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Florida Bills Fanatic
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Posts posted by Florida Bills Fanatic
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3 hours ago, billsfan89 said:
I think they franchise him then trade him, this has a Clowney situation written all over it.
I believe that you are correct. Jags won't just let him walk and get nothing in return. He will be in high demand, if they make him available. This will drive the price up. Chasing him doesn't seem to fit Beane's approach to team building.
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12 hours ago, Vod Kanockers said:
Who are you thinking? Green Bay? New Orleans? Don’t worry, there are no wrong answers.. Just a discussion about football and possibilities.. It’s ok, you’ll figure it out, eventually.. ?
(However, the CORRECT answer should be, Buffalo) ?
Just so you understand the point of the point of the original post to which I responded. I was agreeing with another person that was tired of the mindless rhetorical drivel that is purveyed as absolute knowledge of future Bills actions. I prefer to read opinions that are based on some semblance of knowledge and data. I do hope that your version of the correct answer above proves to be accurate. ?
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11 hours ago, Vod Kanockers said:
So, who do you think is going to win the SB next year? ??
Again, clearly you missed the end of the original post.
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4 hours ago, Vod Kanockers said:
So, long story short.. You’re more worried about being right, than sharing an opinion. Got it.
Asking about the Super Bowl winner is no different on September 1st, than it is on January 31st. It is the exact same question. The ONLY difference is that in September, the odds of being correct are 1:32. Where as the odds when we ask you before kickoff of the game, and all players have made it on the field safely, now becomes 1:2.
Your answer is the equivalent to saying, “I don’t know who is going to win, because there’s a possibility that an asteroid could slam into the earth before the game, and we would all die, horrible, horrible, deaths.”
Did your girlfriend ever ask you if you wanted kids after dating for a while? Was your response, “Bich, how should I know? We’re not even married yet?”Ill stop back later and ask who you think will win the game with .01 seconds left, that way you’ll have all the information you’ll need in order to make an accurate prediction.
Obviously you missed the point. Have a nice off season.
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21 hours ago, Vod Kanockers said:
No point in asking you who’s going to win the SB either, since they haven’t even played the game yet, correct?
The more relevant question is probably who I think will win the SB. My point in my response was that the endless speculation about the draft picks is being made without three of the more important pieces of information. These being which of their own free agents do they sign, which of their players under contract do they release, and which free agents from other teams do they sign. Other posts declare in absolutes that the Bills will do specific things in the draft. IMHO this is ridiculous. I find more value in the posts from people who identify information about some of the hidden gems in the draft that the mainstream sports media misses.
To put your analogy in this context, it is tantamount to picking your super bowl winner before the season is played. We all know how valid those kinds of predictions are.
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13 hours ago, Aussie Joe said:
Really need to see what happens in FA first..
You are absolutely correct. Many posts deal with speculation around draft picks before we even know what needs remain following free agency. Thanks for the dose of common sense.
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As usual, most of the comments already made on this subject have it exactly correct. There are better options available than Thuney based on a cost vs. talent comparison. Brady received more pressure up the middle than he had in previous years. It's pretty telling that the Cheatriots extended one interior lineman and not Thuney. They obviously didn't think he was worth keeping around at a price that he would demand. Beane won't break the bank for a marginal upgrade (if it is an upgrade at all).
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1 hour ago, Buffalo Junction said:
Nope. The idea has been floating a bit, and now that everyone is starting to go back and look at tape more are seeing it. I’m still not sure how much of his disappearances at WR are on him or the rest of that offense though. There were a few games where he was clearly above and beyond his teammates in talent and the whole offense looked bad as a result.
I fully understand this point of view, and it’s valid. I’m just not sure if that’s where we should go with the first pick. I personally would want an additional hedge at WR whether that’s another rookie like Van Jefferson or a FA addition. Usually guys like Shenault tend to be that last piece for an offense. Undoubtedly I’d love to replace McKenzie with Shenault, but there’s also the possibility that you can get a similar skill set from a guy like Ty Montgomery.... or even utilize some of the same plays with a LaMical Perine or a Kenyon Drake. We’ll see how this plays out as the draft process unfolds.
Right now a McKenzie replacement is probably way down Beane's list of priorities. When they do get a receiver in either the draft or free agency, I believe they will be looking for a guy with decent size, speed and hands to play outside opposite Brown. I think they will pass on getting another smurf. Their activity in free agency as well as the value of the available players at pick 22 will determine whether they go WR, DE, or fill another need.
