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Would You Rather Go 8-8 With Holcomb


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As seen this year, draft position means nothing to the Bills. They're gonna pick who they want when they want regardless of the gaping holes at certain positions.

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Well, at least they don't go specifically for need. They tend to go after the BMA.

(best midget available)

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The way you do it is for the Bills O to work according to the plan Jauron and Fairchild seem to be putting together AND for the D to be the bulwark of this team's improved record by having the Tampa 2 work so that we keep games close, AND Booby April gets the same production from the ST he has the last two years.

 

It will be tough to make all of these ANDs work (and they ALL need to to have this team compete for a playoff slot) and even if they do all work this team will need the oddly shpaed ball to bounce the right way for us in order to really be competitive.

 

The Plan appears to be:

 

D-

 

Jauron has shown that he is a genius given things working the way he wants them work when he got NFL Coach of the Year honors a few years back.  It MIGHT happen as the Tampa 2 version of the Cover 2 goes toward some of our stengths with a strong secondary being reinforced with draft IF Whitner signs.

 

NC and McGee should be great on the corners and TV despite his many years led the team in turnovers produced last year,  As an older player he both has seen a lot of plays that should allow him to excel at the centerfielder duty he will be asked to do more of and with older players like TV what use to be nicks now become injuries but with the xonr blitz being abandoned he will be asked to tackle less so the game is coming toward his remaining skillset.

 

LB is only a question due to TKO's injury, but the pick-up of Watson gives us increased depth if he cannot plat and k=like TV, the Tampa 2 responsiblities call upon the MLB to cover more rather run stiop all the time.  Some folks concerns about his coverage abilities seem more imbedded in his lack of a couple of inches compared to the LB norm, but his lengthy experience (which again is causing some to write him off due to age though his abiluity to easily lead the Bill's in  tackle #s numbers show no drop-off.  In addition to superior football knowledge which will help his reads (indicated by him being team D captain). AND he has a demonstrated constant motor and mobility (demonstrated by his leading the NFL in tackles credited over the last 5 years), AND he tracks balls in flight well and also ball handles them as well (as demonstrated by him logging a good record as the Bills short kickoff KR guy) our LBs should be fine.

 

The unclear link in us successfully using the Cover 2 is the DL, but the Bills picked up Triplett and McCargo to play a penetrating DT role and it may work on D.

 

ST

 

April led a group which has been ranked statistically the #1 ST in football two straight years.  As Marv emphasizies ST heavily this unit has been strengthed with the Bills signing some vets with ST prowess and also drafting guys with ST in mind.  Moorman is back and already looks good and Lindell really turned it around last season so it is not unreasonable to hope/expect this group to really help lead the team to some Ws..

 

O

 

The O effort seems to revolve around not the quality of the QB, but whether the team can successfully introduce the St. Louis scheme to the players and whether Farichild can call and design plays which get some initialseparation.  If the O works as it likely is planned KH will not be throwing it over 20 yards more than a few times a game and when he does it will be to a receiver on a straight fly patten who is isolated in one on one coverage.

 

The plan should call for a bunch of 3 WR sets with Evans, Price and Parrish all showing their speed.  If fairchild can in fact design plays that give the WRs quick separation through, fear of their speed backing coverage off or forcing opponents into zones and also crossing patterns and intricate picks we do not get called for Holcomb will have to merely read the D and throw it short looking for RAC.

 

Like any NFL QB he will have to air the ball out from time to time just to maintain the threat that he might do this, but though he cannot be expected to throw the ball downfield a lot with any accuracy, if the Bills show they may go long a couple of times early, the DBs will need to play back just in case.  In fact, if the scheme is run well, KH will not even have to hit the receiver deep just present the threat.

 

More than how well the QB throws long, success will depend a lot on WM being used as a receiver which MM and TC did not do a lot last year at all.  WM will not have to produce like Marshall Faulk, but if he is an adequate check down receiver, this will make like much easier for the WRs.

 

In addition to the WRs showings good speed (likely), AND Fairchild designing good routes (quite possible as he got schooled by Martz but he has not done this yet so it cannot be declared likely), ABD WM showing some receiving ability (also possible as he he showed adequate though rarely utilized hands in college). AND also the big wildcard will be that this OL needs to be productive.

 

I am confident that this year's likely OL starters (Gandy, Reyes, Fowler, Villarial and Peters) are gonna be better than last year's starters (Gandy, Anderson, Teague, Villarial and MW).  Do you disagree?  However, being better than last year's bunch is not saying much so the question is how good they will be.

 

I think they actually will be pretty good initially (despite some folks calling them mere rejects because I do not think they saw them or even looked at their records from last year it is clear Reyes was a solid starter on a productive OL for Carolina who lost his job this year to the young highly regarded Mathis whom apparently Carolina wanted to start last year, but he could not unseat Reyes.  Fowler also took the starting job away from Withrow at MN and his rise coincided with a big Vike win streak that almost got them into the playoffs- he was not signed for the starter money the market apparently would give him as the Vikes were committed to multi-time Pro Bowler Birk who was IR'ed last year but now is back.  I suspect this crew will get off to a good start.

 

However, the big OL question for the Bills is back-ups as players unfortunately getted nicked and have to sit.  Outside of Preston behind the likely first to fall to injury Villarial, the Bills need to develop some credible back-up OL players or get very lucky.

 

A lof things have to work at the same time for the Bills team and O to be productive, and I doubt it all will work perfectly. However, QB is really the4th biggest wildcard in the deck for the Bills and simply is not likely to be the rate limiting factor on whether this team is good or not.

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I have seen you on a lot presenting the offense in the belief that Holcomb is the only option. You are going to be mighty dissapointed when JP is our #1 guy eh.

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I'd much rather go 4-12 with Losman, we know the mediocrity that is Kelly Holcomb, an 8-8 year will just prolong the inevitable.  Jauron will be tempted to play older players longer rather than put in people like Whitner and Simpson.  We will screw ourselves in draft position for no reason at all and leave ourselves picking in the 20's again when we really need at least one more top 10 pick in the fold.  We need to know if we have a QB or not, the question will be answered by Losman or Nall not by Holcomb, we know what Holcomb is but the other two are question marks. 

 

I guess the better question is how does going 8-8 help us?  I'd have reather gone 4-12 last year, we would have D'Brickashaw Ferguson now, but we won a silly game that ended up meaning very little, even to the ppl who played in it and dropped ourselves from the 4th pick to the 8th.

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I just dont understand why people think, so highly of Holcomb, or so lowly of Loseman. I really do not think there is any chance that the two playing say in seperate dimensions, yet in the same year come out with that different of a record.

 

Let alone in our reality, just does not seem at all plausible. But, I am guessing the point here is to just outline a huge difference and state that you would prefer JP to get his much needed experience, or state that you would prefer either of the other two. Write me down for JP all the way baby.

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Definitely 4-12 with losman. If we go 4-12 under JP, it will not be because he played spectacular and because everyone else was terrible. At least then we'll know that he's not the answer.

 

One way or another, we need to know by January what tract to go with JP.

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