Koufax
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Posts posted by Koufax
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Not sure if I missed it in the previous pages, but I think Kincaid getting the 1st down on the screen was more obvious than Allen getting it on the sneak. Shakir didn't get a good block or it would have been bigger gain, but I was surprised that play wasn't looked at.
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32 minutes ago, BuffBills51 said:
The title says it all. Marino was probably the best quarterback of his time and never won the big game. Allen is the most talented quarterback in the NFL but consistently gets let down by his coaches and teammates.
Marino went to the super bowl as a rookie and never again.
Maybe more like this era's John Elway? Elway went to the Super Bowl in his 26, 27, and 29 year old seasons and lost all three. Jost is short of that obviously, but has had some epic post season success and disappointing final games in his 24-28 year old seasons.
People told a story about Elway, and how he wasn't going to win the big one, and how the NFC powers were at a different level when it mattered. Then that story didn't end up being true. He had to wait to his 37 and 38 year old seasons to be a back to back super bowl champion, but the guy who lost at 26 was the same human who won at 37, and the story up to that moment wasn't determinant of what lay ahead.
I am also a Red Sox fan, and I dealt with what that was from 1986 to 2003, and after game 7 against the same old Yankees in 2003 it felt like the story was written and the last 86 years would mean the next 86. Except in 2004 the same old Yankees didn't matter...and then 2007, and then 2013, and then 2018.
Josh Allen is an amazing football player and a winner. This Buffalo Bills team is a great organization with a great roster. The 2025 AFC Championship was a game. It is not a short story, and it is not the final chapter in a tragedy.
This should hurt if you care, and I care, but when these guys dust themselves off the mat and get back to work, it is to become champions and have that parade, and no amount of heartbreak should ever extinguish the belief and the drive and the dedication toward that goal.
I will be at that Parade. I'm sad I have to wait another year and not do it in 15 days, but this team should be a joy.
And if you agree at all with me, will you try to convince my teenager? He is not taking today's loss as well as I am.
Go Bills.
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So proud of this team and had so much fun this season including bringing my son to Buffalo. Always tough when you don’t finish with a parade, but what a great team. Keep grinding and get ready to do it again next year. Go Bills.
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9 hours ago, US Egg said:
It’s “heard it through the grapevine”…..I got to go throw up now.
It is all people are talking about through the water cooler-
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LOL Texans. Could you imagine if we did that 3rd and 10 and 4th and 10 combination? Good thing the Texans don't have a mafia or it would be ugly right now.
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I would rather play in Buffalo, but this Chiefs team is so much more vulnerable than any past year and needs every break to go their way....then they get them....
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So soft...that was crazy...horrible call in a one point game..
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Jones in pain on the trainer table and the Chief's looking so so within striking distance of the Texans advancing to the AFC championship game. Stroud running and passing like he should. Just need the Chief's luck to run out and one play to go the Texans way at some point.
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19 hours ago, DrDawkinstein said:
He's been catching a lot of flack for that on the socials, but it's exactly what he should do.
If he goes running right, toward the Denver sideline, following Josh, he'll never be able to block anyone. And he'll be completely out of position if Josh decides to change direction and come back toward Dion. Dion "staying home" gives him the ability to legally crackback block any number of defenders in pursuit of Josh if he comes back Dion's way.
But it does look funny how the OL just stop like "Josh has this now"
Absolutely! And how it unfolded was a little atypical as Josh stopped when he normally continues to the sideline. And if he came back in search of the one yard needed and Dion wasn't there to wreck somebody, he would have failed to do his job. I just loved how it felt to see him unplugged for all his pull Cook and shut down one of the best lines.
I was in row 10 behind the sideline heater, and later in the game he was hanging out and looked completely gassed and sat down away from his teammates like he was going to hurl. Left everything out on the field, and gets to do it again on Sunday.
Go Bills
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10 hours ago, Nephilim17 said:
Lots of us thought Dawkins was out of shape based on his off-season vids, but he's a great example of a guy who doesn't look athletic who is. Great game and season. Hope he and the line can keep it up for three more weeks.
I love Dawkins and thought he did great. But a fun watch is just following him on the Johnson TD 4th and 1. Like someone unplugged the controller.
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23 minutes ago, RiotAct said:
Sunday at 1 PM! Lets go!
Flying with my son across country for his first game in Buffalo (and my first since the Oilers), and excited for the weather forecast and timing. Had flights and great tickets last year for the snow postponed game and couldn’t get there.
If you see us say hello. We will be the two guys in Bills gear cheering like crazy.
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1 hour ago, BigDingus said:
I care more about Pittsburgh beating KC next week to stay ahead of Baltimore in the standings.
If the Ravens get the 3rd seed, that means they'd play the Chargers in the WC, then go to play Buffalo in the divisional round. I prefer not to play Baltimore & would rather them go to KC.
The real dream scenario is getting the 1 seed plus Cincinnati beating the Steelers.