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All I can say for sure is that it's great that the Bills aren't involved in any of this QB turmoil. If anything materializes for Buffalo, it may be an opportunity to upgrade the backup QB position.
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3 hours ago, Billsflyer12 said:
He was hurt much of season. Played through a lot even though he could have shut it down for NFL.
Watch this piece on Laviska and his family.https://pac-12.com/videos/laviska-shenault-jr-credits-inspiration-his-late-father-success-colorado
I’m a Denver resident, CU fan, and have seen him play many times in person. He is a stud athlete, versatile, with good hands but has been a bit injury prone.
He is a amazing kid, with tough story. Would love him with the Bills, but needs to prove he can stay healthy.
I was thinking the same thing. Teams have a tendency to push down the draft value of guys that appear to be injury prone. With so many good WR's in this draft, he may slip to round two.
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10 hours ago, NoSaint said:
Jeeze- I just caught back up on that and forgot he never even signed. They verbally agreed and then backed out.
by game tape do you mean highlights? Cause everyone has great hands in highlights.I'm talking about game tape. Watch all of his plays. This guy can play and really showed it at the end of this season when he finally got to be featured. After Evans and Godwin were injured, Perriman became the number 1 target, saw a lot of double coverage, and still produced. After watching him play, consider whether he would be a significant upgrade over what we have now. IMHO the answer is yes. For those that don't think the guy can play, who do they want Beane to target? Rookies coming out of the draft seldom make the immediate impact desired in their first season. It makes sense for Beane to get a good free agent without breaking the bank and draft a good prospect to develop. Perriman would be a good first step in implementing this approach.
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Just now, Mr. WEO said:
What is it about a catch ratio of 50% screams "great hands"?
Look at who was throwing him the ball and the length of the passing targets that he received. Watch some game tape, it tells the story on this guy.
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1 hour ago, KzooMike said:
In 2015 drafted in the 1st round, 6'2, 212 LB's, 4.24 40 yard dash at the combine.
Missed Rookie year to knee injury, moderate 2016 season then cut. Signed with Browns and then cut again when OBJ was picked up. Signed with TB this year. After the depletion of all TB's WR core the last quarter of the season was pushed into a #1 WR role. Final 5 games, 25 catches, 506 yards, and 5 TD's. I watched two of those 5 games. His knock coming out was all athlete no football player. He was attacking the football like Marvin Jones when I saw him. High pointing balls all over the field. Out muscling CB's or just running by them. Son of Brett Perriman, so comes from pedigree.
I don't think we will land a big name FA WR, but a guy like this, presented with an opportunity to be a WR1. Cost effective, high upside, competition, just what we like. I would love to see us get him.
I agree with you. Perriman is exactly what the Bills need (size, speed, and great hands). He may cost a little more than some people will expect because he will have more than one team interested. His cost will be less than some of the bigger names being kicked around. I believe that Beane will get an experienced free agent and draft a good prospect to develop. Some people will want the Bills chasing guys like Cooper and Green but I think the cost isn't going to be worth it.
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15 minutes ago, gregor7777 said:
I agree I'd prefer them to not use a first on a WR, but god help them from this fanbase if they don't. We'll crucify them if they don't get a WR in the 1st.
You may be right but I think most of the knowledgeable fans will look at the draft more strategically. They will evaluate the value of the player taken, the likelihood of the player being able to be a real contributor in their first season, and whether the player addresses a need of the team. Most people recognize the main needs of the team include WR, DE, LB, DT, o-line (RT), RB, and CB. There is not a broad consensus on the priority. Some of the needs are to provide good rotational players and depth. IMHO WR, DE, and LB positions require players to be starters or major contributors. Going into this draft, pass rushing DE is in the shortest supply in both the draft and free agency. Beane is not going to neglect DE. If he doesn't get one in free agency, we should expect Beane to make a move early in the draft. This draft class is deep in WR, LB, and DT. If he has to wait to day two to address these in the draft, the Bills will still get very good talent. Just like last year, Beane's moves in free agency (including letting Lawson walk) will tell us about his approach in the draft. We just need to chill and let "The Process" run its course.
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I don't get the infatuation that people have for Rivers and Brady. They have been great in the past but I believe time has taken its toll. Neither of these guys showed me much this year and being another year older isn't going to make either of them any better. Neither of these two are going to play on a cheap contract or be okay being a backup. There are better options for teams to bridge the gap until they obtain a young guy to develop for the long term.
