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Buffalo Junction

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Posts posted by Buffalo Junction

  1. 10 minutes ago, JoshAllenHasBigHands said:

     

    My original point was that literally giving up 5 yards on every rush play (not just on average) is worse than giving up a 60 yard rush play and 2.0 ypc on the remaining rushes. I acknowledge that both are bad. I am only saying one is worse than the other. 

    I don’t think one is worse than the other. Particularly when a couple big run plays come with defensive breakdowns on “3rd & long”. It makes 3rd & 1 vs 3rd & 8 irrelevant. Either way the defense doesn’t get off the field. Both are demoralizing and signify the existence of a problem with scheme/talent. 

  2. 1 minute ago, JoshAllenHasBigHands said:

     

    I know its a problem, my point was a little more nuanced than that.  In any event, your second point is the real problem. the margin for error is razor thin, and that needs to get fixed. In a hurry. 

    I’m not sure it’s more nuanced. We have a good defense with no holes. We don’t have any real game changing talent in the front 7 which is why the defense can be exploited by good offenses and we’re not getting turnovers unless a QB is dumb enough to throw towards Tre. Swap out Lawson/Murphy for Mack/Garret and this is an elite defense. As it stands, the biggest hopes for improvement on D are that Milano was rusty or slow coming off injury, we can nab a good replacement for Peko off the waiver wire, and/ the Eagles just exploited Edmunds inexperience and his recognition/calls improve. Changing the defensive scheme will likely just create a problem somewhere else. 
     

    As for the margin of error... Unless a light goes on for Allen or Daboll I don’t see it improving this year barring Foster suddenly getting hot again. Beane patched all the holes on this roster. We’re beating the bottom half of the league because they cannot exploit a weakness with one or two excellent players. Unfortunately the better teams have enough game changing talent to exploit this. Is what it is. We’re going to have a nice run this year because of schedule strength and there’s always the possibility that they play over their talent in a wildcard game. I hope that next season Allen improving and adding a few top talents pushes this team into perennial playoff contention. Allen’s growth aside this team will be there with a few upgrades. 

  3. 8 minutes ago, JoshAllenHasBigHands said:

     

    You are right. Both CAN lead to losses. 

     

    What you are missing is that 5 yards on every run WILL lead to losses.  That means every drive has no third downs and ends in touchdowns. 

     

    One big play with a 2.0 y/c average equals one LIKELY touchdown, but the remaining drives are stalling out. Its super bad. It can result in a loss. But it is not nearly as bad as every drive ending in a touchdown, as I outline above.

    I might agree, but there’s two problems...

     

    1) The defense was poor on 3rd and long. They had trouble getting off the field. The Eagles figured out some effective ways to beat 3rd down defense. Couple that with a few big plays and it results in a loss. 
     

    2) This defense operates on a small margin of error. The offense simply isn’t good enough to over come a poor defensive outing. That margin seems to be one big play or timely scoring drive. 
     

    When you combine both of those issues you get games like Sunday where this team cannot steal momentum back... It’s concerning. Fortunately every team left on our schedule isn’t going to be capable of exploiting this. However, Dallas, NE and Baltimore have the talent and coaching to exploit these issues. The Bills are a good team with some weaknesses. If Allen makes a second half performance jump like he did last year then some of those weaknesses won’t be as great. Outside of that occurring we’re gonna have to weather the occasional storm until we get a few more game changers to create big plays. 

    • Like (+1) 2
  4. 1 minute ago, blacklabel said:

     

    I kinda tend to believe that maybe 10, 15 years down the road here, there's gonna be a monster scandal with Brady and his TB12 method. It's gonna come out that he did some real sophisticated blood doping or something, some kinda Lance Armstrong sh*t. 

     

    And is it just me or has he had some cosmetic work done? His face just looks...different, haha. 

    My money’s on gene therapy and biohacking. 

    • Like (+1) 1
  5. 4 hours ago, All_Pro_Bills said:

    On Sunday, for whatever reasons, the Eagles managed their game plan and the weather better than the Bills.  And I recent years "bad" weather conditions, whether snow, cold, or wind, have not provided the Bills with any kind of advantage.  The snow game with the Colt is another recent example.  Where was the advantage playing a dome team in snow and just squeaking out a win?  In this era, teams are better prepared, cold weather gear has improved from better and more usable insulating materials like gloves and under-garments, and sideline heaters and heated benches remove much of the discomfort.  It might have helped the teams of the 90's but they had more talent relative to most of their opponents in a non-salary cap era.   

     

    My suspicion is ownership, the state, and county are going to propose and pursue a downtown retractable roof stadium focused on efforts to re-develop the downtown area and perhaps integrate as much as possible with Harbor Center.  Maybe the Bills retain their training facilities in Orchard Park or they also move downtown?

     

    Many like the suburban stadium for its uniqueness, the atmosphere of the game, and tailgating.  Some of that would be lost with a downtown stadium.  But you have to remember that "Rich" stadium (I think it was the first NFL stadium that sold naming rights) was built at a time when businesses and residents were fleeing the inner cities because of social and economic deterioration.  But today's younger generations don't share their parents or grand-parents abandoning of the inner city but rather have more of an affinity for the city rather than suburbs so the trend seems to be reversing.  As time moves forward this trend will only get stronger.    

    In general I agree with this. However, the Bills are very dependent upon the regional fan base traveling. Fans from Rochester or Ontario really aren’t going to care if it’s in a pretty downtown location if it makes driving and parking an expensive hassle. Proper highway access and onsite amenities are extremely important, and for many (myself included) the tailgating adds to the full day event experience. 

