colin

allen is gonna get hip dropped blatantly 10 feet in front of the ref and get called for intentional grounding. that loss (and seemingly every other one in the past 2 regular seasons) didn't really matter tho, we still lost home playoff games, so mer.

compared to the opener of last season (which we lost, at the jets, with allen having one of his worst games as a pro since his initial 2 or 3 seasons at the ver least). we are equal to better at LB (williams exp is better depth, tiny bernard leveled up) better at corner (douglas is better than tre) worse to way worse at safety worse at DE (if von is magically back to who he was before the injury, then we are better, but that's a tall order). on O we are same/better at rb (cook w some burn, but not a big change) qb same obv OL kinda a toss up. if we get injured it's way worse, but our RG has a year under his belt, and they let morse walk who is earing like 4mm a year now, so clearly they think they just got better because we coulda paid him that). if we get decent LG play, it's better TE we are better, kinkaid will be better this season than last WR at this point, i'd say we are flat to down a little. davis could do some things, even tho he got over paid going away. maybe shakir has grown or something, but we can only say better if we get a real WR in the draft who gets burn day one and contributes. coaching wise i think we have a much better stich. brady is at least as good as dorsey, and i think potentially much better. we've gone younger and more aggressive/creative on D, and mcd being just the HC i think works better than him being HC/DC. we improve vs the nfl if we stay healthy, get a couple rooks to play well, and get some kind of production from knox, milano, von, and a bit more even out of diggs. that was heavily missing last year (first 3 in particular). if we are reasonably healthy, i still say we can beat any team on any day.

i remember ngata so clearly, altho there was a 3 tech from florida state or something who i thought would be a better "scheme fit". ngata of course, was a powerhouse for like 12 years in the nfl, and even on the baltimore d was a standout for his intensity and strength. Donte whitner was a slightly above replacement ss for a solid nfl career, and based on how rook contracts worked back then, we paid him for his first 4 or 5 years like he was a multiple pro bowler. we had the absolute worst FO for a while there.

we now have two DEs on heavy incentive contracts (von obv, but marino reported that AJE can hit 10 a year vs 6 if he hits game and sack numbers), and groot who is looking for his first big contract too. part of me thinks most players should be on incentive based contracts, but the reality is stats that trigger payouts don't always reflect quality of play, and these guys take significant injury risks, so it's not exactly a totally fair situation. I think this is quite unique in pro football. does anyone else recall players with massive incentive based pay, or multiple ones on a single team in a single season before?

we have 4 de's (kingsly, miller, aje, groot) and 2 DTs (oliver, jones) on the entire roster. we'll go with 8 or 9, i suspect 8. we'll add like 4 or 5 guys via street FA guys and the draft. i think we spend a top 4 round pick on a DT, maybe as high as 2nd, and then there will be a fight between who's left to prove to the FO that we should run with 9. if we sign another reasonable DT, like the one mentioned above, i think it guarantees at least one trade up in the draft. FS, WR, backup OT and interior OL, and any kind of super high RAS guy they like will be the draft picks. could also see a DE get drafted if they have upside and play special teams. if we don't sign another kinda starter level guy, then we will draft as many as 3 DL IMO.

i read this in a backhanded way, where the implication is that mcd can win after we fire him, long into the future. i chortled.

7mm 1y w an option to make it 2 years for like 5-6 more, effectively. that's cheap and basically gets paid out by what we save trading bates. they like him and rapp, so it makes sense (both deals)

before he got hurt, T bernard was filling up the stat sheet like a monster. douglas had sick stats for us for how short he was with us, he looked the part too. oliver had top level DT stats. allen speaks for himself, and the sack/win rate % for our Oline shows them to be a top tier unit. cook had as mentioned top 3 YFS, and he kinda didn't play for the dorsey part of the season. not to mention Taron who was voted 2nd all pro, and milano who in the prior season was an all pro. im not saying these guys are elite (except josh, who i fully think is the goat) but in terms of observed performance they were in the proximity of the category at least. we have to fill in a starting safety, find some way to (continue to) rush the passer, and get another playmaker (a real one) in the passing game on O and then we have the roster we need to have won it all the past 3 seasons. on D, we have to smarten up and not become total pushover goofs in the playoffs, injuries basically made us crap out vs kc, but my boy dorian came in and showed us aj klein shoulda been fishing, not playing.

my read is we run a scheme that takes away the big long stuff and is open to being misdirected and eaten up underneath (see all of our playoff losses vs reg season stats) so i think our brain trust figures they can scheme decent guys up to run the system, but need play making ability because if we don't make plays we just get ground up. rapp seems to be out of place in coverage but has a green light and brings some lumber, so i suppose they figure he's going to improve in the former, but keep the latter in his second season w us. our safety play was garbage in the kc home game, save one lucky hit by poy to get that turnover.

