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Koufax

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Posts posted by Koufax

  1. Thursday's game doesn't impact our path to the playoffs, but the Steelers game is obviously a big key.

     

    10-6 likely gets us in (11-5 Broncos, or 10-6 Fish AND 10-6 Broncos could keep us out).

     

    A 9-7 path after a loss to the Steelers is actually not that impossible, but more likely to tease us and keep hopes alive towards week 17 then actually get us in.

     

    In either case we are actually rooting for the Patriots a lot over the next few weeks, starting on Sunday...so too bad about Gronk in the end.

     

    So let's just beat the Steelers for the heck of it and take it from there.

  2. This game is our season, and could be a pivotal moment for Rex and Tyrod, so it will be interesting to see how each rebounds from the implosion in Oakland.

     

    If we win out, our playoff chances are actually really good, and we need very little help. The hardest of our final games is this Sunday, so if we win this one it is very conceivable to win each of the other three. When we were 6-5 and looking at 10-6 and the playoffs, the hardest game and the most likely loss was Oakland, so the result of this weekend isn't what hurts us as much as it is the implosion and potential blow to confidence and momentum.

     

    But the reality of it is, the Steelers are a better team, playing outstanding football with a three game winning streak and a tough division race to finish up, and I think we are going to see a much better performance out of them than we saw out of the Raiders (who were poised for a trap game riding high and looking ahead to Thursday with the Chiefs). I don't like what Ben and Brown might do to us the way our secondary has been playing.

     

    Find a way to 7 and 6 with a win, and things aren't so bad.

     

    But the storm clouds are still darkening as Rex hasn't kept up with the last decade of football and his teams continue to underperform their defensive talent and the excuses run thin.

     

    And Tyrod brings excitement and fun, but continues to seem to be missing consistency and vision and just hasn't progressed in those areas this season, and leaves open receivers on the table game in and game out, and still fails to ever throw a medium range pass in the middle of the field. He has had his time to develop, and over these last four games the burden is on him. If he can't show some serious progress in these four games he becomes a stop gap contender fighting with Romo and whoever might be available to be the 2017 starter while we look for our next option elsewhere. The receiver injuries change the options on the field at each play, but his failure is to see the receivers running routes on each play, and accurately throw to the best choice, and that breakdown is completely independent of who is running those routes.

     

    Hoping they show something to push the balance back, but I'm 60/40 against Rex and Tyrod right now and think that could tip severely after Sunday.

     

    Edit: And I'm not remotely suggesting it will happen, but if we lose to the Steelers and win out for 9-7, the only "upset" help we need is the Bengals to beat the Ravens at home in week 17, which means regardless of what happens Sunday, if we then crush the Browns as expected, we host Miami for meaningful football on Christmas Eve.

  3. 11-5 is a pipe dream. We need to beat the Jags, Browns, Fins and Jets. Flip one of the two between raiders and Pitts- thinking steelers are the one we can grab. Makes the earlier fins Seattle loses painful right now.

     

    6-5 isn't a pipe dream. Beat the Jags. #WeAreOnToJacksonville

     

    Big picture has a lot of possibilities, but the trip to Oakland is going to be very tough. However I think Oakland is a team that has been flying higher than their ability, and while they are going to win the division and are can make a playoff run, they also have had a lot of things work out and won a lot of close games that they could have lost. Starting three home games in a row at 7-5 would be a great place to be, and if Sammy and Marcel can return to being factors in the next two weeks, those are two huge pro-bowl caliber pickups for us.

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