  6. 1 minute ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

     

    Well, firing Roman and putting Lynn in as OC did seem to help the Bills Offense turn it around

    Oh, it definitely worked.... until Lynn got another promotion. It’s actually one of the reasons why I’m curious/skeptical about what’s going on in Baltimore though. 

  7. 3 minutes ago, thenorthremembers said:

    I'd be very surprised if the Bills traded for a player on an expiring contract they didnt plan to extend.   It doesnt fit with the get better now and tomorrow standard Beane has.

     

    If they trade for Green, an extension will be put in place.   They wont give up a pick for a player they only intend to keep for 9 games.

    I could see it if it was a 5th or later pick for a former top player on a bloated contract. Im sure there’s a point where Beane would gamble a bit if the possible return outweighs the risk. It’s highly unlikely, but there is sometimes a voodoo trade that works out (randy moss). 

  8. 4 hours ago, KD in CA said:

    Just sign Doc Brown and have him use his time machine to get us Jimbo, Andre, Bruce and Biscuit.  All problems solved.   Sheeh....why do people make it so difficult?

    Have you seen the back of that Delorean? At most he’d only be able to squeeze in Bruce and Beebe.... perhaps Bruce and Lofton if he’s lucky. 

  9. 1 minute ago, CSBill said:

    A telling stat: negative plays (or game events)  generally produce negative results, immediately (losing games) and over the long haul (losing records). Thus, the Bills are the anomaly here.
     

    Which is a reverse wired way, should give us hope. Both of these issues are immediately fixable.

     

    Change these and change the results, of games and of a season. 

    I’m not sure that they are immediately fixable. The boneheaded penalties can be fixed, but the others often result from physical mismatches or technique issues that need prolonged attention to resolve (poor kickstep). 

  10. 7 hours ago, 32ABBA said:

    I have been wondering why Allen hasn't been getting attention for this. I never hear it mentioned by radio or TV guys.

     

    Allen is great in the clutch.

     

    Everyone will know soon enough.

     

     

     

     

     

    IF he hadn’t gotten injured against NE, and he had managed to lead a comeback win.... Then this team being 6-0 with comeback victories would be a national narrative. 

    • Like (+1) 1
  11. Regardless of outcome this game is a good test for our offensive line. That eagles D has been bad and injury plagued, but their front four is still top notch. The eagles oline has some talent as well. I want to see how this Bills team performs in the trenches, especially after that Miami game. Winning the LoS on both sides of the ball will make a statement that this Bills team can win late season games. 

  12. 12 minutes ago, SoTier said:

     

    I think that the real problem with picking QBs is that the evaluators seem to put way too much emphasis on arm strength and size to the neglect of other qualities that are much more important to NFL success.   I think the most glaring  -- and embarrassing -- example is the prejudice against shorter QBs.  Two of the very best NFL QBs in the NFL -- Drew Brees and Russell Wilson --  weren't drafted in the first round because they were considered "too short".  One of the biggest busts in NFL history was overall first draft pick in the 2007 draft, 6 foot, 6 inch JaMarcus Russell.

     

    The real key to a QB's success is what's between his ears. There are lots of tall QBs.  There are lots of big throwers.  There are lots of athletic runners.  What there's not a lot of is guys who can almost instantly assess what they see on the football field, make the right decision of about how to react to that situation, and then execute whatever action they need to do to be successful.   NFL professionals don't seem to be able to identify collegiate QB with these abilities with any kind of consistency, which is why selecting QBs seems to be such a hit or miss proposition. 

     

    I think part of the issue with identifying intangibles is that many of these QBs are in winning programs and surrounded by superior talent. It’s relatively easy to identify a target when you have 1-2 reads and each involves a future NFL WR facing a CB that isn’t getting into the league. Alabama aside, most teams only have a few players a year that will get a legit NFL shot. Couple that with schemes and it becomes difficult to judge. As much as we can say Tua is going to be the #1 QB, we cannot say with certainty that he will be the best NFL QB from his draft. 

    • Like (+1) 1
  13. 2 hours ago, SoTier said:

     

    The success or failure of any offensive (or defensive) system usually depends upon the pieces that the OC (or DC) has to work into that system.  I think that in Roman's case, neither Kaepernick nor Taylor were good enough to sustain it.  

    For sure. It’s one of the reasons why Baltimore’s offense and Jackson’s development are intriguing to me. We likely won’t know for another 2-3 years. Of course, the inverse also applies... have defenses had the right type of talent to effectively scheme against Jackson and Roman yet? Lynn certainly figured the scheme out last year and ran that 3 safety nickel in the playoffs with a DB spy on Jackson. Gonna be fun to see what NE does. That offense gets to face the current top three defenses down the stretch... which is a pretty good barometer. 

    • Like (+1) 1
  14. 5 hours ago, Circlethewagon8404 said:

    In this league, every player is on the market if the price is right.  It doesn't matter how many times we hear that a team won't trade a player, if the price is right, that team will make a move.

    Exception being prime years HOF level QBs. No way a GM isn’t drawn and quartered in the street by fans without getting at least six 1st round picks, and even then he’s gonna have to check for car bombs. 

  15. 1 minute ago, row_33 said:

     

    crutches are handy as well, not sure about your second option, they do have a holding cell on the premises for the less than respectful patrons of a sporting contest

     

    Eagles fans always seem to one up previous shenanigans. After one ate horse poo my suggestion seemed like a logical “progression”. ?‍♂️

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