Dkollidas
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Posts posted by Dkollidas
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19 minutes ago, Crow-Magnon said:
I think Marlon will shadow Diggs with Peters on Brown and Smith on Beasley. With Averett on Davis as necessary.
I agree, but I don’t believe they normally have their CB’s shadow receivers. It’s more, one plays one side of the field, the other plays the other side. Also, I’d expect a lot of motion by Buffalo, they’ve been getting plays in pretty fast allowing for a lot of motion at the line.
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15 minutes ago, Long Suffering Fan said:
They have two good corners and our running game is hurting and hasn't been that good all year anyway.
If I am the Bills, I think I start off by playing 4 and 5 wide like crazy. Diggs and Beasley will beat their top two CBs some, but Brown, Davis, and Mckenzie/Knox will chew up their next three. If they want to play zone, they are not going to be able to blitz. They have to drop 7 against that many threats. If they blitz, they play into our hands because we want them in man. We would have a whole host of one on one match ups and Allen has proven that he will find the open guy. And if they leave a running lane, Allen takes off and runs (or finds Gabe, etc. on the sidelines).
I think they go wide early as well just for the simple fact that it shows more of what the defenses intentions are. As you said, if we go empty and have 5 wide, if they blitz someone is open. Or at worst Josh is going to have WIDE open rush lanes.
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I think the Bills will want Peters or Humphrey against Brown. That leaves Smith against Beasley or Diggs and Buffalo will take advantage.
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13 minutes ago, AllDayLJ said:
I wouldn't be surprised if we have Marlo in the slot and Jimmy Smith plays the other outside role along with Marcus. We've done that this year plenty of times. A lot of times it depends on the teams though, their WRs, etc. If they did put Marlo in the slot on Beas, they'd put Peters on Diggs and Jimmy on the opposite side.
If this is the case I believe Peters will be matched up against Diggs, snd that’s good for Diggs. Peter’s aggressive nature will overplay and Diggs will be able to get open.
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Wondering if anyone had any insight on how they play their CB’s.
Will Smith play in the slot?Or is Humphrey mostly in the slot?
Do their corners mostly stay in their same spot, or do they follow a particular guy across the field?
I just believe that if Humphrey isn’t the one who shadows Diggs. He’ll get his catches. And if Humphrey isn’t the one in the slot, that Beasley’s route running will win against Peters or Smith as well.
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My question is how they play their CB’s against us.
I believe I heard on a podcast they don’t usually have their guys follow receivers. But I also wonder who plays in the slot against Beasley. Peter’s and Smith are mostly outside corners. So does Humphrey play the slot? If he does, I believe Diggs will have a day against Peters or Smith. Peter’s ultra-aggressive nature tends to overplay against a guy like Diggs.
If it’s not Humphrey in the slot, I think Beasley will be able to get open against whoever they play in the slot
I also like the matchup of Davis versus Arnette. Davis has basically proven himself to be a starter in the last quarter of the season. Allen has gained trust in him, which he’s earned, and proved it to all of us last week with those toe drag catches.
That’s my crux. If Humphrey covers Diggs, I believe he can limit Diggs. But that will leave Beasley against either Peters or Smith in the slot and I don’t believe they have the agility to keep up with Diggs route running.
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I don’t think he’ll be a bad coach necessarily. I just think they have a lot of work to do.
And most of the guys on that defense are built for Williams blitz heavy man cover schemes. Saleh’s defense is the opposite. They’ll basically need to pull a McDermott and 86 about 75percent of that roster I would believe.
It’ll also need to be seen how Douglas and Saleh work together. Will Douglas draft players that he tells Saleh to “make fit” even if they’re not a good scheme fit. I have no idea either way, I’m just saying it’s a possibility.
Im also assuming they go in a different direction than Darnold, so who will develop that #2 overall pick, be it Wilson, Fields, or possibly even Trey Lance? That’s another big big question.
I know I’m stating the obvious here, it all just seems like a big uphill battle to turn that franchise around.
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I mean it’s people at a live football game. I’ve been to at least 20games in my life and every game I see the yellow security coats going down an aisle every game breaking up fights and kicking people out of the game.
