CNN political unit has a 274-264 advantage for Bush......presidentialelect.org has the same number.....their last update was on July 29th.
From the CNN thing....WV and AZ....dems conceding those states now.
ORG and WAS could come into play for Bush, but not likely.
OH, FLA, NV and MO lean towards Bush......
IA, WI, MN lean towards Kerry.
FLA isn't getting much notoriety yet......2 years ago, Jeb Bush won re-election by 13 points.
Democrats focusing on a higher turnout in Miami-Dade.
Kerry campaign has made few inroads south of Maryland.....Kerry starting to pull ads from Virginia, Arkansas, Louisiana. Dem strategists concede they have little chance in those states.
This was interesting: "Part of Kerry's problem, aides say, has been a failure to generate support among a large segment of the African-American vote, particularly in states like Louisiana."