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Interesting Bills/Giants Gameday Stat


PlayBills

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The Bills have faced 157 pass attempts in the first three weeks, most to start a season in the Super Bowl era (EDIT: it's actually the most passes faced in ANY three game span). And it's not even particularly close - the '95 Dolphins rank second on that list with 147 passes defended. The 10 pass difference between #1 and #2 is the same spread between #2 and #16.

 

This years' Giants? They're fourth all time.

 

(League average is 104 passes against, by the way, meaning Bills opponents have crammed four and one half games worth of throws into three games).

 

Though these numbers often reflect an opponent's necessity to throw rather than a preference, both teams have solid run defenses, which certainly influence opponents' decision-making. What's the over/under for total pass attempts on Sunday?

 

***Bonus Stat*** In the past ten years, the Bills have been worst in the league in winning the opening coin toss. They're victorious only 43% of the time, which closely resembles their overall win percentage during that span. Hmmm...

Edited by PlayBills
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Indeed, the pass thing is interesting. What does that tell us?

  • The teams we've played are all pass-first in their offensive philosophy?
  • We've led 2 of the 3, in the NFL, when teams are playing from behind that means they will generally pass more?
  • In the one game we didn't lead, that team is the most "pass-first" them in the league?
  • Teams feel the way to beat this Defense is to attack in from the air?
  • If the Bills keep putting up points, and are more successful than not in stopping the pass, will teams start to try and grind out long drives to slow the game down? — i.e., Try to keep the offense off the field? (Of course the problem with that it that it seems to play right into the strength of the Bills Defense.)
  • others . . . ???

Or, is all this just a fluke, a statistical anomaly? As Mark Twain said, "there are lies, damn lies, and statistics."

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Indeed, the pass thing is interesting. What does that tell us?

  • The teams we've played are all pass-first in their offensive philosophy?
  • We've led 2 of the 3, in the NFL, when teams are playing from behind that means they will generally pass more?
  • In the one game we didn't lead, that team is the most "pass-first" them in the league?
  • Teams feel the way to beat this Defense is to attack in from the air?
  • If the Bills keep putting up points, and are more successful than not in stopping the pass, will teams start to try and grind out long drives to slow the game down? i.e., Try to keep the offense off the field? (Of course the problem with that it that it seems to play right into the strength of the Bills Defense.)
  • others . . . ???
Or, is all this just a fluke, a statistical anomaly? As Mark Twain said, "there are lies, damn lies, and statistics."

I'm sure it's just a result of a perfect storm of unrelated events. Still, out of literally tens of thousands of three game combinations over the past fifty years, it's interesting that the last three weeks ranks at the top, and that the Bills play a team on Sunday that is currently in the midst of a similar historic stretch.

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The Bills have faced 157 pass attempts in the first three weeks, most to start a season in the Super Bowl era (EDIT: it's actually the most passes faced in ANY three game span). And it's not even particularly close - the '95 Dolphins rank second on that list with 147 passes defended. The 10 pass difference between #1 and #2 is the same spread between #2 and #16.

 

This years' Giants? They're fourth all time.

 

(League average is 104 passes against, by the way, meaning Bills opponents have crammed four and one half games worth of throws into three games).

 

Though these numbers often reflect an opponent's necessity to throw rather than a preference, both teams have solid run defenses, which certainly influence opponents' decision-making. What's the over/under for total pass attempts on Sunday?

 

***Bonus Stat*** In the past ten years, the Bills have been worst in the league in winning the opening coin toss. They're victorious only 43% of the time, which closely resembles their overall win percentage during that span. Hmmm...

In 1 game some azzwipe threw for 50 times as a preference with a lead to run up the score and to prove Tainted Tom is the goat.

 

The other 2 teams were playing catchup and needed to pass.

 

If the GI Ants are behind early you might expect more passing. However if it's raining, very wet and windy, expect rushing up and down the field.

Edited by BillsFan-4-Ever
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