60,000people
6,000
600
60
6
there'll be fights every time!
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1 hour ago, whatdrought said:
This is the most encouraging thing I’ve seen with relation to this game. The one thing I think of whenever I consider this matchup is them just constantly blitzing Josh last year and him being a deer in headlights.
But that was him against cover 0 and man coverage all last year no matter who he played. Except Miami...
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Might be a good guy to add into next weeks game plan
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49 minutes ago, B-Large said:
Reich played aggressive and took come chances to win on the road as an underdog. I’d be okay with that if I were a Colts fan.
I agree he took chances. I thought the overall game plan was conservative.
He should’ve coached conservatively in those chances in such a tight game and it might’ve went their way.-
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Hughes. No Costanzo in the game, Hughes is going to take advantage.
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I do believe our defense is better than that of both those other teams and that will help us a lot.
And for those worried about our run defense. I am too, but I did a bit of digging, and while the opponents were different...
Before the bye, we allowed
280car-1349yds-4.82yds per carry.
After the bye, 134-564-4.21yds per carry.
That 4.21 would rank top-10 over 16 games
Over half a yard per carry difference.
I think the defense is getting hot which is why our margins are so much better lately.
More turnovers, good special teams as well have helped give the team better field position and more possessions. I believe this is something that is able to continue because our defense is getting healthy at the right time and has seemed to be playing better snd better each of the past few weeks.
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9 minutes ago, gobills404 said:
I like this a lot. I don’t think their corners can match up against our WR’s, with or without Beasley especially if Brown is back. Diggs, Brown, Davis & McKenzie is still a tough group to contain.
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Maybe they put us at 1:00 Saturday because we’ll likely be the biggest favorite and it has the possibility o not be a tight game?
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1 hour ago, Ed_Formerly_of_Roch said:
Really where's the $$ room? The band has been playing with a replacement for half their tour! They are $5 mil over cap of $175 mil, if it goes up to $190 mil like some are projecting, that's $20 mil, You need to still leave about $5 mil for rookies, plus want to keep another $3 to $5 mil for in season replacements, roster moves etc.
That leaves you around $10 mil over and only 43 players under contract. Feliciano, Williams, & Milano likely will cost around $25 mil to sign all three. If you let them walk, who is their replacement as he's currently not on the roster now. Brown is the one guy on the roster where you already have a replacement for him on the roster.
I agree I'd offer Brown a tweak, reduce his salary to about $4 mil, if he'll sign that, OK, but would be surprised if he'd take that large of a cut. Yes you can make tweaks to others, extend Hyde and L Smith, knock $1 to $2 mil off the cap, restructure Hughes and Matakevich, cut Butler to save some money. Cut Morse to save $5mil, but that just creates another hole to fill too. Very few other than Butler have the impact that cutting Brown has at around an $8 mil savings and who has only played in 8 games, 3 of which he basically did nothing.
On top of all this the Bills will need to sign about ten other players just to fill out a final 53 man roster as again only like 43 players under contract and only 4 offensive lineman under contract, no punter, return man , #2 CB, or backup QB signed next season to name a few. Granted some are restricted FA like Bojorquez and Wallace so can sign them on the cheap. There's at least 11 upcoming FA that provided a significant contribution or function to this years team success that they will need to be replaced in one manner or another, could see about three of them being rookies, but remaining ones likely you'll want to sign a vet if you hope to make the 2021 roster just as strong or stronger than 2021.
Listen to Cover1’s podcast with Greg Tompsett from a few weeks ago.
Even at $175M cap next year they’ll be able to keep basically everyone important and only have to choose between Williams & Milano.
If the 17th game brings the cap up to about $190M, they’ll be able to keep everyone.
According to Spotrac, we should have about $5M of cap space going into 2021 if the cap is at $175M, with 39 players signed.
You’ve got to consider they’ll cut or restructure certain fringe roster players (Matakevich, Lee Smith), along with guys who are rotational (Butler), and extend guys like Brown/Hughes/Hyde in ways that will save them money in 2021, and be easy to get out of in 2022.
