest.
The stadium is oriented NW-SE, with the tunnel at the SE side, putting it crosswind to the prevailing wind, and minimizing the effect.
The tunnel is ultimately enclosed, so not that big of an aerodynamic deal.
I have no idea if it was placed with this orientation in order to minimize the effect of having one direction enjoy tailwind, while the other battles a headwind, but it sure looks that way.
Either way, weather systems produce winds from different directions based on the location of the highs and lows, but it looks like the place was oriented with knowledge of these facts.
-
The 20mph forecast is for a basic open, windsock location.
At field level, it should be less, unless they knock down the walls.
Less velocity, but less directional consistency.
-
1
-
-
13 minutes ago, WotAGuy said:
I find this strangely erotic.
Open air for you then?
-
58 minutes ago, Tiberius said:
Nice to have the freedom of choice, right?
Our judgement had nothing to do with "choice."
It had to do with judging what my wife was carrying was a life, and we treated them that way.
-
1
-
1
-
-
I really get a kick out of these weather posts.
I hope the rank and file understand that the original post that included a surface weather depiction chart was for 0000Z, 6 Dec.
A simple understanding reveals that the time of that forecast is for 7pm Sunday in Buffalo.
Can we wait until at least Saturday night to panic?
-
2
-
1
-
-
1 hour ago, Protocal69 said:
I read before that because of bottom being underground the stadium is like bowl and the wind just whips around with no where to go. That may not be the exact explanation but thats the jist of it
It doesn't have anywhere to go because it is obstructed by the structure, same as any other mostly closed in stadium.
Having the field below grade makes no difference.
-
2 hours ago, Protocal69 said:
Its what causes the wind to whip around in the stadium which makes kicking in there tricky especially in the winter time
I would like to see an explanation showing how being built sub grade makes it more windy.
Nearly 100% of the time, wind is stronger with an increase in elevation from grade.
The wind whips around because it is very often windy at that location, and the architecture of the structure, including the tunnel.
There are things that could be done to mitigate it.
Democracy’s Fiery Ordeal: The War in Ukraine 🇺🇦
in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Posted
You are not well informed.
Nobody, from SecDef down would ever issue a directive to put two squadrons in the Ukraine.
The suggestion that you made that some rapid response team would set up an air base in this situation is the stuff of grammar schoolers reading comic books.
It simply doesn't work that way in the real world.