The Fredonia Curse Posted October 30, 2016 Share Posted October 30, 2016 (edited) Fun facts for you guys from a Vegas analytics Bills fan Rex has kept the Patriots within 8 points in all of his last 7 games dating back to his Jets days. The most popular bet this week at all Vegas books and offshore sites is Patriots -6.5 by far. About 95% of the money is on the Pats covering. Books around the world are set to lose ~50 million if the Pats cover. Expect a very close game with some weird illegal contact, holds, roughing the passer type penalties that go the Bills way. Don't be surprised if the Bills win outright. You heard it here first. Edited October 30, 2016 by The Fredonia Curse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CommonCents Posted October 30, 2016 Share Posted October 30, 2016 Fun facts for you guys from a Vegas analytics Bills fan Rex has kept the Patriots within 8 points in all of his last 7 games dating back to his Jets days. The most popular bet this week at all Vegas books and offshore sites is Patriots -6.5 by far. About 95% of the money is on the Pats covering. Books around the world are set to lose ~50 million if the Pats cover. Expect a very close game with some weird illegal contact, holds, roughing the passer type penalties that go the Bills way. Don't be surprised if the Bills win outright. You heard it here first. Read between the lines, it's not hard to see... We lose by 1 and I make bank Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Fredonia Curse Posted October 30, 2016 Share Posted October 30, 2016 Read between the lines, it's not hard to see... We lose by 1 and I make bank The line opened at 4 and got pushed all the way to 7 offshore and 6.5 in Vegas. The books are absolutely terrified of a Pats cover. This is almost identical to the Steelers-Dolphins game 2 weeks ago. Low closing line that everyone thought was easy money. If it seems to good to be true....it always is. I'm hoping to snag Bills ML at +240 tomorrow morning. It's +225 at MGM and +220 everywhere else. You living in Vegas by any chance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PO16FFS Posted October 30, 2016 Author Share Posted October 30, 2016 Good luck to all and hope it's not a reverse trap! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
What a Tuel Posted October 30, 2016 Share Posted October 30, 2016 Good luck to all and hope it's not a reverse trap! No comment on your OP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PO16FFS Posted October 30, 2016 Author Share Posted October 30, 2016 Rex is a blowhard. Anything else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Fredonia Curse Posted October 30, 2016 Share Posted October 30, 2016 Good luck to all and hope it's not a reverse trap! Thanks. What is a reverse trap and how would that work in this instance? Rex is a blowhard. Anything else? He plays the Patriots better than any other HC in the NFL (not counting 2007 and 2012 Coughlin). He lives for these games and his schemes usually do well against Brady. He's very good at drawing up exotic blitzes up the middle to prevent Brady from stepping up. If he puts the team in the position to win tomorrow he deserves a lot of credit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PO16FFS Posted October 30, 2016 Author Share Posted October 30, 2016 Reverse trap is when Vegas will bring the line higher than what it actually moves to get people betting on Bills. Some don't believe in it. But Vegas don't want 90% on one team. so putting a higher favorite line for Patriots makes gamblers bet on Bills. At the end of the day, they don't care who covers, as long as it's not 90% on one side When Bills were favorites on road last week when Dolphins beat the Steelers the week before, we should have known it was a loss! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
What a Tuel Posted October 30, 2016 Share Posted October 30, 2016 (edited) Rex is a blowhard. Anything else? He did exactly what you would ask of him. He can do no right for you I guess. If anything you should be saying Kraft is giving our guys bulletin board material. Edited October 30, 2016 by What a Tuel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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