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4 hours ago, whatdrought said:
Can you stop a position coach from taking a Coordinator job? Or am I misunderstanding the OP?
Teams typically don't. Coaches are under contract and it is probably written into contracts that they will be made available for promotional opportunities. I can't imagine an agent allowing a client to sign a contact that doesn't provide that latitude.
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4 hours ago, OldTimeAFLGuy said:
..Jeremiah said, "the Combine will be exciting because it will feature some of the fastest receivers we've ever seen".......overstatement or accurate?..........
I know an NFL scout and he told me that there are at least 16 WR's in this year's draft that will grade as third round or better. If he's correct, the Bills should be able to find a good one, even if they wait until day two. Hopefully, we won't end up with another Zay Jones.
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8 hours ago, sven233 said:
The eyeball test says he was a pretty good pass rusher, but while he did make a lot of plays on his own, some of the sack production he had was the direct result of someone else pushing the play and Phillips finishing it up. Also, in my opinion, for someone his size, he was pretty bad against the run.
I know it's not a popular opinion around here, but I am not re-signing him for anything more than 7.5 at the very most. I think he is a 6-7 million dollar player. I think there may be a team or 2 that looks at the sack numbers and overpays him. I don't want to be that team, especially with Horrible Harry coming back. He was our best lineman when he was playing early.
Teams are more sophisticated in their analysis of potential free agents than they used to be. PFF generates a lot of raw data but doesn't do a great job of analyzing the factors leading to a specific outcome. Teams study the players real role in specific plays and they understand the assignments and the actual execution by the player. In other posts, it was observed that some of Phillips' sacks were the result of the play being pushed into his lap by another player. I share some of that opinion. IMHO he is not one of the top DT's in the league and is nothing more than a good rotational role player. The only way he gets a big contract is if one of the traditionally bad teams (like the JESTS) gets overly enamored with him. I'm sure Beane knows what he is dealing with and he will let him walk before overpaying.
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20 hours ago, ngbills said:
Well $20M is going to Yannick Ngakoue. Trent Murphy pays for a big chunk of that.
Then $10M+ to Conklin. Spencer Long savings will help with that.
Kroft helps pay for Hooper and his $10M.
Then we are in good shape headed to the draft and a few other lower priced free agents. Get AJ Green on a short deal if possible, Robbie Anderson, and draft a WR.
Okay, put down the bong and step away from the coffee table....lol
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Excellent analysis. Thanks for taking the time to do such a thorough job. I agree with everything you have written.
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9 hours ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:
I'm pretty sure they'll cut him and go for a cheaper veteran.
IMHO if they cut him, the four guys going into training camp will be Smith, Knox, Sweeney, and Croom. We should all remember how Beane came to sign Kroft. Buffalo was a dumpster fire at tight end going into 2019. Kroft was about the best free agent out there. Beane paid a reasonably high price to insure that there was at least one capable TE on the roster. No one knew how Knox or Sweeney would work out going into the season. Knowing what they know now, Beane has the option to keep him, trade him or cut him. When Kroft was signed I would say it was more of a relief than love. Honestly, I don't see a huge difference between Sweeney, Knox and Kroft going into 2020, so why spend the money on him? People that think Beane is going to get into the bidding war for Hooper and Henry need to understand that he isn't going to walk away from two promising 2019 draft picks after one season. The team has more pressing needs that will require the expenditure of cap dollars.
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3 hours ago, RiotAct said:
plastic bags are still legal in Florida too, which is a pretty big mark in its favor
Don't forget that there's no deposit on beer cans. That's the really big deal!
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1 hour ago, gonzo1105 said:
Jack Conklin. Likely to hit Free Agency and seems like a good character toughness fit that the Bills covet.
There is no doubt that Conklin would be a great addition. If Conklin hits the market, there will likely be a bidding war to sign him. The cost will be high. I can't see Beane throwing big money at a second offensive lineman (like Morse last year). IMHO Beane will target his free agent spending on a DE or a WR to play outside opposite John Brown. If he resigns Lawson, then WR may jump to the top of his list.
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I could care less about who is playing for the Cheatriots when the Bills finally take them down. It's all just about winning. In some ways I do hope that Brady stays because his play has deteriorated to the point of becoming a walking joke.
NFL moving Combine workouts to prime time
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
I guess the NFL doesn't think interested viewers have a DVR to watch when they want to. OOPs..I guess that goes for the rest of us that don't like the change...just sayin'.