Then if you consider turning Diggs salary into a signing bonus (which will give him a bug fat check, but save us cap space around $7M-$8M in 2021), that’s more savings.They could do those moves I’ve listed and save roughly $30M against the cap.
A lot of guys (McKenzie, Kroft, Roberts) that are free agents will likely stay in Buffalo for veteran minimum. Let’s say they sign 6 of these players for a total of $7.5M
Add in 6 draft picks, which will likely cost $4M against the cap.
thats 12players for $11.5M.
you’d still have $19M to bring back Feliciano, Williams and Milano. If you backload those deals, 2021 cap hits for Milano ($7M), Feliciano ($5M) and Williams ($7M) would put you right at that $19M number with 54 players on the roster.
don’t get me wrong it would be EXTREMELY tight. But even at $175M you could bring back Feliciano Milano and Williams, only have to cut guys like Butler, Matakevich & Lee Smith, while restructuring some of your older veterans (Hughes, Brown & Hyde), along with Diggs (pushing his cap down the road which won’t matter a great deal bc of anyone deserves big money it’s him & Allen).
If the cap goes to $190M+, they’ll be able to keep just about everyone for another run.
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Could also see the team wanting an extra body to throw in for the dolphins game. Get Brown/Diggs/Davis on the bench as early as possible.
He’d provide solid depth.
If Beasley does miss time I could see Diggs/Davis playing slot, Brown outside snd Diggs/Davis rotating the other outside spot. Davis has developed to the point where I see a Beasley injury being overcome as long as Brown comes back.
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16 minutes ago, Max Fischer said:
I’m pretty sure If the Bills win out, they will not play the Ravens nor Titans in the 1st round.
That would be optimal... and hopefully the Titans and Ravens would play each other... get at least one of them out of the way.
Pittsburgh, Cleveland, Miami and Indianapolis do not scare me much.-
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4 hours ago, ScottLaw said:
Thought about this... would be an interesting scenario but I can’t see the Bills having the #2 seed locked up by week 17. That would mean the Steelers lost to the Bengals tonight. Not happening.
They might be better off playing the back ups giving Miami a W and preventing Baltimore from getting in....although I’m sure the Colts will lose another game.
I was thinking the same thing... then tonight happened
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1 minute ago, Bulldog said:
That's right - 1st round needs to be addressed will include interior offensive line, CB2, and maybe OT (if Williams does not return).
If the team desires to upgrade RB -- that is a mid-round type of need in the draft.
OT or another playmaker on defense. I think someone like a Shaun Wade (could play outside, slot or even safety) could be interesting.
I think they’ll draft an OL early though, either 1st or 2nd round. They need to keep that depth up and it’s something Beane obviously values.
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Get a back on day 2 or day 3
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Just curious for Allen’s stat line:
30 Pass TD’s
8 Rush TD’s
1TD Rec
39 Total TD’s
Correct?
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I think the AFC does have a major advantage:
Mahomes
Allen
Watson
Herbert
Mayfield
Lamar
Plus you’ll likely have Lawrence & Fields entering the conference next season.
Plus Burrow!
NFCRodgers
Wilson
Brady
Murray
Brees
Goff
Stafford
Ryan
I would say in 5yrs the only ones from the NFC who will still be there will be Murray Wilson & Goff and POSSIBLY Rodgers.
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12 hours ago, Call_Of_Ktulu said:
We need to keep drafting and hitting on O-Line talent, starters and depth. As we can see when Allen has time he can pick apart a defense and unleash his cannon for an arm. My absolute must signs are Feliciano and Williams with Milano being the one that might be let go. Its hard for me to say that because I absolutely love Milano, I think his ability to cover makes him extremely valuable in todays NLF. His tackling is good enough and his understating of this defense is at a level of just seeing and attacking. I would be cutting as much fat as possible to sign all 3 of these guys.
I agree 100% about drafting & developing OL. Regardless of whether Williams comes back. Doesn’t have to be Day 1, but just keep bringing guys through the system. The front office has also shown a propensity to find good O-Line Talent in free agency.
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Where will Ravens CB’s line up against Bills?
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
I think if they go zone they won’t be able to blitz as much. That’ll open things up for Beasley as well if they switch to more zone