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Estro

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Posts posted by Estro

  1. When I said, "all things considered" i meant including their futures not just this one year.

     

    I agree with the poster who talked about Buffalo's weather. Pennington's arm, a clear weakness, wouldn't stand a chance in Buffalo. If you notice the Jets always seem to stumble down the stretch, I wonder if any of that could be attributed to Chad playing poorly in inclimate weather.

     

    On the other hand Losman is known for his "strong" arm, and although he doesn't have nearly the experience I would still choose him over Pennington right now.

  2. With all this talk about Losman being a first year QB (which some think means a step back) and the talk about the Jets being decent this year I started thinking:

     

    If you had your choice right now, all things considered, who would you rather have the Bills head into the 2005 season with, Losman or Pennington?

     

    Me personally I'd take Losman. He has a ton of potential in front of him, and I know potential doesn't mean anything, but I have faith in him. I believe Pennington, on the other hand, hasn't lived up to his potential. I think the guys arm strength is a clear weakness, and I don't see much upside with him.

     

    Go BILLS!!!

  3. Does anyone know any websites that will be broadcasting the game over the internet tonight. I remember last year I was able to listen via the interent from some Canadian radio station that was broadcasting the game.

     

    If anyone has any details I'd really appreciate it. Thanks.

  4. Your right. There is no way Westbrook holds out for the season. But even so is he the type of back that can give you all you need over a 16 game season. I don't think so, than bring into the equation the fact that Buckhalter can't stay healthy. I just think the Eagles would look a lot closer at Henry now than they were willing to during the draft.

  5. If getting Simon means losing Nate after this year, I would stongly oppose going after him. If we can amnage to get both to long term deals than I'd be interested to see the deal get done. Needless to say at this point my major concern is getting NATE locked up as a Buffalo Bill for the next 5 years.

  6. I've been surfing the web for the past hour and listening to NFL LIVE and just got started thinking about something. If we still had Henry on the roster I think the trade for Corey Simon would be much more feasible.

     

    Todd Pinkston, starting receiver for the Eagles, apparently ruptured his achilles and will most likely be lost for the season. Correl Buckhalter, limped off the field today with an apparent knee injury (he tore his ACL last year in training camp). Brian Westbrook, the starting back, is still holding out for a new contract and is not in camp. Terrel Owens has a minor injury, and his future health status is still undetermined. This means that the Eagles are cureently missing their top 2 running backs and their top 2 receivers.

     

    Basically, I see a scenario now where the Eagles could really use a guy like Travis Henry with all the problems they currently have. I'm not saying I think a Travis for Simon swap straight up would get it done (not even close), but perhaps Henry and a mid pick like a 4th. Does anyone else think that we could've gotten more out of the eagles given their current situation, than the 3rd round pick we got form the Titans?

     

     

    P.S. Don't get me wrong I was satisfied in getting a 3rd for Henry, but I'm just thinking what if...

  7. Just a guess, but maybe they didn't pass the conditioning tests. I've heard that most teams conduct their conditioning tests on the first day of training camp. Maybe the following players were ones who were sub par in the testing, so the coaches are having them run a little extra after practice. Just a thought.

  8. Does anyone know if EricinVa has gotten the tickets for the big group order we put in yet?

     

    I've been checkin to see if it's been mentioned here or over at the buffalobills.com forum, but haven't seen anything. Any information would be appreciated, I'm just curios as to when we should be expecting the tickets. Thanks.

     

    By the way I just booked my flights to NO from Buffalo, $163 roundtrip! (through travelocity)

  9. Here's what I would take with the lines you provided:

     

    Losman over 15 TD's

    I think he stay healthy and throws at least an average of one a game.

     

    Losman under 15 INT's

    Run first team, ball control. Basically, I don't think Losman will throw a lotta silly picks this year.

     

    McGahee under 1500 yards

    I see McGahee in the 1200-1400 yard range this year. 1500 yards on the season equates to an average of 94 yards a game and that's if he doesn't miss one game. If he sits out only one game then you're looking at the guy needing to rush over 100 yards a game consistently to cover the bet. don't like that one.

     

    McGahee over 12 Touchdowns

    Last eyar he rushed for 13 touchdowns and only started 3/4 of the season. When we're on the goalline and need that 1, 2 or 3 yard score you know who's getting the ball. Love that over

     

    Nate Clements under 6 INT's

    Nate had his best year last year and came up with 6 picks. I could certainly see him doing just as well if not better, but I'll take the under here. Teams won't throw his way as much and I think it's difficult for a corner to come up with 7 picks on a season, especailly with the way the rules favor WR's today.