i'd extend (2 years i recon) and spread that cap hit out.

mccoach obv hates starting or even playing rookies on D. there have been a couple exceptions, but that's the theme. based on that, and the fact that i presume tre is gone and douglas, elam, and benford will be getting a ton of burn, we have a fairly young secondary. i'd expect a rookie safety paired with poyer (maybe on a cut, maybe on a restructure, i dunno) to be the most likely outcome. similarly on the DL, i think we sign at least 2 FA vets (maybe even 3) and draft 2-3 guys and play the vets more, at least until it is blindingly obvious that the rookies are better than the vets.

if one of the big 3, or if the bills see it as a big 4 or something, are there at 12, im quite certain that BBB will at least kick the tires on what it would cost.

the 2025 savings matter, contracts and dead cap can be shifted there. this is the quintessential getting younger and cheaper. they are looking at places to avoid putting out contracts that don't get value. the obvious ones are tre, miller, knox and to a much lesser extend milano (bad value last year, as he was hurt, and is often hurt, but is a legit stud ow). but every little helps, and saving 5 sticks on a guy in 2025 who they think doesn't help the team more than the RFA they have on the roster now opens things up. we are going to have to put some cap money into the dline. maybe draft 2 or even more guys, but we have like 4 guys on the roster, and need 7 or 8 at a bare minimum. we will not be having 2 and 3 rookies on the DL in games on a consistent basis, so either throw money at d'quan (i dunno, older and hurt might scare them off) or some other 1 tech, and we need another back up 1 tech, and a back up 3 tech, and at least 1 more DE too. that money has to come from somewhere.

so, does anyone have the specifics of how much of a jerk or whatever he was?

this and his wiggle and how hard he drives to get yards makes me think a lot of prime beez when i watch shakir. beez also got wiped by good man coverage. i think we need a man killer, big fast w hands. route running is a good plus, but i want a dk metcalf type who can run 3 or 4 total routes but still open things up and put the fear of god into the d. if dbs have to turn and run vs josh, he can hit someone about a mile away, and can run w the best of them too.

i'd trade him if the cap hit wasn't huge and we got tremendous value. but the cap hit is huge, and he's a great player at a lower valued position, so the value we'd get for him would very close to certainly wouldn't be huge so doesn't seem like much there. to me the greatest ability is availability, so while he's one of our best players when he's healthy, he misses enough games to be a concern. that said, he's prolly worth his contract plus to us so what would you trade him for? another expensive player or picks which may or may not work out?

i understand that this won't happen, but i'd much rather college sports were pure amateurism with actual students playing the sport and we had some minor league football for the (vast majority) of "student athletes" who are much heavier on the athlete side.

i like ras a gul, and i hope we keep him, but the monster in the room is he's wrong side of 30 and just got hurt. i think they off him an extension w some savings, and he takes it or walks.

His show was great. during the drought he was so mad, and lambasted the team and management when it was deserved.

so what was this about? cam newton runs some 7 on 7 flag thing and he manages a team that got into some kind of bad blood with another team? was this right after a game or something? did he cast a dark spell on them? is that what the hat is about? so confused.

i remember reading some blurb, i think on twitter, about how the chiefs are "elite" at drawing defensive holding calls in the passing game, and avoiding those calls on themselves. makes me sick!

the gap in our d's numbers in the reg season vs playoffs is just shocking. my pet theory is like a boxer who has great d by preventing his opponent from punching by keeping him off balance, controlled, or just moving out the way vs slower guys. when we face people who have answers tho, we breakdown our fundamentals and either shell up and become a punching bag, or make the wrong moves and try to do too much. im not sure of the exact answer, but i think it involves being more aggressive at times but we have to do so in an effective way. the sell out telegraphed blitzes aren't it. hopefully they made the right choice for some new blood leading the show. given how our LBs tend to play, and the embarrassment of spectacular stat sheet filling play by TB in his second year, i think bobby babby might be the man for the job.

I was a huge fan of zimmerman, guy reminds me of the old world football handicappers, just watching tape and figuring stuff out on their own. i always thought peter king was a cringe fest boomer. reading about his daughter's coffee or cigars or whatever else was torturous. his ultra boomer takes on the wuflu were mind boggling.

lol, i wouldt call what i do high level, and everyone here knows over under (big overlap in fin mkts and betting markets) all a market is is a two sided over under or spread. when the book at a bookie (old school ones at least) wasn't even, they'd show different prices for either side of a spread. normally it's -110/-110, so you risk 110 to win 10 on either side of the spread, but when it's out of whack they'll do like -120/-105 so the juice is 20% on the one side, only 5% on the other.

yes, you silly! people who work in markets (financial, gambling, etc) are generally familiar with these terms.