BigAl2526
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Posts posted by BigAl2526
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I just don't see the elite edge rusher that could fill the Bills' dreams in this year's draft. Chop Robinson is the only one who might drop to the Bills in round one, and he's not ideal. I see guys who remind me of Epenesa. They may be decent pass rushers, but with nowhere near the speed, bend and strength to be elite. I'm hoping that Von Miller can have a bound back year, but I don't have any strong reasons to think he will. I do expect that the Bills will have a solid overall defense, but they aren't going to put up gaudy sack numbers.
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I'm a little concerned about Diggs' late season drop in production combined with the fact that both Samuel and Shakir are probably better suited to slot receiver than an X receiver on the outside. For those reasons, I would kind of like the Bills to end up with a receiver in the first or second round. The Bills are not going to get a chance at Harrison, Nabers, or Odunze. Hoping Brian Thomas will drop to 28 is an iffy proposition. The odds are better for Adonai Mitchell. He's the guy I'd like to see the Bills get. I'm not thrilled with Keon Coleman, who is a sloppy route runner. I'm OK with Ladd McConkey, but he's less than ideal since he's better fit in the slot. I'm wary of Worth being frail. I wouldn't consider anyone else in the first round. If I didn't draft WR in round one, I'd jump at Legette or Franklin in round 2. I'd be OK with Walker or Pearsall too.
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19 minutes ago, BillsFanForever19 said:
You'd suspect wrong. At 317, he's a 3T like Curtis Samuel is an Outside WR. You can put him there from time to time, but 1T is his natural spot. Watch any discussion of him and his fit here by places like Cover 1 and he's always discussed as primarily rotation for Daquan.
Does he have some versatility? Yes. But he's not going to be primarily a 3T behind Oliver.
Agreed. The Bills can draft guys that a 280-300 pounds in any round they want to provide depth at 3 tech. It's a lot tougher to find a guy who is big enough and strong enough to eat up blockers as a 1 tech. I think that's where they plug Johnson in.
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Well, holes are gradually getting filled. Yeah, it would be nice to get T'Vondre Sweat, but the Bills only have one pick each in the first couple rounds. The Bills are not going to be able draft stars at all the positions where they have need. One tech is now a very low draft priority. That's a good thing because 1 Techs are a rare commodity. If the Bills see a compelling value in the late rounds, they might jump at it, but it's not happening on day one or two of the draft. I think the Bills still need safety help, an edge rusher and a WR. The WR is mostly preparation for life after Stephon Diggs. They can also use more cornerback depth and competition for depth on the offensive line. If they had a chance to draft a developmental QB or punter, that would be good, but it's not urgent at all. It's not a bad place to be considering what the cap situation was heading into the off season.
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On 3/20/2024 at 1:30 PM, Dunkirk Donski said:
Dont you want a 315 lb DE ?
Sure, if he can run a 4.6 40.
I like Johnson's versatility. Obviously, Daquan Jones is the starter at 1 Tech, just as Oliver is the obvious starter at 3 tech. Still, McDermott likes to rotate his defensive linemen. He also greatly values versatility. I could see the Bills lining Johnson up outside in a heaver lineup in obvious run situations. I think Buffalo would use him primarily as a 1 Tech, but it would be encouraging to know he can shift to 3 Tech or DE should that be necessary or it gives the Bills a situational advantage.
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At defensive end, Von Miller is less than a sure thing as a starter, At safety, I feel better about Edwards as a starter than I do about Rapp. I think Rapp lacks athleticism and coverage ability. The Bills at least need one quality starting safety. The Bills have receivers I would be comfortable starting, but I'd still like to get one of those sub 4.4 big guys in the draft with my first round pick. They're going to need a #1 receiver sooner or later. Every season it becomes a little more likely that Diggs will leave. After all there is talk of a trade right now.
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Buffalo has two quality starters at defensive tackle. If you pick a guy in round one, he is a presumptive starter. Anything less is a disappointment. Buffalo can still use a starting caliber safety. They also have a very old defensive end who is a presumptive starter in Von Miller. I think the Bills would like to limit Miller to no more than half the defensive snaps. If there is a quality defensive end available, I think that might be a better pick than DT. I still wouldn't mind a WR in round one, similar to but better than Gabe Davis. He might not get 100% of the reps this season, but Buffalo has to start thinking about the end of the Diggs era.
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A bit short for a safety, but not alarmingly so. Otherwise, his measurables are decent (athleticism and body mass). I'd be more comfortable with Edwards starting than Hamlin. Still room for an upgrade.
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He actually has some athleticism. His 4.62 40 time is faster than a lot of guys who will be drafted in the first couple rounds of the draft. His 39 inch vertical is even better compared with prospects at DE. The question is whether or not good coaching can help him address the shortcomings in his game, especially in run defense. In any case, he'll be a fringe player at best, getting reps only if guys ahead of him are injured.
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Stiff arm.