Means we get the bye then the winner of PIT/HOU, while Baltimore goes to KC for a chance to come to us. However it plays out we are going to have to beat the best teams in football, so sticking to going 1-0 each week and getting healthy is more important than catching a break from someone else.-
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If one thing goes our way on Christmas, we need three more things to go our way.
1) Beat the Jets this week
2) Beat the @Pats next week
3) KC loses in Denver next week.
If KC beats PIT then beating the Jets guarantees us the 2 seed, and the winner of Ravens Texans gets the 3 seed.
Beating the Jets is a huge game for us on so many levels. And after watching NE play us tough and us perform in a way that wouldn't have cut it in the playoffs, hopefully there is a sense of urgency.
Keep getting healthier, enjoy Christmas, and go 1-0 on Sunday.
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Our defense is the story and I expect some halftime adjustments. But Josh and Brady not taking medium plays to establish and going difficult and deep over and over is frustrating.
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1 minute ago, Thrivefourfive said:
It wasn’t that hard to reach a level of competency for McDermott. He just needed to think ONE play ahead. Just one. And he had plenty of time to think this through:
If we score, great. XP. Then kickoff.
If we don’t score, spike it, or rush up and hit it again, and repeat outcome scenarios.
I just cannot be settled with this guy’s mental capacity. I’m not.
Yes, it had to be one play ahead. If a sneak was the call and a sneak failed, calling a timeout was not the smartest outcome. Not having that in Josh's headset and either spike or run it again, and no timeout can be used under any circumstances is the mistake. I don't personally love the first down sneak, and prefer a pass on first down, but that is more debatable. Calling a timeout is the failed decision and mathematically indefensible. Not knowing what you were going to do if the sneak failed and/or choosing the exact worst thing you could do, both lowered our chances of a comeback.
If McD says "We like the call of the sneak on first, but know we can't take the timeout if it fails" I'm fine with it. But the "we hoped it would go well, and didn't have a plan for if it didn't, so just picked the worst thing to do" is bad game management.
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On 12/9/2024 at 9:50 PM, BobbyC81 said:
And if they threw it, and the ball was tipped and intercepted, the naysayers would say “why didn’t they just sneak it”Right, there will always be people who judge the success of failure of the outcome. Josh getting stopped on a one yard sneak is an unlikely outcome, but a devastating one. Just like for it to matter our defense has to be able to force a three and out after.
But let's come back to some math on 1st and 1, with the goal of scoring a TD with as much time and three timeouts as possible.
Option 1: Pass, Pass, TBD.Result 1: Success (TD on one of first two plays)
Result 2: Soft fail (two incompletions, 12 seconds off the clock, and either try another pass or decide to go to option 2 now)
Result 3: Hard fail (fumbled snap, interception, sack)
Option 2: Sneak, TBD
Result 1: Success (TD on sneak)
Result 2: Soft fail (stopped, but able to get quickly up, no timeout, spike or 2nd down being run quickly)
Result 3: Hard fail (stopped and stuck in a pile, use a timeout, fumble, sack)
Throw some percentages on there, and you can run some calculations on which is more likely to get you a TD with three timeouts. Either success does, but on failure it depends. I think timeout was the huge wrong decision even if they rush, and getting to a spike or a second attempt in a hurry would have been better math.
If you are not going to use the timeout and know what is next, the high percentage sneak doesn't cost you the game. But the mere decision to pass on first doesn't guarantee success and doesn't avoid disaster. I think it would have increased probability of success and passing was the right call, just like running Marshawn instead of trying the slant was better Math, but the Seahawks slant could have been a TD and Marshawn could have been stuffed or fumbled.
The outcome does not prove the correct or incorrect choice, but a failed outcome can definitely draw attention to the high likelihood that the most probable successful choice wasn't chosen.
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Nine on the field and not returning the kick are unacceptable lack of situational awareness. Changing the chances of winning from 0.1% to 0% so not in the top fifty most relevant plays of the day, but frustrating coming out of a timeout.
We can calm down, learn from it, and not freak out, but we can also call a spade a spade.
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Also, hidden play of the day was the first half 3rd and 2 with 1:20 left at the -41.
Not sure on play design since it broke down but not having a play where Shakir being always open somewhere 5-10 and Josh throwing the ball 40 yards to an area where three receivers and four defenders were is a play you want back.
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Some thoughts from the game yesterday from the stadium:
1) Bills Mafia was great for attendance but got the wind out of our sails with a few early deficits and we were not as loud and helpful until the key drive.
2) Scoring ten points in two minutes is not a clear path regardless, but we can all agree and stop discussing that running and calling a timeout was bad football strategy. Everyone in our section was immediately doing clock math and knew it. We can all stipulate and move on but that is three pass plays in a row period. I don’t want to blow it out of size as long as we all know a mistake was made and better in December than January or February. Reverse of the Carroll/Lynch SB decision and a no brainer.
