NORWOODS FOOT
-
Posts
263 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Gallery
Profiles
Forums
Events
Posts posted by NORWOODS FOOT
-
-
I think Beane is a A- general manager. He’s quite excellent in many ways. But there is a margin of difference between how he constructs this team and how McDermott coaches it and what Andy Reid is doing. And that’s what I’m interested in. What is that difference and why does it seem, so decisive and leading to these outcomes?
-
“If you think you can do better, you should be a GM!”
Right. And if you don’t like the state of the country, you should be president…
“You’re being dramatic!”
Cool.
This is how I’m a fan of the Bills, and I’m not sorry. 😂
Continuing on…
The Bills may never win a Super Bowl, but that’s the standard that I’m comfortable holding them to. In my mind, for a GM/coach to be truly successful here during their tenure they need to win at least one championship.
This is the NFL, and the margins are razor thin. We keep being edged out by Kansas City. And I don’t think it’s just because they’re lucky. I don’t even think it’s just because of Mahomes. I think it’s for a lot of reasons. And I think I can identify one of the main ones.
The Kansas City Chiefs evaluate players in a fundamentally different way than the Bills front office. And then they coach and scheme using those players differently as well.
Simply put, the Kansas City Chiefs value special traits higher than we do, and they prioritize using those traits in schemes that creatively leverage and amplify their effect.
Let’s dissect the Xavier Worthy pick as the latest example.
Xavier Worthy is the fastest player in the NFL. When Xavier Worthy runs a go route he is going to be faster than any man trying to cover him. That puts a huge amount of stress on a defense because he can beat his man on any given play. And it doesn’t matter if he catches or drops the pass, the defense still has to chase him down the field.
This is also going to require that the safety on his side of the field keeps an eye on him and takes a deeper drop if he runs a go route or even a deep post.
He’s going to open up the rest of the field for all of the other skill position players. His presence alone is going to force NFL defenses to skew their coverage in a way that they don’t have to nearly any other week.
If a defense wants to try to counter these wider spaces, they’re going to have to drop linebackers further into coverage. If you have a good running game, and even better a running quarterback, you’re going to have bigger chunk plays, and more success.
It doesn’t matter that Xavier Worthy is not a perfect prospect. What matters is that he’s going to put every single defense he goes up against in a bind, and Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid are going to exploit the hell out of it.
And this could’ve been our advantage. Stretching a defense’s backend coverage would have had a positive effect for every single one of our skill position players. Even if we have less than optimal players, they would’ve had more space to work with. And it’s this kind of strategic thinking that the Chiefs have shown time and time again to be masters of.
Can you imagine the strain it would’ve put on a defense to have the fastest man in the NFL paired with the quarterback with the strongest arm in the NFL. It would’ve been imposing a nightmare on other teams. Instead of doing that we gave Kansas City that power.
I’d love to be wrong about all of this. But I keep watching Buffalo beat their head against the same old walls and I think this philosophical schematic issue is one of the reasons why.
This whole Xavier Worthy trade situation puts the issue in high definition. Beane and McDermott looked at this player and said no thank you let’s trade down. Andy Reid looked at this player and says I have to have him we’re trading up. Who are you gonna bet on making the better call?
In my opinion this is one of the main reasons that we’re stuck where we are.
-
2
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
-
11 minutes ago, Einstein said:
Maybe we can trade #33 to KC for a box of crackers.
IDK They got Worthy, we are already toast -
$100m guaranteed….. shhh….
-
3
-
-
2 minutes ago, Since1981 said:
Bills pretending to be SB champs for :15 party
We are gonna have a fake Super Bowl parade for Beane and McDermott so they think we won… kinda like those make a wish kids that “score a TD” at NFL practice-
1
-
-
Guess we’re gonna have to pick a CB to cover Worthy so we can finally beat the Chiefs and reach the promise land!
Wow, the Bills are a special kind of special.
-
1
-
1
-
-
He’s a fast little Bunny!
-
25 minutes ago, MasterStrategist said:
Let's play this out....
how do we afford JJ ATM? We don't have the cap space.
What would be really shocking is if they traded for him and then went “oh siht, we did the math wrong” and had to cut him.Or how about this one? Beane picks his own nose in the first round on national television, and pulls out Booger McFarland!
OK, I’ll show myself out now!
Is it 8PM yet?!
-
2 minutes ago, Slippery Rubber Mats said:
Nathan Peterman
Shocking because we already drafted him in the 5th round 7 years ago, we know he's terrible, and he's currently on another roster. It would blow minds though.
That would blow! 😄-
1
-
-
Like most of us, I both want and expect the Bills to go WR in round one, especially if they can get one of the top guys.
What if they don’t? What if they go defense?
I would expect D-line or Corner in that scenario.
However there is my total dark horse pick:
Peyton Wilson LB of South Carolina
His measurables are insane and it shows up on his tape. Plus if you watch his interviews he seems like a total McDermott kind of guy. Some speculate that he may even be able to play some safety due to his extreme athleticism.
I’m not advocating, but if there were a total shocker pick I could see him in a Bills uni.
Who do you have? This is your chance to look like a genius! 😅
-
Thank you very much for sharing all of this. After our Super Bowl run ended, the draft became my favorite football day of the year. I started watching the year that we drafted Jeff Burris of Notre Dame and have been going steady since.
A few thoughts on some players:
WR’s
I would love one of the big three, particularly Harrison or Odunze. I like their size, their productivity, and their character.