     

    Aaron schobel under 10 sacks

    I like Schobel and his part on our defense, but i envision him in the 8-10 sack range this year. I see our defense rushing from a multitude of spots like we did last year. I don't think we'll have any problem rushing the opposing QB, but I don't think we'll have any player with double digit sacks. More of a team effort (by the way I think Kelsay finishes in the 8-10 sack range right alongside Schobel)

     

    Bills over 8 seaosn

    As a Bills fan I would be soarly dissapointed with anything worse than 8 wins this season. I think we have a team that should certainly contend and have hopes for a playoff spot this year. I think 9-6 by week 16 and needing a win in week 17 to make the playoffs is a possibility this season (just liek last year, hopefully with the better result this time!!!)

     

    By the way you can bet the over/under on teams at bodog.com. Just for the record they have the bills at 8.5 wins. So they need to win 9 for you to cover that one, I'd feel a lot more comfortable betting your line.

     

    LETS GO BILLS, PLAYOFFS RETURN TO BUFFALO THIS SEASON!!!

  10. 2 things make me believe Nate Clements is going to be locked up long-term:

     

     

    1) Last year he excelled and I believe the defense would really take a hit if he left us.

     

    2) Donahoe had a decision to make when he let Antoine Winfield walk. The decision was do we pay Winfield now and let Clements walk in 3 years or do we have enough confidence in Clements to let Winfield walk and give Clements the big bucks down the road. Well now it's down the road, and I don't think ur gonna see 2 great corners leave the Bills for nothing in return.

     

     

    Clements deserves to be paid like a top 5 corner in the league because he is a top 5 corner. It's guys like Mike Williams that don't deserve there huge numbers, but as far as Clements he'd be worth every dime of a long term contarct.

     

     

    6 years $38 million (first 4 years he gets $18 million) with a signing bonus in the range of $18 million.

     

    His cap hits would look something like (assuming it gets done before the start of this season):

     

    2005: $3 million base salary with $3 million SB

    2006: $4.5 million base w/ $3 million SB

    2007: $5 million base w/ $3 million SB

    2008: $5.5 million base w/ $3million SB

     

    then after 2008 you resturucture the final 2 years because they would be much too costly, similar to what has been done with Eric Moulds the past 2 offseasons.

     

    Also, some of the signing bonuses could be workout bonus/roster bonus type money, which would save on the salary cap some.

  11. Fairly young, 24yrs old, been in the stock market since i was 18... I just recently in the past yr felt like I knew what I was doing. I've been becoming a value investor in the past year or so... I rode best buy (BBY) from 50-68 in the past 2-3 months. If i had the abilitiy to short in my acct. which i don't right now I would love to short BBY and abercrombie (ANF). I feel both are overvalued. The only undervalued stock on my own radar now is (LTD) limited, and (WMT) back a week ago when it was at 47. (PSUN) Pacific sunwear was undervalued a week or two ago. I really like my two shorts though.

    Anybody familiar with options, as I have not yet tried them. It seeems a bit more like gambling then actually buying the stock outright.

  12. I've always thought this when people post about McGahees' stats next year so I'll just point it out. If you actually want to directly correlate McGahee's yards from last year into 16 starts next year than you have to subtract the yards from the first four games that he didn't start. Why? Because those were yards he accumulated as a backup running back, which wouldn't be the case if he was the starter for 16 games. Those would be yards that a Shaud Williams, Rashard Lee, Lionel Gates type back would've accumulated.

     

    So here are McGahee's game by game rushing yards from last season

     

    Last year stats

     

    So as you can see the 70 yards he accumulated in the first 4 games shouldn't be counted over a projected 16 game regular season. So just looking at the 12 games where he began to get starter like carries (beginning with the Dolphins game) he accumualted 1058 yards. Notice I'm counting the first Dolphins game as a start because he pretty much got starter like carries (26), which is what forced Mularkey to give him the "official" start the next week. If you spread that over 16 games you come up with 1410 yards (some simple algebra!)

     

    12/16 = 1058/X

     

    X = 1410 yards

     

    I know it ain't that big of a difference or whether anyone cares, but just wanted to point it out!

  13. My Webpage

     

    It just surprises me at how little a good running back gets traded for these days. If he goes for a 3rd no way Henry can do any better. The thing with S. Alexander though, is he'll command big bucks like the article says. Henry on the other hand is probably viewed as a bargain, price wise, by many teams. All things considered I'd say Henry should at least get us a 3rd when it is all said and done.

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