3) Defense did not show up. Will need to look at it more closely but it felt like the D Line just did not play. Secondary got beat and didn’t make that one great play against two unreal receivers and a hall of fame quarterback all having a perfect day, but the lack of pressure (even getting close) made the task harder. This unit is under the microscope next week against Detroit and if they play like this in the playoffs I don’t like our chances.
4) Putting up 42 is unreal, but Josh is right that the offense needed to be better. The first three and out was bailed out by a personal foul but was tradition bad bills start and would have given the ball right back to Stafford.
Right before the blocked punt a four and out with three deep balls and no short possession game was the series people won’t focus on but was a lot more crucial to the game than the last minute stuff.
Our final series of the first half two more deep incompletions when we could have marched down the field. Then a three and out to start the second half.
I love our Superman but high probability. Hard to fault the offense in a six touchdown performance but when Cook up the middle wasn’t there we had lots of higher probability drove sustaining options without getting into shootout mode right away.
10-3 AFC East champs heading to Detroit for a redemption game and on track for great January opportunities. Go Bills.
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5 hours ago, Mr. WEO said:
Beyond the constant Ravens and Chiefs chatter, not as much. We kind of laughed when they hired the kneecap nibbler as HC. But that guy can coach. Look at Goff--Boy Genius McVay couldn't figure him out (that Lombardy with Stafford's name on it is sinking their ship--20 wins since).
Bills Lions will be the game of the year for the NFL
The one in February? Or the one in December?-
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8 hours ago, Dr Krentist said:
I had the pleasure of talking with his dad for about an hour last year before the Chargers game, and I’m so happy for the kid. His opportunity took a while but he rose to the occasion.
Also check out his effort on the big touchdown. Excellent one on one blocking on the one guy who had a chance to stop Josh for a loss, one play after jumping to left tackle for a play.
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21 minutes ago, K D said:
Let's say Bills lose to KC and the best Miami and Jets could realistically get is 8 wins. If you aren't the #1 seed, does it really matter? We already lost the tie breaker to Houston and Baltimore. If it comes down to it, could there be a scenario where Josh Allen and others sit for MULTIPLE games? Possibly the last 2? Has this ever happened where a team had already clinched their division but the 1 seed was already out of reach and the 2-3 are unlikely and possibly not worth the risk?
What would YOU do?
Two loss Steelers lead the North, Ravens are top wild card.
Need to beat the Chiefs to think about 1, but otherwise
2 plays 7 (Bills Broncos)
3 plays 6 (Steelers Chargers)
4 plays 5 (Texans Ravens)
Then Ravens/Texans play Chiefs and Bills host Steelers.
This is the perfect setup, and the idea that we know a lot of stuff by week 16 much less week 17 is pretty silly. And even if it was, 20 days without football is not the path to playing great football.
Texans and Ravens are both good matchups for the Chiefs and to get the AFC championship game in Buffalo, and not just marching to a Bill trip to KC, but there is a ton of football left, and beating the Colts on the road is by far the most important piece right now.-
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Cap complexities aside, we traded an unhappy Diggs and #96 for Cooper and #50. Probably a trade I would have made in the offseason.
Cooper is bigger and taller and a little younger. Like Diggs over the last 6 years he has played and produced.
How bad Cleveland has been offensively, I expect this to be much more than a neutral change of scenery and am excited to have him.
No need to focus on our Ex. But I'm really excited to have Amari, and see what he can do with the best QB he has ever played with in a WR room craving him.
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3 hours ago, MDH said:
It couldn’t possible hit the net where it did while going through the goalposts unless the kicker has Sandy Koufax’s curveball.
Excuse me. Sandy’s curveball was a true 12-6 without any lateral movement. Meaning he could get it through the uprights and hit the ground behind without needing a net.
I believe you meant to say a Blake Treinen slider and just got your Dodgers confused.
Apology accepted.
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How much do we need to change to get to the SuperBowl? Not that much actually.
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
We will be a different variation of a relatively stable great team with an elite QB next year. Whether that makes us top-4, top-2 or top-1 depends on more than a few things.
If you think there is a narrative and a past predicts the future, you certainly would not have understood the 2003 to 2004 Red Sox. Or you wouldn't understand how Peyton Manning would be a two time MVP with nine NFL seasons and no Super Bowls before becoming a two Lombardi QB. Or you wouldn't understand John Elway playing 14 years and not only never winning a super bowl but losing three times in four years, before becoming a two Lombardi QB.
This year was awesome until it wasn't, and as has happened before we were one or two plays away from getting over the hump. This organization is excellent and committed to doing it again. We will still run into some 50/50 toss up games at the season (or 60/40 or 40/60), and the odds of going 2-0 in a pair of those are only 25%. Do we get enough ahead of the Ravens and Chiefs to have that substantially better than 25%? I sure hope so. But even if not, taking another crack at it will sure be fun.
I'm not sure if it is next February, but I will be at the parade, and I will enjoy it a lot.
Go Bills.