LEGETTE - I think there’s a lot of variance on where teams have him ranked. It’ll only take one to pull the trigger. He’s kind of a one year wonder thus far but may be on a very good trajectory. I have him ranked a little bit lower, but I’m cheering for him. History is pretty incredible. He’s already overcome a lot to be where he is. I think he’s a bit of a projection regarding his ability down the field. He’s shown flashes, but a team will have to decide if he can develop into someone that can be proficient at all three levels of the defense.
WORTHY - while I still have concerns about his size, I’ve come around on him. If we could scheme to keep him off of the line of scrimmage when a team is in press coverage, I think we could work around it. he had a huge number of targets all three years at Texas and has held up. Also, just due to his speed, he would force any defensive backfield to spread out and create space for our other pass catchers. Anytime he runs a go route a defense will have to have someone follow him if not two defenders. If we have a strong run game our play action could be killer with him: 1) if he is open Josh can throw him a bomb, 2) if he pulls two defenders, somebody else should be open, and 3) if they hand the ball off in the back can break into the secondary there should be plenty of running room. Though I still have some concerns, I would actually be very happy if the Bills choose to take him as long as they have a plan to maximize his strengths. I won’t be surprised if the Bills target him.
COLEMAN - i’m torn about him. I think he still has a lot of untapped upside and some good things to work with. His play speed is faster than his timed speed and he’s great at catching the ball even while being contacted. If he can continue to work on his speed and learn the intricacies of creating separation I think he could end up being very good, especially in the red zone. I wouldn’t be surprised if he snuck into the end of the first round and is probably going to be gone by the middle of the second.
-
4
-
1
-
-
We can debate the merits of trading up for a top guy, but I prefer to either go up for a top 3 guy or go down.
That said, what are the odds that this trend is broken because of the apparent depth in this receiver class?
But it’s one hell of a trend…
-
2
-
1
-
-
I’m good at projecting college talent in the pros. I think I’d want to be a head scout and have a big say in who we drafted.
-
1
-
-
Maybe Josh Allen could get the 25% as part of renegotiated salary and save us a lot of cap space. 🙃
-
17 hours ago, JerseyBills said:
Was omw home from work, listening to WFAN and they were playing Joe Schoens live media scrum.
Couldn't listen to whole thing but one statement really stood out for the whole draft and every team.
He stated there was either 140 or 170 (can't remember exact #) players they had a draftable grade on, that are staying in school this year, majority because the NIL deals and ability to make $$, in his opinion
So this is the bad side to the NIL deals. Going to make GMs lives that much more difficult, especially on day 3, where Beane has been stellar.
Just wanted to drop this nugget, as it kinda changes the whole landscape of the draft especially hearing it straight from a GM.
It'll only get worse as years go on imo...
It’s exactly the opposite of what you’re saying:Players have to come out eventually and now will be even more mature and better prepared.
Less underclass men and more seniors.
All the same players.
Am I missing something?
-
The Buffalo Bill Belichicks…
Hmmm….
-
10 hours ago, 4BillsintheBurgh said:
You'd also have to consider the coaching staff dynamic as well. Here in Pittsburgh drafting changed when Cowher left and Tomlin came in.
Definitely. While I understand what the OP is getting at I think you can really only take things by a case by case basis.For example, when Ozzie Newsome was picking for Baltimore no one will convince me that he would have been better off throwing darts at a board of names. The man was a very gifted evaluator of talent.
Your point is well taken: the coach wants to run a particular system. That’s going to affect the selections. And then, does the player get to grow in that system or is there a coaching change.
This is a massively complex topic.
-
1
-
-
I haven’t read every post yet, but I’d like to see this broken down by:
1) who made the pick
2) round they mad it in
3 position they picked
I think if we are going to pay attention to trends we should see the variance between decision makers first.
Polian vs Whaley for example: you wouldn’t just lump them together and draw a meaningful conclusion.
-
12 hours ago, Aussie Joe said:
Well.. when they tried to pick one giving up multiple firsts it was one of the biggest disasters we have seen in 20 years ..Maybe they should be sticking with what they have based on that effort
Giving up what they did for Trey Lance was idiotic. Based on his level of competition and minuscule game experience the odds of failure were very high. -
Patrick Mahomes! Everywhere I look, I see Patrick Mahomes!
-
https://heavy.com/sports/buffalo-bills/von-miller-brandon-beane-draft-trade/amp/
Here’s the original with Beane…
Some funny siht right here!
-
2
-
-
3 hours ago, Pine Barrens Mafia said:
I've never read anything more truthful than these sentences on TSW in all the decades I've been here.
I bit my tongue and cried after I said it (not really), but it felt true, and I feel free. Finally. (Kinda really)If a miracle happens it will take me by surprise.
Nec spe. Nec metu. -
We’re the Bills. We’re never going to win a Super Bowl. Might as well get Marvin Harrison Jr. and enjoy the show…
😛
Overall really good post. That said, I still hope they get Josh a few more weapons wherever they choose to draft them.
-
2
-
1
-
-
That was super sweet!
Happy Birthday, Steve!-
3
-
Buffalo Bills: Good, Not Great
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
A fair point. But his speed is special. And if you prepared to leverage it schematically, it can have a huge effect on the rest of your offense. That’s my projection anyway, and I’m gonna be watching to see if that’s how it actually plays out.