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Everything posted by Joe Ferguson forever
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Republicans for Harris
Joe Ferguson forever replied to Andy1's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I want capitalism and democracy. I don't want autocracy. Ruling class is a socialist/communist phrase. -
Republicans for Harris
Joe Ferguson forever replied to Andy1's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
She’s got many more top D advisors to go thru than him. She’ll stick more to the party values and goals. No contest for me. -
Republicans for Harris
Joe Ferguson forever replied to Andy1's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Dude, there are a handful of people that should be in the cabinet. Trump pi$$ed off most of the R ones. So it’s RFK jr and Elon Musk for him. They’ll leave as well and a dolt will be making his own world altering decisions. Not ideal. -
They’re different. Both with great voices and presence imo.
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Trump 2024?
Joe Ferguson forever replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Ya know, this young feller came by wanting to power wash my house. Did a good job. Fair price but he always called me boss and wasn’t there when I needed him in the winter as promised. I just trashed his email about available home services. Life goes on. -
Trump 2024?
Joe Ferguson forever replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
One of his slick backed hair, shrewd, exploitative campaign staff thought it would be a really good shew. Trump agreed. -
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Trump 2024?
Joe Ferguson forever replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
No. I bought one of the first AI diagnostic programs. Put in symptoms and physical findings and it spits out diagnoses by percent probability. I put in the classic findings of an obscure disease. Didn’t make the list. No, I want a human, for president and for my doctor. -
Trump 2024?
Joe Ferguson forever replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Me directly? No. But I haven’t noted many unhappy D’s with the choice of Harris. Actually haven’t talk to or seen one. See, we’re the party that supports ideals. We’re not so interested in the person that enacts those ideals. Just the opposite of your cult of personality. -
Trump 2024?
Joe Ferguson forever replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Bad for trump We are the D party and damn glad to be which plot would u rather your Candidate have? -
Trump 2024?
Joe Ferguson forever replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
The trend is stable since Harris took over. Except her line has a slightly steeper slope. Not definitive but much more encouraging than Biden’s tracing. We did the right thing. -
Trump 2024?
Joe Ferguson forever replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Running for his life https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/27/trump-indicted-2020-election-subversion-00176503 -
It's a theory. there are others from Pew research: Some have also suggested that many of those who were polled simply were not honest about whom they intended to vote for. The idea of so-called “shy Trumpers” suggests that support for Trump was socially undesirable, and that his supporters were unwilling to admit their support to pollsters. This hypothesis is reminiscent of the supposed “Bradley effect,” when Democrat Tom Bradley, the black mayor of Los Angeles, lost the 1982 California gubernatorial election to Republican George Deukmejian despite having been ahead in the polls, supposedly because voters were reluctant to tell interviewers that they were not going to vote for a black candidate. The “shy Trumper” hypothesis has received a fair amount of attention this year. If this were the case, we would expect to see Trump perform systematically better in online surveys, as research has found that people are less likely to report socially undesirable behavior when they are talking to a live interviewer. Politico and Morning Consult conducted an experiment to see if this was the case, and found that overall, there was little indication of an effect, though they did find some suggestion that college-educated and higher-income voters might have been more likely to support Trump online. Polls are an important part of any political campaign. Biden was persuaded to quit because of them. they highlight trends, not absolutes.
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from a recent Time article on how to read polls: This is where polling averages like those run by Real Clear Politics can be useful in tracking trends and momentum. But data nerds warn against making too much of them. It would be wrong to try to chart changes between a February CNN poll and a March Fox News poll. They ask the questions differently. Their back-end formula for weighing voting universes is different. It’s the kitchen equivalent of tracking the sweetness of sugar and flour just because they come from similar bags. That said, plenty of us do look at so-called polls of polls. But like all opinion surveys, it’s helpful to remember that they should never be taken as predictive and that they’re already out-of-date by the time the data are released. It's not a novel term. Perhaps it isn't used on alt right sites.
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Guy is nuts. yo9u guys an have him. were this a pickup game, my team would go one player short before picking him https://uk.news.yahoo.com/rfj-jr-once-chain-sawed-021800097.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZHJ1ZGdlcmVwb3J0LmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAAimdqbx5fcigKjw5stGAC0O8BYh645oBYmrCdjFqBVo5xIrKlgvaib8W3fPNyZRE58nn3lLCm17PwtPfNKVkwghn3fc60Edewsbla96J40GOxBOtUY785JKe_0viSaUr6C322Mr4djesW8Em6XsGvWnagkGp0evt4pQH1Z9LZhV