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Beane wants an impact player in the first round. He doesn't always get it, (Kaiir Elam) but he wants it, and that will determine who he targets.
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A sixth round WR might not even make the Bills PS right now. They go WR early or it's irrelevant.
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I'm 5'9 and have bigger hands than Troy Franklin (9 inch span versus 8 5/8).
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1 hour ago, HappyDays said:
Medicals are going to be the biggest thing. I'm sure that's why they're bringing him in for a visit. The safety market has dried up a bit so they are looking at options they wouldn't have otherwise considered.
I don't think the Bills were ever going to pay top dollar for one of the top names at safety in free agency. Not paying top dollar means taking a chance on some aspect of a candidate. With Blackmon it's a health question. With someone else it might be measurables, age, past productivity or whatever. That's what Buffalo did when they acquired Poyer and Hyde and it worked out OK. I'm fine with it.
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Does the signing of Samuel make a trade down more likely?? The Bills still need safeties and defensive line help. Otherwise, it's mostly a matter of trying to upgrade depth and drafting for the future. There are a couple first round DTs and maybe three first round value DEs. There are very few first round value safeties in this draft. Tyler Nubin may be the best and he's a borderline first rounder. The first round value defensive ends are likely to be gone. There may be a first round value at DT, but there may not be too. I have seen offensive tackles mocked to the Bills in the first round, but I don't see it. Dion Dawkins is still in the prime of his career and he's a better than average left tackle. Spencer Brown has had a rough first few years to his career, but he was serviceable last season and it's not unreasonable to think he still has some upside. Buffalo also has some younger prospects on the roster. They could certainly stand to upgrade their depth, but I don't see them feeling the need to draft a starter, and I don't think they'll use the first round to upgrade depth unless there is nothing else left that they want to draft. I wouldn't want them trading down too far, but without a compelling choice at 28, why not look at trade down options?
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I can see that not coming.
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He's carved out a decent career for himself as a backup QB. Good for him.
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Kind of a Tyreek Hill clone. We all know how dangerous Hill is. We know KC will be good. That's a given. A team like the Bills can't be afraid of that. They need to go after KC and any other team in their way. Even with cap constraints, I think the Bills can get better this year. Signing Samuel was step one. Now they need to find safeties who can approximate what the Bills did with Hyde and Poyer. Rapp and Lewis don't do that.
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Buffalo lost Sherfield and has gained two receiver who are both potentially better than Sherfield. I'm OK with that.
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15 hours ago, TFBillsfan said:
Braelon Allen, RB Wisconsin would give us that physical back. He just turned 21 so still young. 6’1” 245lbs Assuming he can be had in the later rounds.
He's got great speed for a big guy too.
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I hope the Bills can finagle enough money under the cap now to sign a starting caliber safety. I like the signing. Samuel has a bit higher drop ratio than I like, but he's got a broad skill set. I think he can play inside or outside, and can be a gadget player as well. His speed is probably the best on the team, though he and Isabella would probably have a pretty tight competition. He can stretch the field in any case.
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12 hours ago, HappyDays said:
Nah, money wouldn't be a problem, not unless some team gives him a ridiculous overpay. We solved a lot of our long term cap issues by cutting the dead weight last week. Next year we'll likely let go of Von Miller and Dawson Knox. There's always more dead weight to shed. Allen will be extended before long, kicking his can another several years down the road. Etc.
Chris Jones just signed a 5 year $158M contract. His cap hit in 2024 is a whopping $7.3M. We can come up with an eye-popping looking number that Armstead's agent sells to him, while in reality keeping his cap hits manageable and progressively increasing them year over year to match up with the normal salary cap increases. This is standard modern NFL cap management. Everything is made up and the points don't matter.
I'm not saying the Bills can't do it. I just think that the Bills might think they want to spend their free agent dollars elsewhere, like safety. There are still good safeties available. I really don't think Taylor Rapp and Cam Lewis are starters in Buffalo's defense while Buffalo has starters on the interior of their defensive line.
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I'd be surprised if the Bills signed him. It doesn't seem like a fit given their current cap situation.
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I think that Worthy's lack of body mass is a red flag for the Bills, despite his speed. Legette didn't run quite as fast as anticipated, and didn't have great college production until his last year. Coleman was quite a bit slower than anticipated. He might turn into Mike Evans 2.0 but I have fears he could end up being Kelvin Benjamin 2.0. Harrison, Nabers and Odunze will all be long gone before the Bills pick. Troy Franklin would be intriguing to me in a trade down scenario, but most observers don't think he's a first rounder at this point. Thomas is intriguing and there is a chance he might make it to #28, but it's not a sure thing. I think the Bills would be all over him if he dropped to #28. There is a good chance McConkey will be available and the Bills would give him serious consideration, but I think Mitchell might get the nod over McConkey because of his elite size/speed combination.
Gonzo Mock Draft 1.0 2 Rounder
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
No offense, I hope you're wrong on both picks.